Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ipswich, MA

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 7:31PM Sunday August 25, 2019 12:41 AM EDT (04:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:29AMMoonset 3:51PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ251 Massachusetts Bay And Ipswich Bay- 957 Pm Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Overnight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue and Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 957 Pm Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pressure over the great lakes will move to the maritimes by tonight. Northeast winds will be gradually shifting to the east by midweek. A tropical depression may form off the coast of florida early next week. This system may track close enough to effect the coastal waters with elevated seas by mid week. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ipswich, MA
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location: 42.68, -70.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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Fxus61 kbox 250204
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service boston norton ma
1004 pm edt Sat aug 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure in canada will contribute to developing low
clouds and light showers later tonight into Sunday, especially
across southeast new england. High pressure lingers into
midweek, with seasonable and dry conditions to continue. Still
have an eye on the tropics at this time, with potential high
surf and dangerous rip currents for the atlantic-exposed
shoreline of new england.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
No significant changes planned for the forecast.

High pressure centered over eastern canada continues on its
path to the maritimes. An east-northeast flow around that high
is crossing the gulf of maine and moving into southern new
england. Expect this to bring increasing low-level moisture in
the form of low clouds light showers drizzle late tonight. Most
likely to be affected would be eastern mass.

Observed temperatures were in the 60s at 9 pm, with dew points
in the 50s. Expect min temps in the 50s inland and around 60 in
areas in eastern ma that get the low clouds.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Sunday night
2 pm update...

Sunday...

low clouds, showers linger S e. Looking pleasant N w. As noted in
the tonight discussion, following low-level h925-85 thetae dry air
advection. Continued h8-7 dry-subsidence inversion beneath which the
profile remains cool, destabilized, daytime heating plus convergent
elements of h925-85 winds, broken to overcast low clouds and light
shower chances are likely to continue over SE new england whereas
more scattered to broken cloud decks and dry prevail NW ma and ct.

Showers mainly during the morning, thinking daytime heating and
boundary layer mixing should limit the deep-layer moisture profile
with some dry-air contamination. Continued preference to consensus
of near-term high-res guidance. Another tricky high-temperature
forecast dependent on cloud shield edge. Should see blustery ne
winds for all locations, strongest of course along the coast.

Sunday night...

low clouds linger, however shower chances diminish. Mid to upper
level high nudging S round which h925-85 dry air advection should
finally sweep through all new england, the accompanying subsidence
inversion deepening down to the surface through the atmospheric
column. Moisture continuing to pool beneath through which NE long-
fetch flow prevails, low clouds seem likely over SE new england
whereas over mostly clear NW ma and ct it's another night of
radiational cooling and patchy dense fog within the valleys. Once
again a tricky low-temperature forecast given the uncertainty as to
the cloud-shield edge. Mild se, cooler nw.

Long term Monday through Saturday
Highlights...

* below normal temperatures early next week, especially across
eastern massachusetts into rhode island
* onshore winds will bring spotty light rain or showers at
times into mid week
* temperatures return to near normal levels around mid week,
becoming warmer than normal by Friday
* another chance for showers late Wednesday through Thursday
details...

Monday through Tuesday...

a large high pressure will continue to be the primary influence on
our weather. Strong subsidence inversion present in the model
soundings from pretty much all of the guidance. The question remains
if there will be enough of a near surface layer beneath this
inversion where the onshore flow could push enough moisture into
southern new england for some spotty drizzle. The moisture is very,
very shallow, so trended the forecast in a drier direction.

Below normal temperatures expected during this time, especially
towards ri and eastern ma.

The easterly winds may become gusty as the pressure gradient
increases around the southern section of the high from Monday
into Tuesday. May see gusts up to 20 to as high as 30 mph,
highest across CAPE cod and the islands.

Wednesday through Friday...

this is the most likely period for our next round of wet weather.

Mid level flow is rather amplified, and not translating east very
quickly. Thus, expecting a low pressure over central canada to take
a long time to push a series of fronts our way. The first cold front
is currently thought to arrive sometime Thursday into Friday. A
second front, may arrive sometime Friday night into Saturday. Given
this time range, and the mid level flow pattern, am expecting this
timing to change a bit over the coming days.

Still monitoring the tropics. Latest forecasts still take a
disturbance off the SE usa coast out to sea. The most likely impact
from this system may be a period of rough surf along ocean-exposed
beaches, particularly those which are also south-facing.

Temperatures should be a bit higher with increased southerly flow
ahead of the approaching cold front. Near normal towards mid week,
and perhaps slightly above normal late next week.

Aviation 02z Sunday through Thursday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Sunday night ... Moderate confidence.

Tonight...

e SE ma and ri,VFR through 3 am with ceilings lowering to MVFR
after that. Light showers drizzle forecast with the clouds.

Persistent 10 to 15 kt E NE winds.

Vfr for most of the rest of SRN new england. Will be watching
the potential for developing fog in the ct rvr valley and the
usual fog spots. Ifr in any fog late tonight.

