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Marine Weather and Tides Williams, MA Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:05AM

Sunset 6:11PM

Wednesday October 16, 2019 6:08 PM EDT (22:08 UTC)

Moonrise 7:58PM

Moonset 9:38AM

Illumination 89%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Williamstown CDP, MA

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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY

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Fxus61 kaly 162109 afdaly area forecast discussion national weather service albany ny 509 pm edt Wed oct 16 2019 Synopsis Powerful nor'easter will impact the region tonight through Thursday with periods of heavy rainfall and gusty winds. As this storm tracks across new england, winds and rainfall will slowly diminish Thursday night with improving weather conditions on Friday. The start of the weekend looks tranquil and seasonable as high pressure transverses the region. Near term through Thursday As of 330 am edt... A powerful nor-easter is on the way for the region. Isallobaric falls over the DELMARVA was over six millibars in the past 3 hours and falling rapidly. Impressive satellite imagery with improving diffluence aloft and cooling cloud tops should prove with explosive cyclogensis the next 12-hrs. Expanding area of rainfall will overspread the entire region through the remainder of this afternoon and evening. Ncep model suite all suggest a mesoscale band within the deformation axis will set up somewhere across the region with latest trends across the hudson river valley and points eastward. Furthermore, ensemble guidance points toward anomalies of up to 6 standard deviations above normal with respect to low level wind magnitudes for western new england counties. Now as this storm and deformation axis slide across the region, cross sections reveal a rather abrupt wind shift later this evening. This is where the heavy rainfall band will pivot and track east- northeast overnight as wrap around moisture and upslope will further add to the rainfall, mainly across the higher terrain. Given the heavy rainfall potential, we will hoist a flood watch for the entire region. Onto the wind potential, increasing pressure gradient and wind magnitudes in the lower levels will result in occasional gusts close to wind advisory criteria. Initially, portions of the taconics, NW ct, berks and southern vt will be susceptible as the storm tracks northward, then on the backside overnight into Thursday for the remainder of the region. Given the rainfall amount forecasts, wet grounds and increasing winds with still plenty of leafs could pose an impact hazard with fallen trees and limbs with isolated power outages. Overnight lows mainly into the 40s and highs Thursday likely not changing to much with lower half of the 50s for the immediate capital region and through the mid hudson valley and 40s elsewhere. Wet bulb processes within the cold advection across the dacks may bring about some wet snow for elevations near 2k feet with little in the way of accumulation expected. Short term Thursday night through Friday Thursday night... As a vertically stacked filled system across northern new england is forecast, wind magnitudes will decrease Thursday night but still remain blustery. Froude numbers suggest the flow will remain critical with values near one so the combination of upslope conditions and a few valley showers will remain in the forecast. As boundary layer temperatures and wet bulb zero heights drop, some coatings of snow with up to an inch at the highest peaks of the eastern catskills, southern adirondacks and southern green mountains are possible. Lows will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s with wind chill values into the 30s. Friday... The showery pcpn will end in the morning, as the mid and upper level low moves northeast in the canadian maritimes. High pressure will be building in from the lower great lakes region and oh valley. The skies will become partly sunny, and the winds will diminish further. Temps will be seasonable with 50s in the valleys, and 40s over the higher terrain. Long term Friday night through Wednesday Main headline for long term period is our next potential widespread soaking rain event Monday night into Tuesday night. Otherwise, temperatures should be averaging near to slightly above average as southerly winds become the main flow regime. The upcoming weekend will be quite pleasant as a strengthening high should move in quickly behind the departing nor'easter. Winds finally calm down Friday night as our pressure gradient shifts into new england. After a chilly start to Saturday with morning low temperatures likely falling well into the 30s throughout eastern ny and western new england, we should see a very pleasant Saturday as our upper level ridge axis moves overhead. Temperatures should be seasonable in the mid-upper 50s under abundant sun. Sunday our ridge axis shift to our east with southwesterly flow strengthening a bit ahead of a moisture starved cold front which should allow temperatures to warm-up into the 60s. The front should pass through dry but we increased clouds Sunday afternoon into night. A system with tropical origins (currently in central america according to the national hurricane center, should weaken as the aforementioned weak cold front steers it towards the mid- atlantic region Sunday night into Monday. However, with a 1025-1030hpa high quickly settling in over northern new england, it seems like this system should remain to our south and we continued with a dry forecast for now. However, there are enough

