Argentine, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Argentine, MI

March 4, 2024 2:48 AM EST (07:48 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:04 AM   Sunset 6:31 PM
Moonrise 3:11 AM   Moonset 11:31 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LCZ423 851 Pm Edt Wed Sep 6 2023

.strong Thunderstorms approaching the waters - .
the areas affected include - .
detroit river - . Michigan waters of lake erie - .
at 848 pm edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds to up 30 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 16 nm west of lake erie metropark harbor to 8 nm northwest of Monroe harbor to near luna pier, moving northeast at 20 knots.
strong Thunderstorms will be near, Monroe harbor, bolles harbor of refuge, north cape, luna pier, woodland beach, and detroit beach around 855 pm edt. Stony point around 900 pm edt. Lake erie metropark harbor, estral beach, and gibraltar around 910 pm edt. Detroit river light around 915 pm edt. Elizabeth park marina and wyandotte around 920 pm edt. Grosse ile around 925 pm edt.
other locations impacted by strong Thunderstorms include woodland beach, stony point, gibraltar, estral beach, and detroit beach.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds up to 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass.
these strong Thunderstorms will likely produce winds up to 30 knots, and could pose a serious hazard for boaters. A special marine warning may eventually be required when these storms reach the nearshore waters. Boaters should consider heading for shore before these storms arrive.
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lat - .lon 4173 8350 4180 8350 4195 8337 4197 8328 4226 8317 4233 8311 4238 8294 4235 8293 4232 8307 4224 8313 4212 8312 4203 8315 4196 8311 4180 8333 4172 8341

LCZ400
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Argentine, MI
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Area Discussion for - Detroit/Pontiac, MI
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FXUS63 KDTX 040453 AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 1153 PM EST Sun Mar 3 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Record high temperatures on Monday.

- Rain showers late Monday night into Tuesday as cold front tracks through the region.

AVIATION

Near surface conditions remain conducive for some degree of shallow fog formation again late tonight. Outgoing forecast will continue to highlight a predominant MVFR visibility emerging prior to daybreak, acknowledging a lower probability for one or more terminals to briefly dip below 3-5 miles should gradient diminish sufficiently.
This moisture will lift into a low stratus midday, with ceiling heights likely settling into VFR for the afternoon as greater mixing ensures. Prevailing southerly winds will again turn gusty during the afternoon, peaking around 20 knots.

For DTW...Shallow fog development possible again late tonight, with a transition into a period of stratocumulus on Monday.

DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES

* Low for ceilings at or below 5000 ft late tonight. Medium on Monday.

PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 302 PM EST Sun Mar 3 2024

DISCUSSION...

Despite the extensive low clouds around this morning, temperatures have still rebounded nicely into the upper 50s to lower 60s this afternoon for most locations.

Strong upper level wave/negative tilted trough axis lifting north through the Upper Mississippi River Valley/Western Great Lakes this afternoon/evening. Excellent 500 mb height fall center tracks through northwest Ontario and then into Hudson Bay on Monday, with little to no height falls over Lower Michigan. Deep and strong southwest flow will allow for another round of record high temperatures on Monday. However, moisture advection tonight into Tomorrow will likely lead to low cloud development, and uncertainty with just how fast low clouds dissipate during Monday.
NAM looks to be too moist, and not buying the QPF generation in this isentropic regime. Will continue to favor the middle of the road Euro/ARW/Rap, which suggests 925 mb temps reaching 14-15 C late in the day, favoring highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s, but locations north of I-69 may hold on to the clouds through most if not the entire day, and have adjusted the sky grids accordingly.

Cold front/frontal boundary to slide through the Central Great Lakes late Monday night-Tuesday. With PW values aoa 1 inch and sufficient low level FGEN, rain showers are expected with a slight chance of non-severe thunderstorms as we become modestly unstable, with showalter index at or slightly below zero and mid level lapse rates of 6.6-7.0 C/KM. Rainfall for most areas looks to be in the 0.25- 0.5" range per local probabilistic guidance.

Back to another split flow upper level pattern to finish the work week before merging over the weekend. Southeast Michigan caught in between the northern and southern branches, which favors above normal temperatures. A southern system looks to make a run toward the southern Great Lakes by Friday, and higher confidence in this system bringing rainfall to southeast Michigan in the Friday- Saturday time frame.

MARINE...

Southeast winds will continue to increase into this evening downstream of an occluded low pressure system lifting over the northern plains. Winds will peak during the early morning hours of tonight with gusts of 25 to 30 knots across central/northern Lake Huron. Increasing southeast winds will build waves across the nearshore zones of the Thumb and Saginaw Bay, thus a Small Craft Advisory is now in effect. Winds decrease Monday as gradient eases and the warm air creates stable marine conditions. Elevated wind gust return Monday night mainly in the 20-25 knot range ahead of a weak cold front that will pass through the central Great Lakes on Tuesday. The frontal passage will bring widespread rainfall and possible thunderstorms starting Tuesday morning. Wind shift out of the northwest will occur throughout the day period and the lack of strong cold advection will temper wind gust potential. The slight cool down in the wake of the front will come with generally light winds at or below 20 knots and dry conditions through Thursday night.

CLIMATE...

Here are the record high temperatures for 4th:

March 4th: Detroit 69 (set in 1983)
Flint 63 (set in 1983)
Saginaw/Tri-Cities 56 (set in 2000)

DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Monday for LHZ421-441-442.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for LHZ422-443.

Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KOZW LIVINGSTON COUNTY SPENCER J HARDY,MI 8 sm13 minSE 0710 smClear45°F41°F87%30.00
KFNT BISHOP INTL,MI 19 sm55 minSE 0910 smClear46°F41°F81%29.99
KRNP OWOSSO COMMUNITY,MI 21 sm13 minSSE 0710 smClear50°F43°F76%29.98
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Wind History from OZW
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Tide / Current for
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Detroit, MI,



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