Monday, October21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Lakeville, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 5:55PM Monday October 21, 2019 3:07 AM EDT (07:07 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:21PM Illumination 49% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ234 Buzzards Bay- 116 Am Edt Mon Oct 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 am edt this morning through this evening...
Rest of tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain likely.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..NE winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less. A chance of light rain and drizzle.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of rain in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 4 ft in the afternoon. Showers likely in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 116 Am Edt Mon Oct 21 2019
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. The remnants of nestor track south of the bench mark by Monday morning. High pressure builds southward into new england Monday. A cold front will pass through Tuesday night into Wednesday, bringing southerly winds which will switch to the west along with a chance of rain. High pressure and dry weather follow for the rest of the week. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Lakeville, MA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.84, -70.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbox 210606
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service boston norton ma
206 am edt Mon oct 21 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure well south of new england and its rain shield will
impact ri and southeast ma early this morning. As the low
continues to move seaward rain will exit and clouds will give
way to increasing sunshine later this morning into the
afternoon. However some cloudiness may linger over CAPE cod and
the islands. Dry weather tonight lingers into Tuesday morning
but then drizzle develops Tue afternoon with widespread showers
tue night ahead of an approaching cold front. Behind the front
dry and seasonably mild conditions follow Wednesday afternoon
into Friday although a cold front may bring a few showers Friday
afternoon and night. High pressure builds in for next weekend.

Near term until 6 am this morning
2 am update...

northern edge of rain shield associated with offshore low is
moving across coastal ct into ri and across southeast ma at 2
am. Back edge of cloud shield is over western ma ct and moving
steadily eastward. Where skies have cleared over eastern ny into
berkshire county ma, light winds and dew pts in the 40s has
resulted in patchy dense fog. Thus as the cloud shield advances
east and skies clear across western ma ct expected areas of fog
to develop in this region which includes the hartford area and
the city of springfield. This may have some impact on the
morning commute.

Farther east into ri and eastern ma clouds should linger long
enough to preclude fog from developing.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 pm Tuesday
2 pm update...

Monday into Monday night...

nestor remnants not going far. N-plains cyclone occludes, tightens
towards 990 mb, the mid-upper level ridge downstream builds across
the NE CONUS pushing the mid-latitude flow northward resulting in a
wobbling, cut-off nestor lingering S E of the 40n 70w benchmark. An
e-fetch drawn from the wrapping tropical low-level moisture round
nestor back towards the approaching midweek occluded front, riding
beneath a dry-inversion settling down around h8-9. Moisture pooling,
saturating, while partial clearing is expected on Monday, going into
Monday night forecasting lowering conditions with nocturnal cooling,
brought inland by a stout E low-level jet, upsloping, can't rule out
some drizzle as well for E se-coastal ma. So dry and seasonable for
Monday with highs getting into the low 60s for most of new england
but E se-coastal ma with onshore flow and lingering clouds. Then
overnight it turns dreary with lows in the 40s.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
Highlights...

* low clouds Tue with light rain or patchy drizzle at times
* period of showers Tue night into early Wed then improving
conditions
* dry and mild weather Thu fri
* continued mainly dry and cooler for next weekend
Tuesday into Wednesday...

easterly flow Tue with considerable low level moisture
developing will result in low clouds overspreading much of the
region. Models generating light QPF moving in from the east.

This is likely a signal for some light rain or patchy drizzle
developing within moist easterly flow beneath dry air through
the mid levels. Then approaching shortwave and attending cold
front moves into the region Tue night. Deep moisture plume and
low level convergence will result in a period of showers moving
west to east across sne. The low level jet is somewhat fractured
and not particularly strong so not expecting an organized area
of heavy rainfall. But some locally heavier rain is possible tue
night as a wave develops on the front which enhances low level
convergence. However, better chance likely across maine on wed
north of the developing surface wave where decent E SE low level
jet develops. Much of the shower activity should be east of new
eng by Wed morning, but can't rule out a few lingering showers
into Wed morning, mainly across eastern ma. Otherwise, expect
increasing sunshine Wed as good mid level drying moves in with
mild temps well into the 60s.

