Sunrise 6:20 AM   Sunset 7:50 PM Moonrise 11:38 AM   Moonset 2:28 AM

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LOZ044 Expires:202404160915;;814383 Fzus51 Kbuf 160222 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 1022 pm edt Mon apr 15 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-160915- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 1022 pm edt Mon apr 15 2024
Overnight - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Tuesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.Tuesday night - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Wednesday - East winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain showers in the morning, then rain showers likely in the afternoon. Waves building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southeast. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. Thursday - Southeast winds to 30 knots becoming south and diminishing to around 10 knots. Occasional showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Saturday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 44 degrees.

LOZ005
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FXUS61 KBGM 160207 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1007 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will bring dry and mild conditions through Tuesday. Another low pressure system will bring our next chance for rain on Wednesday and Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

930 PM Update...

Light winds and clear skies overnight will result in some radiational cooling. As a result temperatures were adjusted lower using the NBM 10th percentile. Otherwise previous forecast remains on track at this time.

630 PM Update...

Warmer temperatures expanded further into the twin tiers this afternoon. Therefore minor adjustments were made to update temperatures and dew points using a blend of current observations and the previous forecast. Otherwise clear and calm conditions continue this evening and into the overnight period.

330 PM Update...

A weak shortwave pushing across northern NY is bringing a few sprinkles/isolated showers to northern Oneida County this afternoon. These showers will be pushing east over the next couple of hours and then clearing skies is expected. High pressure builds overhead this evening and tonight and will persist through the day on Tuesday.

The clear skies tonight will bring decent radiational cooling and temperatures will drop into the mid to upper 30s most areas.
For Tuesday, warm and sunny conditions are expected with afternoon highs likely a few degrees warmer than today. Most locations will see low to mid 60s, however a few of the warmer spots will make a run towards 70. Tomorrow night will see increasing clouds toward daybreak on Wednesday, however, before the clouds push in, temperatures will likely already have dropped into the 30s for most locations.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
230 PM Update...

A slow moving warm front will pass through CNY/NEPA Wednesday night. With and ahead of the front will be rain showers. A cold front will pass through late Thursday with more showers. The models have slowed down both fronts. Wednesday morning some sunshine before the rain moves in will push temperatures into the upper 50s and lower 60s. The rain moves into the central southern tier and Bradford County midday. Likely to cat pops will be across the area Wed afternoon through Thursday. Total rain amounts will stay under an inch. Lows Wednesday night fall into the 40s to around 50. Highs Thursday will only get into the upper 40s and 50s with rain and clouds. Thursday will also be breezy as winds increase to 10 to 20 mph.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
230 PM Update...

This period will continue to be unsettled as a broad upper level trough moves over the area. A cold front with rain showers will move through Friday night followed by northwest winds and more showers. Saturday into Saturday evening. Saturday it gets cold enough for some snow to mix in across the highest terrain.

Sunday into Monday looks mainly dry but first with the northwest flow some showers could linger, then several waves along a front lifts north into the mid Atlantic states. The lows along the front could push showers north into NEPA and Sullivan County NY.

Temperatures from the upper 50s to the mid 60s Friday fall into the 50s Sunday then recover a little Monday. Lows in the low and mid 40s Friday night fall into the 30s Saturday night and Sunday night.

AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours with mostly clear skies. Mixing today has dried things out so fog development is unlikely at ELM.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday through Friday: Chance of showers each day with restrictions possible.

Saturday...NW flow with some MVFR cigs possible.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

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Binghamton, NY,