Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Conneaut, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 8:10PM Sunday August 25, 2019 6:04 PM EDT (22:04 UTC) Moonrise 12:11AMMoonset 3:30PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ148 Expires:201908260230;;199583 Fzus51 Kcle 252004 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 404 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez146>149-260230- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 404 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. A chance of light rain in the evening, then light rain likely with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 74 degrees, off cleveland 75 degrees, and off erie 76 degrees.
LEZ148


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Conneaut, OH
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location: 41.94, -80.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 251947
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
347 pm edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
High pressure over eastern quebec will drift eastward through
the night as low pressure moves toward the upper great lakes.

This low will meander across ontario into mid week with a cold
front crossing the area Tuesday afternoon into the evening.

High pressure move up the ohio river valley Wednesday into
Thursday.

Near term through Monday night
High pressure will continue to move away from the area as low
pressure moves across the southern prairie of canada. As this
low deepens the surface pressure gradient will increase with
southeast winds becoming southerly. This will slowly add low
level moisture to the region on Monday. There may be an area
of light rain that can move into the west Monday afternoon. The
instability is lacking so have only placed a chance of thunder
mention in the forecast for now.

Downsloping flow across the east and the increasing surface
pressure gradient will keep temperatures warmer overnight. Lows
tonight will be in the mid 50s to around 60. Highs Monday
afternoon should be in the mid to upper 70s. However a couple
of the better downsloping locations from cleveland to erie could
touch 80 if the cloud cover does not increase too fast.

Warm advection isentropic lift will increase Monday evening with
light rain spreading eastward through the overnight. Rainfall
amounts look like they will be very light. There will be some
middle level instability with the potential of an
isolated scattered thunderstorm. However this potential is very
uncertain. Increased low level moisture and cloud cover should
allow for a warmer night with lows in the 60s.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night
An upper trough over the central CONUS will continue to deepen over
the region and eject a wave of energy across the forecast area. The
wave will support a surface cold front which will cross the area on
Tuesday into Tuesday night. Have likely pops with the frontal
passage. The area will be worked over quite a bit from overnight
clouds and rain, but the jet dynamics over the region are favorable
for a thunder chance in the forecast. The upper trough propagates
east of the area and northwest flow will briefly set up over the
region. High pressure will build in from the southwest and dry the
area out. Some residual rain may remain in NW pa on Wednesday with
the NW flow, but the trend is dry. Temperatures for the period
remain seasonable.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
The upper flow begins to flatten over the region for the end of the
week, while high pressure wobbles south of the forecast area.

Overall, Thursday and Friday will be dry with no forcing for
convection over the region. A weak impulse attempts to amplify the
flow a bit over the region and will support a weak front at the
surface. This front could generate some scattered showers on
Saturday and will keep a low pop in the forecast. High pressure
appears to return for Sunday will keep the area dry. Temperatures
remain seasonable.

Aviation 18z Sunday through Friday
Vfr conditions will continue into Monday morning. However
ceilings will begin to thicken and lower across NW oh through
the morning as the warm advection increases. Have not placed
any rain in the western TAF sites yet with models likely
moistening the lower levels a bit too fast.

Otherwise east to southeast winds will continue a slow shift to
the southeast and south into Monday afternoon. Strongest winds
will be in the favored downsloping areas across NW pa where
gusts to 25 knots may occur tonight into Monday. Elsewhere winds
will increase to around 12 knots with a few gusts to around 20
possible.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible with showers or scattered
thunderstorms Monday evening through Tuesday night.

Marine
High pressure over the canadian maritimes remains in control over
the eastern great lakes region this afternoon, allowing for light
and variable conditions on the lake. This high will continue to
wobble east of the area as low pressure and an associated cold front
move east towards the great lakes region. Winds will increase out of
the southeast tomorrow ahead of the front. Offshore flow should keep
waves to a minimum in the nearshore waters, and a small craft
advisory probably won't be needed. The cold front will cross the
lake on Tuesday and winds will shift around to the southwest behind
the front. With high pressure building in from the southwest for the
middle of the week, southwest winds will be favored for much of the
week, but should not be all that strong.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mm
near term... Mm
short term... Sefcovic
long term... Sefcovic
aviation... Mm
marine... Sefcovic


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
EREP1 28 mi47 min SE 1 G 4.1
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 42 mi47 min SE 12 G 18 75°F 74°F1020.9 hPa53°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ashtabula - Northeast Ohio Regional Airport, OH15 mi72 minSE 810.00 miA Few Clouds74°F52°F46%1022.1 hPa
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA20 mi74 minS 610.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F48°F36%1021.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHZY

Wind History from HZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE3E5E4E4CalmE3E4SE3SE4SE4SE5SE5SE5SE5S5E9SE8SE7SE10SE8SE8SE8SE7
1 day agoN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE6E7NE4NE4N7E5E7
G15
6NE6NE8
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2 days ago4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm63N63NE96NE7N3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.