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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ashland, OR

November 7, 2024 10:24 PM PST (06:24 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:50 AM   Sunset 4:58 PM
Moonrise 12:50 PM   Moonset 9:54 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 809 Pm Pst Thu Nov 7 2024

Rest of tonight - SW wind around 5 kt, backing to S around 5 kt late. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: W 6 ft at 16 seconds.

Fri - S wind around 5 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: W 7 ft at 14 seconds.

Fri night - S wind 5 to 10 kt, rising to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft, building to 7 to 8 ft after midnight. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 3 seconds and W 8 ft at 14 seconds.

Sat - S wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Wave detail: sw 3 ft at 4 seconds and W 8 ft at 14 seconds. A chance of rain.

Sat night - S wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Wave detail: sw 3 ft at 5 seconds and W 8 ft at 14 seconds. Rain likely.

Sun - S wind 15 to 20 kt, rising to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Wave detail: sw 6 ft at 6 seconds and W 7 ft at 13 seconds. Rain.

Sun night - S wind 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Wave detail: sw 9 ft at 7 seconds and W 7 ft at 12 seconds. Rain.

Mon - SW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 11 ft, building to 10 to 14 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: sw 6 ft at 7 seconds and W 13 ft at 15 seconds. Rain.

Mon night - SW wind 15 to 20 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12 to 17 ft, building to 16 to 19 ft after midnight. Wave detail: sw 3 ft at 5 seconds and W 18 ft at 16 seconds. Rain.

Tue - S wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 16 to 19 ft, subsiding to 15 to 17 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: sw 4 ft at 5 seconds and W 18 ft at 16 seconds. Rain.

Tue night - S wind 20 to 25 kt. Seas 13 to 16 ft, subsiding to 10 to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
PZZ300 809 Pm Pst Thu Nov 7 2024

Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - Light winds and seas are expected through Friday. A front will then move into the area Saturday with the potential for gusty winds and steep seas, especially north of cape blanco. A stronger front is expected Sunday into Monday, resulting in strong winds, possibly gale force, and very steep, chaotic seas. Another large long period swell could arrive behind this front Monday night into Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, OR
   
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Tide / Current for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
  
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Brookings
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Thu -- 04:26 AM PST     5.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:58 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:47 AM PST     4.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:55 PM PST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:23 PM PST     6.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:03 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:00 PM PST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:06 PM PST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon, Tide feet
12
am
2
1
am
3.1
2
am
4.1
3
am
4.9
4
am
5.2
5
am
5.2
6
am
4.9
7
am
4.6
8
am
4.3
9
am
4.2
10
am
4.4
11
am
4.9
12
pm
5.5
1
pm
6.1
2
pm
6.4
3
pm
6.3
4
pm
5.8
5
pm
4.9
6
pm
3.8
7
pm
2.5
8
pm
1.4
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.4

Tide / Current for Crescent City, California
  
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Crescent City
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Thu -- 04:25 AM PST     5.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:43 AM PST     4.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:54 PM PST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:22 PM PST     6.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:03 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:01 PM PST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:02 PM PST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Crescent City, California, Tide feet
12
am
2
1
am
3.2
2
am
4.2
3
am
4.9
4
am
5.2
5
am
5.2
6
am
4.9
7
am
4.6
8
am
4.3
9
am
4.2
10
am
4.5
11
am
4.9
12
pm
5.5
1
pm
6.1
2
pm
6.4
3
pm
6.3
4
pm
5.8
5
pm
4.9
6
pm
3.7
7
pm
2.4
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.5

Area Discussion for Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 080541 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 941 PM PST Thu Nov 7 2024

Updated AVIATION discussion for 06Z TAFs

DISCUSSION
Clear skies prevail across the region with high pressure in control. Breezy easterly flow continues this afternoon, but has weakened compared to the last 24 hours. Even still, this is bringing some unseasonably low daytime humidities to the region. Additionally, temperatures today are running about 5 to 7 degrees higher than this time yesterday, with high temperatures expected to peak in the mid 50s to lower 60s on the east side, and mostly in the mid 60s on the west side. Easterly flow will continue to weaken overnight, and while overnight recoveries will moderate some tonight, there will still be pockets of low end moderate recoveries across the Cascades and the mountains of western Siskiyou County. Strong valley inversions will lead to poor mixing during the daytime and the return of fog and low clouds is likely tonight in the Umpqua Basin. There could be some patchy fog around the Rogue Valley early in the morning, but coverage should be limited due to lower dewpoints and having full sun the last two days to dry the air mass.

