Monday, October14, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rhinecliff, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 6:18PM Monday October 14, 2019 9:01 PM EDT (01:01 UTC) Moonrise 7:05PMMoonset 7:36AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 649 Pm Edt Mon Oct 14 2019
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw around 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 649 Pm Edt Mon Oct 14 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A dry cold frontal passage this evening will be followed by building high pressure through Tuesday. A frontal system will approach on Wednesday, with a rapidly intensifying coastal low tracking just southeast of the area Wednesday night, and into the canadian maritimes Thursday into Thursday night. High pressure builds in for next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rhinecliff CDP, NY
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location: 41.94, -73.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 142307
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
707 pm edt Mon oct 14 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will build in over new york and new england
tonight into Tuesday with seasonable temperatures. A complex
storm system will bring rain into the region Wednesday into
Thursday along with brisk and cool conditions.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
As of 710 pm edt, secondary cold front extends from southern
berkshires and southern taconics into southeast catskills, and
continues moving southeast. Winds shift into the northwest and
increase to 10-15 mph with some gusts up to 25 with and
immediately behind the frontal passage, along with a quick drop
in temps from the mid upper 60s into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Meanwhile, clouds and isolated scattered rain showers continue
across the southwest adirondacks, with some lake enhancement. We
expect these showers sprinkles to persist well into this
evening, before decreasing in areal coverage and contracting
south and west toward and especially after midnight.

Otherwise, the initial cloud cover is expected to mix out
through the evening as deeper subsidence moves in.

The boundary layer thermal gradient will become west east
oriented through the night and boundary layer temperatures are
expected to cool enough over the great lakes that a finger of
clouds could form off the lakes into the southern adirondacks,
maybe even some scattered to broken clouds into the lake george
saratoga region to southern vt between midnight and daybreak.

Winds are expected to trend to calm later tonight but boundary
layer NW winds remain quite steady and there is some question
whether some persistent light NW winds could channel through
the mohawk valley preventing temperatures from falling as much
as they could. The weakening system in canada and the low level
ridging building into our region suggest the pressure gradient
will be quite weak. So siding with lighter winds and
temperatures falling to the lower end of guidance numbers.

So, mostly clear outside of any potential lake effect clouds
tonight with winds trending to near calm or calm by daybreak.

Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through Thursday
Core of coldest air over the region as will the axis of low
level ridging. Winds will be very light all day but the sun
should help with some mixing. Highs Tuesday in the mid 50s to
around 60 but upper 40s to lower 50s higher terrain.

Temperatures could drop quickly Tuesday evening before a light
south wind begins before daybreak and perhaps some high clouds
spreading into the region. Temperatures should fall to the 30s
in most areas and cannot rule out some frost potential in parts
of the hudson valley if it remains clear long enough.

Strong upper energy approaches Wednesday from the great lakes
and oh valley, phasing with some southern stream upper energy
Wednesday night and Thursday. Strengthening progressive closed
low forms and rapidly tracks from eastern new england into and
off southeastern canada. The timing of the leading edge of
deeper cloudiness and rain is a bit uncertain but there is a
general consensus that there will be some Sun and warming of
temperatures at least Wednesday morning. Rain will spread from
southwest to northeast through Wednesday afternoon and winds
will become southeast and gusty. Highs Wednesday in the mid 50s
to lower 60s.

Locally heavy rain develops late Wednesday afternoon and affects
the entire region Wednesday night before shifting north of i-90
and into vt as upper deformation precipitation forms with the
development and tracking of the closed upper low. There may be
some mixing with snow at the highest peaks of the southern
adirondacks and southern green mountains as the cold air spreads
into our region Thursday morning.

Rain lingers in northern areas and into southern vt through
Thursday with just scattered showers in most other areas.

Clouds should linger over much of the region, too. Northwest
winds will likely be gusty as temperatures rise only to the
lower to mid 50s, maybe some upper 50s in southern areas and 40s
northern areas.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
The long term will feature two deep northern stream troughs at
the beginning and end of the period with dry weather in between.

