Canaan, CT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Canaan, CT

May 28, 2024 11:14 PM EDT (03:14 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:20 AM   Sunset 8:19 PM
Moonrise 12:35 AM   Moonset 9:54 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1011 Pm Edt Tue May 28 2024

Rest of tonight - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: W 1 ft at 3 seconds.

Wed - W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.

Wed night - NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.

Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and slight chance of tstms in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.

Thu night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the evening.

Fri - NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: N 1 ft at 2 seconds.

Fri night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Sat - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Sun - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 1011 Pm Edt Tue May 28 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A cold front remains nearby offshore overnight before a second front approaches Wednesday, moving through into Wednesday night. A weak surface trough moves east of the region Thursday. High pressure builds in later Thursday through Saturday night. A weakening low passes slowly to the west and north Sunday through Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Canaan, CT
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 290201 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1001 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

SYNOPSIS
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon as an upper level disturbance tracks over the region under partly cloudy skies along with much lower humidity. A few showers linger tonight, especially in the higher terrain, before a secondary cold front tomorrow results in increased shower and thunderstorm coverage, especially south of Interstate 90. Much cooler and drier air arrives Thursday before a warming trend ensues for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Most of the showers earlier this evening have dissipated and a few showers will be around the rest of this evening. Some instability seen in area 00Z soundings but low level forcing very weak. Once the showers dissipate, just intervals of clouds to mostly cloudy the rest of the night. Some sprinkles or isolated light showers cannot be ruled out through daybreak in the southern Adirondacks.

Some minor adjustments to temperatures, sky cover and rain chances through the night.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: Heading into tonight, moist cyclonic flow continues as the upper level disturbance and trough tracks overhead. This will keep cloud coverage and milder temperatures around. Some showers are still possible, especially in the southern Adirondacks, northern Catskills and southern Greens, as westerly flow upslopes the terrain. Overnight lows only drop into the mid to upper 50s thanks to the clouds.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Our upper level trough and cold pool aloft remains overhead for tomorrow with a secondary cold front and trough axis on the approach. The moist cyclonic flow will keep skies partly to mostly cloudy once again, especially once we reach our respective convective temperature. High temperatures fall a few degrees below Tuesday's highs only reaching into the low to mid 70s with 60s in the hill towns and higher terrain. As a secondary cold front tracks through the region from northwest to southeast midday into the afternoon, winds shift from westerly to northerly and look to provide decent low-level forcing to generate scattered showers. Dew points rise into the mid-50s south of I-90 which, when combined with steepening mid-level lapse rates reaching 6.5 to 7C/km, will support sufficient instability. CAMs and high res guidance are in good agreement with SB CAPE values climb up to 500 - 1000J/kg by midday into the afternoon. As the wind shift boundary and upper level trough approach, a few thunderstorms will likely develop with the best chances near and south of I-90. Severe weather is not expected but any storm can produce brief downpours.

Troughing continues into Wednesday night with our wind shift boundary/secondary cold front stalling near or just south of the mid-Hudson Valley, eastern Catskills, and NW CT. With a compact shortwave rotating around the base of the trough and interacting with the boundary overnight, additional showers are possible again mainly south of I-90 Wednesday night. Some lingering instability Wednesday evening could support isolated thunderstorms. Incoming dry air across the southern Adirondacks, Mohawk Valley, and Upper Hudson Valley will support at least partial clearing skies overnight while areas south of I-90 likely stay mainly cloudy. Where clouds can partially clear temperatures should cool into the low to mid 40s thanks to the northerly wind shift advecting in a cooler and drier air mass.
Areas further south should remain milder in the low to mid 50s thanks to the clouds.

Expecting a seasonably cool and mainly dry day for Thursday as northerly winds advect in a cooler and much drier air mass from Canada. With the boundary shifting further south and the shortwave from Wednesday night exiting into New England by early morning, Thursday has trended drier. In fact, morning clouds should given way to increasing sun through the day with decreasing dew points. PWATs even drop to 0.30 - 0 50" as northerly winds become a bit breezy during the afternoon as large scale high pressure builds into western NY/PA tightening the sfc pressure gradient. Increased winds a bit from NBM to show winds gusts reaching up to 20kts during diurnal peaking heating hours. While the incoming air mass is quite cool (850 hPa isotherms +5 to +7C), the enhanced boundary layer mixing should help afternoon temperatures reach into the low 70s in the Hudson and Mohawk Valley with low to mid 60s in the hill towns and higher terrain. Otherwise, POPs has trended lower with only slight chance POPs now for portions of western New England and rain-free forecast elsewhere.