A rather stationary pattern has been in place since Wednesday with high pressure over the PacNW and low pressure over the Four Corners region. On Friday, the low pressure begins to eject over the Central Plains and the high pressure begins to buckle in response to an approaching long wave trough over the eastern Pacific. Friday will be much like today in terms of dry conditions, temperatures and poor mixing, but there will likely be an influx of higher level cloud cover in the afternoon and evening. Dry conditions are likely to persist through early Saturday, then a weakening front moves into the area Saturday afternoon/evening. This front looks like it'll stall along the coast and over the marine waters, so we don't anticipate much precip for inland areas. The highest amounts are expected along the coast, and even then total rain accumulations will generally be between 0.10"-0.20". Dry conditions will continue for most of the area through Sunday, before the "main event" arrives late Sunday night into Monday morning.

I say "main event" because this looks to be the strongest front of the forecast period so far. There is general agreement on a continued active pattern through the end of next week, but at this time the front that will bring us the strongest winds, heaviest rain and mountain snow is progged to affect the region late Sunday night into Tuesday morning. There could be some timing changes as the time frame gets closer, but models have been in good agreement so far in pinpointing Sunday night into early Tuesday. During this time, we could see 2 to 4 inches of rain along the coast, 0.75"-1.5" west of the Cascades and between 0.25"-0.50" east of the Cascades. Snow levels will be high with the onset of precipitation, up around 7000 ft or so, so the winter impacts will be more so during the daytime Monday and into early Tuesday when snow levels lower to around 4500 ft. During this time, another 1 to 2 ft of snow is possible mainly north of Highway 140. If you have travel plans through the Cascade passes, it may be worth it to reconsider or reschedule those plans.
In addition to the rain and snow, we'll see some fairly strong winds across the region. Gusts of 25 to 40 mph are likely along the coast, in the Shasta Valley, east of the Cascades and across the higher terrain. Stay tuned for updates as winter and wind headlines will likely be needed for this front. /BR-y

AVIATION
08/06Z TAFS...Signs of fog are starting to show up on satellite imagery around North Bend and the Umpqua Valley. Guidance does not have high confidence in a solid marine layer developing over North Bend, so right now periods of MVFR visibilities look possible. There's more confidence in LIFR conditions returning to the Umpqua Valley. Any fog that develops overnight should be cleared out before Friday afternoon.

Clouds will start to move over the area on Friday morning, but ceilings should stay at VFR levels. Precipitation is not expected until Saturday. -TAD

MARINE
Updated 200 PM PST Thursday, November 7, 2024...

Light winds and seas are expected tonight through Friday, though we'll likely see a bit of a surge of cloud cover up the coast as surface winds shift to southerly.

Two fronts will move through this weekend, one Saturday afternoon/evening and another Sunday night into Monday. The first front, the weaker of the two, will bring increasing south winds Friday night into Saturday with building westerly swell. This will likely result in conditions hazardous to small craft for much of the waters north of Cape Blanco, since combined wave heights will approach 10 feet. Farther south, where winds will be lighter, seas will be swell dominated and remain mostly below 10 feet. That front will stall and dissipate over the waters Saturday night before the second front, the stronger one, moves through late Sunday into Monday. This will likely bring a period of moderate to heavy rain, gales and steep to very steep, chaotic seas. Models continue to show this system being followed by another large, long period swell, peaking around next Tuesday. Early indications are showing peak swells 17-21 feet with a period of 15-16 seconds. This would maintain very high and very steep seas through midweek. -Spilde

BEACH HAZARDS
Updated 200 PM PST Thursday, November 7, 2024...

Another large, long period swell is expected to arrive early next week. Model guidance has been consistently showing NW swells arriving following the front Sunday night into Monday. Seas briefly subside immediately behind the front Monday (6 hours or so during the morning), but then build significantly Monday afternoon and Monday night, reaching a peak of 17-21 feet, 16 seconds by early Tuesday morning. This will bring large breaking waves (23-27 feet)
to the beaches and coastline through Tuesday afternoon. Seas will gradually subside Tuesday night. This may result in a high surf advisory at some point.

Large breaking waves create hazardous conditions along and within the surf zone, and could inundate beaches and low lying shorelines.
If you have plans to venture out to the beaches early-mid next week, pay close attention to the ocean, stay away from the surf zone and off of jetties. Also, keep checking back for forecast updates.
-Spilde

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Crescent City, CA
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMFR ROGUE VALLEY INTL MEDFORD,OR 14 sm31 mincalm10 smClear43°F36°F76%30.22

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GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest  
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Medford, OR,





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