Thursday through Sunday...

high pres moves off the mid atlc coast Thu with return flow
developing. Sunshine and seasonable temps for thu. Models differ on
the pattern for the end of the week into the weekend. ECMWF showing
a split flow pattern with dominant northern stream into the weekend
with southern stream low pres approaching late in the weekend. Gfs
has more of phased system with rain impacting sne on sat. Leaning
toward ECMWF solution which has support of other global guidance
including UKMET ggem. This supports a frontal passage late Fri fri
night which may be accompanied by some showers then high pres
building in for the weekend with dry and cooler conditions. Will
have to watch possible southern stream system approaching late in
the weekend. If timing speeds up then some rain may begin to impact
the region sometime Sunday, but going with a dry forecast for now.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Tuesday ...

06z update...

thru 12z... High confidence on trends, lower on exact
timing details
vfr for most of the region with light rain over ri
and southeast ma continuing to move east and should exit cape
cod and the islands by 09z-12z. MVFR conditions will impact the
south coast of ma ri including CAPE cod and the islands. Other
area of concern is western ma ct when skies clear patchy dense
ground fog is possible including bdl baf. Light winds.

After 12z... High confidence.

MVFR CIGS may linger over CAPE cod and islands into the
afternoon. Otherwise any patchy ifr MVFR dense fog western ma ct
lifts toVFR quickly.VFR elsewhere as well. Light NE winds, bit
higher CAPE cod and islands.

Tonight... Moderate confidence, some uncertainty regarding areal
coverage of MVFR late.

Vfr to start and dry. However MVFR CIGS may come onshore late
and overspread much of the region.

Tuesday... High confidence on trends, lower on exact
timing details
vfr MVFR then trending ifr MVFR in areas of low clouds and
drizzle in the afternoon and especially toward evening.

Kbos terminal...

high confidence in TAF trends.

Kbdl terminal...

high confidence in TAF trends.

Outlook Tuesday night through Friday ... Moderate confidence.

Tuesday night: mainly MVFR, with areas ifr possible. Shra
likely.

Wednesday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.

Wednesday night:VFR. Breezy.

Thursday through Thursday night:VFR.

Friday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight
chance shra.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Tuesday ...

2 pm update...

nestor remnants sweep N E near and SE of the 40n 70w benchmark
overnight, stalling and wobbling Monday into Monday night. With
high pressure settled N across new england into the SE canadian
maritimes, the neighboring airmasses yield a stout E NE gradient
wind into S new england. Generally 10 to 15 kts with gusts up as
high as 30 kts Monday morning. Seas potentially building 6 to 8
feet over the S SE waters. Small craft headlines posted for those
outer waters up against the s-coast, CAPE cod and islands.

Rain overnight tonight, lower visibility with rain especially on
the s-waters. Partial clearing Monday, but lower conditions return
Monday night along with forecast drizzle.

Outlook Tuesday night through Friday ... Moderate confidence.

Tuesday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of
rain, chance of drizzle.

Tuesday night: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain
showers likely.

Wednesday: low risk for small craft advisory winds with gusts
up to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Wednesday night through Thursday: winds less than 25 kt. Seas
up to 5 ft.

Thursday night: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas
approaching 5 ft.

Friday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Slight chance of rain showers.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ma... None.

Ri... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 am this morning to 8 pm edt this
evening for anz232>234.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz235-237.

Small craft advisory from 2 pm this afternoon to 6 am edt
Tuesday for anz250.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz254-255.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz256.

