Tuesday, August11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kingston, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 8:03PM Tuesday August 11, 2020 2:25 PM EDT (18:25 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:41PM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 153 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Today..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers and tstms late.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Wed night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 153 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A broad area of high pressure will continue to drift east over the atlantic today. A cold front will approach tonight before stalling over the waters through the end of the week. High pressure builds in for the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kingston, NY
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location: 41.93, -73.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 111721 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 121 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. Oppressive heat and humidity will continue through today across most of the area, then should be limited to the southern part of the area on Wednesday. Mainly Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through tonight, as a cold front gradually moves eastward across the region. A few showers may linger into Wednesday mainly south of Albany. Temperatures will be slightly cooler towards the end of the work week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Heat Advisory in effect until 8 PM today for most of the area below 1000 feet in elevation .

As of 120 PM EDT, it is a hot and humid day across the region with temperatures right now in the 80s to near 90. Most locations will be able to tackle on a few more degrees this afternoon under a mostly sunny sky before reaching the high for the day. Satellite imagery shows cumulus clouds starting to develop across the region as convective temps are being reached.

The latest SPC Mesoanalysis shows surface CAPE values are reaching 1500-2500 J/kg across portions of eastern New York and western New England. Precipitation, based on CAMS, suggest any afternoon activity to be isolated with the most favored activity focused across the Upper Hudson Valley as well as the eastern Catskills and Taconics (in line with the higher CAPE values). Hi-res guidance also continues to show a linear line of showers and thunderstorms progressing eastward across the CWA later this afternoon through tonight, starting in the Mohawk Valley and Adirondacks around 6 PM. Shear will be weak but DCAPE will be high. Therefore, locally damaging winds will be the primary threat with any of the strongest convection.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/. Surface cold front will continue to gradually move southeastward across the region this evening through tonight, providing a continued threat for showers and thunderstorms through much of the night. There could still be some stronger storms into the evening hours depending on how unstable the low- levels will be after dark. A few strong wind gusts cannot be ruled out until after midnight when forecast soundings indicate the boundary layer stabilizing. Will mention chance of thunder well into the night, with elevated instability still present. Best chances for storms will shift southeastward through the night, and limited to far southern areas by daybreak Wednesday. It will be another warm/muggy night with lows in the 60s to lower 70s.

On Wednesday, the cold front should still be moving across the southern part of the area during the morning and may stall just south of the region during the afternoon. Will still need to mention chance pops for showers and some thunderstorms across mainly the southern half of the area with the best chance for any thunder south of Albany. Will monitor trends in the guidance, as the forecast may become more optimistic with time if the front stalls slightly farther south (as some guidance is showing). Temperatures will also be very warm again near the front (upper 80s to around 90), with dewpoints remaining near 70 across parts of the mid Hudson Valley into Litchfield CT. An additional Heat Advisory may be needed for southern portions of the mid Hudson Valley including Kingston and Poughkeepsie as heat index values approach 95.

Drier conditions expected Wednesday night with a light northwest flow developing. It will be cooler than recent nights across much of the area except for the mid Hudson Valley into Litchfield CT, which will be positioned close to the stalled front. Will also need to mention slight/low chance pops in this area, with dry conditions farther north across the rest (most) of the region.

Thursday will be noticeably less humid across much of the region, as a light northerly flow persists with high pressure drifting eastward through Quebec. Again, it will be more humid across the far southern part of the area with continued slight/low chance pops near the stalled front positioned just to the south of the region. Temperatures will continue to be above normal, with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. The extended forecast period will continue to feature a trend to drier and less humid weather, as high pressure will be building in from Quebec heading into the weekend. The ridge will slowly weaken late in the weekend into early next week, as a frontal boundary and a low pressure system approach the region.

Thu night into Friday . Better agreement with the latest ECMWF/GFS/Ensembles that a cold front will settle well south of the region closer to the Mason Dixon line and southern NJ by Friday. The mid and upper level trough axis will be moving across eastern NY and New England on Fri. A broad Canadian anticyclone will be building southward from Hudson Bay and central Quebec. A few isolated showers or an isolated thunderstorm may linger Thu night into Friday across the mid Hudson Valley, southeast Catskills, and NW CT close to the I-84 corridor. Sfc dewpts will be falling into the 50s to lower 60s in the drier air mass. PWATs will be normal to slightly below normal based on the latest 00Z GEFS. Lows will be in the mid 50s to lower 60s over the higher terrain, and lower to mid 60s over most of the region with a few upper 60s near KPOU. Highs on Fri will be still be a little above normal with the strong subsidence in the wake of the upper trough and the ridge building in with highs in the mid to upper 80s in the valleys, and 70s to lower 80s over the higher terrain.

Friday night into Saturday . Fair and dry weather will continue, as we removed the PoPs across the southeast extreme of the forecast area with mid and upper level heights increasing over southeast Canada and upstate NY. The ECMWF keeps cyclonic flow persisting across New England with the mid and upper level ridge more amplified upstream over the Great Lakes Region. The sfc anticyclone will be over eastern Quebec and the Canadian Maritimes. Humidity levels should remain fairly comfortable and a dry and pleasant start to the weekend is expected with lows in the 50s to lower 60s, and highs on Saturday will trend closer to normal readings with 70s over the higher terrain and mainly lower 80s in the valleys with lots of sunshine.

