Wednesday, February24, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kingston, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 5:41PM Wednesday February 24, 2021 8:54 PM EST (01:54 UTC) Moonrise 3:37PMMoonset 6:17AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 727 Pm Est Wed Feb 24 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W late. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers late this evening. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the morning. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the evening.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Sun night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ300 727 Pm Est Wed Feb 24 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front moves across the waters tonight. High pressure then returns, building in from the west Thursday through early Friday. Low pressure and its associated frontal system impacts the waters Friday night into Saturday, with another frontal system moving through the waters Sunday into Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kingston, NY
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location: 41.93, -73.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 242352 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 652 PM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will track into southern Quebec tonight. An associated cold front passes through tonight, bringing some rain and snow showers and gusty winds. Chilly temperatures return for Thursday into Friday, with some snow showers or flurries possible, mainly across the southwest Adirondacks and eastern Catskills.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/. As of 645 PM EST . First batch of showers just about exiting into central New England, however additional showers are developing upstream just ahead of and along an occluded front approaching from the west. South-southwest winds have been sporadically gusty (25-35 mph) ahead of the front, although as winds shift the west after the front passes through later this evening, winds are still expected to steadily increase with gusts of 35-45 mph developing. Adjusted pops to reflect current radar trends, with scattered to numerous showers moving into southern NY and NE PA. These showers will progress northeastward into our region generally between 9 PM and 12 AM.

The main cold front will track through our region tonight along with the associated band of showers, with a few snow showers in the southern Adirondacks. The best coverage of showers will be in the western Mohawk Valley and southern Adirondacks, then the coverage should become more scattered as the west southwest flow and downsloping breaks up the showers to some degree. There could be better coverage once the showers and cold front reach the southern Green Mountains due to some upslope very late tonight.

Winds will shift to the northwest and become very gusty as low level cold advection and lapse rates trending toward dry adiabatic through at least 925 hPa suggests strong winds mix down to the surface after the cold frontal passage. Winds could gust up to 45 mph for a few hours tonight, then gusts around 35 mph by daybreak. There is a very small probability that a brief wind advisory could be needed later this evening in some areas if observations support it but wind gusts should be mainly 45 mph or less. Lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s with some lower to mid 20s higher terrain.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/. Some lake effect snow bands could extend into the western Mohawk Valley, Schoharie Valley and eastern Catskills as low level mean flow becomes more northwest. Some upslope scattered snow showers are possible into the southern Green Mountains. Outside of the snow shower activity, some intervals of clouds sun with gusty winds, gusts up to 35 mph into the afternoon, then winds diminish later in the afternoon. Highs Thursday in the upper 30s to lower 40s with mid 20s to lower 30s higher terrain.

Winds diminish Thursday night with one last trailing weak upper disturbance brings a few clouds and a flurry or two to the southern Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley and southern VT. Some breaks in the clouds in the Hudson Valley, southern Berkshires and NW CT could help temperatures fall toward colder guidance, in the teens to around 20.

Light winds and more widespread sunshine Friday with low level ridging centered over our region. Light south to southwest winds begin Friday afternoon along with weak warm advection. Highs Friday in the upper 30s to lower 40s with around 30 to mid 30s higher terrain.

Clouds increase Friday night with strengthening warm advection ahead of the next upper disturbance. Increasing isentropic lift and boundary layer jet energy could support the leading edge of some isolated showers into western and southern areas by daybreak Saturday. Strong west southwest boundary layer jet energy and continued warm advection and isentropic lift through the day Saturday with showers increasing in coverage through the day. Highs Saturday in the 40s with some upper 30s higher terrain. Temperatures could be warmer if the showers are more delayed and scattered and if there are breaks in the clouds due to the strong west southwest boundary layer flow.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The period starts out Saturday night with a weak system quickly exiting into New England in the evening. Just a slight chance for a lingering rain/snow shower, but most of the night will be dry as a small area of high pressure builds in from the south/west.

Fast/zonal SW flow aloft regime remains in place Sunday, so the next system will quickly be approaching late in the day. With split flow forecast, it appears only light QPF will occur in our region, as the significant southern stream moisture is expected to remain to our south, while a northern stream upper level trough approaches. With a mild air mass in place, a few rain showers will be possible with a mix of rain/snow showers in the mountains. With forcing disjointed, will only mention low chance pops at this time into Sunday night.

