Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Angola, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 8:03PM Sunday August 25, 2019 7:52 AM EDT (11:52 UTC) Moonrise 12:03AMMoonset 3:26PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Dunkirk To Buffalo Along Lake Erie- 731 Pm Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Partly cloudy this evening, then becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ041 Expires:201908250300;;157464 FZUS51 KBUF 242333 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 731 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ041-250300-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Angola, NY
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location: 42.63, -79.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 251053
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
653 am edt Sun aug 25 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will ridge across the region today and then
slowly move off new england through Monday. This will provide a
dry pattern which will last through Monday night. It will be
warmer and chances for rain will increase ahead of a cold front
which will move across the region early on Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
High pressure will continue to ridge across today. There will be
patchy valley fog early this morning, but this will dissipate
by mid- morning. Today will start off mostly sunny, but clouds
will develop mid to late morning with fairly cool air aloft and
ample boundary layer moisture. Unlike yesterday, the flow aloft
will be more ese which will limit lake moisture contribution and
lead to more patchy cloud cover which will mix out more quickly
late this afternoon. At least it should be sunny over the
lakes. By the end of the day, some cirrus should start to move
in from the sw, but it should be rather thin.

Meanwhile, temperatures aloft have bottomed out, and will be on the
rise today (and into next week). Expect highs today to average
in the lower to mid 70s today.

The surface high will drift into new england tonight, and this
will maintain fair weather tonight. A weak southeasterly flow
will develop tonight, and this will limit but probably not
entirely prevent fog from developing tonight. Slightly warmer
air aloft and the light flow will lead to slightly warmer
temperatures with lows mainly in the 50s.

Short term Monday through Wednesday
High pressure will remain nearly stationary across northern new
england and the canadian maritimes Monday. This will provide one
more pleasant day with comfortable temperatures and humidity levels.

Highs will be in the mid to upper 70s, with some low 70s across the
higher terrain.

A warm front will approach from the west Monday night then cross the
area on Tuesday, as high pressure retreats eastward off the new
england coast. Expect the majority of the area to remain dry on
Monday night, however strengthening warm advection on the nose of 30-
35kt low level jet across western ny Tuesday morning will bring the
chance for some showers to the finger lakes and points west. The
best warm advection and upper dynamics will remain across western ny
as the warm front finishes pushing northeast of the area Tuesday
afternoon. This should keep most of the shower activity confined to
the western half of lake ontario and points south (remaining dry
across eastern lake ontario region), before tapering off later in
the afternoon as the front moves north into southern ontario. This
should leave behind a brief period of dry weather for the entire
area in its' wake late Tuesday, before a cold front draped across
the central great lakes approaches for Tuesday night. Another night
with comfortable temperatures and humidity levels in store, with
lows Monday night ranging from the upper 40s to lower 50s across the
higher terrain, to the mid and upper 50s elsewhere. High
temperatures on Tuesday will be similar to Monday, however there
will be a noticeable uptick in the humidity, especially across
western ny, as dew points rise into the mid 60s.

The cold front will move into western ny by late Tuesday night, then
slowly move east across the remainder of the forecast area during
the day Wednesday. Main threat with this front appears to be a
period of heavy rain just ahead of the boundary with pwat values
rising to 1.75-2.00" within a ribbon of deep moisture pooling just
ahead of the cold front on the leading edge of 30-40kt low level
jet. Will keep just the chance for thunder in the forecast as
instability along the front is marginal. Deep southerly flow
combined with increased cloud cover will keep low temperatures
across most areas in the 60s Tuesday night, with some upper 50s
across the higher terrain east of lake ontario. Highs on Wednesday
will be in the mid to upper 70s for most areas, with some low 70s
across the higher terrain.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday
Behind this front a cooler airmass will flow over the region. Under
an upper level trough, steep mid level lapse rates and lingering
moisture will allow skies to become mostly cloudy through the
afternoon. As the cold air deepens, with 850 hpa temperatures
falling into the upper single digits celsius there may be some lake
enhanced rain showers later Wednesday night and through Thursday
night. Will have low chance pops near the lakes for this activity,
as it may not be cold enough unstable enough to encourage a more
widespread lake effect rain event.

Another weak cold front will cross our region Friday night. Better
lift will be found along lake ontario and points eastward. This will
return a chance for rain showers to close out the week.

Temperatures will not stray much from normal... With highs in the 70s
and lows in the mid to upper 50s through this period.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
High pressure will dominate with mainlyVFR flight conditions
and light winds through tonight. Diurnal cumulus will develop
mid to late morning, but cloud bases should be around 4k ft and
in theVFR flight category. These clouds will dissipate late
afternoon with widespreadVFR conditions through this evening.

Patchy valley fog will develop late tonight, but will probably
remain east of the kjhw terminal.

Outlook...

Monday... MainlyVFR with nothing more than southern tier valley
fog producing local ifr conditions.

Monday night and Tuesday... MainlyVFR.

Tuesday night through Thursday...VFR with some short periods of MVFR
from showers and thunderstorms.

Marine
Relatively light and variable winds with corresponding light wave
action are expected into Monday as surface high pressure moves
slowly east across the region.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Apffel
near term... Apffel zaff
short term... Jm
long term... Thomas
aviation... Apffel
marine... Apffel zaff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 4 mi52 min 55°F 1025.6 hPa (+1.2)
45142 - Port Colborne 15 mi52 min ESE 9.7 G 12 62°F 73°F1 ft1025.8 hPa (+1.4)
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 19 mi52 min E 4.1 G 6 57°F 75°F1026.4 hPa (+1.3)44°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 19 mi52 min SE 2.9 G 4.1 57°F 1025.9 hPa (+1.1)
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 31 mi52 min 56°F 1026.5 hPa (+1.2)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY15 mi59 minN 010.00 miFair49°F46°F90%1025.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDKK

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE8NE7NE11
G15
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G18
N10N8N9N7NE7NE3CalmNE6E4----CalmCalm--NE4E4--Calm
1 day agoCalm--NE8NE8N9N11N11
G18
N11N10N8N9N7N6NE6NE8--------CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmN5NW7--W4W4W6W5W6W7W75SW4S5------N9------S3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.