Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fair Plain, MI
 | Sunrise 7:20 AM Sunset 6:33 PM Moonrise 3:31 PM Moonset 6:00 AM |
Marine Forecasts
NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 235 Am Est Sat Feb 28 2026
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon - .
Today - North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow this afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet.
Tonight - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow in the evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Sunday - North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Sunday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
the water temperature at st. Joseph and at michigan city is 35 degrees.
the water temperature at st. Joseph and at michigan city is 35 degrees.
LMZ005
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Plain, MI
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Area Discussion for Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 281115 AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 615 AM EST Sat Feb 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- Light snowfall (1 inch or less) this afternoon/evening, primarily north of the Indiana Toll Road. Farther south, rain/snow showers will affect areas east and south of Fort Wayne late Sat.
- Glancing blow to the south with snow chances (20-30%) Sunday night into early Monday morning, mainly south of US-30.
- A mild and wet pattern sets up next week. Periods of moderate to heavy rain is possible by mid to late work week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 126 AM EST Sat Feb 28 2026
A cold front will continue to work its way through the area during the overnight hours, leading to a steady decline in temps to the upper 20s / low 30s by daybreak. A disturbance dropping out of the northern plains will bring the chance for snow this afternoon and evening, primarily across Michigan. There should be a pretty sharp gradient on the southern edge of the precipitation initially where low-level saturation is not aided by isentropic accent and Fgen forcing (likely around the MI/IN border). Accumulation of roughly an inch or less can be expected, with minimal impacts. By late evening, PoP coverage will expand south and east as scattered rain/snow showers move into the area thanks to an uptick in PWATs and synoptic forcing.
Surface high pressure dominates the northeast and Upper Ohio Valley to start the week. This will help to shunt a disturbance just to our south Sunday night into Monday morning, with a bulk of the weather remaining over central/southern Indiana. While some slick spots along and south of US-24 can't be ruled out for the Monday morning commute, the expectation is little to no snowfall accumulation will occur.
The rest of the week looks active as several chances for precipitation occurs under a gradually warming temperature regime. Monday night into Tuesday will feature mixed precip types, followed by a transition over to rain as the precip type through the remainder of the week. With 2-3+ inches of QPF possible by the end of the week, it will be a welcome sight for the many drought stricken places in central Indiana and northwest Ohio. Our attention will then need to shift to the possibility of spring flooding as we are expected to remain in a wet pattern through much of March.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 615 AM EST Sat Feb 28 2026
A weak shortwave will move across the area this evening and associated fgen could bring some light rain or snow. However, dry air and weak forcing lower confidence in impacts. Much better chance for MVFR ceilings will arrive later tonight as CAA ramps up.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for LMZ043- 046.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 615 AM EST Sat Feb 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- Light snowfall (1 inch or less) this afternoon/evening, primarily north of the Indiana Toll Road. Farther south, rain/snow showers will affect areas east and south of Fort Wayne late Sat.
- Glancing blow to the south with snow chances (20-30%) Sunday night into early Monday morning, mainly south of US-30.
- A mild and wet pattern sets up next week. Periods of moderate to heavy rain is possible by mid to late work week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 126 AM EST Sat Feb 28 2026
A cold front will continue to work its way through the area during the overnight hours, leading to a steady decline in temps to the upper 20s / low 30s by daybreak. A disturbance dropping out of the northern plains will bring the chance for snow this afternoon and evening, primarily across Michigan. There should be a pretty sharp gradient on the southern edge of the precipitation initially where low-level saturation is not aided by isentropic accent and Fgen forcing (likely around the MI/IN border). Accumulation of roughly an inch or less can be expected, with minimal impacts. By late evening, PoP coverage will expand south and east as scattered rain/snow showers move into the area thanks to an uptick in PWATs and synoptic forcing.
Surface high pressure dominates the northeast and Upper Ohio Valley to start the week. This will help to shunt a disturbance just to our south Sunday night into Monday morning, with a bulk of the weather remaining over central/southern Indiana. While some slick spots along and south of US-24 can't be ruled out for the Monday morning commute, the expectation is little to no snowfall accumulation will occur.
The rest of the week looks active as several chances for precipitation occurs under a gradually warming temperature regime. Monday night into Tuesday will feature mixed precip types, followed by a transition over to rain as the precip type through the remainder of the week. With 2-3+ inches of QPF possible by the end of the week, it will be a welcome sight for the many drought stricken places in central Indiana and northwest Ohio. Our attention will then need to shift to the possibility of spring flooding as we are expected to remain in a wet pattern through much of March.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 615 AM EST Sat Feb 28 2026
A weak shortwave will move across the area this evening and associated fgen could bring some light rain or snow. However, dry air and weak forcing lower confidence in impacts. Much better chance for MVFR ceilings will arrive later tonight as CAA ramps up.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for LMZ043- 046.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SVNM4 - South Haven, MI | 25 mi | 43 min | 33°F | |||||
| MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN | 33 mi | 33 min | N 12G | 35°F | 30.09 | 30°F | ||
| BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN | 46 mi | 43 min | N 6G | 34°F | 30.10 |
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Northern Indiana, IN,
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