Thursday, June4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Oneonta, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:20AMSunset 8:37PM Thursday June 4, 2020 10:43 PM EDT (02:43 UTC) Moonrise 6:26PMMoonset 3:38AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oneonta, NY
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location: 42.42, -75.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 050040 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 840 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. A few thunderstorms will move into northeast Pennsylvania with heavy rain and gusty winds this evening. Additional chances for showers and storms continue Friday into Saturday before dry weather returns starting Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. 830 pm update . Finally some weak thunderstorms have made it to Luzerne County. Dewpoints have risen well into the 60s. Will need to watch mainly southern Luzerne County for heavy rain. Upstream amounts of 1 to 2 inches of rain. shear is weak so most likely no damaging winds. Made the forecast cloudy everywhere into the overnight to match current conditions.

540 pm update . Minor changes to increase cloud cover and pops for CNY. With the showers here hourly temperatures are lower than forecast. The forecast for NEPA looks on track. Strong to severe thunderstorms continue to the west and south of the area. Thunderstorms slowly approaching NEPA from the west as moisture increases. Added gusty winds and heavy rain to the thunderstorms. Severe threat not expected to be widespread in NEPA this evening.

1230 PM Update . Temperatures are reaching into the upper 70s to mid 80s this afternoon, though dewpoints have been slow to rise and only hover in the 50s throughout or forecast area so far. Thus, limited instability with no real concerns so far as some showers pass through the Southern Tier and northeast PA.

However, with higher dewpoints well into the 60s across central and southern PA, stronger convection has already kicked off while a MCS moves into eastern OH. While dewpoints have been slower to rise in our area, moisture advection is still expected into the evening, which may help to touch off better chances for storms across northeastern PA. A belt of 30 to 40 kts of shear across central PA, just grazing our southern zones, and increasing instability will contribute to a chance for some stronger storms after sunset. Gusty winds would be the primary threat, but some hail will be possible. Simulated reflectivity continue to keep much of this activity south of the PA border, so have continue to keep any chances for showers and storms from extending any farther north than the Southern Tier of NY.

Showers largely taper off late tonight as temperatures fall back into the 60s. Shower and thunderstorm activity resumes again into the daytime hours with a short wave moving through. While we will be dealing with a fairly unstable environment, there won't be shear present that would raise any concerns for strong, organized severe convection. Otherwise, expecting highs once again to reach into the upper 70s to mid 80s. A cold front passing through Friday nght will keep in chances for some showers and thunderstorms overnight, while temperatures fall back into the 60s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. By Saturday, the cold frontal boundary should east of the area. As typical for northwest flow events one concern is that blended model guidance looks to quick clearing out the skies with the potential for a little additional moisture on the backside of the departing low pressure system. A cooler airmass slowly builds into the region lowering highs down to the mid and upper 70's. High pressure builds into the region Saturday night with a favorable setup for radiational cooling light winds and clear skies. As a result, lows fall into the low and mid 50's. With a slightly tighter pressure gradient winds pick up a bit Saturday from the northwest with modeled momentum transfer suggesting top gusts around 20 mph.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. A high pressure system builds into the region early next week and deflects Cristobal a named system over Mexico toward the western Gulf coast states while also keeping the next cold front well west of the region. While Sunday starts off cooler with highs around 70 the flow eventually becomes southerly with highs in the 80's by mid- week. Low temperatures will rise a few degrees each night from the cooler 40's Saturday night well into the 50's by Tuesday night. Right now modeling is keying on interaction between a frontal boundary and what's left of Cristobal Wednesday and Thursday next week well northwest of our region. Still a considerable amount of ensemble spread here but enough members indicate a few showers and thunderstorms could move into the area by Wednesday night.

AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Expect mainly VFR conditions and mostly cloudy skies through the next 24 hours. The exception will be this evening at KAVP as an area of showers rolls through with MVFR restrictions.

Residual moisture associated with the showers will cause MVFR restrictions at KAVP, KBGM, and possibly KELM early Friday morning. Low clouds should burn off by late morning or early afternoon.

Outlook .

Friday night . Chance of showers and thunderstorms with associated restrictions as front passes.

Saturday . Small chance of showers/restrictions, otherwise VFR.

Saturday night through Tuesday . VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . HLC/TAC NEAR TERM . HLC/TAC SHORT TERM . MWG LONG TERM . MWG AVIATION . DJP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 68 mi74 min Calm 77°F 1010 hPa58°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY49 mi51 minSW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F57°F66%1011.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGM

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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2 days agoW6W7W5SW6W6W5W5W6SW7W5W6W7W8SW8SW6S8SW7SW9SW10SW4S5S3S4S6

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
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Thu -- 01:06 AM EDT     5.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:51 AM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:32 PM EDT     4.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:01 PM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.85.254.131.80.7-0.1-0.30.31.52.73.74.24.23.72.71.70.80.1-0.30.21.53

Tide / Current Tables for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
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Catskill
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:57 AM EDT     5.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:45 AM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:23 PM EDT     4.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:55 PM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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44.85.14.83.92.71.60.6-0.1-0.30.41.62.83.74.14.13.52.51.50.6-0-0.30.31.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.