Monday into Monday night looks to be a changeable period, as an upper level trough builds in from the upper Great Lakes and SE Canada. The main question is the magnitude of the trough and associated cold air mass. The GFS continues to be the most bullish in terms of anomalously cold and blustery Arctic air mass settling in. However, the ECMWF and CMC have a more modified cold surge with temps only slightly below normal. Will continue to go with blended guidance at this time since it's still 5-6 days out. In term of precip, a few snow showers may accompany the main cold front and upper level short wave, however the eventual strength of the trough will ultimately determine if snow showers or heavier squalls occur.

Cold and dry conditions in store Tuesday through Tuesday night, but again it is uncertain how cold it will get. There is a high probability of below normal temperatures during this time though. Moderating temperatures may occur by Wednesday, as the low level flow becomes more SW. Some sources of guidance continue to indicate a possible wave of low pressure moving northward from the mid Atlantic region. There is still large uncertainty with this system, but enough confidence to at least mention low chance pops south of Albany.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Conditions are VFR early this evening, with mainly mid/high level clouds in place. Cigs will lower by later this evening, as scattered showers move in from the west associated with a cold front. While VFR conditions are expected to prevail, some brief periods of MVFR will be possible especially associated with any showers. So have mentioned TEMPO at KALB/KGFL/KPSF to account for this potential. Showers should be more sparse near KPOU, so VCSH mentioned there.

With strong southwest winds aloft around 40-45 kt at 2000 ft AGL, will need to mention low level wind shear through the evening at KGFL/KPSF/KPOU where surface winds are light enough for LLWS. Surface winds are stronger at KALB, so no mention there. The LLWS will generally diminish after the front moves through, but there still be enough of a wind speed difference between the surface and 2000 ft AGL to keep mention at KGFL through the night.

Surface winds will be south-southwest around 8-15 kt this evening, with some gusts of 25-30 kt at KALB/KPSF. Winds will shift to the west-northwest behind after the cold front moves through with speeds increasing to 12-22 kt with gusts around 25-35 kt. The windy conditions will persist through much of Thursday.

Outlook .

Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: High Operational Impact Likely SHRA. SHSN. Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. SHSN. Monday: Moderate Operational Impact Breezy. Chance of SHRA. SHSN.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic issues are foreseen through early next week.

Some melting and sublimation of the snowpack in the valleys is expected during the day over the next week. In addition, some ripening/warming of the snowpack is also likely, especially for elevations below 1500 feet. Extended river forecast models show minor up and down changes in river flows due to the diurnal freeze/thaw cycle. River Ice is not expected to break up.

Mainly light precipitation is expected through Friday, generally in the form of rain/snow showers for valleys and snow showers across higher terrain areas. Additional light rain or snow is possible Saturday.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . NAS NEAR TERM . NAS/JPV SHORT TERM . NAS LONG TERM . JPV AVIATION . JPV HYDROLOGY . NAS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TKPN6 6 mi55 min S 5.1 G 6 43°F 35°F1007 hPa (-0.9)28°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 7 mi85 min ENE 1 45°F 1006 hPa29°F
NPXN6 7 mi85 min S 6 40°F 1009 hPa29°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 67 mi55 min SW 9.9 G 17 43°F 38°F1008.9 hPa (-1.9)

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY21 mi62 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F28°F50%1007 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW4SW5SW8SW7CalmSW7S4SW6CalmS3SE6S7S4SW6S5SW9S6SW6SW7SW7SW8S5SW8SW7
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4S3S8S5SE5S86S7S5SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:16 AM EST     0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:17 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:16 AM EST     3.70 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:40 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:06 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:55 PM EST     3.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.82.41.710.60.30.51.22.233.53.73.63.22.41.60.90.400.31.122.63.1

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:17 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:46 AM EST     0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:46 AM EST     3.93 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:36 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:40 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:36 PM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.12.82.11.40.80.40.30.81.82.83.53.83.93.632.11.30.70.20.10.71.62.53.1

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