Saturday, December7, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Eagle Point, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 4:40PM Saturday December 7, 2019 3:03 AM PST (11:03 UTC) Moonrise 2:28PMMoonset 2:36AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 815 Pm Pst Fri Dec 6 2019
.hazardous seas warning in effect through Saturday morning...
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday evening...
Tonight..SE wind 15 to 20 kt...veering to S 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, se wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 6 to 9 ft. W swell 6 to 7 ft at 14 seconds... Shifting to the sw at 10 seconds and W 4 to 5 ft at 14 seconds after midnight. Rain.
Sat..S wind 20 to 25 kt...becoming se 5 to 15 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, se wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 6 to 9 ft...subsiding to 3 to 4 ft in the afternoon. Mixed swell S 5 to 6 ft at 13 seconds and W 3 to 4 ft at 14 seconds...building to 9 to 10 ft at 11 seconds and sw 6 to 7 ft at 11 seconds in the afternoon. Rain in the morning, then showers and slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SE wind 5 to 10 kt...backing to N after midnight. Wind waves 3 ft in the evening...becoming 2 ft or less. SW swell 7 ft at 10 seconds. Showers.
Sun..N wind 10 to 15 kt except nw 5 to 10 kt within 5 nm of brookings southward. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. SW swell 4 to 5 ft. Slight chance of showers through the day.
Sun night..N wind 5 to 10 kt...veering to ne after midnight. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, wind variable less than 5 kt...becoming E 5 kt after midnight. Wind waves 3 ft in the evening...becoming 2 ft or less. Mixed swell nw 5 ft and sw 4 to 5 ft.
Mon..E wind 5 kt...veering to se in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 5 to 6 ft.
Mon night..S wind 5 kt...backing to se after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 5 to 6 ft.
Tue..S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 7 ft.
Wed..S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less...becoming 3 to 4 ft. W swell 8 to 9 ft.
PZZ300 815 Pm Pst Fri Dec 6 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters.. The front moving onshore will continue to produce gusty south winds and isolated areas of gales through Saturday morning, along with very steep and hazardous seas. Winds will weaken Saturday afternoon, and seas will diminish Saturday afternoon and evening, but are likely to remain hazardous to small craft. Relatively calm winds and seas return Sunday into Monday, although north winds will be breezy. Another front may arrive as early as Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eagle Point, OR
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location: 42.42, -122.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 070500 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 900 PM PST Fri Dec 6 2019

DISCUSSION. The latest satellite image shows the first shortwave moving into southwest Oregon. Another shortwave is on the heals of the first and should move into the area late tonight. This second shortwave near 38N and 128W has put out several lightning strikes in the past hour. Any break in precipitation will be brief. Actually there may end up being a lull in the action in the next 2-3 hours before round two comes in late tonight.

Made some adjustments to the forecast. Most notable was to cancel the wind advisory for the south end of the Rogue Valley. Winds in these areas have diminished over the last several hours and models show 925 winds are not as favorable for strong winds the rest of tonight into Saturday. Next pops were increased to 100 percent where radar and surface observations support it. Third, was to increase QPF amounts for the overnight period along the coast in southwest Oregon and coastal mountains with the expectation the second shortwave will arrive later tonight. Please see previous discussion for the weather from Saturday and beyond and current winter weather and updated wind headlines. Details for both can be found at WSWMFR and NPWMFR. -Petrucelli

AVIATION. For the 07/00Z TAFs . Southeast winds will be gusty at Medford into this evening and at Klamath Falls most of tonight into Saturday. Low level wind shear should be expected this evening and into the overnight hours (mainly at North Bend and Roseburg) where the southeast winds are not fully reaching the surface. VFR will prevail in some areas this evening, but mountain obscuration, MVFR conditions, and precipitation intensity and coverage will increase tonight in Saturday morning. IFR will likely impact areas around Mount Shasta overnight into Saturday where precipitation will be steadiest and heaviest. Portions of the East Side, including Klamath Falls could also have a period of heavier rainfall and IFR Saturday. -Spilde

