Saturday, August8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Naples, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 8:24PM Saturday August 8, 2020 5:51 AM EDT (09:51 UTC) Moonrise 10:04PMMoonset 9:56AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1247 Am Edt Sat Aug 8 2020
Overnight..Light and variable winds. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds less than 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Monday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 74 degrees.
LOZ043 Expires:202008080930;;105731 FZUS51 KBUF 080447 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1247 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-080930-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples, NY
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location: 42.62, -77.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 080817 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 417 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. A few showers are possible this afternoon with drier and warmer conditions expected Sunday. The warming trend continues early next week with a return to an active pattern where scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms are likely.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. 327 am update . Quiet weather in the near term with the main concerns centered around the potential for morning fog, a few showers and weak isolated storms this afternoon, and warmer temperatures by Sunday afternoon.

Weak high pressure at the surface combined with a relatively dry air mass in place across much of the Northeast will allow for at least a brief period of quiet weather across cntrl NY and ne PA. Rising heights behind the departing short wave to the east will act to increase large scale suppression this morning, leading to enough clearing to induce areas of fog. Latest satellite imagery and obs are indicating a fairly widespread area of fog across the forecast area this morning. The low clouds and fog are expected to lift and mix out between 8-10 am.

Temperatures will warm into the upper 70s and lower 80s this afternoon. Model guidance continues to hint at a very weak s/w which rolls ewd across the region this afternoon. The combination of weak sfc based instability and the upper wave may produce some scattered to isolated showers and weak storms into the early evening hours. Not expecting any organized thunderstorms, but mainly brief pop-up convection with little impacts.

Skies clear out again tonight and winds remain light, which will lead to another period of patchy fog into Sunday morning. A slightly warmer air mass begins to advect in from the sw on Sunday which will allow temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 80s. Humidity will still be manageable with sfc dew points only in the lower 60s. Weather conditions are expected to remain dry on Sunday with a relatively dry boundary layer keeping any weak pop-up convection limited to virga or just a few drops.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Dry weather likely continues Sunday night with high pressure still in place. A weak wave moving north of the area may bring some clouds to areas along and north of the NY Thruway, but otherwise, mostly clear skies are expected. Lows will likely be in the 60s.

Monday will feature mostly sunny skies with just a slight chance for seeing an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. That being said, the majority of the area will likely remain dry. With a weak ridge in place, along with a southwesterly flow, very warm temperatures are expected. Highs will likely be in the mid 80s to lower 90s. With dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s, heat index values may approach 95 degrees in the valleys and the northern Finger Lakes.

A slight chance for a shower also exists Monday night, but the majority of the area will again likely remain dry. Lows will likely be in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Overall, a rather unsettled long term forecast period is expected with multiple chances for showers and thunderstorms, especially each afternoon. Temperatures will be above normal as an upper level ridge will be situated over the region.

A slow moving cold front and associated upper level shortwave will approach the area on Tuesday from the Great Lakes. This will likely spark showers and thunderstorms ahead of it, especially across Central NY and the Twin Tiers during the afternoon. With an unstable airmass in place, a few of these storms may become on the stronger side. Shear looks to be rather low, so that may limit severe thunderstorm potential to a certain extent. With the slow southeastward progression of this front, heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding may become a concern in any thunderstorms that develop. Otherwise, generally partly sunny skies are expected for Tuesday. Temperatures will again be very warm and humid, with highs likely in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

The above mentioned frontal boundary will likely stall south of the area during the mid-week period. This will set the stage for additional rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially each afternoon. Otherwise, generally partly sunny skies are expected. Temperatures will remain warm and humid, with highs mainly in the 80s and dewpoints mainly in the 60s.

AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Weak high pressure at the surface and passing upper trough will allow for scattered low clouds and some patchy fog this morning . which should mix out after sunrise. Some IFR vsbys and MVFR/fuel alternate req ceilings through 15Z. Cigs return to VFR for the afternoon . and remain VFR through at least 06Z tonight. Winds remain light and variable through the next 24 hours.

Outlook .

Saturday night through Monday . Mainly VFR, except for potential valley fog at KELM. Small chance of a shower/isolated thunderstorm Sunday and Monday afternoon.

Tuesday and Wednesday . Chances for restrictions in showers and thunderstorms.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . BJT NEAR TERM . BJT SHORT TERM . BJG LONG TERM . BJG AVIATION . BJT/HLC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 46 mi52 min NNE 6 G 8 73°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 46 mi52 min 69°F 1020.2 hPa (-0.3)
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 75 mi52 min SSE 6 G 8.9 67°F 1020.3 hPa (-0.4)64°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dansville, Dansville Municipal Airport, NY17 mi58 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds63°F61°F93%1021.9 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY19 mi59 minSW 40.50 miFog66°F64°F96%1020.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDSV

Wind History from DSV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmS3CalmCalmN5NW8NW5NW73NE6NE7NW6NW6NW4NW4NW3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE53SE4SE4CalmN4N4CalmCalmN8NW6NW9NW9N7NW3CalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalm
2 days agoW35W65W65NW8NW4NW7--N7NW10W5NW9W4CalmCalmCalmSE4S3CalmSE4SE6SE6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.