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Marine Weather and Tides Cairo, NY Version 3.4

NOTICE 8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it. 8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue. 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:19AM

Sunset 4:51PM

Sunday January 17, 2021 1:21 AM EST (06:21 UTC)

Moonrise 11:16AM

Moonset 10:44PM

Illumination 15%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cairo, NY

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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY

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FXUS61 KALY 170540 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1240 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. Mostly cloudy and blustery conditions are expected on Sunday as snow showers continue, mainly across the Adirondacks and southern Greens. As the upper-level low departs, snow shower activity will lessen by Sunday night. Additional snow showers are expected at times for the upcoming week as a series of upper-level disturbances move across the region.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until noon Sunday for northern Herkimer and Hamilton Counties and for the southern Green Mountains for the elevations above 1500 feet.

As of 1230 AM EST . Forecast generally remains on track as snow showers continue, mainly across the Adirondacks and southern Greens. With the clouds and blustery conditions, expect temperatures to only drop a degree or two for the remainder of the overnight. Just minor tweaks done to temps, sky and pops based on the latest trends.

Previous Discussion: As of 940 pm EST . A cutoff low is centered over NY and PA tonight. Cyclonic vorticity advection continues around the cutoff, as the sfc cyclone according to the RAP is 987 hPa over west-central Maine.

The forecast area has seen a transition to westerly upslope orographic snowfall tonight over the northern Taconics, southern Greens and northern Berkshires. Lake enhanced snowfall continues over the Tug Hill Plateau spilling into the southern/western Adirondacks. Lake instability class remains conditional with marginal Delta T's and instability values of a couple hundred J/kg. The activity is not as organized, but still a good fetch off the lakes.

The latest Froude Numbers from the NAM/GFS indicates values rising into the 1-2 range where the flow is critical with the strong west to southwest winds where the pcpn falls close to the mtn ridge crest and on the lee side. Accumulations should increase again along the southern Greens and western Adirondacks where we are expecting an additional 3-6" at night. The Warnings will remain in place. Some retooling of the PoPs was done based on the radar returns and the latest 3-km HRRR.

Until noon tomorrow . Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected across northern Herkimer and western Hamilton counties. However across southern Vermont additional snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches are expected below 1500 feet in elevation with 4 to 12 inches above 1500 feet.

South and east of the Capital Region will have less activity tonight with some partial clearing near the mid Hudson Valley. Some light snow showers are possible in the Mohawk Valley and the Upper Hudson valley.

Lows tonight will be in the mid 20s to lower 30s.

West to southwest winds will pick up across the area with gusts of 25 to 35 mph.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until noon Sunday for northern Herkimer and Hamilton Counties and for the southern Green Mountains for the elevations above 1500 feet

The upper low will continue to move gradually northward as ridging induced ahead of the next approaching short wave builds in during the afternoon into the evening hours Sunday. This ridging will quickly weaken and shift off to the east as the long wave trough deepens to our west. The trough axis will move across the area region Monday along with its associated cold front.

The lake enhanced snow and upslope snow will continue into Sunday morning with overall precipitation chances decreasing but not ending as the day progresses and the favorable flow gets disturbed. As the upper trough axis and its associated cold front approach and cross the region we will have continued chances for snow showers mainly across the higher terrain through the day Monday. Dry out Monday night with some clearing expected.

Above normal temperatures with a more seasonable airmass being ushered Monday night in the wake of the cold front.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Focus during the long-term period continues to surround a couple of rather weak shortwaves/associated low pressure systems that will bring a couple of chances for some light snow to the forecast area.

Deterministic forecast models and their ensembles continue to advertise a shortwave approaching the forecast area during the day on Tuesday. Clouds will be on the increase during the day on Tuesday with precipitation in the form of snow moving into the region from west to east Tuesday evening/night. Right now, it appears that most of the snowfall will be confined to the SW Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley, the Berkshires, and southern VT. Snow showers will linger into Wednesday morning before coming to an end by Wednesday afternoon. Snow accumulations are expected to be light with this storm system/shortwave being weak and coming with limited moisture.