Saturday Night into Sunday . The 2nd half of the weekend should remain mainly dry with high pressure building in from New Brunswick and northern New England. The return onshore east to southeast flow will keep it cool with H850 temps in the +9C to +12C range by Sunday afternoon. A weak warm front may approach from the west late in day coupled with a dampening out mid-level short-wave for an isolated or scattered shower mainly west of the Hudson River Valley late in the day. The NBM guidance showed this, but the ECMWF and GFS are dry. Overall, believe this stretch should be mainly dry with comfortable humidity levels continuing with lows in the 50s to lower 60s and highs in the 70s to lower 80s and some upper 60s over the mtn tops in the southern Adirondacks, eastern Catskills and southern Greens.

Sunday night into Monday . A mid and upper level trough will be approaching from southeastern Canada and the Great Lakes Region. A wave of low pressure and a cold front will be moving towards the forecast area from the Great Lakes Region and the OH Valley. There are some timing issues with this cold front and the mid and upper trough, where the 00Z ECMWF has the better synoptic forcing north and west of Albany by Monday afternoon. The 00Z GFS has the ridge hold strong with just some stratus and a few showers over locations to the south of Albany. Overall, we went with chances of showers from the Capital District north and west on Monday, and slight chances south and east. We also placed some slight chances of thunderstorms in. Temperatures should continue to be seasonable and similar to Sunday.

AVIATION /17Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Areas of scattered cumulus around 5kft have developed in a hot and humid atmosphere early this afternoon. Main challenge will be determining thunderstorm potential and timing. Forecast models suggest TS potential may occur in two periods: 1) isolated to scattered cells possible in GFL/ALB 19-23Z, and 2) a broken weakening line along a front approaching GFL/ALB from the west mainly 01-04Z Wed. The earlier period looks to be more likely at GFL and the later at KALB, so have identified those periods with TEMPOs. The other periods used VCSH wording, but cannot rule out an isolated TS 19-23Z at KALB and 01-04Z at KGFL either. Probabilities too low to include TS mention at KPSF/KPOU, but showers will be possible late tonight associated with the weakening band of convection along the front.

Potential for fog or low stratus to develop behind the front late tonight at KGFL/KPSF. Drier air will be pushing in, but won't be strong until after sunrise on Wednesday. Expect VFR to prevail after sunrise Wednesday with scattered cu and some cirrus in a drier airmass.

Outlook .

Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

FIRE WEATHER. Oppressive heat and humidity will continue through today across most of the area, then should be limited to the southern part of the area on Wednesday. Mainly Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through tonight, as a cold front gradually moves eastward across the region. A few showers may linger into Wednesday mainly south of Albany. Temperatures will be slightly cooler towards the end of the work week.

Relative humidity values will drop to minimum values of around 45 to 50 percent this afternoon, increasing to maximum values of between 90 and 100 percent tonight. RH values will drop to around 45 to 60 percent Wednesday afternoon.

Winds today will be southerly around 5 to 10 mph today, decreasing to around 5 mph tonight. Winds on Wednesday will become westerly around 5 to 10 mph.

HYDROLOGY. No widespread hydrological problems expected in the ALY Hydro Service Area over the next several days.

Forecast rainfall will be due to mainly isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms today through Wednesday, and will vary greatly from location to location. Locally heavy rainfall associated with thunderstorms may result in ponding of water or poor drainage flooding of low lying and urban areas. No river flooding is forecast at this time.

Mainly drier weather is expected to return later in the week, although southern areas could still see some showers lingering.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for CTZ001-013. NY . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ038-040-041- 043-049-050-052-053-059>061-064>066-083-084. MA . None. VT . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for VTZ013-015.

SYNOPSIS . JPV NEAR TERM . Rathbun SHORT TERM . JPV LONG TERM . Wasula AVIATION . Thompson FIRE WEATHER . JPV HYDROLOGY . JPV


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TKPN6 6 mi56 min S 9.9 G 13 85°F 81°F1013.3 hPa73°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 7 mi56 min SW 1.9 89°F 1013 hPa71°F
NPXN6 7 mi56 min S 7 86°F 1015 hPa73°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 67 mi56 min SSW 13 G 17 83°F 79°F1014.4 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 70 mi101 min S 9.7 G 14 85°F 72°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY21 mi33 minSSE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F69°F50%1012.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

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1 day agoSW10SW10SW6SW5SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3Calm3CalmCalm--W7SW4
2 days agoSW5W5W4W6W5S3CalmS4SE3SE3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmSE3S54W3W5SW7W12

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
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Tue -- 01:54 AM EDT     1.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:34 AM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:53 PM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:54 PM EDT     3.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.31.21.422.633.23.332.41.71.210.91.11.82.63.23.53.63.532.4

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:24 AM EDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:04 AM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:23 PM EDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.41.31.31.82.533.33.53.42.92.11.51.1111.52.33.13.63.83.83.52.9

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.