The Pinehills, MA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for The Pinehills, MA

June 22, 2024 2:42 AM EDT (06:42 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:06 AM   Sunset 8:24 PM
Moonrise 9:36 PM   Moonset 5:07 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ231 Cape Cod Bay- 103 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Rest of tonight - S winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: N 1 foot at 3 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds.

Sat - S winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 1 foot at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 3 seconds. Patchy fog. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Some tstms may produce gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.

Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 1 foot at 2 seconds and ne 1 foot at 3 seconds. Patchy fog. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Some tstms may produce gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall in the evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 3 seconds and S 2 ft at 9 seconds. A chance of showers. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Sun night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and S 2 ft at 8 seconds. Showers likely.

Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 3 seconds and S 2 ft at 9 seconds. Showers likely.

Mon night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.

Tue through Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 103 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - A weak backdoor front will dissipate across southern new england overnight. High pressure to the south of new england will result in southwest winds across the waters over the weekend. A cold front moves across new england Monday. High pressure builds back in on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near The Pinehills, MA
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 220621 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 221 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

SYNOPSIS
Warm and muggy this weekend with more rounds of diurnal showers and thunderstorms. Some of those may again become severe and result in a localized flash flood threat. A cold front brings a short window of reprieve early next week, though increasing heat and shower chances by midweek.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/

222 AM Update...

Quiet overnight in progress with dry weather, but warm and humid along with patchy fog, with dew pts mainly between 65-70.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/

Key Points...

* Showers & T-Storms are expected to develop again Sat PM * Severe Weather & Localized Flash Flood Risk Again * Heat Advisories Continued for CT/SW MA

Details...

Saturday and Saturday night...

The backdoor front that washes out tonight...seems to want to setup across northeast MA on Saturday
Therefore
a quite warm and humid day is on tap with highs 85 to 90 in most locations with the hottest readings around 90 in the Lower CT River Valley. Given Heat Indices are expected to be in the mid to upper 90s...we have continued the Heat Advisory across southwest MA/northern CT through the weekend.
It will be cooler though in northeast MA especially by Cape Ann where highs will likely remain below 80.

The main concern Saturday afternoon and early evening will be for another round of showers & t-storms. A shortwave working across the region in west northwest flow will combined with diurnal heating and a remnant boundary. We expect Capes on the order of 1500 to 2500 J/KG to develop and not much of a mid-level Cap. This should trigger another round of showers & t-storms. While mid level lapse rates are poor...effective shear will be stronger than the past few days on the order of 30-40 knots. This should be enough for the potential of scattered severe thunderstorms...which is supported by much of the Machine Learning guidance as well as the HRRR Updraft Helicity Swaths.

Also...Pwats remain on the order of 2+ inches
Therefore
these storms will be capable of producing torrential rainfall and localized flash flooding. The CSU Machine Learning probs as well as the HRRR indicated low probs of 3"+ of rain inside 3 hours highlight this concern. It is tough to pinpoint the area of greatest risk given the mesoscale nature of these potential events. That being said...the guidance is tending to indicate a higher risk in areas from northern CT into western/central northeast MA closer to the low level convergent zone.

A few storms may linger a bit longer Sat night...but will have to wait and see how things unfold
Otherwise
more low clouds and fog are expected to develop Sat night with the cooling boundary layer.
Overnight lows should drop into the 60s to near 70.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Highlights:

* Hot, humid, and potential for strong to severe storms Sunday afternoon.

* Cold front moves across the region Monday, bringing brief relief from hot and humid conditions. But signal for a return of the summer heat and humidity by mid next week.

Sunday: Hot and humid conditions fuel storms during the afternoon, which could become locally strong to severe. A broad mid-level trough moves across the northeast with 850mb shortwave energy moving across the region with an associated warm front. WAA at 850mb continues to indicate temperatures 20C to 22C, thus expecting highs in the middle and upper 80s, 90F for Connecticut River Valley. With dew points expected to be in the low 70s the 'Heat Index' to reach the middle and upper 90s at northern Connecticut and the southern Pioneer Valley of Massachusetts. In collaboration with neighboring WFOs we've extended the 'Heat Advisory' through Sunday, for those areas mentioned. All this fuels the potential for convection during the afternoon as there's sufficient CAPE, modest effective shear between 30 and 40 knots, and helicity greater than 150 m2/s2. While the greatest threat appears to be north, a few stronger to severe thunderstorms remain possible, even a low risk of a brief tornado.
CSU machine learning show a chunk of southern New England between 15% and 30% probabilities for wind, and widespread 2% prob for a tornado across most of New England, with a 5% to 10% across southern Vermont to southern New Hampshire and along the northern Massachusetts border. Don't get hung up on the placement, more of less gives us greater confidence in severe weather occurring. Lastly, in addition to any severe weather there is the threat for heavy rainfall as well given PWATs are in the ballpark of two inches.

Next Week: Mid-level trough moves east with a cold front on Monday with another round of showers and storms, could be lingering diurnal showers on Tuesday with a mid-level low over the Gulf of Maine, though guidance is still split. Maintained 'slight chance' POPs across northern MA. Beyond, midweek it looks unsettled, forecast confidence is low due to model uncertainty with the timing of any showers and/or storms. Have greater confidence with temperatures, a warmer than normal week is likely as ensemble situational awareness tables indicate surface temperatures are between the 90th and 99th percentile. Highs returning to the middle and upper 80s with near 90F in northern Connecticut and southwest Massachusetts. And nightly lows in the 60s.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

06z TAF Update...

