Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples, NY

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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY

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FXUS61 KBGM 080817 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 417 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. A few showers are possible this afternoon with drier and warmer conditions expected Sunday. The warming trend continues early next week with a return to an active pattern where scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms are likely.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. 327 am update . Quiet weather in the near term with the main concerns centered around the potential for morning fog, a few showers and weak isolated storms this afternoon, and warmer temperatures by Sunday afternoon.

Weak high pressure at the surface combined with a relatively dry air mass in place across much of the Northeast will allow for at least a brief period of quiet weather across cntrl NY and ne PA. Rising heights behind the departing short wave to the east will act to increase large scale suppression this morning, leading to enough clearing to induce areas of fog. Latest satellite imagery and obs are indicating a fairly widespread area of fog across the forecast area this morning. The low clouds and fog are expected to lift and mix out between 8-10 am.

Temperatures will warm into the upper 70s and lower 80s this afternoon. Model guidance continues to hint at a very weak s/w which rolls ewd across the region this afternoon. The combination of weak sfc based instability and the upper wave may produce some scattered to isolated showers and weak storms into the early evening hours. Not expecting any organized thunderstorms, but mainly brief pop-up convection with little impacts.

Skies clear out again tonight and winds remain light, which will lead to another period of patchy fog into Sunday morning. A slightly warmer air mass begins to advect in from the sw on Sunday which will allow temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 80s. Humidity will still be manageable with sfc dew points only in the lower 60s. Weather conditions are expected to remain dry on Sunday with a relatively dry boundary layer keeping any weak pop-up convection limited to virga or just a few drops.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Dry weather likely continues Sunday night with high pressure still in place. A weak wave moving north of the area may bring some clouds to areas along and north of the NY Thruway, but otherwise, mostly clear skies are expected. Lows will likely be in the 60s.

Monday will feature mostly sunny skies with just a slight chance for seeing an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. That being said, the majority of the area will likely remain dry. With a weak ridge in place, along with a southwesterly flow, very warm temperatures are expected. Highs will likely be in the mid 80s to lower 90s. With dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s, heat index values may approach 95 degrees in the valleys and the northern Finger Lakes.

A slight chance for a shower also exists Monday night, but the majority of the area will again likely remain dry. Lows will likely be in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Overall, a rather unsettled long term forecast period is expected with multiple chances for showers and thunderstorms, especially each afternoon. Temperatures will be above normal as an upper level ridge will be situated over the region.

A slow moving cold front and associated upper level shortwave will approach the area on Tuesday from the Great Lakes. This will likely spark showers and thunderstorms ahead of it, especially across Central NY and the Twin Tiers during the afternoon. With an unstable airmass in place, a few of these storms may become on the stronger side. Shear looks to be rather low, so that may limit severe thunderstorm potential to a certain extent. With the slow southeastward progression of this front, heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding may become a concern in any thunderstorms that develop. Otherwise, generally partly sunny skies are expected for Tuesday. Temperatures will again be very warm and humid, with highs likely in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

The above mentioned frontal boundary will likely stall south of the area during the mid-week period. This will set the stage for additional rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially each afternoon. Otherwise, generally partly sunny skies are expected. Temperatures will remain warm and humid, with highs mainly in the 80s and dewpoints mainly in the 60s.

AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Weak high pressure at the surface and passing upper trough will allow for scattered low clouds and some patchy fog this morning . which should mix out after sunrise. Some IFR vsbys and MVFR/fuel alternate req ceilings through 15Z. Cigs return to VFR for the afternoon . and remain VFR through at least 06Z tonight. Winds remain light and variable through the next 24 hours.

Outlook .

Saturday night through Monday . Mainly VFR, except for potential valley fog at KELM. Small chance of a shower/isolated thunderstorm Sunday and Monday afternoon.

Tuesday and Wednesday . Chances for restrictions in showers and thunderstorms.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . BJT NEAR TERM . BJT SHORT TERM . BJG LONG TERM . BJG AVIATION . BJT/HLC

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY	46 mi	52 min	NNE 6 G 8	73°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY	46 mi	52 min		69°F			1020.2 hPa (-0.3)
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY	75 mi	52 min	SSE 6 G 8.9	67°F			1020.3 hPa (-0.4)	64°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Dansville, Dansville Municipal Airport, NY	17 mi	58 min	N 0	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	63°F	61°F	93%	1021.9 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY	19 mi	59 min	SW 4	0.50 mi	Fog	66°F	64°F	96%	1020.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDSV

Wind History from DSV (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (5,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY

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