Ashland, OR Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ashland, OR

June 15, 2024 11:24 AM PDT (18:24 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:32 AM   Sunset 8:50 PM
Moonrise 1:43 PM   Moonset 12:52 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 807 Am Pdt Sat Jun 15 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 5 pm pdt this afternoon through Sunday evening - .

Today - N wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 6 ft this afternoon. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 5 seconds, nw 5 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds.

Tonight - N wind 20 to 25 kt, easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 5 seconds, nw 5 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds.

Sun - N wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 4 seconds, nw 4 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 13 seconds.

Sun night - N wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 4 seconds and W 3 ft at 8 seconds.

Mon - N wind 10 to 15 kt, rising to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 5 seconds and nw 5 ft at 10 seconds.

Mon night - N wind 15 to 20 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 5 seconds, W 5 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.

Tue - N wind 10 to 15 kt, rising to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 5 seconds, W 4 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.

Tue night - N wind 15 to 20 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: N 4 ft at 5 seconds, W 3 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.

Wed - N wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 4 seconds, W 4 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.

Wed night - N wind 15 to 20 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft.

PZZ300 807 Am Pdt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - Calm seas continue in all waters this morning. A weak thermal trough will rebuild this evening, building steeper seas south of port orford through the day Sunday. Relatively low seas are expected early on Monday through most of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, OR
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Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 151534 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 834 AM PDT Sat Jun 15 2024

DISCUSSION
The forecast remains on track this morning. The first of two weak fronts is bringing scattered showers over the Oregon coast and parts of Douglas County while supporting cooler temperatures across the area through the day. A second front will bring slight chances (20-30%) of light precipitation over northern Lake and Klamath counties tomorrow, with other areas expected to stay dry.

Please see the previous discussion for more details about the short- and long-term forecast. -TAD



AVIATION
15/12Z TAFs...There are some ceilings around 5000 to 6000 feet west of the Cascades this morning with some showers closer to the coast under this unstable airmass. Models suggest some cumulus building over the region this afternoon as the depth of mixing increases. The chance of rain showers is roughly 5 percent later this afternoon under these clouds with higher probabilities the farther one travels north. Overall, active weather across the region as this upper level wave passes through with VFR ceilings and visibilities near terminals through the TAF period.

-Smith

MARINE
Updated 833 AM Saturday, June 15, 2024...Winds will increase late this afternoon and evening south of Port Orford with steeper seas developing near the California border. The steeper seas and gustier winds will continue in this area into Sunday morning.

Another upper level disturbance is expected to move over the area on Sunday, bring more slight precipitation chances (10-20%) and wind gusts of 15 to 20 kts over all waters Sunday into Monday morning. A broad but generally weak thermal trough is forecast to build over area waters on Monday evening and remain through the week. Northerly gusts of 25 to 30 kts over waters are expected south of Gold Beach, with gusts of 20 to 25 kts to the north. With gentle westerly swell expected, the resulting sea state is wide areas just above or just below warning thresholds. Steep seas are most likely going to be limited to south of Gold Beach, but aren't impossible in other areas south of Cape Blanco through the week.
Future guidance will help to bring more clarity to exact warning areas or if warnings are even needed.

Long-term probabilistic guidance currently has very low (10-20%)
chances of waves over 9 feet limited to Brookings and farther south through this coming week, so anything more chaotic than those small areas of steep seas discussed above is not currently expected. -TAD

PREV DISCUSSION
/Issued 509 AM PDT Sat Jun 15 2024/

DISCUSSION...Radar is showing a few weak showers entering into southern Oregon along the coast and into Douglas County. Satellite imagery is showing some clouds across more portions of southern Oregon and northern California. This is part of a broad low pressure system that will be pushing through the Pacific Northwest this weekend. These showers will largely be confined to the coast and to areas north of the Jackson/Douglas County border. The main story regarding this low is that it will lead to generally colder temperatures and expected freezing conditions for Saturday night into Sunday morning for Father's Day. Have upgraded the freeze watch to a freeze warning. Please see the NPWMFR for more details.
Otherwise, we will experience cool, breezy afternoon today.

