Saturday, February22, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hamburg, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 5:56PM Saturday February 22, 2020 1:07 AM EST (06:07 UTC) Moonrise 6:55AMMoonset 4:58PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Expires:202002220415;;890541 Fzus51 Kbuf 212142 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 442 Pm Est Fri Feb 21 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez040-041-220415- Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 442 Pm Est Fri Feb 21 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..Southwest winds to 30 knots. Clear. Waves 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Sunny. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day, then rain and snow showers likely Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Rain likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Rain showers likely during the day, then rain and snow Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LEZ041


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hamburg, NY
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location: 42.72, -78.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 220314 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1014 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Expansive high pressure centered over the Tennessee valley will offer fair dry weather for our region through through the weekend with notable day to day warming. Temperatures by Sunday afternoon will be firmly in the 40s across the western counties . with the Genesee valley flirting with 50. Conditions will gradually deteriorate late Monday . then a prolonged period of unsettled weather will be with us for the rest of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. A large area of high pressure centered over the Tennessee Valley will become anchored over the Southeastern states during the weekend. This will guarantee fair dry weather for our forecast area overnight and Saturday . although a 45 to 50kt low level jet found just to the north of the expansive sfc high will keep a stiff breeze in place for much of the next 18 hours.

Temperatures will become increasingly more tolerable as well. The sub arctic air from Thursday night has exited the region . and with a combination of weak warm advection and gusty winds in the boundary layer to keep the environment mixed . the mercury tonight will only drop to the upper teens and 20s. This will be an improvement of about 10 degrees for most areas from what we experienced last (Thurs) night. The trend will certainly continue Saturday . as afternoon temperatures will generally range from 35 to 40. This is just about where we should be for this time of year.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure over the far southeast CONUS with weak ridging into northeast will provide dry weather through most of Monday. Steady warming trend continues with highs reaching well above climo Sunday through Monday with highs in the 40s both days and lows Sunday night not even dropping below freezing for most, though a few upper 20s will occur in the North Country. Clouds increase from the southwest on Monday, though rain showers should hold off til Monday night for majority of the area.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. A robust shortwave crossing the Gulf of Alaska this weekend will dive southeast across the Intermountain West on Monday. As we progress through the heart of the new work week . this energy will help to carve out a deep longwave trough that is eventually forecast to evolve into a large closed off storm system over Quebec by weeks end. While this will support a prolonged period of unsettled weather across our region . the trend for the resulting surface features has been to shift to the west. This will favor more rain for the FIRST HALF of the event Tuesday and Wednesday . then as cold air deepens on its backside . widespread accumulating snow can be anticipated for Thursday and Friday. While this snowfall could result in some slick travel . SIGNIFICANT impacts will likely be confined to the lake enhanced areas southeast of both lakes.

Eventually . arctic air will then charge south across our region as we make our way into next weekend.

AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. VFR conditions will be in place throughout western and north central New York through the TAF period. While fair weather will be in place . sfc wind gusts will reach 30 kts at times . especially at KIAG and KBUF.

Outlook . Saturday night through Sunday night . VFR. Monday . Deteriorating to MVFR with rain showers likely. Tuesday . MVFR to IFR in scattered rain showers. Wednesday . MVFR to IFR with rain or snow showers likely.

MARINE. Fresh to strong southwesterlies will remain in place across the Lower Great Lakes overnight through a vast majority of the day Saturday. Winds and waves will then relax Saturday afternoon as the pressure gradient weakens.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Saturday for LEZ020-040- 041. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Saturday for LOZ042>045.



SYNOPSIS . RSH NEAR TERM . RSH SHORT TERM . JLA LONG TERM . RSH AVIATION . RSH MARINE . EAJ/RSH


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 11 mi50 min SW 25 G 36 33°F 33°F1023.8 hPa10°F
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 12 mi56 min 32°F 1023.5 hPa
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 27 mi56 min 32°F 1023.2 hPa
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 32 mi68 min SW 16 G 23 31°F 1024.1 hPa (-2.8)
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 43 mi68 min WSW 18 G 30 33°F 1022.7 hPa (-2.4)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport, NY16 mi74 minSW 22 G 3010.00 miFair and Breezy32°F16°F52%1023.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBUF

Wind History from BUF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6SW5W6W5W8W10W9W11SW15
G26
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1 day agoW7W7W9W6W6W8NW8NW10NW9NW9NW11NW7NW7W11W10W11
G16
W7NW9W8W7W11W10W9W8
2 days agoW13W14W15
G26
W13W12W11W16
G20
W12
G23
W14
G21
NW12W10NW12W11W11W12W12W10
G18
W14W12NW11W11NW12W8W5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.