Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Glendale, OR
December 11, 2023 2:21 PM PST (22:21 UTC)
Sunrise 7:31AM Sunset 4:42PM Moonrise 6:25AM Moonset 3:27PM
PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 823 Am Pst Mon Dec 11 2023
Today..NE wind 5 kt...backing to N 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves nw 3 ft at 5 seconds. SWell W 6 to 7 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Scattered showers through the day.
Tonight..N wind 5 to 15 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, N wind 5 to 15 kt...veering to ne 5 kt after midnight. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. SWell W 4 to 5 ft at 10 seconds and nw 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue..NE wind 5 to 15 kt...easing to 10 kt in the morning, then...backing to nw in the afternoon. Wind waves N 2 ft at 5 seconds. SWell W 3 ft at 9 seconds and nw 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue night..S wind 5 kt. Wind waves less than 2 ft. SWell W 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds and nw 2 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed..S wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves less than 2 ft...becoming S 2 ft at 3 seconds in the afternoon. SWell W 2 ft at 8 seconds and nw 2 ft at 8 seconds. Slight chance of rain through the day.
Wed night..SE wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves sw 2 ft at 4 seconds. W swell 4 ft at 14 seconds... Building to 8 to 9 ft at 13 seconds after midnight. SWell less than 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Thu..SE wind 10 kt. Wind waves sw 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 9 to 10 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri..SE wind 10 kt...backing to E after midnight. Wind waves se 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 7 to 8 ft at 13 seconds.
Today..NE wind 5 kt...backing to N 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves nw 3 ft at 5 seconds. SWell W 6 to 7 ft at 11 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Scattered showers through the day.
Tonight..N wind 5 to 15 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, N wind 5 to 15 kt...veering to ne 5 kt after midnight. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. SWell W 4 to 5 ft at 10 seconds and nw 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue..NE wind 5 to 15 kt...easing to 10 kt in the morning, then...backing to nw in the afternoon. Wind waves N 2 ft at 5 seconds. SWell W 3 ft at 9 seconds and nw 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue night..S wind 5 kt. Wind waves less than 2 ft. SWell W 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds and nw 2 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed..S wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves less than 2 ft...becoming S 2 ft at 3 seconds in the afternoon. SWell W 2 ft at 8 seconds and nw 2 ft at 8 seconds. Slight chance of rain through the day.
Wed night..SE wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves sw 2 ft at 4 seconds. W swell 4 ft at 14 seconds... Building to 8 to 9 ft at 13 seconds after midnight. SWell less than 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Thu..SE wind 10 kt. Wind waves sw 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 9 to 10 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri..SE wind 10 kt...backing to E after midnight. Wind waves se 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 7 to 8 ft at 13 seconds.
PZZ300 823 Am Pst Mon Dec 11 2023
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Winds will become northerly across the waters this morning as a weak thermal trough develops. West swell will gradually lower today and tonight. Wind seas may result in some locally steep seas south of port orford late this afternoon into tonight. Lighter winds and seas are expected Tuesday. Then a weak cold front will approach on Wednesday, moving onshore Wednesday night. Winds will change to south on Wednesday. High and steep seas may build into the waters behind the front late Wednesday night and Thursday.
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Winds will become northerly across the waters this morning as a weak thermal trough develops. West swell will gradually lower today and tonight. Wind seas may result in some locally steep seas south of port orford late this afternoon into tonight. Lighter winds and seas are expected Tuesday. Then a weak cold front will approach on Wednesday, moving onshore Wednesday night. Winds will change to south on Wednesday. High and steep seas may build into the waters behind the front late Wednesday night and Thursday.
Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 112216 AFDMFR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 216 PM PST Mon Dec 11 2023
DISCUSSION
A rather quiet pattern is in the cards through at least the middle of the week. Other than a few isolated showers in portions of Lake County this afternoon into tonight, it will be dry through Wednesday afternoon. The latest visible image shows extensive cloud cover over most ofthe forecast area. In addition low clouds continue to remain over some of the interior westside valleys, including the Umpqua, and Scott valley and its' possible these areas may not break out, of if it does, for only a brief period.
A weak upper trough will drop in from the south tonight and this will result in just enough lift for a few isolated showers to linger in Lake County. Elsewhere it will remain dry with stable conditions.