This low and associated fronts are producing a little more uncertainty in the forecast Sunday afternoon into Monday afternoon than usual. A stronger front is rotating around the slow-moving low in the Pacific Northwest and is expected to weaken as it tracks inland. The strength and positioning of this wave have a wide range of solutions among the ECMWF and GEFS ensemble members. The forecast leans slightly wetter than the NBM solution, with a widespread slight chance to chance probability of light rain in order to highlight the risk of an honest to goodness rainfall, especially west of the Cascades, with the highest probability during late Sunday evening into early Monday morning. The operational version of the GFS leans toward the wetter side of the solutions, a little wetter than our forecast, while the weaker ECMWF is more representative of the NBM. We will be watching this closely for potential adjustments as data updates.

The upper low is expected to gradually move eastward Monday night. Then, Tuesday through Friday, models indicate weak trough to near zonal flow over the region with a high pressure ridge offshore.

With this pattern expect daytime temperatures to trend warmer (becoming slightly above normal) and generally dry conditions.
Overnight low temperatures will be cool to mild Monday night/Tuesday morning, with a potential for areas of frost conditions in valleys east of the Cascades. For Monday night/Tuesday morning, National Blend of Models indicates a 50-60% chance for low temperatures in the mid 30s in valleys east of the Cascades (Klamath Falls, Lakeview and Alturas) with a 20-25% chance for low temperatures down to 32.
Areas in northern Klamath County, near Chemult, have a higher chance (60-80%) for freezing conditions (32 deg and below) during this period. Overnight/morning low temperatures will trend warmer Tuesday night through late in the week. Northerly winds maybe gusty during the afternoons/evenings for areas along the coast as a surface thermal trough builds beginning Monday night into Tuesday.
Otherwise, expect typical diurnal breezes across the area.
-Schaaf/Clarstrom

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 8 AM PDT Sunday for ORZ029>031.

CA...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 8 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ084-085.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 PM PDT Sunday for PZZ356-376.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Crescent City, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMFR ROGUE VALLEY INTL MEDFORD,OR 14 sm31 mincalm10 smPartly Cloudy61°F34°F36%30.19
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KMFR
   
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Wind History graph: MFR
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
   
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Brookings
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Sat -- 01:53 AM PDT     2.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:58 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:40 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:20 AM PDT     4.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:08 PM PDT     1.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:48 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:51 PM PDT     5.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:54 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon, Tide feet
12
am
2.7
1
am
2.3
2
am
2.1
3
am
2.3
4
am
2.8
5
am
3.4
6
am
3.9
7
am
4.2
8
am
4.1
9
am
3.8
10
am
3.2
11
am
2.6
12
pm
2
1
pm
1.8
2
pm
2
3
pm
2.5
4
pm
3.3
5
pm
4.3
6
pm
5.2
7
pm
5.8
8
pm
6
9
pm
5.7
10
pm
5
11
pm
4


Tide / Current for Crescent City, California
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Crescent City
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Sat -- 01:49 AM PDT     2.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:58 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:41 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:19 AM PDT     4.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:04 PM PDT     1.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:48 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:50 PM PDT     5.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:53 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Crescent City, California, Tide feet
12
am
2.7
1
am
2.2
2
am
2.1
3
am
2.3
4
am
2.8
5
am
3.4
6
am
3.9
7
am
4.2
8
am
4.1
9
am
3.7
10
am
3.2
11
am
2.5
12
pm
2
1
pm
1.8
2
pm
2
3
pm
2.5
4
pm
3.4
5
pm
4.4
6
pm
5.2
7
pm
5.8
8
pm
6
9
pm
5.7
10
pm
5
11
pm
4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest   
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Medford, OR,




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