We'll get a brief break Wednesday afternoon/evening into Thursday morning before our next chance for some snow showers as a strong, larger storm system approaches from the northwest. Wednesday evening into Thursday, clouds will increase eventually becoming mostly cloudy by Thursday morning. Light snow will overspread the area from west to east Thursday morning to Thursday afternoon. Synoptic snow will persist into Friday before transitioning over to lake enhanced snow. Upslope snow will also be occurring during this event. Lake effect snow showers/upsloping are progged to persist till Friday evening before coming to an end. There could still some lingering lake effect snow showers over Herkimer county into Saturday morning. Once again, snow amounts are expected to be light across most areas with highest amounts confined to the higher elevations. A lot of this is due to the fact that 1)the center of the storm system will past well to our north meaning that the greatest forcing will be north of our area in closer proximity to the center of the storm system, 2) the fact that the storm system is expected to weaken as it tracks across Ontario and Quebec, and 3) similar to storm systems associated with the northern jet, there being limited available moisture.

During this long-term period, the northern U.S. including the Northeast U.S. will be under a mean flat upper trough. This will translate to a cooler than normal bias in temperatures at the surface during this time period. Daytime high temperatures will be in the 20s/30s (with some teens across the SW Adirondacks). Overnight low temperatures will be in the teens and 20s to start the period, but will trend downwards into the teens and single digits by Saturday night/Sunday morning. Low temperatures could fall below zero across the SW Adirondacks Saturday night into Sunday morning.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. VFR/MVFR conditions with respect to ceilings are to be expected through most of the TAF forecast cycle ending 06Z/Mon. There will be some snow showers scattered through the region with some lake effect and the approach of another trough after sunset Sunday. Otherwise, gusty west-southwest winds will persist with more of an influence into KALB-KPSF. Expectations are for these wind magnitudes to diminish through the evening hours Sunday.

Outlook .

Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Martin Luther King Jr Day: Low Operational Impact Chance of SHSN. SN. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SN. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN.

HYDROLOGY. No widespread hydrological issues are not expected in the Albany Hydro Service Area through the end of next week .

Total liquid equivalent from the storm system last night into today ranged from a half an inch to an inch and three quarters. The majority of higher liquid equivalent occurred over the higher terrain of the eastern Catskills, southern Adirondacks, Berkshires and southern Greens.

Additional lake enhanced and upslope snowfall will occur tonight into Monday with the highest amounts over the western Adirondacks, and the southern Green Mountains.

A clipper type low pressure system may bring some light snow Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Overall flows will lower with the colder temperatures and the main ptype will be snow.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . Winter Storm Warning until noon EST today for NYZ032-033. MA . None. VT . Winter Storm Warning until noon EST today for VTZ013-014.

SYNOPSIS . Rathbun NEAR TERM . IAA/Rathbun/Wasula SHORT TERM . IAA LONG TERM . Evbuoma AVIATION . BGM HYDROLOGY . Wasula

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY	29 mi	51 min	WSW 7	38°F			994 hPa	25°F
TKPN6	29 mi	51 min	S 6 G 8.9	37°F	36°F		995.1 hPa	25°F
NPXN6	41 mi	51 min	SSW 6	36°F			996 hPa	26°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT	97 mi	51 min	WSW 2.9 G 8	36°F	42°F		995.6 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT	99 mi	51 min	W 12 G 14	37°F	40°F		996.3 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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NE13 G17

NE10 G14

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Albany International Airport, NY	27 mi	30 min	WSW 14	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	33°F	24°F	70%	993.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KALB

Wind History from ALB (wind in knots)

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NW3

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Tide / Current Tables for New Baltimore, Hudson River, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Ground Weather Radar Station

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