Given the recent rain from yesterday and ample ground moisture, low clouds and fog are pretty much a given for most of the interior westside valleys late this evening and lasting into most, if not all of Tuesday morning. There' some data suggesting portions of the Rogue Valley, and Umpqua Basin could experience dense fog late tonight into the Tuesday morning commute.
Tuesday will be dry with morning low clouds and fog for the interior westside valleys, followed by some afternoon clearing. The upper trough will exit the area Tuesday morning with 700 mb winds becoming easterly resulting in breezy east winds over the higher terrain along the Cascades Tuesday afternoon and evening.
The upper ridge axis moves over the area Tuesday night, with low clouds and fog likely to re form again for many of the same interior westside valleys. Overnight temperatures will be lower as well with near freezing temperatures for portions of the Rogue, Illinois and Scott Valley in conjunction with the low clouds and fog.
The upper ridge axis will shift east during the day Wednesday as weakening front approaches the marine waters. The front will be slow to move east Wednesday afternoon and night as it will be nearly parallel to the upper flow. However, rain is likely over the marine waters with some slipping in along the coast and coastal counties late Wednesday night. -Petrucelli
LONG TERM
Thursday morning through Monday...A weak front moving into the ridge Thursday morning, will bring chances for rain to the coast with weaker chances inland. Models and ensembles continue to favor mainly dry conditions inland of the coast range. The National Blend of Models indicates a 30-60% chance of rain along the coast and into the coastal mountains but lesser chances into the Umpqua Valley (15-30%), central/eastern Josephine County (10-15%) and south- central Cascades (10-15%). Precipitation totals with this front are expected to be light, generally 0.05 to 0.15 inches along the coast/coast range with very light precipitation (if any) for areas inland of the coast range (trace to a couple hundreths of an inch).
Models show this front lifting back to the north as a warm front Thursday night as the ridge strengthens over the area. Dry weather is expected Friday into Saturday. Meanwhile a closed upper low will set up well off the California coast.
Saturday night into Monday, models and ensembles continue to show the closed low gradually nearing the area and the upper ridge shifting eastward. Precipitation chances will increase as this low approaches the coast and and moves onshore as an upper level trough around Monday. We've largely maintained the NBM forecast here due to uncertainty with the exact timing of this system moving into the area. The chances for precipitation increase across SW sections Saturday night, and are highest along the coast and western Siskiyou County on Sunday (40-60% chance). It appears the best chance at precipitation will come Sunday night and Monday as the upper trough moves onshore and into the PacNW. On Monday, the NBM indicates a 70- 80 percent chance for precipitation along the coast, 50-70 percent chance for precipitation inland from the Cascades west, and a 25-50 percent chance for precipitation east of the Cascades. With the track of this system moving up from the southwest, expect southwest portions of the area in Curry, southwest Josephine, western/southern Siskiyou to be favored for moderate precipitation. Snow levels are expected to remain fairly high, around 5000 to 7000 feet Sunday through Monday.
-CC
AVIATION
11/18Z TAFs...Plenty of low level moisture has resulted in low ceilings for most of the terminals. The exception is Medford where VFR ceilings are being observed. However partial mountain obscuration is likely around the Medford terminal through at least 20z. The morning sounding shows the freezing level at 8400 feet.
Along the coast and just offshore. IFR conditions will continue with ceilings gradually improving late this afternoon, although ceilings could improve an hour or two sooner than whats indicated in the North Bend TAF. Ceilings and visibility are likely to lower again later this evening and lasting until the end of the TAF period as the atmosphere becomes stable along with existing low level moisture.
Inland, conditions are expected to improve to VFR with lingering areas of MVFR into the afternoon, north of the Umpqua Divide, including Roseburg. It's possible Roseburg could briefly break out with VFR ceilings towards 23z, but confidence is not high enough to include it in the TAF.
More widespread valley LIFR/IFR with a stabilizing air mass is likely tonight at Roseburg and Medford. For now left the lower conditions out of Klamath Falls, but this will need to be looked at again at the next TAF issuance. -Petrucelli
MARINE
Updated 200 PM Monday December 11, 2023...Light northerly winds and low swell will keep seas calm to start the week. For areas south of Cape Blanco, winds will pick up late this evening and into Tuesday morning under a weak thermal trough. Wind speeds will reach 15-20 knots, with the highest winds within 30 nm of shore. Isolated areas of steep seas are possible, but not with enough consistency to justify any warning products.