The first northern stream trough will be departing the region
Thursday night with some potential wrap around moisture and
shower activity across the higher terrain. This should come to
an end by daybreak Friday but with continued northerly flow,
temperatures will stay on the cool side with highs only in the
50s for most.

Upper ridging builds into the region Friday afternoon and
becomes centered over new york by Saturday morning. This, along
with surface high pressure, will lead to a dry and seasonable
weekend with temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Friday
night looks to be the coolest of the period under clear skies
and calm winds, with lows in the low to mid 30s.

Model guidance becomes a bit muddled as we head into the new
work week with another potential strengthening northern stream
low developing over the mississippi valley. This system could
potentially bring another widespread rainfall starting as early
as Monday afternoon. Given the differences in the model
guidance, have stuck close to the er superblend, keeping slight
chance to chance pops for the first half of the new work week.

Temperatures during this time frame look fairly mild, in the mid
to upper 60s.

Aviation 00z Tuesday through Saturday
A cold front will pass through kpou between 00z-01z with a wind
shift into the northwest. Otherwise, mainlyVFR conditions are
expected tonight through Tuesday, although will have to watch
for possible patchy fog development between roughly 08z-12z tue
at kgfl and kpsf. Should this develop, intermittent MVFR ifr
conditions could occur during this time.

West to northwest winds at 8-12 kt with some gusts up to 20-25
kt will remain possible through this evening, before decreasing
through the night, mainly less than 5 kt after midnight. On
Tuesday, light variable winds should trend into the west by late
morning at 4-8 kt, then gradually back into the southwest in
the afternoon at similar speeds.

Outlook...

Tuesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday: high operational impact. Breezy definite shra... Ra.

Wednesday night: high operational impact. Definite ra.

Thursday: moderate operational impact. Breezy chance of ra.

Thursday night: low operational impact. Breezy slight chance of shra.

Friday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
High pressure will build in over new york and new england
tonight into Tuesday with seasonable temperatures. A complex
storm system will bring rain into the region Wednesday into
Thursday along with brisk and cool conditions.

Rh values will be 45 to 60 percent Tuesday afternoon. Rainy
conditions are expected Wednesday.

The winds will be northwest at 5 to 15 mph this evening into
tonight with some localized gusts around 25 mph. The winds will
become light to calm on Tuesday, and then increase from the
south to southeast at 10 to 20 mph by Wednesday.

A widespread soaking rainfall is possible Wednesday into
Thursdays.

Hydrology
No hydro problems are expected prior to the mid week, but then a
a widespread soaking rainfall is possible Wednesday afternoon
into Thursday. Some increased flows are likely on the
waterways.

Total rainfall still varies from the guidance, but one to two
inches are possible in some locations with some locally higher
amounts. Within bank rise are possible on the main stem rivers.

A period of dry weather will return Friday into the weekend
which should allow flows to slow and decrease.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Nas
near term... Kl nas
short term... Nas
long term... Jlv
aviation... Kl bgm
fire weather... Nas
hydrology... Nas


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TKPN6 5 mi62 min N 7 G 13 60°F 61°F1015.5 hPa (+3.9)45°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 6 mi92 min Calm 60°F 1014 hPa47°F
NPXN6 8 mi92 min WSW 6 68°F 1013 hPa44°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 66 mi68 min SW 8 G 12 63°F 63°F1013.6 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 71 mi42 min SSW 7.8 G 12 63°F 1 ft58°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY21 mi69 minW 910.00 miFair62°F39°F44%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW9SW10SW7--SW9SW10SW7W4W10W7W9NW5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmN5NE6N7N9N5NE4CalmCalmNW3SE3CalmNE4N3
2 days agoNE7N6N3NE4CalmCalmNE3N4N3NE3N4N5N56CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
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Mon -- 02:21 AM EDT     4.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:51 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:33 PM EDT     4.21 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:19 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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33.7443.42.51.60.80.30.10.61.82.93.74.14.23.832.11.30.60.30.41.3

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
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Mon -- 02:51 AM EDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:21 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:03 PM EDT     4.47 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:49 PM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.73.64.14.343.22.21.30.60.20.31.22.53.64.24.54.33.72.71.710.40.30.8

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.