Sunday...

conditions lift and improve toVFR across NW new england with sct
low-endVFR cigs. E NE winds around 10 kts. Sct-bkn MVFR continues
along with morning -shra across SE new england with E NE 10 to
15 kts with gusts around 20 kts.

Sunday night...

few-sct across the interior with light winds, the threat of ifr
fg once again. Sct-bkn MVFR continues across SE new england with
breezy E NE winds 10 to 15 kts.

Kbos terminal...

high confidence in trends. Moderate confidence in timing for
lower cigs.

Kbdl terminal...

high confidence in taf.

Outlook Monday through Thursday ... Moderate confidence.

Monday:VFR. Breezy.

Monday night through Tuesday:VFR.

Tuesday night:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Wednesday through Wednesday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR
possible. Chance shra.

Thursday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Sunday night ... High confidence.

Long-fetch E NE winds the height of which will occur on Sunday
with gusts up to 30 kts and seas building up around 5 feet. This
as high pressure builds over the maritimes while low pressure
lingering well offshore to the south. A downward trend Sunday
night into Monday as high pressure wins out and builds across
the region. Small craft advisories in effect for a majority of
the waters, especially S se, beginning early Sunday morning.

Scattered light showers at times, developing late tonight and
continuing into early Sunday.

Outlook Monday through Thursday ... Moderate confidence.

Monday through Tuesday: winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Tuesday night: winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Slight
chance of rain showers.

Wednesday through Thursday: winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to
5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ma... None.

Ri... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 8 am to 8 pm edt Sunday for
anz232>234.

Small craft advisory from 10 am to 6 pm edt Sunday for anz231-
236.

Small craft advisory from 10 am to 8 pm edt Sunday for anz235-
237.

Small craft advisory from 6 am Sunday to 6 am edt Monday for
anz250-254>256.

Synopsis... Wtb belk sipprell
near term... Wtb belk sipprell
short term... Sipprell
long term... Belk
aviation... Wtb belk sipprell
marine... Wtb belk sipprell


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 18 mi98 min ENE 12 G 14 67°F 66°F2 ft1025.6 hPa
IOSN3 - Isle of Shoals, NH 23 mi42 min ENE 13 G 14 66°F 1025.7 hPa (+1.0)58°F
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 25 mi52 min 66°F 67°F2 ft1024.8 hPa (+1.1)
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 25 mi66 min 65°F 1026.1 hPa
BGXN3 - Great Bay Reserve, NH 26 mi117 min ENE 1 59°F 1026 hPa59°F
44098 - Jeffrey's Ledge, NH (160) 36 mi34 min 68°F2 ft
44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf 41 mi98 min ENE 7.8 G 9.7 65°F 66°F1 ft1026.3 hPa
WELM1 - 8419317 - Wells, ME 46 mi54 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 62°F 65°F1026.9 hPa
WEXM1 - Wells Reserve, ME 48 mi102 min NW 2.9 62°F 58°F
44018 - SE Cape Cod 30NM East of Nantucket, MA 49 mi52 min NE 16 G 19 65°F 3 ft1025.3 hPa (+1.0)56°F

Wind History for Wells, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beverly, Beverly Municipal Airport, MA8 mi49 minNNE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy58°F55°F90%1025.5 hPa
Lawrence Municipal Airport, MA16 mi48 minN 010.00 miOvercast60°F57°F93%1026.8 hPa
Boston, Logan International Airport, MA23 mi48 minN 610.00 miA Few Clouds65°F57°F76%1025.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBVY

Wind History from BVY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4NW4N5N5N6NW6N6N5N6NE10NE13
G18
NE11NE8NE9E7E8E8E7NE6E4CalmCalmN3N3
1 day ago------------W5NW6--NW8N9NW7NW9NW9NW10NW5NW7NW5NW4NW6NW5NW5N4NW5
2 days agoW7SW6SW3SW3SW3CalmW3S3S43S6SW8SW7SW8W10W13
G18
W13W8W4W3W5------

Tide / Current Tables for Plum Island Sound (south end), Massachusetts
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Plum Island Sound (south end)
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Sun -- 12:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:06 AM EDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:55 AM EDT     7.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:19 PM EDT     1.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:13 PM EDT     8.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.40.91.32.44.267.37.67.36.34.93.321.41.62.64.46.48.18.88.67.76.24.3

Tide / Current Tables for Newburyport (Merrimack River), Massachusetts Current
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Newburyport (Merrimack River)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:02 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:57 AM EDT     1.30 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:06 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:29 AM EDT     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:14 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:50 PM EDT     1.34 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:11 PM EDT     1.33 knots Min Flood
Sun -- 06:15 PM EDT     1.37 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:28 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:01 PM EDT     -1.47 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.9-0.6-00.81.21.21.310.1-0.8-1.2-1.2-0.9-0.6-0.20.61.21.31.41.20.5-0.5-1.2-1.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.