Tuesday, July14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Angola, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 8:53PM Tuesday July 14, 2020 12:47 PM EDT (16:47 UTC) Moonrise 12:31AMMoonset 2:14PM Illumination 32% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Expires:202007141530;;828861 Fzus51 Kbuf 141032 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 632 Am Edt Tue Jul 14 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez040-041-141530- Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 632 Am Edt Tue Jul 14 2020
Today..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southeast winds less than 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest less than 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Thursday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..South winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ041


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Angola, NY
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location: 42.63, -79.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 141450 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1050 AM EDT Tue Jul 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak upper level disturbances will bring a few showers and thunderstorms today. Heat and humidity will increase through the rest of the week, with the best chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms on Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Mid-level closed low over the southern Adirondacks will continue to push east today as ridge expands into the eastern Great Lakes. A few showers or perhaps an isolated thunderstorm will be possible during peak heating east of the Genesee Valley.

Any convection will end this evening leaving clearing skies along with patchy fog.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. Upper level ridging will crest over the area on Wednesday. Meanwhile at the surface, southerly flow will increase on the back side of high pressure as it slides east into New England. This will not only provide dry weather Wednesday and Wednesday night, but also bring about the start of our next stretch of above average temperatures as warmer air is drawn northward. This will push highs back into the low to mid 80s by mid week.

Upper level ridge will push east over New England on Thursday, making way for the next shortwave trough to approach our region. Meanwhile, a warm front will cross the area late Wednesday night into the first part of Thursday. This will bring the chance for a few showers across western NY, but also the next surge of even warmer air. This will be followed by a cold front to the west, slowly meandering toward or into the area during the second half of Thursday and Thursday night. There is uncertainty as to how far south and west this front will make it by the late afternoon/early evening hours on Thursday when instability will be at it's peak. The combination of forcing from the upper shortwave and surface front possibly moving into the region will bring the threat of some showers and thunderstorms, especially in the vicinity of the surface boundary, some of which may produce some gusty winds. Frontal position will play a key role as to where these storms may fire. Temps will ratchet up a few more degrees on Thursday, as highs top out mainly in the mid to upper 80s across the area.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The weakening cold frontal boundary will likely stall somewhere across the area on Friday, while the next upper level shortwave moves into the region. This will keep the threat of showers and storms going through the day. This system will finally exit the region Friday night, with mainly dry weather expected for the overnight.

Upper level ridging will try to push back into the region for the weekend into early next week. This will place us on the northern periphery of the 'flat' ridge aloft, with the possibility for weak upper level impulses caught in the westerlies to cross the area from time to time as they ride along the Canadian border. This will bring the small chance for a shower or storm anytime one of these disturbances moves through, especially if during peak heating. That said, expect a good deal of dry time over the weekend. There is the potential for a cold front to near the lower Great Lakes by Monday, which would bring a better chance of more organized showers and storms for the start of the new work week. The other big story will be the return of the heat, and eventually the humidity as well by Sunday and Monday as dew points will likely reach into at least the low 70s across a good chunk of the area. High temps Saturday-Monday will average in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with heat indices well into the 90s.

AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Mid-level low over the southern Adirondacks will continue to push east today as ridge expands into the eastern Great Lakes. For the most part, looking at VFR weather today, with patchy MVFR cigs through 18Z. Widely scattered showers or perhaps an isolated thunderstorms for areas east of KROC with brief intervals of MVFR/IFR within this activity.

Patchy river valley fog possible tonight which may impact KJHW.

Outlook .

Wednesday . VFR. Thursday . VFR/MVFR with showers and thunderstorms likely. Friday . Mainly VFR. A small chance of showers. Saturday . VFR.

MARINE. Weak gradient will provide gentle to occasional moderate breezes through Wednesday.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . Apffel/TMA NEAR TERM . TMA SHORT TERM . JM LONG TERM . JM AVIATION . Apffel/TMA MARINE . Apffel/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45142 - Port Colborne 15 mi167 min W 5.8 G 7.8 68°F 73°F1 ft1018.1 hPa
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 19 mi77 min 79°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 19 mi47 min W 4.1 G 6 70°F 1019.1 hPa (+1.3)
NREP1 47 mi77 min NW 6 G 7 82°F

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY15 mi54 minWNW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F60°F66%1018.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDKK

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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SW7W7NW10NW8NW5S3CalmCalmS3S4S3CalmW3W7NW7NW8
1 day agoW8SW9W9SW11W10SW12W8W7W6W4W6W5W4W7W6W5S4SW5W8W10W7W5W9W10
2 days agoNW9NW13
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W7W7W7W5SW6W6W6SW4SW6SW5SW4SW4SW7SW8W9W8
G15

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.