Synopsis... Kjc sipprell
near term... Nocera
short term... Sipprell
long term... Kjc
aviation... Kjc nocera
marine... Kjc sipprell


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 16 mi56 min 53°F 58°F1016.6 hPa
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 16 mi50 min NE 11 G 12 54°F 1016.2 hPa
FRXM3 17 mi56 min 53°F 50°F
PVDR1 24 mi50 min NNE 6 G 8.9 54°F 1017 hPa49°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 24 mi50 min NNE 9.9 G 13 53°F 58°F1016.3 hPa
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 25 mi50 min ENE 8 G 9.9 54°F 58°F1016.8 hPa
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 26 mi50 min NE 8 G 11 53°F 1016.7 hPa
PRUR1 26 mi50 min 54°F 51°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 26 mi83 min NE 7 53°F 1016 hPa51°F
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 26 mi56 min 54°F 59°F1015.8 hPa
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 28 mi83 min NNW 1 54°F 1016 hPa53°F
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 31 mi68 min ENE 15 G 17 55°F 1015.8 hPa (-1.2)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 31 mi50 min NNE 6 G 8
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 31 mi56 min NNE 13 G 15 54°F 58°F1016.2 hPa
44090 32 mi38 min 56°F1 ft
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 36 mi56 min 55°F 55°F1016.3 hPa
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 38 mi78 min ENE 5.8 G 7.8 56°F 57°F1 ft1016.8 hPa (+0.0)49°F
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 42 mi68 min 57°F
44018 - SE Cape Cod 30NM East of Nantucket, MA 49 mi78 min ENE 7.8 G 9.7 54°F 1 ft1017.1 hPa (-0.5)48°F

Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last
24hr
NE2
N4
NE4
N2
NE3
NE6
NE6
NE1
SW4
W5
W4
SW10
SW6
SW6
W1
SE6
SE6
E6
N5
NE5
E4
G7
NE7
NE8
NE10
1 day
ago
W8
W6
NW7
G11
NW2
W10
W8
G11
NW6
G9
NW9
NW8
G12
W9
W10
G13
SW8
SW6
SW7
SW6
S5
S1
SW2
S4
SW3
SW2
E1
NE2
NE1
2 days
ago
W16
W14
W13
G16
W15
W12
W12
G16
NW16
G20
W13
G16
NW12
G17
NW17
G22
NW15
G21
NW16
NW12
G15
NW14
NW10
G13
NW10
G13
NW8
W6
G9
NW9
G12
NW6
NW8

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA6 mi76 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F46°F80%1016.6 hPa
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA11 mi75 minNE 610.00 miLight Rain52°F48°F89%1015.9 hPa
Plymouth, Plymouth Municipal Airport, MA12 mi76 minNE 610.00 miLight Rain53°F48°F86%1016.6 hPa
Marshfield Airport, MA22 mi73 minENE 510.00 miOvercast55°F50°F82%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTAN

Wind History from TAN (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS33S5SE6S3CalmSE3CalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmW3W4Calm3W6W75W63N5W5W63CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW7W65W4W6W8W10NW9
G19
W7NW9
G16
NW5
G17
W76
G14
W9NW4W4W3CalmNW3W3CalmCalmW3W4

Tide / Current Tables for Taunton, Taunton River, Massachusetts
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Taunton
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:57 AM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:41 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Mon -- 09:15 AM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:26 PM EDT     2.84 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:14 PM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.31.72.12.32.21.91.40.90.50.30.50.91.41.92.42.82.82.521.40.90.50.40.5

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Cod Canal, Massachusetts Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Cape Cod Canal
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:38 AM EDT     -0.02 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:33 AM EDT     -3.81 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:41 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Mon -- 09:25 AM EDT     0.17 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:19 PM EDT     3.55 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:37 PM EDT     -0.15 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 06:55 PM EDT     -4.06 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 09:54 PM EDT     0.18 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.93.732-1.5-3-3.7-3.7-3.1-1.723.13.53.42.91.8-1.5-2.9-3.8-4.1-3.7-2.70.82.8

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (3,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.