Sunday, July12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Canaan, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:27AMSunset 8:29PM Sunday July 12, 2020 11:51 AM EDT (15:51 UTC) Moonrise 12:23AMMoonset 12:50PM Illumination 53% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1034 Am Edt Sun Jul 12 2020
Today..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers likely with chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Tue..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1034 Am Edt Sun Jul 12 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A weak front lingers offshore through Monday. High pressure builds in for Tuesday and Wednesday, then offshore on Thursday. The next frontal boundary approaches the region on Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Canaan, CT
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location: 42.06, -73.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 121450 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1050 AM EDT Sun Jul 12 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak ridge of high pressure moving across the region will bring generally fair and warm conditions today, although a stray passing shower remains possible. A frontal system and upper level disturbance will bring some showers and thunderstorms for Monday into Tuesday. Fair conditions return for Wednesday, before humidity levels and chances for showers and thunderstorms increase by late next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1030 AM EDT, a few light orographically-driven showers have developed across the Taconics. These light showers may continue on and off throughout the day under northwest flow. However, the remainder of the area should stay dry today, despite the hot and humid conditions. Temperatures, currently in the 70s should reach the upper 80s (low 80s in high terrain) later this afternoon.

Prev Disc . As of 415 AM EDT, a compact yet potent shortwave tracking E/NE from the eastern Adirondacks. Still some isolated/scattered sprinkles/patchy drizzle across the southern Adirondacks, Mohawk Valley and Lake George/Saratoga region as well as across the eastern Catskills and southern VT. It is possible that a few of these sprinkles across the Mohawk Valley and Schoharie County may briefly migrate into the Capital Region over the next 1-2 hours before dissipating.

These showers/sprinkles should finally end by mid morning. Low clouds may then persist across northern areas, as well as higher terrain of the eastern Catskills, and Taconics/southern Green Mountains and northern Berkshires until mid to late morning. Thereafter, expect skies to become partly to mostly sunny for this afternoon.

As weak ridging and subsidence build in behind the aforementioned shortwave, mid level capping (most prominent between H700-600 mb) should develop, limiting vertical growth of any cumulus clouds. However, a few may grow just tall enough to produce isolated, passing showers in a few locations this afternoon, with best chances (still only slight or low chance) mainly across higher terrain of the southern Adirondacks, and eastern Catskills.

It will be breezy at times today, with west winds possibly gusting as high as 25-30 mph, especially within the Mohawk Valley and Capital Region extending into the Berkshires.

High temperatures should reach the lower/mid 80s for most valley areas, although some upper 80s will be possible for valley areas south and east of Albany. Elsewhere, max temps should reach mid 70s to lower 80s. Dewpoints should fall into the lower/mid 60s this afternoon, so it should feel a bit less oppressive compared to Saturday.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Weak ridging begins to shift east of the region tonight, as a an upper level trough across the Great Lakes region approaches late. Embedded within the base of this trough will be a more potent upper level disturbance across the Ohio Valley that will then track northeast toward the northern mid Atlantic states Monday morning. Some showers associated with this system may approach southern areas toward daybreak Monday, after a generally dry night. Lows tonight mainly in the lower/mid 60s, except for some 50s across the SW Adirondacks.

As the aforementioned disturbance approaches southern areas Monday morning, some showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop. Coverage may become numerous late Monday morning through early Monday afternoon for areas south and east of Albany. Forecast MU CAPES (per 00Z/12 HREF mean) suggest values of 1000-1500 J/kg may develop across portions of the mid Hudson Valley, NW CT and Berkshires during this time, so some stronger thunderstorms with gusty winds may develop. Latest SPC Day 2 indicates a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms in this area. Farther north and west, MU CAPES are mainly 500-1000 J/kg, with better forcing holding off until late afternoon with the approach of the main upper level trough. So, there could be a round of showers and thunderstorms, some locally strong, for areas mainly south and east of Albany late Monday morning through early afternoon, followed by development of additional showers/thunderstorms farther north and west later Monday afternoon. Highs mainly in the lower/mid 80s except 70s for most higher terrain. If showers/thunderstorms develop earlier and become widespread, some highs across the mid Hudson Valley extending into the Berkshires/NW CT may remain cooler, possibly only 75-80.