Thru 12z...Moderate to Low Confidence.

High confidence in mainly dry runways through 12z but some uncertainty on areal coverage of IFR/LIFR conditions in low clouds and fog.

After 12z...moderate to low confidence.

IFR-LIFR conditions should improve to VFR across the interior and mainly MVFR near and along the coast by early afternoon.
Otherwise...the main concern will revolve around another round of showers & t-storms impacting the region this afternoon and early evening. A few of these will be capable of producing locally strong wind gusts and torrential rainfall.

The shower & t-storm activity should dissipate again not too long after sunset Saturday night. Low end MVFR-IFR conditions should re-develop with the cooling boundary layer with some LIFR thresholds being met as well.

Saturday night...high confidence on trends but lower on exact timing and specifics.

High probability for widespread IFR/LIFR, just some uncertainty how quickly this spreads westward from eastern MA into RI/CT and western-central MA. Any leftover scattered showers and thunderstorms at 00z will quickly dissipate shortly thereafter.

Sunday...high confidence on trends, lower on exact timing and details.

Widespread IFR/LIFR in low clouds and fog in the morning. Then gradually improving to VFR in the afternoon, except MVFR/IFR along the south coast. Thunderstorms, possibly strong to severe is possible late in the day across CT into western-central MA.

KBOS TAF... Moderate to low Confidence in TAF.

Mainly IFR/MVFR today. Low chance for a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon between 18z and 00z, but confidence is low at this time. Bulk of thunderstorm activity will be across western-central MA into CT and RI.

KBDL TAF...Moderate Confidence in TAF.

MVFR/IFR this morning improving to MVFR/VFR this afternoon.
Chance for thunderstorms again this afternoon anytime between 18z-00z, but higher confidence between 20z-22z.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy.
SHRA likely, slight chance TSRA.

Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Tuesday through Tuesday Night: VFR.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight through Saturday night...High Confidence.

The pressure gradient remains relatively weak as the backdoor cold front of today...gradually washes out and lifts northeastward through Sat night. Long continues southwest fetch may eventually build seas to 4-5 feet toward daybreak Sun across our southern most outer-waters...but otherwise winds/seas will remain below small craft advisory thresholds
Otherwise
the main concern will be areas of overnight and early morning fog
In addition
some afternoon and evening t-storms may impact some of our mainly nearshore waters at times.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sunday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Sunday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain showers likely, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ002>004.
MA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Sunday for MAZ010-011.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
44090 13 mi43 min 67°F1 ft
NBGM3 27 mi55 minENE 4.1G5.1 67°F 30.12
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 28 mi55 min 68°F 69°F30.10
44018 - SE Cape Cod 30NM East of Nantucket, MA 29 mi63 min 64°F1 ft
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 30 mi33 minNW 5.8G5.8 64°F 65°F30.1263°F
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 33 mi33 minESE 3.9G5.8 68°F 71°F30.0967°F
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 35 mi55 min 69°F 72°F30.12
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 36 mi55 minNNE 4.1G5.1 69°F 30.11
CHTM3 36 mi55 min 79°F 30.09
FRXM3 36 mi55 min 69°F 68°F
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 40 mi55 min 67°F 30.11
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 42 mi99 minN 3.9G5.8 64°F 62°F1 ft30.10
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 44 mi43 min0G0 67°F 30.11
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 44 mi55 minN 2.9G4.1 68°F 78°F30.11
44085 45 mi43 min 65°F 66°F2 ft
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 45 mi55 minNNE 2.9G4.1 68°F 71°F30.11
PVDR1 45 mi55 minNE 1.9G2.9 69°F 30.1268°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 46 mi58 min0 69°F 30.1269°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 46 mi55 min0G0 69°F 30.13


Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: PYM
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Tide / Current for Gurnet Point, Massachusetts
   
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Gurnet Point
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Fri -- 04:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 05:36 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:45 AM EDT     8.45 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:40 PM EDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:40 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 11:47 PM EDT     10.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gurnet Point, Massachusetts, Tide feet
12
am
9.4
1
am
8
2
am
6.1
3
am
4
4
am
1.9
5
am
0.5
6
am
0.3
7
am
1.3
8
am
3
9
am
4.9
10
am
6.8
11
am
8.1
12
pm
8.4
1
pm
7.7
2
pm
6.4
3
pm
4.7
4
pm
2.9
5
pm
1.6
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
2.4
8
pm
4.3
9
pm
6.3
10
pm
8.3
11
pm
9.7


Tide / Current for Cape Cod Canal, Massachusetts Current
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Cape Cod Canal
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Fri -- 12:24 AM EDT     -4.34 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:33 AM EDT     0.19 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:39 AM EDT     4.13 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 10:07 AM EDT     -0.04 knots Slack
Fri -- 12:52 PM EDT     -4.10 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:52 PM EDT     0.18 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT     3.90 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:10 PM EDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 10:03 PM EDT     -0.07 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cape Cod Canal, Massachusetts Current, knots
12
am
-4.3
1
am
-4.2
2
am
-3.6
3
am
-2.2
4
am
2
5
am
3.4
6
am
4
7
am
4.1
8
am
3.8
9
am
3
10
am
1.1
11
am
-2.8
12
pm
-3.8
1
pm
-4.1
2
pm
-3.7
3
pm
-2.6
4
pm
1
5
pm
2.9
6
pm
3.7
7
pm
3.9
8
pm
3.6
9
pm
2.8
10
pm
0.7
11
pm
-2.9


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Boston, MA,




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