Wednesday, October28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Coopers, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 5:59PM Wednesday October 28, 2020 10:58 PM EDT (02:58 UTC) Moonrise 4:08PMMoonset 3:21AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coopers, NY
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location: 42.74, -75     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 290057 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 857 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. Dry weather lasts only tonight as a strong low pressure system brings rain back in Thursday. Rain may mix with or change to wet snow Thursday night into Friday as colder air returns. Minor snow accumulations are possible, especially higher terrain of Central New York. Dry weather Friday night through early Sunday, will be followed by our next system late in the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. 900 PM update .

It will be a quiet overnight as temperatures drop through the 40s. A deepening low pressure system will track into the Appalachians early Thursday morning. Rain will overspread our southern forecast area before sunrise and reach the Twin Tiers around 8 AM, then spread across the entire forecast area by late morning.

Expect a half-inch to an inch of rain from the Southern Tier of NY and Catskills southward by Thursday evening.

345 PM Update . After a quick break tonight, our next system will move into the region Thursday with a chilly rain spreading south to north.

Earlier light rain left the area as the responsible shortwave zipped well east. Clouds have been a lot more stubborn, though finally the stratus has taken on a more cellular complexion which will scatter quite a bit with loss of diurnal heating late afternoon-early evening. The gap between that decreasing layer of clouds, and incoming thickening high clouds ahead of the next system, will be quite brief this evening. The resultant relative lack of radiational cooling will limit temperatures from falling below upper 30s to mid 40s for lows.

Strong low pressure, now over the lower Mississippi Valley, will further deepen while moving into the Southern-Central Appalachians tonight- early Thursday, to the Midatlantic Coast by late Thursday. Meanwhile a strong jet will be found to its north, with a broad right entrance region and associated forced ascent spreading directly over our area. A shield of rain will thus break out, starting around dawn in the Wyoming Valley area, quickly spreading across the Poconos-Catskills-Twin Tiers in the morning and then the Finger Lakes-to-Interstate 88 corridor midday; finally to the NY Thruway corridor in the afternoon. Being on the cold side of this system, and also with clouds/developing rain, temperatures will be held down to highs only in the 40s to near 50. Through 8 PM Thursday, rain amounts of three quarters of an inch to one inch is forecast from the Wyoming Valley PA to Poconos-Catskills, with additional rain continuing into Thursday night. While this will generally not be a problem, minor poor drainage street flooding such as where leaves clog ditches, cannot be totally ruled out.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. Thursday night, a surface low tracking towards the region slowly exits off of the New Jersey shoreline. Rain continues especially along and south of the Thruway, but as cold Canadian high pressure slowly builds in, a colder airmass will bring in a change over to snow or a rain/snow mix into early Friday. Rain and snow showers linger downwind of Lake Ontario into Friday afternoon as a wind shift and colder airmass may allow for a weak lake response. A few lingering showers will also be possible across our Catskills and Poconos regions as another weak wave moves up the coastline.

Models seem to be converging on the more southerly track of the system, which continues to reduce QPF amounts compared to previous forecasts. In fact, some of the latest model runs are very quick to dry out soundings into early Friday. This leads to a relatively brief period of saturation throughout the snow growth region, reflected in a reduced snowfall forecast. Thinking light amounts below an inch across much of the area Thursday night, with little across the warmer valleys and Finger Lakes at all. Higher amounts generally around 1 to 3 inches are expected across the Catskills, with the highest peaks possibly seeing slightly higher amounts. This puts us more in line with WPC forecasts.

Friday night through Saturday, high pressure in control will allow for a return to dry and mainly clear conditions. Temperatures turn very cold friday night, into the 20s and even teens across the highest elevations given clear skies and light winds. With more sunshine, highs turn a little warmer compared to Friday with temperatures peaking in the mid to upper 40s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 4pm Update .

The long term forecast remains largely on track. Minor updates have been made to temperatures Monday through Tuesday, with current guidance turning a little cooler. This has had the impact of allowing for precip to remain as snow a little longer before a transition to rain for the daytime hours.

Previous discussion below.

High pressure will bring plenty of sunshine for Saturday. However with the chilly airmass still in place, highs will likely only be topping out in the 40s for the majority of the area. A cold front will then approach the area on Sunday, bringing a chance of rain showers, especially during the afternoon and in Central NY. Highs Sunday will likely be in the upper 40s to mid 50s. As temperatures fall into the 30s Sunday night, any lingering showers may mix with or change over to snow showers.

With a cold northwest flow developing behind the front, lake effect rain and snow showers are then possible late Sunday night into Monday. Temperatures will be quite chilly, with highs on Monday only in the 30s and lower 40s.

Additional lake effect/lake enhanced rain and snow showers looks possible Monday night into Tuesday as a wave of low pressure passes to the north across Canada. PoPs were kept low due to a great deal of uncertainty.

AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. VFR through the overnight with light winds. However, ceilings should gradually lower as rain moves in from south to north. Rain will start at KAVP around 12Z Monday then spread into KBGM, KITH and KELM around 15Z then into KSYR and KRME around 18Z. Restrictions should set in both with ceilings and visibilities a few hours after the rain starts. Confidence is increasing for ceilings to lower to fuel-alternate and even IFR at all sites but KSYR and KRME after 18z Monday.

Outlook .

Thursday night . IFR through most of the night with light rain and snow with improvements toward sunrise Friday with ceilings. No snow accumulations anticipated on runways at this time. Visibilities should improve to VFR throughout the night.

Friday . lingering light rain and snow with associated restrictions. Ceilings should rise through the afternoon.

Friday night through Sunday morning . Mainly VFR/high pressure.

Sunday afternoon through Monday . Frontal system moves through with rain late Sunday, followed by occasional ceiling restrictions and mixed snow/rain showers into Monday.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MDP NEAR TERM . DJP/MDP SHORT TERM . HLC LONG TERM . BJG/HLC AVIATION . MDP/MWG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 76 mi89 min Calm 47°F 1014 hPa46°F
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 94 mi65 min W 20 G 24 52°F 1014.8 hPa43°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY40 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair37°F35°F93%1015.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmE3CalmE3E3E4SE4--CalmCalmSW3W6W8W7W6NW3CalmNE3CalmCalm
1 day agoNW8W5W7NW4W7N3CalmCalmN6NE4CalmN5N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4N3CalmCalmCalmN3
2 days agoSE9E13SE10SE6SE7E6SE6SE4SE5SE6E6SE4E7E5E5E7E6CalmE3CalmW4W6W8W7

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Wed -- 03:19 AM EDT     4.68 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:51 AM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:49 PM EDT     4.62 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:19 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.33.34.14.64.53.832.21.20.1-0.30.41.62.73.64.44.64.23.52.820.90.10.3

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:02 AM EDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:22 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:32 PM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:50 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.63.54.24.54.23.42.71.80.7-0.1-00.922.93.84.34.33.83.12.51.50.50.10.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.