Monday night-Tuesday, the main upper level trough may close off across northern New York/New England, and then translate E/SE. This could bring another round of showers and isolated thunderstorms for Monday night into Tuesday, with best chances favoring the southern Adirondacks, upper Hudson Valley including the Lake George/Saratoga region, into southern VT and the Berkshires/northern Litchfield Hills. Depending on the exact track of any potential closed mid/upper level low, coverage of showers/thunderstorms may be more numerous near and especially north/east of its track, and some may be strong with small hail a possibility. Lows Monday night in the lower/mid 60s except mid/upper 50s across the southern Adirondacks and southern VT. Highs Tuesday in the mid 70s to lower 80s, although some areas could remain cooler if and where showers remain more frequent.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Dry weather expected Wednesday as high pressure is in control of the weather as the low level ridging builds east. By Thursday, warm advection ahead of the next weak northern stream upper energy and associated weak wind shift/dewpoint boundary, timed for northern areas Thursday night and southern and eastern areas Friday. As the upper energy exits, there are disagreements in sources of guidance/ensembles how much flat upper ridging builds back into our region by Saturday, resulting in more warmth and humidity.

So, scattered thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening mainly in northern and western areas with isolated activity southern areas. Scattered thunderstorms again Friday afternoon, mainly south of the Mohawk River and along and east of the Hudson River. Just isolated activity Saturday depending on any localized convergence as warm and more humid weather returns.

Highs around 80 to mid 80s Wednesday in the Hudson Valley and NW CT but cooler elsewhere. Highs Thursday and Friday in the mid 80s in the Hudson Valley and NW CT but cooler elsewhere. Highs Saturday in the mid to upper 80s Hudson Valley and NW CT but cooler elsewhere.

AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Sprinkles around KGFL in the process of drying up. Clouds from KGFL to KALB and KPSF generally above 3000 feet. KPSF and KGFL could have some intervals of ceilings around 3000 feet through about 14Z.

Otherwise, clouds will become scattered through the morning and remain scattered this afternoon and evening. Another system approaches late tonight with a few showers possible in the region toward daybreak Monday. Including VCSH at all TAF sites after 09Z early Monday morning.

Winds will be southwest to west at around 10 Kt today with some gusts near 20 Kt, especially at KALB and KPSF. Winds diminish to light this evening and continue light to near calm through the night.

Outlook .

Monday Night: Low Operational Impact Isolated SHRA. TSRA. Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact Scattered SHRA. TSRA. Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact Scattered SHRA. TSRA.

FIRE WEATHER. Wind gusts of 25-30 mph today .

A weak ridge of high pressure moving across the region will bring generally fair and warm conditions today, although a stray passing shower remains possible. A frontal system and upper level disturbance will bring some showers and thunderstorms for Monday into Tuesday. Fair conditions return for Wednesday, before humidity levels and chances for showers and thunderstorms increase by late next week.

RH values will fall to 40-60 percent this afternoon, then recover to 90-100 percent tonight.

Winds will become west to southwest winds and increase to 10-20 mph by late morning into this afternoon, with some gusts of 25-30 mph possible. Winds will decrease to 5-10 mph by late evening.

HYDROLOGY. An upper level disturbance brought rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches to portions of the southwest Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley overnight, with one tenth to one quarter of an inch across portions of the eastern Mohawk Valley and Lake George/Saratoga region. Elsewhere, little or no rain fell.

These rain amounts will likely lead to some rises of 1-2 feet on some of the larger stem rivers within the Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley today. Elsewhere, river levels should remain nearly steady.

Isolated showers are possible this afternoon and tonight, with scattered to numerous showers expected Monday afternoon. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.25-0.50 inches will be possible through Tuesday, although locally higher amounts could occur where showers and isolated thunderstorms persist.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . KL/JLV NEAR TERM . KL/JLV SHORT TERM . KL LONG TERM . NAS AVIATION . NAS FIRE WEATHER . KL/JLV HYDROLOGY . KL/JLV


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 32 mi82 min Calm 76°F 1005 hPa68°F
TKPN6 33 mi52 min S 5.1 G 7 78°F 80°F1005.5 hPa69°F
NPXN6 37 mi82 min SW 7 76°F 1006 hPa68°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 58 mi52 min W 11 G 13 79°F 77°F1005.5 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 62 mi52 min WSW 7 G 12 81°F 75°F1005.8 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA26 mi58 minWSW 1010.00 miOvercast73°F64°F76%1003.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPSF

Wind History from PSF (wind in knots)
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2 days agoSE4S645SW5SW4CalmS6S5S10S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE834

Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Hudson
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:21 AM EDT     1.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:10 AM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:43 PM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:45 PM EDT     3.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.31.71.41.21.31.82.63.23.63.83.73.12.31.51.10.80.71.222.83.43.83.93.6

Tide / Current Tables for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
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Catskill
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:07 AM EDT     1.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:53 AM EDT     3.66 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:29 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:28 PM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.71.41.31.422.73.23.53.73.42.821.410.80.81.32.12.83.33.63.63.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.