Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Holland, MI
November 28, 2023 3:02 PM EST (20:02 UTC)
Sunrise 7:50AM Sunset 5:14PM Moonrise 5:58PM Moonset 9:29AM
LMZ846 Holland To Grand Haven Mi- 1105 Am Est Tue Nov 28 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night...
Rest of today..West winds to 30 knots. Snow showers likely through early afternoon, then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 5 to 7 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming gales to 35 knots after midnight. Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Waves 4 to 6 feet building to 7 to 10 feet after midnight.
Wednesday..West gales to 35 knots decreasing to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 4 to 6 feet late in the day.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds to 30 knots. Partly Sunny with a slight chance of rain showers. Waves 6 to 9 feet.
Friday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..East winds around 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves around 1 foot.
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night...
Rest of today..West winds to 30 knots. Snow showers likely through early afternoon, then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 5 to 7 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming gales to 35 knots after midnight. Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Waves 4 to 6 feet building to 7 to 10 feet after midnight.
Wednesday..West gales to 35 knots decreasing to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 4 to 6 feet late in the day.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds to 30 knots. Partly Sunny with a slight chance of rain showers. Waves 6 to 9 feet.
Friday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..East winds around 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves around 1 foot.
LMZ800
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Area Discussion for - Grand Rapids, MI
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FXUS63 KGRR 281739 AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 1239 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
LATEST UPDATE...
Aviation
UPDATE
Issued at 935 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Dropped the winter weather advisory for Calhoun and Barry Counties as flow has gone more northwest and accumulating snow should remain west of there. Will let the rest of the advisory expire at 11 AM as inversion heights come down and snow rates taper off this afternoon with only another inch or less expected and webcams showing main roads are clear of snow.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 307 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Current headlines look to be in good shape this morning as lake effect snow showers, locally heavy at times, continue across parts of Western Michigan. Ample overlake instability is fueling lake effect snow showers affecting our traditional northwest flow lake effect belts. The heaviest of these are affecting Allegan/Kalamazoo/Van Buren counties at this time. The showers will continue into the morning hours resulting in areas of slick travel Tuesday morning across the advisory area. Wind gusts around 20 mph could also cause localized blowing snow.
The trough that has been over the area in recent days exits Tuesday morning with moisture depth and inversion heights falling under 5000 ft during the day Tuesday. This will cause snow showers to diminish Tuesday afternoon and evening, drifting northeast while they dissipate as flow becomes southwesterly in weak ridging.
The next round of snowfall is expected Tuesday night into the start of Wednesday. Isentropic upglide/warm air advection will take advantage of increased moisture depth to produce light snow showers across the northern half of the CWA. Accumulations will be minor, only an inch or two at most. Snow showers end Wednesday morning as weak mid-level height rises and subsidence return and moisture depth decreases once again.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 307 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Quieter weather is expected during the long term period of Wednesday night through next Monday. We will have a few chances for precipitation, but as WPC guidances shows (7 day QPF of less than a half inch), much of it will be light. As far as temperatures go, we will be near normals for this time of year which are highs around 40 and lows around 30.
As for the details regarding sensible weather goes the upper trough currently in places lifts out to the north during the short term leaving a zonal upper flow for the most part in the long term with higher heights leading to a moderation in temperatures. The first system to watch will be a low that will be centered over MO/AR by Friday morning. The low shears out towards the eastern Great Lakes on Friday spreading light precipitation into Southern Lower Michigan on Friday. Temperatures should be just warm enough for the precipitation to fall as rain, but there could be a bit of a rain snow mix on the northern fringes near I-96. The precipitation should end Friday night as the system moves away/weakens.
The forecast is less clear as we head through the weekend and into next week. Operational runs of the ECMWF and GFS have differing solutions with regard to the strength and location of shortwaves embedded in southwest flow aloft on Saturday. In general they agree on upper troughing developing in the Plains over the weekend and moving into our area by Monday. At this point it looks like fairly good chances for a cold rain during the Sunday/Monday time frame.
Bottom line...no major systems to deal with at this point with near normal temperatures.
AVIATION
(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Along the lakeshore, the lake effect snow showers are showing signs of starting to taper off this afternoon. The visibilities are not as low as they were earlier at KMKG and KAZO. The snow showers and MVFR clouds are starting to spread inland a bit as the flow is starting to back some to the WNW. This will bring MVFR conditions to all of the sites through the next few hours. Then mid-late evening, the lake effect will go away and leave only some mid/high clouds for a few hours.
The next wave coming in from the NW will then spread more cloud cover in later tonight and continue to linger through Wednesday.
Snow showers are likely at the I-96 corridor terminals very late tonight and on Wednesday. Conditions will initially be VFR, but are likely to sink to MVFR. The I-94 corridor terminals will likely escape the snow showers from this system, but the MVFR clouds will still affect the area.
MARINE
Issued at 307 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Current small craft advisory remains in good shape with 20-25 knot winds gusting to near 30 knots being observed at many monitoring sites. There will be a brief lull in winds this afternoon, to short to make any substantial decrease in wave activity, before a passing low-level jet causes winds to increase to southwesterly at 20-30 knots with gusts just below gales tonight. The current small craft advisory remains in effect through early Thursday, and will likely need to be extended into the day on Thursday as conditions hazardous to small craft continue. Winds and waves finally decrease Friday into Saturday as a high pressure system moves into the upper Great Lakes region.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for LMZ844>849.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 1239 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
LATEST UPDATE...
