North Kingsville, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Kingsville, OH

June 17, 2024 11:45 PM EDT (03:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:44 AM   Sunset 9:07 PM
Moonrise 3:56 PM   Moonset 1:40 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ168 Expires:202406180830;;205901 Fzus61 Kcle 180131 Glfle
open lake forecast for lake erie national weather service cleveland oh 931 pm edt Mon jun 17 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

Synopsis - A ridge averaging 30.10 inches will continue to dominate the weather over the great lakes through late this week. The ridge will likely weaken to 30.00 inches by the weekend.
lez165>168-180830- vermilion to avon point oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- avon point to willowick oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the- lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border-geneva-on- the-lake to conneaut oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- 931 pm edt Mon jun 17 2024

Overnight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday night - South winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming east. Waves 1 foot or less.

Friday - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Waves 1 foot or less.

Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Kingsville, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 936 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

An upper level ridge will persist over the region through this week, resulting in widespread near-record temperatures across the area. The next system won't arrive until the end of the weekend.

930 PM Update...
Slight adjustments were made to the temperatures to reflect current observations, but not big changes were needed with this update.

630 PM Update...
The biggest update/change with this forecast was lowering temperatures in areas that have seen precipitation between 15-20 degrees in the hourly forecast. Across NW OH, temperatures continue to linger in the 90s, but some areas out east have fallen into the 70s do to evaporative cooling. This should not impact overnight lows much with them still expected to drop near 70. Opted to introduce patchy fog across the southeastern tier of counties primarily due to these cooling temperatures but dewpoints remaining high. Cannot rule out patchy fog occurring elsewhere in areas that it rained this evening. A similar situation may occur tomorrow with afternoon thunderstorms locally lowering temperatures, but will need to continue to monitor that potential.

Previous Discussion...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are developing across the forecast area this afternoon, as convective temperatures are being reached in the mid 90s and surface dew points start broaching the 70 degree mark across northern Ohio. However, with no real forcing other than the diurnal forcing, coverage is just scattered across the region. However, the environment for these storms is generally supportive for strong to severe convection with SBCAPE values reaching over 3500 J/kg, DCAPE values exceeding 1000 J/kg, and low level lapse rates in excess of 8 C/km, which will support robust, quickly growing updrafts that will support severe sized hail and tall enough cores that could descend as downbursts with winds over 60 MPH. Several Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and Special Weather Statements are ongoing and the environment appears favorable for strong to severe storms through early evening. Convection will move east of the area later this evening and subside with a more stable environment with the loss of diurnal heating. Residual cloud cover across the region from this afternoon's storms could remain for some portion of tonight and help keep temperatures slightly elevated with lows likely not escaping the 70s for most of the forecast area.

Tuesday appears to be a rinse and repeat of today. An abnormally warm summer air mass will allow for temperatures to exceed 90 degrees and dew point values will once again approach the 70 degree mark. This will allow for heat index values to exceed 100 degrees and the Heat Advisory will remain valid. Temperatures should hit convective temperatures again with the diurnal cycle and scattered showers and storms will be present again. Storms could once again have a bite with an generally unstable environment to support some strong to severe wind and hail. Any convection will also taper off temperatures and heat index values from hitting the Heat Advisory values. Residual clouds and abnormally warm air mass will have another dry, but warm Tuesday night with lows likely staying above 70 degrees.

Strong upper high will maintain itself over the eastern CONUS through the short term period with southerly flow, deep moisture advection, and steamy temperatures continuing through mid to late week. As stated in the previous discussion from last night, the main challenge is how much convection occurs during this time and how much that will impact the temperatures and dew points. Regardless, temperatures will likely climb well into the 90s each day with spots in NW OH most likely reaching the upper 90s to around 100 degrees. There won't be a ton of respite overnight; overnight lows will be in the 70s with the warmest temps expected in urban areas and dew points in the upper 60s to lower 70s. In locations that don't receive rainfall, heat indices will likely climb into the upper 90s to lower 100s and the Heat Advisory remains in place through the entirety of the long term period.

As far as precip chances go, maintained slight chance PoPs during peak diurnal heating/instability; shower and thunderstorm placement will rely on the exact placement of the upper ridging over the area in addition to any boundaries from daily lake breezes since there won't be much lift otherwise. Similar to today, there will be quite a bit of buoyancy and moisture in the atmosphere so any storms that develop could produce gusty downbursts and locally torrential rainfall.

By Friday, the upper ridge will largely weaken and flatten out, but deep southerly flow and warm air advection will persist through Saturday so still expect highs in the 90s with heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s on Friday. Dew points may begin to decline slightly Saturday, so heat indices will likely remain in the 90s. As with previous days, there may be diurnal convection so there are slight chance PoPs during each afternoon.

Still some uncertainty in the time of arrival of the next system, but a cold front will likely slowly advance east towards the area late in the week and into the weekend with a cold front likely sweeping across the area at some point Sunday or Sunday night. This will deliver the next widespread chance of showers and thunderstorms and finally some relief from the heat to the CWA By Sunday, highs will be back into the upper 80s to lower 90s with much cooler highs in the 80s (even 70s in NW PA!) likely by Monday.

AVIATION /00Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/
Predominantly VFR conditions are expected to persist through this period as high pressure remains dominant across the region.
There is a potential for terminals who received rainfall this evening to see patchy fog develop overnight and result in reduced visibilities to MVFR distances. Confidence in the timing, development and extent of any fog remains fairly low, so opted to only include a TEMPO for it at KYNG and KCAK from 08-12Z Tuesday, but will have to continue to monitor the potential elsewhere. All fog should dissipate quickly after sunrise as temperatures are expected to rapidly rise. The other hazard is the potential for thunderstorms to once again develop Tuesday afternoon across the area, which will again be scattered in nature. Opted to handle this with VCTS at the end of the period. Winds will maintained a southerly component through the period at 5-10 knots.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Friday. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon, but confidence is low.

Outside of the potential for isolated showers and thunderstorms (best chance this afternoon/evening and Tuesday), quiet marine conditions with offshore winds under 10 knots and brief periods of light onshore flow with daily lake breezes are expected through Saturday. Do not expect any marine headlines this week.

A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on several days. The records for Monday, June 17 to Friday, June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-17 97(1994) 94(1936) 94(2018) 94(2018) 95(1994) 90(2018)
06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)

OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for OHZ003-006>014-017>023- 027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for PAZ001>003.

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
45132 - Port Stanley 16 mi45 minS 9.7G12 72°F 67°F1 ft30.04
ASBO1 47 mi45 minS 8.9G11
45208 48 mi25 minSSW 12G16 76°F 68°F0 ft30.0369°F
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 48 mi45 minSSE 7G8.9
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 51 mi75 minS 7G12
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 59 mi45 minSSE 13G16 81°F 68°F30.0273°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
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Wind History graph: ERI
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Tide / Current for
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Cleveland, OH,

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