Tuesday, January21, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Plain, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 8:04AMSunset 5:46PM Tuesday January 21, 2020 11:33 AM EST (16:33 UTC) Moonrise 5:25AMMoonset 2:55PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 1027 Am Est Tue Jan 21 2020
Rest of today..Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Tonight..Southwest wind 10 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 3 to 5 feet. A small craft advisory may be needed.
Wednesday..South wind 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 feet. A small craft advisory may be needed.
Wednesday night..South wind 10 to 20 knots. Chance of rain and snow through the night. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 34 and 35 degrees at st. Joseph.
LMZ043 Expires:202001212315;;295579 FZUS53 KIWX 211527 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1027 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ043-212315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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location: 42.07, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 211149 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 649 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Issued at 305 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

A gradual warming trend and mainly dry conditions are expected through Thursday. High temperatures are expected to reach near 30 degrees today, the mid 30s on Wednesday, and the upper 30s to near 40 degrees by Thursday. A low pressure system system then brings chances for rain and snow Thursday night through Saturday.

SHORT TERM. (Today and Tonight) Issued at 305 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

Stubborn stratocu lake plume should persist through the morning, with clearing anticipated into western portions of the forecast area late morning and afternoon as the low level flow backs in response to strong sfc high settling southeast into the Ohio Valley. Some diurnal enhancement and slower arrival of drier air may keep clouds locked in through much of the day across portions of ne IN/nw OH/sc MI. A touch warmer when compared to yesterday otherwise with highs near 30 degrees anticipated.

Tranquil wx and gradual moderation will persist into tonight and Wednesday as the local area becomes positioned within the western flank of high pressure migrating toward the East Coast. The initial moisture return on the backside of this feature will be confined to the upper levels into Wednesday resulting in increasing high clouds.

LONG TERM. (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 305 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

Temps mainly above normal and high chances for rain and snow late week into Saturday remain the main focus through the long term .

A mid level impulse will dampen northeast into the Western/Northern Great lakes by late Wednesday night and Thursday. This will provide our far nw IN and sw MI zones with a low probability for light precipitation on the eastern fringe of an associated corridor of weak isentropic ascent and low level moisture transport. Model forecast soundings point to light snow as the primary ptype to start, with a mix of rain and snow on Thursday as boundary layer temps warm in this ongoing warm advection regime. Overall intensity should be light regardless with little to no snow accumulation expected during this time. Mostly cloudy, dry and trending warmer across the remainder of the forecast area otherwise.

The late Thursday night through Saturday morning periods continue to feature higher probabilities for periods of rain and snow as a low pressure system cuts off from the polar jet and meanders east through the northern Ohio Valley. Forcing for precipitation initially tied to WAA/weak TROWAL late Thur night-Fri will transition to what looks to be at least a modest deformation zone on the northern flank of the stacked circulation by Fri night-Sat morning.

Precipitation types and potential snow accums/impacts remain the main uncertainty on the northern flank of the precipitation shield through the event given a marginal thermal profile and lingering model spread in upper low track/intensity. With this in mind held with broadbrush rain and snow wording in the grids at this forecast range, with the latest model consensus favoring Fri night for higher snow probs and potential accums across northern portions of the forecast area.

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning) Issued at 639 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

A 1041 mb high over northern Missouri will help keep cold northwest flow over Lake Michigan and will continue to spread MVFR stratocu over northern Indiana this morning as moisture stays trapped under the base of the subsidence inversion. Inversion heights should fall this morning at SBN, and cause the clouds to become scattered. However, the latest model hi res indicated ceilings will linger close to 030 at FWA this afternoon through at least 21Z . and possibly linger into early tonight. For now have clouds scattering out this afternoon.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . NONE. MI . NONE. OH . NONE. LM . NONE.

SYNOPSIS . Steinwedel SHORT TERM . Steinwedel LONG TERM . Steinwedel AVIATION . Skipper

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

Follow us on Facebook . Twitter . and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana www.twitter.com/nwsiwx www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 2 mi34 min WSW 8.9 G 12 29°F 1036.6 hPa (+0.7)
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 25 mi34 min WSW 9.9 G 12 28°F
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 33 mi34 min WSW 9.9 G 12 25°F 17°F

Wind History for Holland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Michigan Regional Airport, MI5 mi41 minW 910.00 miOvercast28°F19°F72%1037 hPa
South Haven, South Haven Area Regional Airport, MI23 mi39 minWSW 310.00 miOvercast28°F19°F72%1035.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBEH

Wind History from BEH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3S3SW5SW3SW3S3S4S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmE3CalmCalmNW5W5W7W8W9
1 day agoW14
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63E4CalmE3NE6E5E3E3CalmSE4CalmCalmS3S3CalmCalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.