Essex, MA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Essex, MA

April 23, 2024 2:40 PM EDT (18:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 7:35 PM
Moonrise 7:34 PM   Moonset 5:31 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ251 Massachusetts Bay And Ipswich Bay- 104 Pm Edt Tue Apr 23 2024

This afternoon - SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds.

Tonight - S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to around 10 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds.

Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 9 seconds and se 2 ft at 4 seconds. Showers likely in the afternoon.

Wed night - NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 4 ft at 9 seconds.

Thu - N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: N 4 ft at 6 seconds and E 3 ft at 9 seconds.

Thu night - S winds around 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: ne 2 ft at 7 seconds and S 1 ft at 3 seconds.

Fri through Sat - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Sat night - S winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 104 Pm Edt Tue Apr 23 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - High pres continues to dominate weather conditions through today. A cold front will cross the region on Wed, bringing a round of showers and Thunderstorms. High pres builds back in Thu, and remains in place through Sat.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Essex, MA
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 231731 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 131 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
Chilly this morning, then turning comfortable and mostly sunny this afternoon. Cold front moves across southern New England on Wednesday with showers and perhaps isolated thunderstorms. Large high pressure will build into the region Thursday through Saturday bringing dry weather with moderating temperatures Friday and Saturday. The next chance of showers will be Saturday night into Sunday as a frontal system approaches. Much warmer temperatures are possible by Sunday/Monday but a backdoor front may keep much of the region cooler after all.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
9AM Update...

Pesky, but impactful, area of fog that draped over the southern I-95 corridor from Providence to Boston this morning has fully dissipated as of this writing thanks to daytime heating. This area of fog formed along a well defined dewpoint boundary, where dews were as much as 10F lower just north and west of the fog compared to right along the boundary, where dews were observed in the mid 30s to low 40s.

For the rest of the day, expecting abundant sunshine with temperatures warming to near and above normal.

Previous update...

Highlights:

* Clear and chilly to start. Sunny and comfortable this afternoon.

Brr, a chilly start to the day thanks to clear sky cover overnight and calm winds. Frost Advisory remains in effect until 7am due to morning temperatures across portions of Connecticut and southeast Massachusetts, as well as Rhode Island. Temperatures will quickly climb into the low and middle 60s this afternoon, while the immediate coast remains in the upper 50s. Plenty of sunshine this afternoon due to a broad area of high pressure stretching across much of the eastern seaboard.

Due to the dry profile of the lower atmosphere could have issues with our dewpoint forecast today, did opt to use the the percentile of the NBM, but this might not be low enough - something the day shift will need to monitor. As it stands, the minimum value of relative humidity this afternoon is 20 to 30 percent. Winds are from the south this afternoon at 10 to 15 mph and gusts to 25 mph.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
Highlights:

* Less cold Tuesday night, showers return for Wednesday and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm during the afternoon.

Overnight into Wednesday morning is less cold, due to the increasing cloud cover and steady southerly wind, temperatures only drop back into the upper 30s and low 40s. No threat for frost, but that does return Wednesday night - likely to result in a new frost headline.

Our next chance for rain and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm is Wednesday with the passage of a cold front and its associated robust mid-level shortwave/trough. There is adequate moisture, PWATs are between 0.7 and 1.0 inches, and lift to support numerous showers during Wednesday morning. Do think the better chance for any rumbles of thunder would be during the afternoon do the the steep mid-level lapse rates - in addition to a couple hundred units of surface based CAPE. QPF is in the neighborhood of 0.10 to 0.15 inch, but isolated areas of higher amounts are possible within these isolated thunderstorms.

Afternoon highs will depend a bit on the amount of clearing we have during the afternoon, but generally a seasonable temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s. Behind the front, the wind becomes northwest and sets the stage for a much colder night ahead.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Key Points...

* Widespread showers Wed and possibly an isolated t-storm, then drying and cold Wed night with freezing temps.

* Dry Thu through Sat. Cool Thu then milder Fri-Sat

* Chance of showers Sat night and Sun

Details...

Dry, post frontal NW flow kicks in late Wednesday and persists into Thursday as high pressure expands from the Great Lakes into New England. This will lead to a colder airmass once again overspreading the region and lows in the upper 20s/low 30s Thursday morning.
Frost/Freeze headlines will likely be needed on Thursday and potentially Friday mornings. The surface high remains in control through Saturday, becoming centered over New England on Friday and sinking to our southeast by Saturday night. This pattern offers plenty of sun and light winds each day, so while relative humidities will be quite dry on Thursday (20-30%) fire conditions shouldn't be too elevated unless the high is slower to advance east (and breezy winds were to then linger into Thursday afternoon).

Our next chance of rain comes in the second half of the weekend as the high pressure is shunted southward by our next shortwave rounding the ridge. However, confidence is low for this portion of the forecast given the wide range of possible scenarios. For what it's worth, both the EPS and GEFS ensemble guidance have at least a 30% chance of measurable rain by Sunday afternoon, so odds of unsettled weather will be on the rise regardless. The biggest forecast challenge will be for high temperatures Sunday and Monday.
Guidance continues to advertise the chance for the warmest temps of the season so far (well into the 70s). However, the possibility of a backdoor cold front to keep much of our region colder looms large; this would result in a large gradient from eastern MA to southwest CT. GEFS ensemble guidance is less enthused with the widespread warmth than the EPS at this point. Stay tuned.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Through tonight... High Confidence

VFR through 09Z Wednesday with MVFR cigs possible across western terminals through 12Z. Rain showers develop ahead of advancing cold front during the pre dawn hours and may creep east into BAF/BDL prior to 12Z, but terminals farther east will remain dry through the period. ESE/SE winds this afternoon become south after 22Z. Winds shift further to the SW by sunrise. Winds generally 10 to as high as 15kt, though some gusts to 20kt possible along the south coast through sunset tonight.

