Saturday, October24, 2020
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L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Cheshire, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 5:58PM Saturday October 24, 2020 7:01 PM EDT (23:01 UTC) Moonrise 3:17PMMoonset 12:01AM Illumination 57% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 615 Pm Edt Sat Oct 24 2020
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain likely.
Mon..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Chance of rain.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 615 Pm Edt Sat Oct 24 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Behind a cold front cooler and drier air settles over the coastal waters tonight into Sunday. Surface low pressure passes to the south Sunday night, and then off to the east on Monday. A mid atlantic ridge settles in to the south through mid week, while a frontal system arrives late in the week. Long period swells from hurricane epsilon will continue into Sunday night. Please refer to national hurricane center products for further details on epsilon.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cheshire, MA
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location: 42.53, -73     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 241948 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 348 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. Dry and chilly conditions in store for tonight and Sunday. The start of the new week will be unsettled with rain across much of the area, with some wet snow possible for the southern Adirondacks and southern Green Mountains early Monday morning.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. Clearing in the Hudson Valley and parts of western New England. Lingering low level moisture and lake effect flow keeping western areas cloudy. As cold front departs and high pressure builds in from the west and northwest, low level flow weakens and turns more north. This will decrease the flow off the lakes and allow for the Hudson Valley and western New England to be partly cloudy to mostly clear through tonight and western areas to see a slower, more gradual erosion of the cloudiness through the night. There may even be some localized clouds into the Lake George Saratoga Region to parts of southern VT with light winds off Lake Champlain and Lake George but if so, very localized.

Winds will decrease to near calm by daybreak and will allow temperatures to fall into the 30s with some 20s in more rural areas.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/. High pressure builds along the U.S./Canadian border Sunday and exits east Sunday night. Mainly sunny sky with light winds Sunday with highs in the 40s to lower 50s.

Upper energy and increasing warm advection Sunday night with low temperatures likely in the evening before thickening clouds and low level winds become light east to southeast. The northern edge of light rain begins to spread north late Sunday evening and in the early morning hours of Monday, but just chances due to the dry low levels. There could be a light mix of rain and snow in the southern Adirondacks.

By daybreak Monday, precipitation should quickly expand through most of our region but less coverage in southern areas as low level southwest jet energy tracks across central and northern NY, putting much of our region in low level divergence but isentropic lift and warm advection will still support solid chances for rain while rain likely along and north of I-90. Light mix of rain and snow in southern Adirondacks becomes cold rain Monday morning. Highs Monday in the 40s to lower 50s but some mid 50s mid Hudson Valley and NW CT.

Upper energy and low level forcing exits Monday night before another upper impulse embedded in quick west to southwest upper flow later Tuesday. Any lingering rain Monday evening should get suppressed into the eastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, NW CT and southern Berkshires later Monday night through Tuesday morning with a quick period of low level ridging building in from the north. There should still be considerable cloudiness and again, some chances for rain in southern areas Monday night into Tuesday morning. Slight chances for rain late Monday night through Tuesday morning Mohawk Valley to northern Berkshires and points north, closer to the center of the low level ridging. Maybe isolated patches of rain and snow in the southern Adirondacks around daybreak Tuesday.

Rain expands slowly north through Tuesday afternoon but the deepest moisture and forcing should trend south of our region. Still, chances for rain everywhere Tuesday afternoon with highs in the 40s to lower 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. The long term period may consist of a period of unsettled weather, especially on Thursday and Friday, with generally dry weather during the other time periods. Temperatures will average below normal during this period as well.

During Tuesday night, the frontal boundary will be to the south of the area; however, a few lingering showers (and higher elevation snow showers) will be possible as the upper-level shortwave passes through. Even if there were to be a few snow showers, little if any accumulation is expected. Lows will range from the upper 20s across the Adirondacks to near 40 in the mid-Hudson Valley.

Upper-level flow becomes more zonal on Wednesday as high pressure works into the region. This should bring a mostly dry day with at least partial sunshine. Highs will generally reach the 40s across areas above 1000 feet to the 50s below.

