Monday, December9, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Timberlake, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:39AMSunset 4:56PM Monday December 9, 2019 11:25 PM EST (04:25 UTC) Moonrise 3:36PMMoonset 4:48AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ166 Expires:201912100930;;118466 Fzus61 Kcle 100250 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 950 Pm Est Mon Dec 9 2019 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis..Low pressure 29.30 inches over georgian bay will track northeast to quebec by morning. A trailing cold front will move east across lake erie tonight with another front to follow on Wednesday. High pressure 30.70 inches will build across the area from the west on Wednesday night through Thursday night, and into new england by Friday. Low pressure will move up the east coast Friday night and Saturday as another low pressure area moves into the western great lakes. Lez061-166>169-100930- lake erie open waters from ripley to buffalo ny- lake erie open waters from avon point to willowick oh- lake erie open waters from willowick to geneva-on-the-lake oh- lake erie open waters from geneva-on-the-lake to conneaut oh- lake erie open waters from conneaut oh to ripley ny- 950 pm est Mon dec 9 2019
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 30 knots. Rain likely late this evening, then a chance of rain after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Tuesday..West winds to 30 knots. A chance of rain and snow in the morning, then a chance of snow and rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 6 to 10 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers in the evening. Waves 3 to 6 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 25 knots increasing to 30 knots. A chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Wednesday night..West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
LEZ166


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Timberlake, OH
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location: 41.94, -81.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 100250 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 950 PM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will track northeast across the Central Great Lakes today and to southern Quebec by late tonight. The associated trailing cold front will move east across the area this evening and tonight with high pressure slowly building into the area Tuesday through Thursday. Low pressure moves east across the Great Lakes region on Saturday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Cold front is knocking on the door of western Ohio at this time. The front is expected to move east across the area overnight and usher in colder air to the region. Most of the showers are now east of the region with a few lingering areas left behind. The rain will transition from west to east from rain to snow. Surface temperatures will fall through the 30s overnight to around freezing in the central portions by sunrise and then fall into the upper 20s during the day Tuesday. Current forecast trends look reasonable.

Previous Discussion .

Low pressure of around 994 mb currently over northern lower Michigan will continue to deepen as it tracks northeast to southern Quebec, where it will be around 988 mb by 06 UTC Tuesday. The associated cold front will move east across the CWA tonight, and will be well east of the area by 12Z Tuesday. Currently, radar observations showing widespread rain east of Findlay to Port Clinton line. This rain will continue to move east this evening and tonight. Temperatures in the 50s right now will drop to near freezing by early Tuesday morning behind the cold front. Scattered rain/snow showers are expected to develop behind the cold front late tonight.

Strong cold advection overnight behind the cold front will bring temperatures down to near freezing, while widespread cloud cover should prevent temperatures from budging too much during the day on Tuesday. System precipitation will transition to lake effect snow will cold air aloft and westerly flow on Tuesday. Precipitation type should switch to all snow by Tuesday evening. Flow will slowly back to southwest, allowing lake effect snow to be completely offshore by 12 UTC Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of around 1 to 2 inches expected mainly in Erie County Pennsylvania.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. A fast changing weather pattern is expected during this period with a warming trend. On Wednesday a re-enforcing surge of cold air will just brush the northern fringe of the forecast area and may produce lake effect snow showers mainly over northwest PA. The surface high pressure ridge will quickly build over the region Wednesday evening and lower the inversion height and greatly diminish the snow showers especially after midnight in the far east snowbelt. High pressure will be near the region Thursday and shift east of the region Thursday night and will provide a dry spell to the region. High temperatures will moderate from the upper 20s Wednesday to the mid 30s on Thursday.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure will move off the northeast coast by Friday as a low pressure system in the southern stream develops over the southeast states. Some moisture will head north into the Ohio Valley but the forecast will be kept dry for now. For Friday night the coastal system will be moving north through the mid Atlantic states with perhaps some moisture extending as far west as northern Ohio. There could be a light mixture of rain and snow with most of the precipitation as liquid. The coastal system will shift way on Saturday as another short wave moves into the area from the west. The Euro and GFS are somewhat different in the timing. The cloudy skies will persist and precipitation will be light and mainly rain as temperatures aloft are too warm to support frozen precipitation. Early Sunday the upper air feature will move away and colder high pressure will gradually build into the region. Temperatures aloft will cool to near -5C at 850 mb so scattered rain showers mainly in the snowbelt will mix with or change to snow in the afternoon. On Monday a weak system will move into the Tennessee and lower Ohio Valleys and an inverted trough will develop south of the region. A mixture of light rain and snow is possible especially south of US- 30.

AVIATION /00Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/. Main area of rain is now pushing east of the area at this time. There are still some scattered areas of light rain developing and moving east across the region. Expecting rain to transition over to snow from west to east overnight into tomorrow. Ceilings will be the main problem and will be mostly IFR and at times MVFR gradually becoming VFR tomorrow. Winds will become gusty at 15 to 25 knots with the passage of the cold front tonight.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible at KERI Tuesday night with scattered lake effect snow showers. Non-VFR returns at times with a cold front Wednesday, lingering into Thursday at KERI. Non-VFR possible Friday night with rain/snow and Saturday with all rain.

MARINE. Low Pressure 29.30 inches over northern lower Michigan will move to Quebec by morning. A trailing cold front will cross the lake tonight and winds will increase as cold advection overspreads the lake. Winds will increase to 20-30 knots and a small craft advisory is on track as winds veer to the west. Higher winds will persist into Wednesday as the winds back more to the southwest but will still require a SCA for points east of Cleveland. Winds will veer to the northwest Wednesday night and gradually diminish by Thursday morning. High pressure will be near the lake on Thursday and then shift to the northeast coast by Friday. Fairly light winds will continue over the lake into the start of the weekend as the coastal storm shifts east of the region on Saturday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for LEZ146>149. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Tuesday for LEZ142>145.

SYNOPSIS . Saunders NEAR TERM . Lombardy/Saunders SHORT TERM . LaPlante LONG TERM . LaPlante AVIATION . Lombardy MARINE . LaPlante


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 25 mi56 min SW 18 G 21 53°F 39°F999.8 hPa53°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 28 mi56 min WSW 9.9 G 20 54°F 42°F1000.2 hPa48°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 38 mi116 min SW 7 G 12 54°F
LORO1 42 mi56 min WSW 29 G 37 52°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH27 mi41 minWSW 910.00 miOvercast54°F51°F94%1000.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGF

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE8SE10SE9
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2 days agoNW6NW5N7NW4NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmW5CalmW6NW6NW5NW6CalmN3CalmSE3SE3S6SE6S9SE8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.