Wednesday...High confidence.

Generally low end VFR to MVFR, with lower cigs in showers between 12-20Z. Localized IFR possible. Rain will trend showery over stratiform in first surge of cold frontal precipitation.

A secondary round of widely scattered showers will develop after 20Z and may contain isolated TSRA. Uncertainty remains too high to include a PROB30 or prevailing TSRA group at any terminal, but the best chance for any sort of thunderstorm remains between 20-23Z.

Southwest winds shift to the west behind the frontal passage mid day, winds gusting to as high as 20kt.

Wednesday night... High Confidence.

Rapid clearing expected from west to east, widespread VFR with nearly clear skies. Winds shift to the north and will range between 5 and 10kt.

KBOS TAF...High Confidence Cold frontal passage brings showers to the terminal between 10-20Z Wednesday. Low risk for TSRA between 20-23Z before rapid clearing occurs. Winds ESE this afternoon become SW overnight and W behind the frontal passage tomorrow afternoon. Winds eventually become N by late Wednesday night. Uncertainty in strength of winds on Wed night, but winds will be greatest for coastal terminals, up to 25kt.

KBDL TAF...High Confidence Cold frontal passage brings showers to the terminal between 10-20Z Wednesday. Winds become SW overnight and W behind the frontal passage tomorrow afternoon. Winds eventually become N by late Wednesday night.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...

Thursday through Friday Night: VFR.

Saturday: VFR. Breezy.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today through Wednesday...High confidence.

Tranquil early season boating conditions due to a broad area of high pressure across the eastern seaboard. A cold front moves across the waters Wednesday, bringing showers and the potential for isolated thunderstorms during the second-half of the day. This period features seas and winds below advisory criteria, but behind the cold front Wednesday night, gusty northwest winds may result in marginal small craft conditions.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...

Wednesday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Thursday Night through Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt.

FIRE WEATHER
Today...Elevated Fire Weather Concerns.

Minimum values of relative humidity this afternoon are forecast between 20 and 30 percent this afternoon along with gusts up to 20 MPH. Due to pre-greenup conditions and a dry atmosphere there are elevated fire weather concerns this afternoon.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 11 mi96 min SE 16G18 46°F 46°F1 ft30.15
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 17 mi40 min SE 18G21 47°F 46°F30.1438°F
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 22 mi52 min 55°F 30.09
IOSN3 - Isle of Shoals, NH 28 mi40 min SE 25G27 47°F 30.0933°F
BGXN3 - Great Bay Reserve, NH 33 mi115 min SE 6 57°F 30.1230°F
44098 - Jeffrey's Ledge, NH (160) 34 mi44 min 46°F2 ft
SEIM1 35 mi52 min 50°F 43°F30.1340°F
44018 - SE Cape Cod 30NM East of Nantucket, MA 41 mi60 min 46°F2 ft
44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf 45 mi96 min SSE 16G18 46°F 47°F2 ft30.13


Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBVY BEVERLY RGNL,MA 9 sm47 minSE 18G2610 smClear52°F37°F58%30.11
KBOS GENERAL EDWARD LAWRENCE LOGAN INTL,MA 21 sm46 minESE 1810 smA Few Clouds55°F39°F54%30.10
KLWM LAWRENCE MUNI,MA 22 sm46 minSE 10G2510 smClear59°F30°F33%30.10
Link to 5 minute data for KBVY


Wind History from BVY
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Manchester Harbor, Massachusetts
   
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Manchester Harbor
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Tue -- 05:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:41 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:58 AM EDT     8.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:52 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Manchester Harbor, Massachusetts, Tide feet
12
am
9
1
am
8
2
am
6.4
3
am
4.4
4
am
2.2
5
am
0.7
6
am
0.4
7
am
1.3
8
am
2.7
9
am
4.6
10
am
6.6
11
am
8.1
12
pm
8.6
1
pm
8.1
2
pm
6.8
3
pm
5
4
pm
3
5
pm
1.4
6
pm
0.9
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
3.1
9
pm
4.9
10
pm
6.9
11
pm
8.5



Tide / Current for Marblehead Channel, Massachusetts Current
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Marblehead Channel
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Tue -- 12:34 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:43 AM EDT     -0.41 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:52 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:09 AM EDT     0.38 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:48 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:56 PM EDT     -0.36 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:03 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tue -- 10:17 PM EDT     0.40 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Marblehead Channel, Massachusetts Current, knots
12
am
0.1
1
am
-0.1
2
am
-0.2
3
am
-0.3
4
am
-0.4
5
am
-0.4
6
am
-0.3
7
am
0
8
am
0.3
9
am
0.3
10
am
0.4
11
am
0.3
12
pm
0.2
1
pm
-0
2
pm
-0.2
3
pm
-0.3
4
pm
-0.3
5
pm
-0.4
6
pm
-0.3
7
pm
-0
8
pm
0.3
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.4




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Boston, MA,



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