discrepancies among the latest guidance that this will be monitoring over the coming days. Upstream, another deep trough will be intensifying from the rockies into the great plains allowing ridging over the northeast to strengthen on Monday. The intensifying trough looks to cut off and become vertically stacked by Monday night with southeast winds strengthening over the northeast. A warm front looks to move through our region Monday night with warm air moisture advection strengthening through Tuesday. In fact, 850mb wind anomalies and moisture flux, as per the gefs, look to be 2-3 std above normal as 850mb winds look to strength to 40-50kts. Should the aforementioned system with tropical origins still be off shore, some of its moisture could be advected into the northeast under the strong southerly flow regime. Still some uncertainties on exact timing but given run-to-run consistences with this event, we continued to place chance and likely pops throughout eastern ny western new england from Monday night through Tuesday night. Given the strong moisture flux out of the gulf of mexico combined with additional forcing for ascent provided by the deep trough becoming negatively tilted, our confidence is increasing that this could be another widespread soaking rain event. Otherwise, temperature Monday through Wednesday should be near normal with highs ranging from the mid- 50s to low 60s and overnight lows staying rather mild in the 40s to even near 50 due to cloud coverage. Aviation 21z Wednesday through Monday A strong storm system will develop off the mid-atlantic coast late today, then move north and strengthen further tonight and Thursday. Rain will overspread the TAF sites from south to north this afternoon, with CIGS and vsbys lowering rapidly to MVFR once the rain begins. MVFR CIGS and vsbys will trend downward to ifr tonight as rain continues, heavy at times. Llws will also occur tonight with 40 kt easterly winds at about 2000 feet about the surface. Winds will shift to northwest late tonight and Thursday morning as the center of low pressure moves north across new england. Rain will diminish to showers during the day Thursday, however northwest winds will be strong and gusty, with gusts to 30 to 35 kts through the day. Outlook... Thursday night: low operational impact. Breezy slight chance of shra. Friday: low operational impact. Breezy no sig wx. Friday night to Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx. Fire weather Not much of a concern with rainfall on the way tonight with a couple or few inches of rain expected. Hydrology Flood watch for the entire region. Latest model guidance and ensembles suggest rainfall totals of 1 to 3 with as high as 4 inches are in the forecast. This will be highly dependent where the band(s) of rainfall set up and transverse the region. At this time several of our river points are expected to rise at or above action stage with hope forecast to reach flood stage. Latest mmefs and hefs point toward low probabilities of flood stage being achieved at several points, however, more of a concern will be blocked storm drains from fallen leafs and other debris. After coordination with surrounding offices, nerfc and the national water center, we decided to hoist the watch. A period of dry weather will return Friday into the weekend which should allow flows to slow and lower. For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs on our website. Aly watches warnings advisories Ct... Flood watch through Friday morning for ctz001-013. Wind advisory until 8 pm edt Thursday for ctz001-013. Ny... Flood watch through Friday morning for nyz032-033-038>043- 047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084. Wind advisory until 8 pm edt Thursday for nyz032-033-038>043- 047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084. Ma... Flood watch through Friday morning for maz001-025. Wind advisory until 8 pm edt Thursday for maz001-025. Vt... Flood watch through Friday morning for vtz013>015. Wind advisory until 8 pm edt Thursday for vtz013>015. Synopsis... Bgm near term... Bgm short term... Bgm long term... Speciale aviation... Mse jpv fire weather... Bgm wasula hydrology... Bgm wasula

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY	61 mi	98 min	Calm	56°F			1004 hPa	55°F

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
North Adams Harriman-and-West Airport, MA	2 mi	76 min	ESE 16	10.00 mi	Light Rain	56°F	44°F	65%	1006.3 hPa
Bennington Morse State Airport, VT	13 mi	74 min	SE 18 G 27	10.00 mi	Overcast and Breezy	57°F	44°F	62%	1005.1 hPa
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA	20 mi	74 min	Var 6	7.00 mi	Light Rain	55°F	45°F	69%	1005 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAQW

Wind History from AQW (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (18,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.