Sunday, September15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gold Beach, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:25PM Sunday September 15, 2019 6:48 PM PDT (01:48 UTC) Moonrise 7:37PMMoonset 7:13AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 216 Pm Pdt Sun Sep 15 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 5 pm pdt this afternoon...
Tonight..Northern portion, S wind 20 kt...easing to 10 kt in the evening, then...veering to sw after midnight. Brookings southward, S wind 10 to 15 kt... Veering to sw 5 kt early in the evening, then...backing to S 5 to 15 kt in the late evening and overnight. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. NW swell 6 to 7 ft at 11 seconds. Rain before dark, then showers. Slight chance of tstms after midnight.
Mon..S wind 5 to 15 kt northern portion and S 5 to 10 kt brookings southward. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 6 to 8 ft at 12 seconds. Slight chance of tstms in the morning. Showers through the day.
Mon night..Northern portion, S wind 10 to 15 kt... Rising to 20 kt early in the morning. Brookings southward, S wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less...becoming 3 ft after midnight. NW swell 6 to 7 ft at 11 seconds. Scattered showers.
Tue..Northern portion, S wind 30 kt. Brookings southward, S wind 10 to 15 kt...rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 3 to 6 ft. NW swell 5 to 7 ft. Rain.
Tue night..S wind 20 kt...becoming sw 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 5 to 7 ft...subsiding to 4 to 5 ft after midnight. NW swell 4 to 5 ft... Building to W 6 to 7 ft after midnight. Rain in the evening, then showers after midnight.
Wed..W wind 5 to 10 kt...backing to S in the afternoon. Wind waves 3 ft. NW swell 7 to 8 ft. Showers and slight chance of tstms.
Wed night..SW wind 5 kt...veering to ne after midnight. Wind waves 3 ft. NW swell 8 to 9 ft. Chance of showers.
Thu..N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. NW swell 8 ft... Subsiding to 5 ft.
Fri..N wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. NW swell 4 to 5 ft.
PZZ300 216 Pm Pdt Sun Sep 15 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..SEas will remain hazardous to smaller crafts this afternoon as a front moves through the waters. Gale force winds wil be possible on Tuesday, mainly north of cape blanco. Hazardous seas will be likely with this frontal passage on Tuesday as seas will be high and steep to very steep. As a low moves eastwards, the waters will probably remain hazardous to smaller crafts from Tuesday night into Wednesday as seas remain high and steep. High pressure and lower seas are expected Friday into Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gold Beach, OR
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location: 42.43, -124.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 152147
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
247 pm pdt Sun sep 15 2019

Discussion A strong and well defined front is knocking on our
doorstep. Moderate to heavy rain has already reached the coast. In
fact north bend already picked up 0.45 of an inch of rain as of noon
and it starting raining there around 930 am pdt ans brookings
recieved a whopping 0.70 of an inch in just 2 hours as of 2 pm pdt.

Meanwhile along and east of the cascades, moderate to strong winds
are occurring, especially over the higher terrain.

The front will continue march inland early this evening and tonight
with moderate to heavy rain along and just ahead of it. Plenty of
dynamics exist with this front, so could not rule out isolated
thunderstorms over the marine waters and along the coast this
evening and tonight. Altogether, we're still expecting a 0.50" to
1.50" from the cascades westward, except in the scott valley
northwest to the klamath river, and in the grants pass area, where
amounts are more likely to be 0.30" to 0.50". 0.25" to 0.50" is
expected for most of the east side, except 0.10" to 0.30" is
expected in the drier portions of lake and modoc counties.

Anyone venturing above the 8,000 foot elevation tonight through
Monday should expect moderate to heavy snowfall and near blizzard
conditions for about a 6 hour period as the front moves through.

Following the front will be an upper level trough bringing in cold
air aloft. So, we'll see a transition from steady rain to showers
later this evening and tonight. Also isolated thunderstorms are
possible over the marine waters. Scattered showers are likely for
the entire area Monday. Depending on the amount of surface heating,
instability could be sufficient enough for isolated thunderstorms
Monday afternoon and evening for most inland locations. Winds won't
be as strong Monday, but could not rule out gusty winds near any
thunderstorms.

We'll catch a brief break in the action Monday night, but another
front will be on the heals of this one. This front is expected to
bring stronger winds over the coastal waters as a low level jet
stream develops. Rainfall is likely to be most focused along and
near the coast, coastal mountains, and cascades.

Following Tuesday's front will be another upper trough with cold air
aloft. So we'll likely see scattered showers behind the front
Tuesday night through Wednesday.

