Sunrise 6:14 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 10:44 PM   Moonset 6:28 AM

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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday - .peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.

PZZ300 203 Pm Pdt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - Moderate west to northwest winds will continue with steep seas continuing through tonight. Relatively light winds and low seas will result in calmer seas through early next week. Another front will move into the waters Saturday morning, which could bring additional hazards to the waters.

FXUS66 KMFR 262137 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 237 PM PDT Fri Apr 26 2024

SHORT TERM
Tonight 4/26 through Saturday night 4/27...Radar imagery is showing numerous showers across southern Oregon and northern California. These showers will continue this afternoon and taper off over the evening. These showers are being caused by a frontal boundary that moved through the area earlier this morning. A couple of thunderstorms may be possible this afternoon, mainly along and east of the Cascades. The HRRR didn't show much that impressed me regarding showers, but a lightning strike was already recorded in Lassen County, California. Some of these showers may produce some moderate to heavy precipitation.

As showers taper off tonight, some clearing may occur; but skies will remain mostly cloudy which will keep temperatures moderated and will preclude any frost or freeze concerns.

Another front will swing by southern Oregon and northern California tomorrow. This system may bring additional light precipitation to areas mainly along and west of the Cascades.
Snow levels will be around 5000 feet, and 1-2 inches of snow will be possible in the Cascades. Impactful weather, however, is generally not expected

LONG TERM
Sunday through Friday, April 28 - May 3, 2024...Zonal flow (west to east) across the Pacific Sunday into Tuesday will maintain a storm track mostly to our north. At times, disturbances will swing through, resulting in an increase in shower chances, but mainly across NW sections of the CWA On Sunday, onshore flow will contribute to a 30-60% chance of showers north and west of the Umpqua Divide with PoPs diminishing quickly south and east of there. It looks like a mainly dry, at least partly sunny day elsewhere (including here in the Rogue Valley)
with gusty breezes (25-35 mph) developing in the afternoon. The next upper air disturbance will move through Sunday night into Monday. Once again, the main forcing for precipitation will be to our north, but there's a high probability of showers (50-70%)
along the coast and over to the Cascades. Again, precip chances drop off quickly to the south and east of the mountains. We can't rule out a shower or two around the Rogue Valley/Medford area during that time period, but most of the time will be rain free.
Snow levels Sunday night could dip to around 3500 feet or so, but any light snow accumulations (1-3") should be confined to the Cascade mountains from around Crater Lake northward. This system exits to the east Monday evening, followed by another upper disturbance that will swing through northern Oregon on Tuesday.
For a third time, we'll be on the southern fringes of this system, so PoPs remain highest across the north and west, lowest across the south and east. Overall, temperatures during this period will be near to below normal. Widespread frost/freezing conditions west of the Cascades appear unlikely at the moment, but a colder night or two is possible, especially if skies clear and remain clear all night. Best chance right now for frost is Monday night/Tue morning with the usual suspects (Illinois/Applegate Valley/Grants Pass areas) having the highest probability (30-60%).

There remains quite a bit of uncertainty regarding mid-late next week. Recent 12z deterministic guidance wants to dry things out across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday with a return of higher heights by Thu/Fri. Some multi-model members have also gone in this direction, which would potentially bring a substantial warm up. This is being reflected in recent blended guidance as well with some lowering of PoPs in the Wed-Fri time frame. However, there are still several members that fall into a cluster of similar solutions (~20%)
that bring another upper trough into the area maintaining a cooler, wetter regime. At this point, confidence in any of these solutions is low, so we prefer to keep the official forecast closer to the NBM, which results in modest PoPs (generally 20-40%) area wide during the period. Temperatures should trend higher as well, but we haven't gone quite as high as the 12z models would show just yet.
-Spilde



AVIATION
26/18Z TAFs...Expect conditions to fluctuate between VFR/MVFR today with the lower conditions most likely in showers. The lower ceilings will result in higher terrain obscurations area wide.
Local IFR conditions are still possible along the coast, especially south of Cape Blanco and north of Florence.

Breezy winds are expected this afternoon east of the Cascades, including Klamath Falls (up to 25 kt), diminishing between 3-4z.

While some lower (MVFR) conditions are still expected tonight (especially in the Umpqua Basin and along the coast), the tendency should be for VFR to prevail elsewhere as showers diminish/end. Next chance for rain arrives along the coast Saturday morning. -Spilde



MARINE
Updated 200 PM Friday, April 26, 2024...While wind speeds gradually diminish late this afternoon and evening, steep west swell will result in seas hazardous to small craft. These conditions are likely to last into late tonight. Another front will move into the waters late Saturday morning, then onshore later Saturday afternoon.
Seas may become chaotic once again during this time and winds could approach small craft north of Cape Blanco. Additionally, we are going into a rainy pattern with chances over the waters nearly every day in the forecast through middle next week.
-Petrucelli/Hermansen



MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR
CA
None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM PDT Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

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Port Orford, Pacific Ocean, Oregon, Tide feet

Bandon
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Fri -- 01:25 AM PDT     6.75 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:17 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:27 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:35 AM PDT     -0.69 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:12 PM PDT     5.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:08 PM PDT     2.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:14 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:44 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bandon, Coquille River, Oregon, Tide feet

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