Cortland, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cortland, NY

June 15, 2024 4:05 PM EDT (20:05 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:24 AM   Sunset 8:46 PM
Moonrise 1:29 PM   Moonset 12:44 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202406151530;;047858 Fzus51 Kbuf 150831 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 431 am edt Sat jun 15 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-151530- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 431 am edt Sat jun 15 2024

Today - North winds 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tonight - Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Sunday - Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Monday - South winds 5 to 15 knots. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
the water temperature off rochester is 63 degrees.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cortland, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 151758 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 158 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure has built into the region with dry and warming conditions expected this weekend. Next week the heat continues to build with hot and humid conditions expected through much of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
145 PM Update...

With the upper level ridge axis just east of the region today, cooler and drier northwest flow has allowed for comfortable conditions this afternoon with lower dew points and a few clouds to block the sun at times. Temperatures have been running above models and forecast so a blend of the NBM 90th have been used as well as a few degrees added in the Finger Lakes region to account for the current trend.

As the trough axis moves east and upper level ridging begins to build in, a fairly strong surface high moves into the region with calm winds and clear skies expected tonight. This will allow for efficient radiational cooling. What the dew points mix to this afternoon will likely be what the temperatures radiate to overnight. Blended in the NBM 10th for temperatures to get closer to what the current dew points are out there already this afternoon. Fog formation is likely in the valleys of the upper Susquehanna river valley and Delaware River with the clear skies. The NAM wants to really radiate out in some of the higher valleys of the Catskills as well as through the hills in the Southern Finger Lakes and CNY with pockets falling into the upper 30s. This is unlikely as fog formation should end up holding lows somewhere in the low to mid 40s at the coolest.

Tomorrow begins the big warming trend as upper level ridging really builds in with southerly flow developing in the low levels. This will begin to advect in warmer temperatures aloft as well as bring in better low level moisture with dew points increasing through the day. Still dew points should not rise much into the 50s so it will still feel comfortable tomorrow afternoon.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
155 PM Update...

There was little to change from the early morning update and the previous discussion remains valid.

Previous Discussion...

Main concerns in the short term are focused on the increasing heat and humidity starting early in the week.

Upper level ridge axis moves in from the west and the magnitude of the ridge really starts to increase on Monday, and even more on Tuesday. This synoptic pattern and very warm air mass will create potentially hazardous heat conditions across the region this week.

There continues to be strong multi-model consensus that 500mb heights will increase above 585dm Sunday night into Monday and then even above 590dm Monday night into Tuesday. These numbers, if they end up verifying, would be some of the most extreme 500mb height values for this time of the year in this area in recorded history (according to observed upper-air sounding data from BUF and ALB). However, when looking at 850mb temperatures, the results are similar but slightly tempered. Model guidance for Tuesday this week is indicating 850mb temperatures around +20 degC, which is well below all-time records but still near the top of climatology for this time of year. The combination of the warm air, the very strong large- scale suppression, surface dew points in the upper 60s and lower 70s and the overall, relatively long duration of the heat will lead to a potentially high-impact weather event this week.

Temperatures on Monday will be markedly warmer than Sunday and the addition of humidity to the air will make it feel even hotter. Expect highs Monday afternoon into the upper 80s and lower 90s. Heat indices are expected to be just slightly higher.
On Monday night, there will be minimal recover from the heat with lows only dropping down into the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Tuesday will be the first really hot and humid day of the week with highs topping out in the lower to mid 90s, and heat indices in the mid 90s to around 100. The amount of heat and and humidity could lead to some late afternoon convection trying to bubble up, especially in w-central NY. Confidence in precip seem rather low at this time as there is a good chance of a capping inversion being in place keeping the lid on any significant convection.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
155 PM Update...

The pattern mentioned in the short term period will extend into this period as well. While the thermometer may read a degree or two cooler midweek, that relief will not be felt given the hot and humid conditions. Temperatures will max out in the 90s across the region with heat indices in the upper 90s and low 100s. Little relief will be seen at night as temps only fall into the upper 60s to low 70s.
The peak of the upper-level ridge drifts east as the pattern becomes normal. However, 500mb parts will remain around or above 590dm, so little relief is expected Thursday as temperatures climb back into the 90s during the day and only fall into the 60s/70s at night. Weak waves riding the ridge along with a frontal system approaching from the north will bring chances for daytime showers and storms both days.

Conditions will continue to slightly improve through the end of the week and into the weekend as 500mb heights slowly fall. Some 80s will finally be sprinkled in with the 90s for Friday and with even slightly cooler temps for Saturday. Lows will drop into the 60s both nights. The aforementioned front will pass through late in the week with more widespread showers and thunderstorms possible on Friday. While dependent on the timing of the next system, the start of the weekend has a chance to start off with a round of showers and thunderstorms as well.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR conditions expected at all terminals through the next 24 hours. There is a small possibility at some fog at ELM given clear skies and cool temperatures tonight but confidence was low so restrictions were omitted from the ELM TAF for now. Winds this evening become variable as high pressure moves through with light winds persisting into the morning tomorrow.

Outlook...

Saturday afternoon through Monday morning...Mainly VFR.

Monday afternoon through Thursday...Restrictions possible in showers and thunderstorms.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KITH ITHACA TOMPKINS RGNL,NY 17 sm9 minNNW 14G1710 smPartly Cloudy72°F52°F50%30.14
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Binghamton, NY,




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