MARINE. Updated 230 PM PST Friday, 6 December 2019 . The front moving onshore will continue to produce gusty south winds and isolated areas of gales through this afternoon, along with very steep and hazardous seas. Models have backed off considerably regarding wind strength tonight into Saturday morning, so we have shortened the Gale Warning, but the Hazardous Seas Warning will continue through Saturday. Winds will weaken further and seas will diminish Saturday afternoon, with small craft advisory conditions continuing through the evening. Relatively calm winds and seas return Sunday into Monday, although north winds will be breezy. Another front may arrive as early as Tuesday, and long period northwest swell is possible by late in the week. -BPN

PREV DISCUSSION. /Issued 307 PM PST Fri Dec 6 2019/

DISCUSSION . Heavier bands of precipitation are moving into the region according to the radar at this time. With the heavier precip moving in in a strong Omega field with strong upper level divergence from 0-6Z there should be the best precipitation down wind of the Siskiyous in this time frame in spite of the gusty southerly winds. As we go past the 6Z time frame the winds align more southwesterly aloft, decreasing the Omega strength and the down slope winds north of the Siskiyous play a stronger factor in developing the normal donut hole in the Medford area that is typical with this type of system. Upwind of the Siskiyous, especially in the Mt Shasta area, the combination of upper level divergence and strong orographic lifting will continue the heavy precip rates. With the strong southerly flow the snow levels will generally be high, currently above 5000 feet, and the WSW above 5500 feet still looks on track. However, the snow level may drop a bit at times in periods of increased precipitation rates. This will be something to keep a close eye on as models show another stronger round of precipitation during the morning hours into the afternoon Saturday. The low comes ashore Saturday afternoon with the bulk of the precipitation shifting east as well. Precip rates continue to be high in northern California into Sunday morning with advisory amounts possible, and snow levels dropping down to 4000 feet Sunday morning, but with the current storm warning in effect will leave that until later runs to avoid confusion.

The low shifts east with an upper low building in behind quickly, and fog developing in the west side valleys Monday morning. the upper level ridge shifts east on Tuesday ahead of the next approaching system, but winds will remain low with another morning of west side valley fog. From there into the end of next week with a series of front bringing a wet pattern into next weekend. Sven

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST Saturday above 5500 feet in the for ORZ031. Wind Advisory until 10 PM PST Saturday for ORZ031.

CA . Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST Saturday above 5500 feet in the for CAZ085. Wind Advisory until 4 PM PST Saturday for CAZ081. Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM PST Saturday above 5500 feet in the for CAZ082-083.

Pacific Coastal Waters . Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM to 10 PM PST Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376. Hazardous Seas Warning until 10 AM PST Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CECC1 - 9419750 - Crescent City, CA 93 mi52 min S 19 G 23 57°F 51°F1006.3 hPa
46027 - ST GEORGES - 8NM West Northwest of Crescent City, CA 99 mi34 min SSE 18 G 23 54°F 52°F1006.7 hPa49°F
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 99 mi52 min SSE 11 G 17 56°F 52°F1006.4 hPa

Wind History for Crescent City, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rogue Valley International Airport, OR11 mi71 minN 01.25 miFog/Mist41°F39°F96%1007.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFR

Wind History from MFR (wind in knots)
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SW3E6NW8NW6E6S7NE3CalmCalmCalmW5
1 day agoCalmSW3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmN3NW3N4W4SW3NE6S3NW6NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN4
2 days agoCalmCalmN4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmN4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
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Brookings
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:35 AM PST     2.28 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:42 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:31 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:06 AM PST     6.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:34 PM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:55 PM PST     1.56 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:45 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:54 PM PST     5.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.82.42.32.73.64.65.76.46.86.65.84.83.62.51.81.61.92.63.54.34.95.14.94.3

Tide / Current Tables for Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon
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Wedderburn
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:47 AM PST     2.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:43 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:33 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:14 AM PST     6.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:35 PM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:07 PM PST     1.44 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:44 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:02 PM PST     4.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.72.22.12.43.24.25.266.46.35.74.73.62.51.71.41.62.33.144.64.94.74.2

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.