Depending on the progression of the Wednesday's upper trough.

Thursday could be transition day with the best chance for showers
in eastern klamath, lake and modoc county. Friday and Saturday look
dry and milder as upper ridging builds offshore followed by another
front Sunday. -petrucelli

Aviation For the 15 18z tafs...VFR will prevail from the
cascades eastward this afternoon with s-sw winds gusting to
30-40 kt, highest mainly south and east of klamath falls. There could
be enhanced turbulence on approaches departures through this evening.

Widespread MVFR ceilings with areas of ifr ceilings and visibility
in rain will impact the coast, then spread inland to the cascades by
this evening. Areas of higher terrain will become obscured. MVFR
ceilings, local ifr and terrain obscurations will then spread east
of the cascades overnight into Monday morning. Precipitation will
become more showery on Monday, with conditions mostly varying
between MVFRVFR, though higher terrain could remain obscured.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the coast in the morning,
then inland during the afternoon. -spilde

Marine Updated 230 pm pdt Sunday 15 september 2019... Seas will
remain hazardous to smaller crafts this afternoon as a front
moves through the waters. Gale force winds will be possible on
Tuesday, mainly north of CAPE blanco. Hazardous seas will be
likely with this frontal passage on Tuesday as seas will be high
and steep to very steep. As a low moves eastwards, the waters will
probably remain hazardous to smaller crafts from Tuesday night
into Wednesday as seas remain high and steep. High pressure and
lower seas are expected Friday into Saturday.

Fire weather Updated 130 pm pdt Sunday, 15 september 2019...

very windy conditions are developing east of the cascades early this
afternoon with several raws sites already notching wind gusts in the
35-45 mph range. A new wildfire was reported in the hart mountain
area and can easily be seen in goes-17 imagery this afternoon. Rhs are
expected to drop into the 8-15% range, so the red flag warning that is
out for those areas is on track. Expect these gusty winds to continue
into the evening hours and while they won't completely subside
overnight, the strongest wind gusts should end by around 8 pm.

After that, fire weather concerns diminish substantially with
widespread wetting rainfall expected with a cold front tonight into
Monday with a huge cool down east of the cascades. Rain is already
falling along the coast and into the umpqua valley with arrival times
late this afternoon and evening in the rogue valley cascades, then
overnight into Monday morning south and east of the cascades (including
across the rest of northern california). Rain amounts of 0.50-1.00 inch
will be common from the cascades westward (more along the coast) with
0.25-0.50 of an inch in northern california and east of the cascades.

Amounts may be slightly lower than 0.25 of an inch east of the warner
mountains. 24-hour temperature change from this afternoon to Monday
afternoon will be 20-30 degrees over the east side. Precipitation will
become more showery Monday behind the front and there is a slight risk
of thunderstorms in the cool, unstable air mass, but we're not
expecting significant amounts of lightning.

More wet weather is expected midweek as another wet front moves
onshore Tuesday into Wednesday. Cool, showery weather will likely
continue into Thursday before some drying occurs late next week with
temperatures getting back closer to normal. -spilde

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... Red flag warning until 8 pm pdt this evening for orz624-625.

Wind advisory until 8 pm pdt this evening for orz030-031.

Ca... Red flag warning until 8 pm pdt this evening for caz285.

Wind advisory until 8 pm pdt this evening for caz084-085.

Red flag warning until 8 pm pdt this evening for caz284.

Pacific coastal waters... Gale watch from late Monday night through
Tuesday afternoon for pzz350-370.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm pdt this afternoon for
pzz350-356-370-376.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 22 mi48 min SSE 9.9 G 14 58°F 55°F1011.6 hPa (+0.0)
CECC1 - 9419750 - Crescent City, CA 49 mi54 min ESE 2.9 G 5.1 60°F 60°F1011 hPa

Wind History for Port Orford, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brookings, Brookings Airport, OR25 mi1.9 hrsNW 50.50 miLight Rain Fog59°F59°F100%1011.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBOK

Wind History from BOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7SE3CalmSE5CalmSE3E3CalmCalmCalm355E4SE7SE4SE53S7Calm3SE5NW5Calm
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2 days agoNW9CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3SW4S3NW6NW9NW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon
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Wedderburn
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Sun -- 12:56 AM PDT     6.23 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:21 AM PDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:13 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:29 PM PDT     6.10 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:27 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:38 PM PDT     1.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:36 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.96.25.953.72.41.30.80.91.62.84.25.4665.44.43.22.11.41.41.92.94.2

Tide / Current Tables for Port Orford, Pacific Ocean, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.