Ideal radiational cooling expected Thursday night thanks to clearing skies and northerly winds maintaining a cool/dry Canadian air mass. With dew points dropping into the 30s to low 40s and winds turning light/variable in response to high pressure building eastward, expecting chilly temperatures Thursday night. Blended in NBM10th percentile guidance to capture the chilly temperature potential. Morning lows should drop into the mid to upper 40s with upper 30s to low 40s in the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
A stretch of very pleasant summer-like weather is expected Friday through the beginning of next week. Our upper level trough exits out to sea on Friday with subsidence building into the Northeast for the weekend as an amplified ridge axis builds eastward. This will provide a stretch of dry weather and comfortable humidity levels as northerly winds on the east side of the incoming ridge maintain a fetch of dry air from Canada directed into the Northeast. Temperatures initially will start out seasonable but trend warmer through the weekend as the upper level ridge axis shifts into New England, allowing a southwesterly return flow. Highs likely reach into the upper 70s to low 80s Saturday and Sunday before trending even warmer by Monday and Tuesday. The ridging will support plenty of sunshine this weekend so it will feel even warmer when out in the sun.

There are some discrepancies on how the pattern evolves by early next week as guidance indicates the potential for some shortwaves to track into the Northeast which support some scattered showers and thunderstorms but there is still too much spread to pin point the exact location, durations or coverage of any precipitation activity. We show slight chance and chance POPs increasing in coverage by early next week to represent this potential.

AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Some showers around KALB, KPOU and KPSF this evening, with some possible intervals of MVFR ceilings and visibilities at KPOU through about 02Z. These showers will be exiting around or shortly after 02Z.

Another area of showers approaching from the northwest associated with an upper disturbance will track into the vicinity of the TAF site between 03Z-06Z but very light and scattered. So, including VCSH through about 07Z-10Z with some MVFR ceilings and visibilities at KGFL and KPSF.

After about 12Z, VFR conditions at all TAF sites. More showers will develop by midday, after 15Z, due to a lingering upper disturbance. So, including VCSH once again Wednesday midday through afternoon.

West winds at around 10 Kt, with a few gusts to 15 Kt this evening, diminishing to less than 6 Kt. Variable winds at 6 Kt or less Wednesday but predominantly north to west, especially at KGFL and KALB.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact
Isolated SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

FIRE WEATHER
Thursday, the combination of temperatures in the 60s to 70s and dew points in the 30s to 40s will lead to minimum RH values between 30 and 40%. Northwesterly wind gusts may reach 15-20 mph as well during the afternoon. Most areas saw at least a quarter to half inch of rain yesterday, and additional showers are expected this afternoon and again tomorrow. While this should limit the overall fire weather concerns, special weather statements may be considered depending on the coverage of showers today/tomorrow and how much fuels dry out between now and Thursday.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 32 mi104 min 0 64°F 29.7759°F
TKPN6 33 mi56 min 0G1 62°F 72°F29.8158°F
NPXN6 37 mi104 min E 1 64°F 29.8360°F


Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
Link to 5 minute data for KPSF


Wind History from PSF
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Hudson, Hudson River, New York
   
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Hudson
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Tue -- 12:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:03 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:01 AM EDT     4.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:03 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM EDT     3.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
am
0.6
2
am
0.9
3
am
1.7
4
am
2.8
5
am
3.8
6
am
4.4
7
am
4.6
8
am
4.4
9
am
3.9
10
am
3
11
am
1.9
12
pm
1
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
2.4
6
pm
3.2
7
pm
3.6
8
pm
3.8
9
pm
3.6
10
pm
3
11
pm
2.1


Tide / Current for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
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Catskill
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Tue -- 12:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:49 AM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT     4.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:49 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:41 PM EDT     3.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Catskill, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
am
0.7
2
am
1
3
am
1.9
4
am
3
5
am
3.9
6
am
4.3
7
am
4.4
8
am
4.1
9
am
3.6
10
am
2.6
11
am
1.6
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
0.3
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
1.5
5
pm
2.5
6
pm
3.2
7
pm
3.5
8
pm
3.6
9
pm
3.3
10
pm
2.7
11
pm
1.9


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Albany, NY,




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