Thursday and Friday will be a challenging forecast for the next several days as multiple features are likely to impact the forecast. This includes 1) A southern stream cut-off upper-level low across Texas, 2) A developing tropical low moving northward into the Gulf Coast states, 3) A northern stream upper-level shortwave moving across the Great Lakes and Northeast and 4) A large area of high pressure building into the region in the wake of the northern stream shortwave, which will attempt to suppress precipitation southward.

Model guidance today suggests that the upper-level low and the tropical low merge across the Southern states and track northeastward toward our region, with the center passing by to our south across the mid-Atlantic. Still, enough moisture on the northern side can bring periods of rain to the area Thursday into Friday, especially south of Albany. Pending on when precipitation ends, low-level cold air from the building high to the north could lead to a change over to a rain/snow mix or plain snow in some places before ending (this would most likely occur during the Thursday night/early Friday morning time period). It is important to note that model guidance and consistency remains low, so changes to this forecast are likely to occur in the coming days. We will continue to monitor trends and update as needed.

Highs Thursday will be in the 40s and 50s with lows Thursday night in the upper 20s to near 40. Highs Friday will only reach the 30s in the higher terrain to the 40s elsewhere with lows Friday night in the 20s to lower 30s.

Dry weather returns Saturday with high pressure overhead. Highs will be in the 40s to lower 50s.

AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Cold front has moved south and east of the TAF sites as of early this afternoon. Still some lingering MVFR Cigs immediately behind the front affecting KPSF and KPOU through around 21Z, with VFR conditions elsewhere (with occasional Cigs of 3500-5000 FT AGL).

For tonight into Sunday morning, mainly VFR conditions are expected. The one small caveat could be some patchy clouds that drift off Lake Champlain, and possibly extend into KGFL and KPSF between roughly 08Z-13Z/Sun. Should this occur, can not completely rule out a period of MVFR Cigs (around 2500 FT AGL).

North to northwest winds will average 8-12 KT this afternoon, with a few gusts up to 20-25 KT possible, especially at KALB and KPSF. North to northwest winds will decrease to 5-10 KT later this evening, and continue through Sunday morning, veering slightly into the north to northeast after sunrise.

Outlook .

Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely RA. Monday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA. Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA. Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA. Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA. Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA.

FIRE WEATHER. Dry and chilly conditions in store for tonight and Sunday. The start of the new week will be unsettled with rain across much of the area, with some wet snow possible for the southern Adirondacks and southern Green Mountains early Monday morning.

RH values will increase to between 85 and 95 percent tonight, decreasing to minimum values of 35 to 50 percent on Sunday.

Winds tonight will be northwest at 5 to 10 mph, becoming northerly on Sunday.

HYDROLOGY. No widespread or significant hydro problems are expected through the next 7 days.

Drier and cooler conditions are forecast tonight through Sunday. Then some periods of light rain are expected Sunday night through the middle of next week, as a series of low pressure systems moves across the region. Appreciable rainfall could occur for areas north and west of the Capital District, although antecedent dry conditions should preclude any flooding.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . NAS NEAR TERM . NAS SHORT TERM . NAS LONG TERM . Rathbun AVIATION . KL FIRE WEATHER . NAS HYDROLOGY . NAS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 60 mi32 min SE 1 53°F 1015 hPa40°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 86 mi44 min N 4.1 G 8 61°F 1013.8 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 94 mi44 min N 6 G 8 60°F 1012.8 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
North Adams Harriman-and-West Airport, MA15 mi70 minW 1110.00 miOvercast53°F42°F66%1014.8 hPa
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA17 mi68 minWNW 10 G 1910.00 miOvercast50°F39°F68%1013.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAQW

Wind History from AQW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3SW433NE5E5Calm364N5CalmCalmSE4W7W9
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W114W9W6W10W6W11W8
1 day agoW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E4CalmE4E3SE7E5CalmS7SW10
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2 days agoSW5W7W6W5NW6W10W8SW5SW6CalmW5W5W3NW3NW4W3NW6Calm4W4W5W3SW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:22 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:07 PM EDT     4.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 06:41 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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54.43.42.51.70.7-0.1012.233.743.83.12.521.30.50.41.12.43.54.3

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:33 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:15 PM EDT     4.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 06:51 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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54.53.52.61.80.8-0-0.10.822.93.643.83.22.521.40.60.312.23.34.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.