Detroit Beach, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Detroit Beach, MI


December 11, 2023 8:04 AM EST (13:04 UTC)
Sunrise 7:49AM   Sunset 5:04PM   Moonrise  6:33AM   Moonset 3:46PM 

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Marine Forecasts
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LEZ162 Detroit River Lt. To Maumee Bay Oh To Reno Beach Oh Beyond 5nm Offshoreline To Us-canadian Border- Reno Beach To The Islands Oh Beyond 5nm Off Shoreline To Us- Canadian Border- The Islands To Vermilion Oh Beyond 5 Nm Off Shoreline To Us- Canadian Border- 351 Am Est Mon Dec 11 2023
Today..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Detroit Beach, MI
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Area Discussion for - Detroit/Pontiac, MI
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FXUS63 KDTX 111025 AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 525 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

AVIATION

Cold light northwest-west flow this morning should maintain low clouds (2500-3500 feet) across southeast Michigan. Warming and drying out of the 850 mb level this afternoon offers up some potential for clearing skies, but likely going to be sufficient moisture around 3000 FEET to maintain borderline MVFR/VFR clouds into the evening hours. As winds shift to the southwest this evening and further warm advection takes place, more defined clearing should take place from south to north tonight.

For DTW...Don't see cloud bases deviating much from 3000 feet today, with any partial clearing this afternoon likely refilling back in for the evening hours. Uncertainty with the exact time of clearing tonight.

DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES

* High for ceiling aob 5000 feet this morning, then lowering confidence to low by this evening.

PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 303 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

DISCUSSION...

Deep layer subsidence amid building heights in the wake of a departing mid level wave will expand across Lower Mi this morning and prissiest into tonight. This large scale subsidence will deepen the low level inversion, which will likely hold the stratus deck in place into the evening. This and limited low level thermal advection will keep daytime temps mainly in the 30s today. Low level wind fields will back toward the southwest tonight and will strengthen.
This will drive a warmer low level airmass into Se Mi, eroding the low level inversion and allowing for a clearing trend. Despite the clearing trend, the strength of the gradient flow (1500- 3k ft level winds of 40-45 knots) will limit nocturnal cooling and support nighttime lows mainly in the upper 20s.

The backed flow will be in advance of a cold front moving into the northern lakes tonight. Models have trended a bit stronger with the amplitude of the mid level trough within the base of a polar low originating from central Canada and moving into northern Ontario by Tues morning. This will force the associated surface front all the way into the Ohio Valley by Tues evening. The larger scale dynamics will be focused north of the forecast area. Model cross sections actually indicate the frontal forcing becoming very shallow as it pushes across Se Mi, even falling apart by the time it pushes south of metro Detroit. Model solutions also show a fairly significant mid level dry layer advecting into srn Lower Mi by afternoon. While there will likely be some low clouds with fropa, a dry forecast will continue to be warranted on Tuesday. The low level wind fields along the front will still support fairly breezy conditions. The strongest wind fields are actually expected within the prefrontal airmass as opposed to the post frontal cold air advection region.
With the support of model soundings and probabilistic guidance, peak wind gusts will be kept to 30 MPH, perhaps a little higher in the northern thumb.

The cold front will usher in a seasonally cold airmass for the midweek period. Broad sfc high pressure will expand and strengthen across much of the eastern US during the latter half of the week within a split mid level flow regime across the CONUS. Most notable will be the warm air advection within the return flow of this sfc high which will bring mild air to the forecast area by the end of the week.

MARINE...

There will be a backing of the winds during the course of the day and evening ahead of a cold front approaching from the northwest, forecast to move into far northern Lake Huron Tuesday morning.
Prefrontal southwest winds will become quite strong across Lake Huron tonight and into Tuesday morning. The potential for gales will hinge on the degree of mixing to the lake surface as these winds will drive a warmer low level airmass across the lake. There does look to be a potential for a period when there is enough over lake instability to cause some southwest gale force gusts across Saginaw Bay into central Lake Huron. Current probability guidance is under 50 percent for gusts to gales, however there has been an increase in the probabilities the last few model cycles. Therefore, a gale watch will be issued for Saginaw Bay and central Lake Huron overnight into Tuesday morning. Later forecast shifts will determine if an upgrade to a warning is needed.

THe post frontal wind fields will not be as strong. There does look to be a period Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night where the gradient increases across the north third of Lake Huron. While there is a potential for a few brief gusts to gale force, guidance is more supportive of 30 knot type wind gusts attm.

DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...Gale Watch from late tonight through Tuesday afternoon for LHZ363- 421-422-441-462.

Small Craft Advisory until noon EST today for LHZ441.

Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
TWCO1 9 mi35 min NW 18G23 33°F 24°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 15 mi65 min NW 11G16 32°F 30.0521°F
CMPO1 23 mi95 min NW 9.9G14 33°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 26 mi65 min WNW 19G21 33°F 30.08
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 34 mi65 min WNW 17G20 34°F 44°F30.0420°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 48 mi65 min NW 11G15 34°F 30.00
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI 49 mi65 min WNW 7G12 32°F 30.06

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Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KTTF CUSTER,MI 12 sm29 minW 0710 smOvercast32°F23°F69%30.08
KONZ GROSSE ILE MUNI,MI 19 sm29 minWNW 07G1410 smOvercast32°F16°F51%30.07
KTDZ TOLEDO EXECUTIVE,OH 22 sm41 minWNW 1310 smOvercast34°F21°F60%30.11
KDUH TOLEDO SUBURBAN,MI 23 sm29 minNW 0510 smOvercast32°F19°F59%30.10

Wind History from TTF
(wind in knots)



Tide / Current for
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Detroit, MI,



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