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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Eden, NY

February 19, 2025 2:45 AM EST (07:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:04 AM   Sunset 5:53 PM
Moonrise 12:18 AM   Moonset 9:52 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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LEZ041 Expires:202502191015;;143108 Fzus51 Kbuf 190334 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 1034 pm est Tue feb 18 2025
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez040-041-191015- buffalo to ripley along lake erie- 1034 pm est Tue feb 18 2025

.small craft advisory in effect until 4 am est Wednesday - .

Tonight - Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. The lake is mostly ice covered.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy.

Wednesday night - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of snow showers overnight.

Thursday - West winds 5 to 15 knots. Snow likely.

Thursday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Snow likely in the evening, then just a chance of snow showers overnight.

Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of snow showers.

Saturday and Sunday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy.
waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
LEZ005
No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eden, NY
   
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Area Discussion for Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 190549 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1249 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025

SYNOPSIS
Heavy lake effect snow will continue south and southeast of Lake Ontario through Wednesday morning. A weak low pressure wave will bring a chance for light snow Thursday. Meanwhile a cold air mass will remain in place this week, followed by a slight warming trend for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Arctic airmass over the region through tonight, with 850 mb temperatures around -20C. This will maintain plenty of over-lake instability, and cyclonic flow aloft and periodic shortwaves will provide ample synoptic moisture to produce lake effect snow. Subtle upstream lake connections will also play a role in enhancing the downstream lake snows.

Current radar shows the main lake effect band extending from western Lake Ontario across northeast Wayne into northern Cayuga counties (almost out of Oswego county). The band extends at least back across Lake Huron with this moisture enhancement likely to support snowfall rates of 2" per hour.

Mesoscale guidance and wind fields suggest the band will continue to shift slightly southward overnight, impacting far northern portions from Orleans to Wayne counties. The band will remain intense during most of this time, finally weakening Wednesday morning when an inversion gradually lowers to 5k feet and cuts off the deeper moisture. However, it will still be cold enough beneath the inversion to support some lake snows throughout the day.

Additional snow accumulations overnight through Wednesday afternoon will peak across far northern Wayne/Cayuga counties where an additional 6 inches is expected. An additional 3 to 5 inches is expected across far northern Orleans and Monroe counties, with intense snows remaining mainly north of downtown Rochester.
Lower confidence in Niagara County forecast, where far northern areas could get clipped by 2 to 4 inches with little accumulation from Niagara Falls to Lockport southward.

Elsewhere, it will continue to be very cold with below zero wind chills lasting through Wednesday morning. Overnight lows ranging from the single digits to as cold as 10 below east of Lake Ontario. However winds will not be as elevated, so wind chills will not be quite as cold as last night. Even so, it will still be bitterly cold with wind chills 5 below to 15 below.
Highs Wednesday will be in the teens, but it will be less windy.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
A potent midlevel trough and closed low will have its positively orientated axis lying across the Great Lakes Wednesday night.
This trough and low will dive southeast and then east across the Ohio Valley Thursday before pulling northeast into the northern Atlantic Thursday night. Initially, ongoing lingering lake effect snow southeast of Lake Ontario Wednesday night will become more widespread as the mid-level low tracks east from Ohio to the southern coast of New Jersey, height falls aloft and associated synoptic moisture circulates around the low.
Overall, expect a couple of inches of snow, with lesser snowfall totals expected across the North Country due to the greater distance from the low.

In the wake of the low, cold northwest flow combined with lingering moisture will support a limited lake effect/upslope snow response Thursday night.

Brief mid-level ridging wil build across the region Friday, introducing warm and dry air into the region, thus resulting in the lake effect snow showers to peter out and shift northeast of Lake Ontario by Friday night.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The next broad longwave trough will move across northern Ontario and dig south across Quebec over the weekend and linger through the start of next week. With the longwave trough overhead, multiple shortwaves will pass southeast across the region throughout the period. PoPs remain on the lower side as there is poor agreement amongst the long range guidance on the timing of this feature, as well as a few weak shortwave ripples that will likely be embedded within this trough. There are enough signals that a more potent system may then descend on the area from the Upper Midwest later Monday into Tuesday to warrant higher chances for precip. Temperatures may warm enough by this point to lead to some rain or a wintry mix, though confidence remains low in this potential.

AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
While the vast majority of the region will experience VFR conditions overnight, moderate to heavy lake effect snow with IFR to LIFR conditions will persist southeast of Lake Ontario. This will primarily impact areas between KROC and KFZY.

Lake snows will weaken Wednesday morning but a lowering inversion likely to lower cloud decks to MVFR at most locations. Otherwise VFR weather ill be found elsewhere.

Outlook...

Wednesday night...VFR.
Thursday...A chance of snow/associated MVFR/IFR.
Friday.. MVFR improving to VFR.
Saturday and Sunday...VFR.

MARINE
Elevated westerly flow in the wake of the departing low will generate high-end small craft advisory conditions on both Lake Ontario and Lake Erie overnight. Winds will gradually diminish into Wednesday.

A period of elevated northwest winds will develop on Lake Ontario Thursday night into Friday with marginal small craft conditions developing.

Periods of 15-20 knots southwesterly winds are possible this weekend.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ001.
Lake Effect Snow Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ002-003.
Lake Effect Snow Warning until 6 AM EST early this morning for NYZ004>006.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for LEZ020-040-041.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for LOZ042-045.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for LOZ043-044.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 7 mi45 min 12°F 30.33
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 13 mi45 minWSW 19G22 17°F 30.2910°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 27 mi45 minSW 15G17 12°F 30.42
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 27 mi45 min 15°F 30.33
YGNN6 - Niagara Coast Guard , NY 40 mi45 minSSW 8.9G16 16°F 30.34
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 46 mi45 minWSW 16G21 14°F 30.36


Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBUF BUFFALO NIAGARA INTL,NY 20 sm51 minW 1210 smMostly Cloudy16°F3°F57%30.33
KDKK CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY/DUNKIRK,NY 24 sm52 minSW 0710 smOvercast12°F3°F67%30.39

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east  
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Buffalo, NY,





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