Seas will remain calm through Wednesday evening, when an approaching cold front will bring significant westerly swell that looks to last through Friday morning. Currently, steep seas would be limited to outer waters but additional information will help to add confidence to the conditions approaching the end of the week.
Conditions over the weekend will depend on the development of a cutoff low over the Pacific ocean. Elevated southerly or southeasterly winds are expected to build steep or very steep and hazardous seas through most or all waters by Saturday evening.
However, the conditions around cutoff lows are difficult to forecast with high confidence this far out. Saturday evening into Sunday will be a period of interest throughout the week. -TAD
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 216 PM PST Mon Dec 11 2023
DISCUSSION
A rather quiet pattern is in the cards through at least the middle of the week. Other than a few isolated showers in portions of Lake County this afternoon into tonight, it will be dry through Wednesday afternoon. The latest visible image shows extensive cloud cover over most ofthe forecast area. In addition low clouds continue to remain over some of the interior westside valleys, including the Umpqua, and Scott valley and its' possible these areas may not break out, of if it does, for only a brief period.
A weak upper trough will drop in from the south tonight and this will result in just enough lift for a few isolated showers to linger in Lake County. Elsewhere it will remain dry with stable conditions.
Given the recent rain from yesterday and ample ground moisture, low clouds and fog are pretty much a given for most of the interior westside valleys late this evening and lasting into most, if not all of Tuesday morning. There' some data suggesting portions of the Rogue Valley, and Umpqua Basin could experience dense fog late tonight into the Tuesday morning commute.
Tuesday will be dry with morning low clouds and fog for the interior westside valleys, followed by some afternoon clearing. The upper trough will exit the area Tuesday morning with 700 mb winds becoming easterly resulting in breezy east winds over the higher terrain along the Cascades Tuesday afternoon and evening.
The upper ridge axis moves over the area Tuesday night, with low clouds and fog likely to re form again for many of the same interior westside valleys. Overnight temperatures will be lower as well with near freezing temperatures for portions of the Rogue, Illinois and Scott Valley in conjunction with the low clouds and fog.
The upper ridge axis will shift east during the day Wednesday as weakening front approaches the marine waters. The front will be slow to move east Wednesday afternoon and night as it will be nearly parallel to the upper flow. However, rain is likely over the marine waters with some slipping in along the coast and coastal counties late Wednesday night. -Petrucelli
LONG TERM
Thursday morning through Monday...A weak front moving into the ridge Thursday morning, will bring chances for rain to the coast with weaker chances inland. Models and ensembles continue to favor mainly dry conditions inland of the coast range. The National Blend of Models indicates a 30-60% chance of rain along the coast and into the coastal mountains but lesser chances into the Umpqua Valley (15-30%), central/eastern Josephine County (10-15%) and south- central Cascades (10-15%). Precipitation totals with this front are expected to be light, generally 0.05 to 0.15 inches along the coast/coast range with very light precipitation (if any) for areas inland of the coast range (trace to a couple hundreths of an inch).
Models show this front lifting back to the north as a warm front Thursday night as the ridge strengthens over the area. Dry weather is expected Friday into Saturday. Meanwhile a closed upper low will set up well off the California coast.
Saturday night into Monday, models and ensembles continue to show the closed low gradually nearing the area and the upper ridge shifting eastward. Precipitation chances will increase as this low approaches the coast and and moves onshore as an upper level trough around Monday. We've largely maintained the NBM forecast here due to uncertainty with the exact timing of this system moving into the area. The chances for precipitation increase across SW sections Saturday night, and are highest along the coast and western Siskiyou County on Sunday (40-60% chance). It appears the best chance at precipitation will come Sunday night and Monday as the upper trough moves onshore and into the PacNW. On Monday, the NBM indicates a 70- 80 percent chance for precipitation along the coast, 50-70 percent chance for precipitation inland from the Cascades west, and a 25-50 percent chance for precipitation east of the Cascades. With the track of this system moving up from the southwest, expect southwest portions of the area in Curry, southwest Josephine, western/southern Siskiyou to be favored for moderate precipitation. Snow levels are expected to remain fairly high, around 5000 to 7000 feet Sunday through Monday.
