Thursday, September16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fredonia, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 7:26PM Thursday September 16, 2021 2:15 PM EDT (18:15 UTC) Moonrise 4:36PMMoonset 12:42AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ040 Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 158 Pm Edt Thu Sep 16 2021
This afternoon..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday night..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..East winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..South winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
LEZ040 Expires:202109162215;;721987 FZUS51 KBUF 161758 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 158 PM EDT Thu Sep 16 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ040-041-162215-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fredonia, NY
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location: 42.43, -79.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 161359 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 959 AM EDT Thu Sep 16 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will drift east across New England this afternoon before moving off the coast tonight and Friday. This will support fair dry weather with a warming trend to end the work week. The passing of a somewhat moisture starved cold front could spark a shower or isolated thunderstorm Friday night or Saturday, otherwise the upcoming weekend should feature dry weather with temperatures averaging a few degrees above normal.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. High pressure overhead at daybreak will push east during the course of the day, making its way off the coast tonight. This in tandem with substantial hgt rises will guarantee fair dry weather through tonight.

Return flow around aforementioned high pressure will elevate Tds back into the mid and upper 60s on Friday. Marginally unstable conditions in the afternoon could then yield a spotty shower. A warmer day with afternoons highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for most areas.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Heading into Friday night, a prefrontal trough ahead of a cold front placed over the central Great Lakes will continue to progress eastward across the eastern Great Lakes through the remainder of Friday. The passage of the prefrontal trough combined with the left over low level moisture from earlier in the day will support slight chances for showers and a few rumbles of thunder.

Then, the aforementioned cold front and main upper level trough axis will cross overhead Saturday, with the best upper level support grazing Northern New York. Therefore, with the frontal passage expect chances for showers Saturday morning. The frontal boundary will then sag southward and stall across the region Saturday afternoon. This combined with additional lift from daytime heating will create chances for showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon.

Despite the stalled frontal boundary, showers and storms will cease by Saturday night, as the eastern fringes of the upper level ridge introduces subsidence to the region.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Sunday, the stalled frontal boundary from the day prior will lift northeast as a warm front. Meanwhile, upper level ridging and a large area of surface high pressure will span across the eastern Great Lakes. While the high pressure overhead will support subsidence and dry weather, the passage of the warm front will advect in warm air across the region, initiating a period of late summer warmth.

Surface high pressure and upper level ridge will slowly build east into New England Monday and Tuesday supporting both dry weather and warm days.

Meanwhile over the Rockies, an upper level trough will deepen and form a closed low. By Wednesday, the trough/ridge pattern will have slid east further, introducing deep southwesterly flow to develop overhead of the region. Additionally with the upper level trough advancing closer to the region, its associated surface low and frontal boundaries will cross the Great Lakes, introducing the next chances of showers.

Otherwise as alluded to previously, conditions will be on the warm side with high temperatures averaging around 10 to 15 degrees above average. Highs each day will rise into the upper 70s to low 80s, with low to mid 70s in the higher terrain across the North Country.

AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Low conditions at KROC with improve to VFR between 14z and 1430z.

High pressure will assure us of VFR weather through tonight. The exception will be in the valleys of the Srn Tier where overnight stratus and fog will likely result in MVFR to IFR conditions at KJHW and KELZ.

Outlook .

Friday through Monday . Mainly VFR.

MARINE. High pressure over Lake Ontario at daybreak will push east across New England during the course of today before moving off the coast tonight. This scenario will maintain light winds and negligible waves over the Lower Great Lakes through Friday.

While there will be a minimal chance for showers Friday night and Saturday . a weak sfc pressure will promote continued light winds with little wave action throughout the weekend.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . RSH/TMA NEAR TERM . RSH/TMA SHORT TERM . EAJ LONG TERM . EAJ AVIATION . RSH MARINE . Apffel/RSH/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 4 mi75 min NNE 12 G 15 68°F 1022.5 hPa (-0.8)
45142 - Port Colborne 22 mi75 min ENE 9.7 G 12 69°F 72°F1 ft1022.8 hPa (-0.4)
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 24 mi45 min 72°F 1021.5 hPa
NREP1 27 mi105 min ENE 7 G 12
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 39 mi45 min ENE 5.1 G 7 78°F 72°F1021.7 hPa52°F
EREP1 44 mi45 min NE 13 G 14
45167 45 mi55 min 14 G 16 70°F 73°F1 ft
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 48 mi45 min 73°F 1021.7 hPa

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY6 mi22 minNNE 710.00 miFair76°F61°F60%1022.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDKK

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmE5E64E9N8NE7
1 day agoW9SW13
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W6SW10SW6S7S6CalmCalmCalmN7SW5W3NW6
2 days agoNW6NW6W6E13SW8SW6CalmCalmSE4E4NE5NE6SE4CalmS5SW6S8S9S10S9S9SW9SW15
G20
SW13

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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