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Marine Weather and Tides
Smith River, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:40PM Tuesday March 31, 2020 10:05 PM PDT (05:05 UTC) Moonrise 10:23AMMoonset 1:03AM Illumination 57% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ330 1126 Pm Pdt Fri Aug 9 2013
.thunderstorms over the waters... Thunderstorms over the waters have weakened but isolated storms will continue overnight. Mariners can expect gusty and erratic winds with the storms along with frequent lightning. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible...keep away from ungrounded metal objects. Lat...lon 4397 12411 4396 12411 4400 12413 4284 12455 4242 12440 4225 12441 4205 12428 4184 12422 4181 12580 4198 12579 4220 12589 4370 12576 4386 12565 4399 12562 4403 12414
PZZ300 831 Pm Pdt Tue Mar 31 2020
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Northwest swell is now subsiding, but steep seas will persist through tonight. A weak front will move onshore Wednesday, then high pressure will build Thursday and weaken Friday. Seas will continue to subside through Friday night, but winds may be gusty in the afternoons and evening Wednesday and Thursday, especially south of cape blanco. The next front will move onshore Friday night into Saturday, and it will be followed by several weak systems through the weekend. Winds and seas will increase during this time, but will likely remain below small craft advisory criteria.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Smith River CDP, CA
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location: 41.93, -124.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 010327 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 827 PM PDT Tue Mar 31 2020

DISCUSSION. The latest radar image shows most returns in northern Jackson and eastern Douglas County and showers are moving from west to east in a strong moist westerly flow. The current HRRR high res short range guidance shows showers decreasing in coverage tonight with the best chance staying north of the Umpqua Divide and northern Cascades. Made some adjustments to the forecast to account for this and also reduce QPF for the overnight period.

Shower activity should be at a relative min Wednesday morning, then increasing Wednesday afternoon as another shortwave rounding the base of an upper low moves into the area in combination with max heating making the atmosphere more unstable. Showers will diminish and end Wednesday night and if there's enough clearing, temperatures could drop near or below freezing near and at the coast and Umpqua Basin. If this remains the case, then a frost advisory and/or freeze warning may need to be issued. Stay tuned for that.

AVIATION. For the 01/00Z TAF Cycle . From the Cascades west . Areas of MVFR cigs in low clouds and showers with higher terrain obscured will persist through Wednesday evening. East of the Cascades . VFR conditions will prevail through Wednesday evening with isolated showers and some obscuration of higher terrain. Winds will be gusty, especially in the afternoons and evenings.

MARINE. Updated 800 PM PDT Tuesday 31 March 2020 . Northwest swell is now subsiding, but steep seas will persist through tonight. A weak front will move onshore Wednesday, then high pressure will build Thursday and weaken Friday. Seas will continue to subside through Friday night, but winds may be gusty in the afternoons and evening Wednesday and Thursday, especially south of Cape Blanco. The next front will move onshore Friday night into Saturday, and it will be followed by several weak systems through the weekend. Winds and seas will increase during this time, but will likely remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria.

PREV DISCUSSION. /Issued 224 PM PDT Tue Mar 31 2020/

DISCUSSION . The forecast area will remain under northwest flow aloft for the next week. The trough currently producing showers today will slowly pass over the region tonight into tomorrow, with the trough axis not passing overhead until tomorrow afternoon. Until then, showers will be ongoing across the forecast area, especially over higher terrain and along north-to-south running mountains. Snow levels around 3000 feet this afternoon will drop to around 1500 feet tonight, meaning some light snow flurries are possible in the valleys, but again, most activity will remain relegated to the mountains, so no significant accumulations or major impacts are expected.

As the trough axis passes overhead tomorrow afternoon, there is a chance for some isolated thunder as instability develops between the sun-warmed lower levels and the much colder air aloft, but we suspect most, if not all, precipitation will remain as run-of- the- mill spring showers, with some graupel or even small hail possible in the stronger cells. Overall, precipitation should taper off and diminish by evening, with only very spotty showers expected tomorrow night.

Thursday into Friday we'll see an overall break in the precipitation except for spits and sprinkles mainly in the coastal counties inland into Douglas County as upper level ridging builds in behind the departing trough. Mornings are likely to be chilly for this time of the year- probably around 5-10 degrees below the 1981-2010 averages. Thus, we could see some frost near the coast and freezing temperatures for many inland locations where there are enough breaks in the cloud cover.

Up until Friday night, the models are in superb agreement, and confidence is pretty high. However, from that point on, there is a wide divergence of solution, likely resulting from the uncertainties inherent with a large cut-off low over the north central Pacific. While the general pattern of wet and active weather is clear across ensembles, the question of timing and track of the expected systems remains uncertain. For now, will lean on a blend of solutions, with bring a smaller-scale, but wet, system through the area Friday night into Saturday, followed by a larger system digging into the region Saturday night and Sunday. While not particularly exciting in terms of weather, these storms will bring us a much needed bump in precipitation, with showers likely continuing into early next week. After a brief period of ridging Monday night and Tuesday, another system may arrive Tuesday night or Wednesday, but confidence is much too low to hone in on any details beyond this weekend until model spread improves. -BPN

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . None.

CA . None.

Pacific Coastal Waters . Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Wednesday for PZZ350-356-370-376.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46027 - ST GEORGES - 8NM West Northwest of Crescent City, CA 10 mi25 min NNW 12 G 16 49°F 51°F1022.9 hPa38°F
CECC1 - 9419750 - Crescent City, CA 13 mi47 min NE 1.9 G 2.9 45°F 51°F1022.4 hPa
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 58 mi47 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 44°F 51°F1023.9 hPa

Wind History for Crescent City, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Crescent City, Jack McNamara Field Airport, CA10 mi69 minNNW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy46°F39°F77%1022.5 hPa
Brookings, Brookings Airport, OR11 mi69 minNNE 310.00 miFair43°F39°F86%1022.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCEC

Wind History from CEC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS13S13S15S19S14S16S15S15S19SW11SW8NW7CalmN3NW6
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2 days agoS7SE6SE4S5S7S7S6S3CalmSE7S9S12S11S10S12S15S13S13SW11SW8S8S10S12S14

Tide / Current Tables for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
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Brookings
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:01 AM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:21 AM PDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 05:15 AM PDT     5.95 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:58 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:17 PM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:58 PM PDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:43 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:07 PM PDT     4.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.644.55.15.75.95.85.34.53.42.31.30.70.50.71.32.23.13.94.54.74.64.33.9

Tide / Current Tables for Crescent City, California
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Crescent City
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:59 AM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:21 AM PDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 05:14 AM PDT     5.95 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:58 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:18 PM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:54 PM PDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:43 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:06 PM PDT     4.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.644.55.25.75.95.85.34.43.42.21.30.60.50.71.42.23.244.54.74.64.23.9

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.