Sharon Springs, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sharon Springs, NY

June 17, 2024 9:52 AM EDT (13:52 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:15 AM   Sunset 8:40 PM
Moonrise 4:29 PM   Moonset 2:14 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sharon Springs, NY
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 171040 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 640 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

SYNOPSIS
Hot and humid weather arrives today, reaching dangerous levels Tuesday through Thursday mainly for valley locales, before slowly receding into the weekend. Isolated to widely scattered diurnal showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

UPDATE
As of 0630 AM EDT, despite scattered high cloud coverage, calm to light winds across the southeastern Adirondacks and Upper Hudson Valley has allowed for efficient radiative cooling to yield morning lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s, while other areas have remained in the mid 50s to low 60s.
Nonetheless, ample warming is expected beneath clearing skies this afternoon, although a few showers may reach into the southern Adirondacks as upstream radar returns show a coherent area of rain tracking toward the St Lawrence Valley associated with a passing upper shortwave. As such, forecast remains on track; see previous discussion below...

.PREV DISCUSSION [0515 AM EDT]...Upper ridging amplifies over the region today with a closed mid-level high building over the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas while surface high pressure remains located southeast of Cape Cod. Low-level southerly flow about the western flank of the surface high will aid in advecting moist air northward into the region, while upper heights steadily rise overhead as 850 hPa temps reach 16-18C. At the surface, temperatures will rise around 10 degrees above normal, reaching afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s in high terrain and mid 80s to around 90 degrees at lower elevations.
With dewpoints rising into the 60s across the region, heat indices will reach the low to mid 80s above 1000 feet, with upper 80s to low 90s at lower elevations.

A weak shortwave passing to the north may result in a few rain showers across the southern Adirondacks, before the impulse exits to the northeast this afternoon ahead of the developing ridge. Scattered clouds this morning will thus give way to mostly sunny skies through the afternoon and evening.
Conditions will remain muggy and mild tonight, as temperatures only fall to lows in the 60s across the region.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
**Heat Advisories are now in effect noon Tuesday through 8 PM Thursday for all of eastern New York and western New England**

Dangerous levels of heat and humidity arrive across the region Tuesday. Heights aloft will continue to rise through much of Wednesday as the closed 500 hPa high amplifies to nearly 600 dam while drifting north and east toward the region. Height anomalies remain only a +2 to +3 sigma event per latest NAEFS output, however the narrower historical distribution of high pressure still renders this event outside the CFSR climatology, indicating height anomalies of this magnitude have likely not occurred at this time of year in the last three decades.

850 hPa forecast temperatures remain around 18-21C, which do not represent as significant of an anomaly, only +1 to +2 sigma, but may nonetheless result in surface temperatures which challenge daily records across the region. Despite deep mixing, it may be difficult for surface temperatures to reach 100 degrees given the lack of more substantial temperatures anomalies aloft. Nonetheless, dangerously hot and humid conditions are expected, as temperatures reach afternoon highs in the mid 80s to low 90s in high terrain and mid to upper 90s at lower elevations both Tuesday and Wednesday. Surface dewpoints in the mid 60s to low 70s will yield heat indices in the 90s above 1000 feet and 100-105 degrees for valley locales.
Conditions will remain mild and muggy through the overnight hours, as overnight lows remain stuck in the mid 60s to low 70s across the region.

Despite heat indices in high terrain areas of the southern Adirondacks and eastern Catskills potentially remaining below 95 degrees, and in collaboration with neighboring forecast offices, have opted to expand Heat Advisory coverage to include the entire forecast area as potentially record-setting heat this early in the summer season with little relief available overnight may result in more significant impacts to the local population. As such, Heat Advisories are now in effect from noon Tuesday through 8 PM Wednesday for all of eastern New York and western New England. There remains potential for the Capital District, Hudson Valley, and Connecticut River Valley to see heat indices in excess of 105 degrees, which would result in the issuance of Excessive Heat Warnings if confidence in their occurrence and coverage increases in future forecast updates.

Isolated to scattered diurnal showers and thunderstorms are additionally possible both Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons, most likely across the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens. Forecast temperatures are admittedly on the higher end of guidance, and any increase in coverage of these showers or storms could result in temperatures underperforming current forecast highs, as supported by short-range ensembles.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Heat Advisories continue until 8 PM Thursday for all of eastern New York and western New England...