-CC
AVIATION
11/18Z TAFs...Plenty of low level moisture has resulted in low ceilings for most of the terminals. The exception is Medford where VFR ceilings are being observed. However partial mountain obscuration is likely around the Medford terminal through at least 20z. The morning sounding shows the freezing level at 8400 feet.
Along the coast and just offshore. IFR conditions will continue with ceilings gradually improving late this afternoon, although ceilings could improve an hour or two sooner than whats indicated in the North Bend TAF. Ceilings and visibility are likely to lower again later this evening and lasting until the end of the TAF period as the atmosphere becomes stable along with existing low level moisture.
Inland, conditions are expected to improve to VFR with lingering areas of MVFR into the afternoon, north of the Umpqua Divide, including Roseburg. It's possible Roseburg could briefly break out with VFR ceilings towards 23z, but confidence is not high enough to include it in the TAF.
More widespread valley LIFR/IFR with a stabilizing air mass is likely tonight at Roseburg and Medford. For now left the lower conditions out of Klamath Falls, but this will need to be looked at again at the next TAF issuance. -Petrucelli
MARINE
Updated 200 PM Monday December 11, 2023...Light northerly winds and low swell will keep seas calm to start the week. For areas south of Cape Blanco, winds will pick up late this evening and into Tuesday morning under a weak thermal trough. Wind speeds will reach 15-20 knots, with the highest winds within 30 nm of shore. Isolated areas of steep seas are possible, but not with enough consistency to justify any warning products.
Seas will remain calm through Wednesday evening, when an approaching cold front will bring significant westerly swell that looks to last through Friday morning. Currently, steep seas would be limited to outer waters but additional information will help to add confidence to the conditions approaching the end of the week.
Conditions over the weekend will depend on the development of a cutoff low over the Pacific ocean. Elevated southerly or southeasterly winds are expected to build steep or very steep and hazardous seas through most or all waters by Saturday evening.
However, the conditions around cutoff lows are difficult to forecast with high confidence this far out. Saturday evening into Sunday will be a period of interest throughout the week. -TAD
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.
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Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Wind History from SXT
(wind in knots)Wedderburn
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:45 AM PST 3.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM PST Moonrise
Mon -- 07:36 AM PST Sunrise
Mon -- 09:41 AM PST 7.42 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:32 PM PST Moonset
Mon -- 04:44 PM PST Sunset
Mon -- 05:03 PM PST -0.62 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:41 PM PST 5.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:45 AM PST 3.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM PST Moonrise
Mon -- 07:36 AM PST Sunrise
Mon -- 09:41 AM PST 7.42 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:32 PM PST Moonset
Mon -- 04:44 PM PST Sunset
Mon -- 05:03 PM PST -0.62 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:41 PM PST 5.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 5 |
| 1 am |
| 4.4 |
| 2 am |
| 3.7 |
| 3 am |
| 3.2 |
| 4 am |
| 3.1 |
| 5 am |
| 3.5 |
| 6 am |
| 4.3 |
| 7 am |
| 5.4 |
| 8 am |
| 6.5 |
| 9 am |
| 7.3 |
| 10 am |
| 7.4 |
| 11 am |
| 6.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 5.3 |
Port Orford
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:39 AM PST 3.72 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:30 AM PST Moonrise
Mon -- 07:38 AM PST Sunrise
Mon -- 09:41 AM PST 8.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:31 PM PST Moonset
Mon -- 04:44 PM PST Sunset
Mon -- 04:57 PM PST -0.69 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:43 PM PST 6.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:39 AM PST 3.72 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:30 AM PST Moonrise
Mon -- 07:38 AM PST Sunrise
Mon -- 09:41 AM PST 8.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:31 PM PST Moonset
Mon -- 04:44 PM PST Sunset
Mon -- 04:57 PM PST -0.69 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:43 PM PST 6.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port Orford, Oregon, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 5.6 |
| 1 am |
| 5 |
| 2 am |
| 4.3 |
| 3 am |
| 3.8 |
| 4 am |
| 3.8 |
| 5 am |
| 4.2 |
| 6 am |
| 5.1 |
| 7 am |
| 6.3 |
| 8 am |
| 7.4 |
| 9 am |
| 8.1 |
| 10 am |
| 8.3 |
| 11 am |
| 7.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 6.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 5.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 6 |
Medford, OR,
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