Monday, March30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Williams, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 7:18PM Monday March 30, 2020 9:14 AM EDT (13:14 UTC) Moonrise 10:04AMMoonset 12:32AM Illumination 39% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Williamstown CDP, MA
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location: 42.71, -73.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 301030 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 630 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

SYNOPSIS. An upper level low pressure area will keep our weather unsettled through most of this upcoming week. This will keep occasional cloud coverage along with the threat for showers in the forecast. Some of the higher terrain may experience a little snow from time to time.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 625 AM EDT . Several binovc's within the immediate Capital Region and portions of the northern Taconics and western Greens this early morning. However, upstream low and thick stratus is fast approaching with showers already developing across central and western NY. H2O vapor imagery depicts a rather pronounced short wave over Lake Erie and quickly approaching. HRRR reflectivity forecasts suggest upstream showers will increase in both coverage and intensity as the day progresses. Per 06Z NAM, little change to the forecast at this time.

Prev Disc . Per satellite imagery, seems the stratus deck is tracking eastward and being replaced by a lower stratus deck with some patchy fog. The earlier showers driven in part by the mid level jet max across PA has moved southeast of the region, hence the decrease in shower coverage. However, as seen upstream, a weak band of showers across the central Great Lakes is approaching. H2O vapor imagery depicts a couple of short waves over Wisconsin and southern- lower Michigan that will approach this afternoon around the upper low over southern Canada. This will likely ignite additional showers as the cold pool aloft, around -25C @ H500, along with these short waves to result in band(s) of showers. HRRR reflectivity suggests a rather robust line of showers approaching after 18Z so we will increase PoPs from west to east through the afternoon hours. High temperatures today likely climbing 5-10 degrees from this mornings low temperatures as thermal column shows a slow cooling process with H850 temperatures dipping below zero.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As the upper low and associated short waves track off the New England coastline, residual moist cyclonic flow and continued height falls to keep clouds and the threat for additional showers. However, these showers will likely decrease in coverage as overall synoptic lift diminishes. Now within the colder air there will be some light snow or light snow showers overnight that could be observed for valley locations. Any accumulations are expected to remain across the higher terrain. Overnight lows forecast to dip back into the 30s with some upper 20s across the highest of the terrain.

Tuesday, there are subtle suggestions that the moisture field may become a little more diffuse as weak subsidence moves across the region. Now, just how much impact this will have and bring about sunshine is a low confidence forecast. MOS suggests BK-OV so we will keep more clouds in the forecast at this time. It is possible binovc's may occur for the Hudson River Valley later in the day with a light northeast wind. Otherwise, high temperatures should remain on the cool side with mainly 40s expected.

Tuesday night into Wednesday, a short wave and associated surface low are expected to track eastward along or south of I70. Meanwhile. upper low off the New England coastline is expected to reform a little further west. These features will likely keep occasional cloud coverage with most of the moisture into the terrain and we will keep the weather dry due to lack of focus to enhance lift. As H850 temperatures hold below the freezing mark, Tuesday night lows will dip into upper 20s and lower 30s and highs Wednesday rebound back into the 40s, especially where breaks of sunshine occur.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Closed off upper level low will continue to be situated just east of the region, spinning off the coast of New England for Wednesday night through Thursday night. Although most of the area should be dry, can't rule out a few light rain showers still impacting western New England. Otherwise, it will continue to be fairly cloudy across the region thanks to the cyclonic flow in place with somewhat cool temps (40s during the day and 30s at night for most).

By Friday, the upper level low will start shifting far enough east to allow some ridging to build across the region. This will allow for more sunshine across the region, along with milder temperatures. Valley areas should reach into the mid 50s during the day on Friday with a partly sunny sky.

The weekend should start off dry with mild temperatures, but a northern stream frontal boundary should approach at some point Sat night into Sunday. This should allow for more clouds for the second half of the weekend, with the low chance for some rain showers. Otherwise, temps will continue to reach into the mid 50s for valley areas during the day, with overnight lows in the mid to upper 30s.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Plenty of lingering low level moisture is allowing for lots of low clouds this morning. In areas where clouds have thinned, some radiational fog has formed. As a result, most sites are currently MVFR, although some locally IFR conditions have been occurring at KGFL and KPSF. Will continue to allow for MVFR/IFR conditions through mid-morning with light to calm winds in place. Towards mid to late morning, most sites will continue to be MVFR with cigs around 2-3 kft.

Although the morning will start dry, some showers will move back in for the afternoon hours. There could be a period of heavier showers for later in the afternoon or the early evening and will include a TEMPO for the chance for IFR visibility with these showers. Otherwise, it will remain MVFR for cigs all day, with MVFR visibility expected in the showers.

Can't rule out a few lingering stray showers for tonight, otherwise, the steady precip looks done. However, plenty of lingering low level moisture will keep MVFR cigs in place for all on tonight with stratus clouds around 2-3 kft expected.

Winds will be light through the TAF period. Northeast winds may briefly become southeasterly during the day, before returning to the north to northeast for tonight. Speeds generally will be under 10 kts (mostly 5 kts or less).

Outlook .

Tuesday and Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

FIRE WEATHER. A lingering upper level low pressure system will result in showers continuing today into tonight, with some light snow over the higher terrain. Ample clouds remain, but with drier conditions on Tuesday. Temperatures will approach near seasonal normals.

RH levels above 50 percent through Tuesday with light winds at less than 12 mph.

HYDROLOGY. An upper closed low will bring periods of showers to the region through Tuesday, with some snow showers in higher terrain Monday night. Rainfall amounts through Tuesday are expected to be a third to two thirds of an inch in the southern Adirondacks and Lake George Saratoga Region, where some of the precipitation will be in the form of snow showers. The rest of the region is expected to see a tenth up to a third of an inch of rain.

The combination of rain and snowmelt will lead to river rises, although there remains uncertainty with respect to the magnitude of both factors. The cool temperatures may limit snowmelt somewhat. At this time, the Schroon at Riverbank and the West Canada at Hinckley will continue to rise and possibly reach or just fall short of minor flood stage around Tuesday.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . BGM NEAR TERM . BGM SHORT TERM . BGM LONG TERM . Frugis AVIATION . Frugis FIRE WEATHER . BGM/NAS HYDROLOGY . BGM/NAS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 61 mi104 min Calm 41°F 1014 hPa39°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
North Adams Harriman-and-West Airport, MA2 mi22 minE 11 G 2010.00 miOvercast39°F33°F79%1015.1 hPa
Bennington Morse State Airport, VT13 mi20 minESE 12 G 2110.00 miFair42°F32°F68%1013.6 hPa
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA20 mi20 minESE 710.00 miOvercast37°F33°F86%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAQW

Wind History from AQW (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:32 AM EDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:03 AM EDT     5.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:22 PM EDT     0.99 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:20 PM EDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.121.41.10.80.81.63.14.55.35.55.34.53.32.41.91.511.22.13.34.24.54.4

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:22 AM EDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:55 AM EDT     5.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:12 PM EDT     0.99 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:12 PM EDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.91.91.310.80.91.83.44.75.35.55.24.33.22.31.81.411.32.33.54.24.54.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.