Our long duration heat event continues into Thursday as our impressive closed high featuring near 595 - 600dam heights (which is +2 to +3 standard deviations above normal) centered over the mid- Atlantic slowly pushes southward. Strong west-southwesterly winds around it will continue to advect in an anomalously warm air mass into the Northeast with 850hPa isotherms reaching +19C to +20C (also +2 to +2.5 standard deviations above normal). This should support afternoon high temperatures once again soaring into the mid to possibly upper 90s for valley areas with upper 80s to low 90s in the hill towns and high terrain. With dew points again reaching into the 60s to around 70, heat index values are expected to reach 100 - 104F. These values support the heat advisory we already issued and if confidence for heat index values reaching or exceeding 105F increase, excessive heat warnings may need to be issued for valley areas. Considering this will be the third day of the oppressive heat/humidity, heat impacts likely be become more noticeably.
Overnight low temperatures also will not provide much relief as overnight lows only drop into the 60s to low 70s.

A wind shift boundary from the international border will be slowly sinking southward on Thursday and looks to reach our southern Adirondack and Upper Hudson Valley areas. Therefore, we continue to show light chance and chance POPs spreading south into these zones by Thursday afternoon. While the overall forcing and moisture is rather lackluster, instability will be quite high given the heat/humidity so if the boundary can provide enough forcing for ascent, thunderstorms will easily develop.

Chances for showers and thunderstorms continue each day (especially during the afternoon hours) Friday and Saturday as our boundary continues to slowly push southward but again the overall thermal gradient and available moisture along the boundary appears rather weak. Even still, given how unstable to environment will be, it will not take much lift to result in thunderstorms, especially the peak heating hours. Given the increase cloud coverage from the incoming boundary plus chances for showers/storm, temperatures Friday and Saturday show a slight drop with highs "only" topping out in the upper 80s to low 90s Friday and mid to upper 80s to around 90 in valley areas on Saturday. Given this will be day 4 and 5 of the hot/humid weather, heat impacts likely will be still be felt given the lack of relief, especially for those populations without air conditioning, even if some areas technically fall below the 95F heat index threshold.

By Sunday, the wind shift boundary over the Northeast looks to lift northward as a warm front and temperatures could turn hot once again ahead of an incoming and stronger cold front. Still uncertainty on exactly how and when this cold front occurs but the heat/humidity looks to linger into a 6th day on Sunday with more organized area of rain and thunderstorms possible later in the day Sunday or Sunday night. Luckily, there are signs that relief from the heat/humidity should finally arrive by the beginning of the new work week.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR conditions expected to prevail for the majority of the time through 12 UTC Tuesday. Cirrus clouds this morning will gradually lower to a mid-level deck this afternoon by 18 - 20 UTC mainly at ALB, GFL, and PSF as an area of showers from northern/western New York weakens and dissipates on its tracks eastward. Then, clouds clear mid to late this afternoon.

Southerly winds increase at all terminals by 13-15 UTC becoming sustained 5-10kts with gusts up to 15kts. Winds turn light and variable by 02-03 UTC/18 at all terminals.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Friday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.

CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:

Tuesday June 18: Albany - 97 (1957, 2018)
Glens Falls - 95 (1907)
Poughkeepsie - 94 (2018)

Wednesday June 19: Albany - 94 (1995)
Glens Falls - 97 (1995)
Poughkeepsie - 92 (1941, 1943, 1993, 2016)

Thursday June 20: Albany - 97 (1953)
Glens Falls - 97 (1923)
Poughkeepsie - 96 (2012)

Friday June 21: Albany - 97 (1938)
Glens Falls - 96 (2012)
Poughkeepsie - 97 (1949)

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for CTZ001-013.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
MA...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for MAZ001-025.
VT...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for VTZ013>015.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSCH36 sm62 minS 0715 smClear70°F57°F64%30.17
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KSCH
   
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Wind History graph: SCH
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Albany, New York
   
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Albany
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Mon -- 02:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:12 AM EDT     4.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:54 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:20 PM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:04 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
3.7
1
am
4.4
2
am
4.8
3
am
4.6
4
am
3.9
5
am
3.1
6
am
2.4
7
am
1.6
8
am
0.8
9
am
0.4
10
am
1
11
am
2
12
pm
2.9
1
pm
3.5
2
pm
3.8
3
pm
3.8
4
pm
3.1
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
1.7
7
pm
1.2
8
pm
0.5
9
pm
0.1
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
1.7


Tide / Current for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
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Mon -- 01:55 AM EDT     4.63 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:25 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:03 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:35 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
3.8
1
am
4.4
2
am
4.6
3
am
4.3
4
am
3.5
5
am
2.8
6
am
2.1
7
am
1.3
8
am
0.6
9
am
0.7
10
am
1.4
11
am
2.4
12
pm
3
1
pm
3.5
2
pm
3.7
3
pm
3.4
4
pm
2.7
5
pm
2
6
pm
1.5
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
0.3
10
pm
1
11
pm
2.2


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Albany, NY,




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