Aviation
UPDATE
Issued at 935 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Dropped the winter weather advisory for Calhoun and Barry Counties as flow has gone more northwest and accumulating snow should remain west of there. Will let the rest of the advisory expire at 11 AM as inversion heights come down and snow rates taper off this afternoon with only another inch or less expected and webcams showing main roads are clear of snow.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 307 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Current headlines look to be in good shape this morning as lake effect snow showers, locally heavy at times, continue across parts of Western Michigan. Ample overlake instability is fueling lake effect snow showers affecting our traditional northwest flow lake effect belts. The heaviest of these are affecting Allegan/Kalamazoo/Van Buren counties at this time. The showers will continue into the morning hours resulting in areas of slick travel Tuesday morning across the advisory area. Wind gusts around 20 mph could also cause localized blowing snow.
The trough that has been over the area in recent days exits Tuesday morning with moisture depth and inversion heights falling under 5000 ft during the day Tuesday. This will cause snow showers to diminish Tuesday afternoon and evening, drifting northeast while they dissipate as flow becomes southwesterly in weak ridging.
The next round of snowfall is expected Tuesday night into the start of Wednesday. Isentropic upglide/warm air advection will take advantage of increased moisture depth to produce light snow showers across the northern half of the CWA. Accumulations will be minor, only an inch or two at most. Snow showers end Wednesday morning as weak mid-level height rises and subsidence return and moisture depth decreases once again.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 307 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Quieter weather is expected during the long term period of Wednesday night through next Monday. We will have a few chances for precipitation, but as WPC guidances shows (7 day QPF of less than a half inch), much of it will be light. As far as temperatures go, we will be near normals for this time of year which are highs around 40 and lows around 30.
As for the details regarding sensible weather goes the upper trough currently in places lifts out to the north during the short term leaving a zonal upper flow for the most part in the long term with higher heights leading to a moderation in temperatures. The first system to watch will be a low that will be centered over MO/AR by Friday morning. The low shears out towards the eastern Great Lakes on Friday spreading light precipitation into Southern Lower Michigan on Friday. Temperatures should be just warm enough for the precipitation to fall as rain, but there could be a bit of a rain snow mix on the northern fringes near I-96. The precipitation should end Friday night as the system moves away/weakens.
The forecast is less clear as we head through the weekend and into next week. Operational runs of the ECMWF and GFS have differing solutions with regard to the strength and location of shortwaves embedded in southwest flow aloft on Saturday. In general they agree on upper troughing developing in the Plains over the weekend and moving into our area by Monday. At this point it looks like fairly good chances for a cold rain during the Sunday/Monday time frame.
Bottom line...no major systems to deal with at this point with near normal temperatures.
AVIATION
(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Along the lakeshore, the lake effect snow showers are showing signs of starting to taper off this afternoon. The visibilities are not as low as they were earlier at KMKG and KAZO. The snow showers and MVFR clouds are starting to spread inland a bit as the flow is starting to back some to the WNW. This will bring MVFR conditions to all of the sites through the next few hours. Then mid-late evening, the lake effect will go away and leave only some mid/high clouds for a few hours.
The next wave coming in from the NW will then spread more cloud cover in later tonight and continue to linger through Wednesday.
Snow showers are likely at the I-96 corridor terminals very late tonight and on Wednesday. Conditions will initially be VFR, but are likely to sink to MVFR. The I-94 corridor terminals will likely escape the snow showers from this system, but the MVFR clouds will still affect the area.
MARINE
Issued at 307 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023
Current small craft advisory remains in good shape with 20-25 knot winds gusting to near 30 knots being observed at many monitoring sites. There will be a brief lull in winds this afternoon, to short to make any substantial decrease in wave activity, before a passing low-level jet causes winds to increase to southwesterly at 20-30 knots with gusts just below gales tonight. The current small craft advisory remains in effect through early Thursday, and will likely need to be extended into the day on Thursday as conditions hazardous to small craft continue. Winds and waves finally decrease Friday into Saturday as a high pressure system moves into the upper Great Lakes region.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for LMZ844>849.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| HLNM4 - 9087031 - Holland, MI | 6 mi | 45 min | W 14G | 28°F | 39°F | 30.15 | 18°F | |
| SVNM4 - South Haven, MI | 27 mi | 33 min | W 12G | 27°F | ||||
| 45161 | 32 mi | 23 min | 46°F | 3 ft | ||||
| MKGM4 - Muskegon, MI | 34 mi | 23 min | 26°F | 30.23 | 17°F | |||
| SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI | 51 mi | 63 min | W 11G | 28°F | 30.22 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBIV WEST MICHIGAN RGNL,MI | 2 sm | 19 min | W 05 | 10 sm | Overcast | 28°F | 18°F | 64% | 30.18 | |
Wind History from BIV
(wind in knots)
Grand Rapids/Muskegon, MI,
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