Tuesday, May11, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Coopers, NY

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1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:39AMSunset 8:15PM Tuesday May 11, 2021 7:41 AM EDT (11:41 UTC) Moonrise 4:46AMMoonset 7:14PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coopers, NY
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location: 42.74, -75     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 111059 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 659 AM EDT Tue May 11 2021

SYNOPSIS. It will be chilly and brisk today, as a gusty cold front sweeps through the area with spotty showers this afternoon and evening. Wednesday and Thursday will feature a decent amount of sunshine, but it will take a few days for temperatures to trend up closer towards average levels.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 655 AM Update . Late night clearing of high clouds allowed some protected valleys to fully realize their frost potential. Berkshire, Camden, Dryden, Norwich, Hamilton, Marathon, and Cornell Campus in Ithaca each managed to slip just below freezing for NY sites. 2 SE Orwell in Bradford County, and New Milford in Susquehanna County, also dipped below freezing for PA. Frost Advisory remains in effect until 8AM for most of the area.

Previous discussion . Main issue in the near term, will be a cold front later today with spotty yet quite gusty showers.

A shield of high thin cirrus overnight, and a steep enough pressure gradient which kept a little wind going outside of sheltered valleys, has resulted in frost being even patchier than earlier expected for a good chunk of the area. Despite that, Frost Advisory was left standing for most of the area since holes in the cirrus are still allowing mid 30s to near 40 for morning lows and thus at least some patchy frost. Some of our usual colder suspects indeed still likely have a good deal of frost; for example lower-mid 30s can be found in Oneida County, as well as 34 degrees in Hamilton as of 330 AM. Meanwhile, further south, Luzerne County is in the upper 30s to mid 40s and thus we dropped the Frost Advisory there.

The cirrus was a result of a jet streak and isentropic lift aloft, ahead of a potent upper wave/cold core of air aloft currently digging through the northern Great Lakes. That wave, along with surface low pressure over the Saint Lawrence, will send a gusty cold front through the region today. This will make an already chilly air mass even cooler, while also greatly deepening the mixed layer to around 650-700mb. Winds will pick up considerably out of the west-northwest, with gusts frequently in the 20-30 mph range. Additionally, spotty convective showers will develop with steep lapse rates. Model soundings depict a deep inverted-V underneath the cloud layer, suggesting that any showers could have erratic strong gusts. It would not be surprising to see isolated 35-40 mph gusts under any shower cores this afternoon-evening. That said, most of the area and time will be dry; coverage of showers will be limited by lack of moisture, though will be greater in Central New York versus Twin Tiers southward. Highs today will be mainly in the upper 40s- mid 50s; some upper 50s in lowest elevations of Northeast PA. Cold air advection however will be quick to make temperatures fall in mid-to-late afternoon.

For tonight, temperatures fall into the mid 30s at highest elevations to upper 30s-lower 40s elsewhere. Despite that, plenty of wind and a decent amount of clouds will prevent a frost threat. 850mb temperatures dive well below freezing, and thus any lingering showers late evening-overnight could mix with wet snowflakes especially at higher elevations, though no accumulation is expected; amounts will be light and individual showers brief/passing through quickly.

Cyclonic flow persists Wednesday but with considerably less moisture. Morning clouds will tend to scatter out to allow more sunshine, but northwest winds will still be somewhat gusty. Highs will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s, with dry air mixing down to send relative humidity into only the upper 20s-upper 30s percent range.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. 330 am update .

The biggest threat will again be frost Wednesday night. Temperatures should be colder than this morning. High pressure will be centered over the midwest and western Great Lakes Wednesday night. The high will slowly expand east this period drying our area out. Winds will be light during the day and nearly calm at night. Low temperatures will again be in the mid and upper 30s. Skies will be mainly clear with winds of 5 mph or less.

Thursday with mostly sunny skies and rising upper level heights temperatures will rise into the low and mid 60s. thursday night still only partly cloudy with light to calm winds. Temperatures a tad warmer with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

Friday a wave aloft could set off scattered afternoon to early evening showers and maybe a thunderstorm. This wave drops southeast through the broad upper level trough. Highs again in the 60s. Moisture will be limited.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. 345 AM Update .

Though mostly dry, due to a relative lack of moisture, a few diurnally-driven showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible this weekend during the afternoons. Highs again in the 60s with lows in the 40s. Surface high pressure will weaken as it moves to the East Coast.

The next front is expected to arrive Tuesday from the central Plains. This will be our next chance of a widespread soaking rain but models don't show much agreement on timing or strength.

Timing uncertainties on the next cold frontal boundary and if it impacts the region Monday or Tuesday. Temperatures rise a little more with highs from the mid 60s to around 70. Lows rise to the mid and upper 40s and lower 50s.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. VFR conditions prevail through early evening, before eventual showers sneak into KSYR-KRME-perhaps KITH later this evening along with ceiling restrictions reaching to KBGM-KELM prior to 12Z Wednesday. That said, there is some weather in the form of gusty winds today as a cold front sweeps across the terminals. Initially light wind will become west-northwest 10-15 knots late morning onward and gusts into the 20s knots range for at least the NY terminals; nearly so at KAVP, too. Atmosphere will become deeply mixed late this afternoon-evening, which could allow for erratic gusts of 30-35 knots in vicinity of any spotty showers. Coverage of those showers will be isolated or widely scattered; thus for now confidence is not high enough to include in the TAFs except KSYR-KRME in the evening, though they will be at least possible at any terminal.

Outlook .

Early Wednesday . Briefly lingering ceiling restrictions possible for a short time after 12Z for KITH-KBGM-KRME-KBGM.

Late Wednesday morning through Thursday night . VFR.

Friday through Saturday . Mainly VFR, but isolated pop-up showers/brief associated restrictions possible each afternoon.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for PAZ038>040-043- 044-072. NY . Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ009-015>018- 022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.

SYNOPSIS . MDP NEAR TERM . MDP SHORT TERM . TAC LONG TERM . TAC AVIATION . MDP


Weather Reporting Stations
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On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 76 mi72 min Calm 41°F 1016 hPa40°F
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 94 mi72 min WSW 16 G 22 43°F 1016.9 hPa33°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY40 mi49 minN 010.00 miFair36°F32°F86%1017.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W6W5W7SW9W7W10W6W8NW10W13W7W7W8W5CalmCalmNW5CalmN3NW4CalmN3Calm
1 day agoCalm3N5Calm3Calm3S4E3CalmS9N4CalmE3NE5E3NE4CalmCalmN3N4N4W6NW4
2 days agoSW9W6SW4CalmSW3CalmCalmW4NW64NW8NW6W6W7NW5NW3W4CalmNW3CalmCalmN3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:41 AM EDT     5.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:23 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:01 PM EDT     New Moon
Tue -- 06:02 PM EDT     4.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.312.43.74.75.35.54.943.22.31.20.40.51.52.63.54.24.54.23.42.61.91.1

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:24 AM EDT     5.31 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:54 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:01 PM EDT     New Moon
Tue -- 05:45 PM EDT     4.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.61.62.93.94.85.35.24.53.62.81.80.80.40.91.92.93.64.24.33.832.31.60.8

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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