Wednesday, July8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kenmore, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:43AMSunset 8:57PM Wednesday July 8, 2020 3:29 AM EDT (07:29 UTC) Moonrise 10:34PMMoonset 8:07AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ020 Upper Niagara River And Buffalo Harbor- 505 Pm Edt Tue Jul 7 2020
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear this evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
Thursday..Light and variable winds. Sunny.
Thursday night..Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming south. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Friday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off buffalo is 74 degrees.
LEZ020 Expires:202007080315;;482580 FZUS51 KBUF 072105 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 505 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-080315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kenmore, NY
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location: 42.94, -78.84     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 080514 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 114 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. Heat and humidity will build through the rest of the week, peaking on Thursday and Friday. The majority of the time will be dry, although a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible each afternoon and evening mainly inland from the lakes. A weak cold front will arrive Saturday and bring a better chance of showers and thunderstorms, and will also bring somewhat cooler temperatures to the region by Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. Flat ridging to our west will continue to pump uncomfortably warm and increasingly humid air into the region. Hot across the lake plains with heat indices Wednesday in the mid to upper 90s.

Radar imagery showing an area of showers and storms over eastern Ontario. These may cross the Saint Lawrence valley just before daybreak. A few more isolated showers just north of Long Point may approach the Niagara Frontier toward daybreak. Otherwise it will be dry and mainly clear to partly cloudy overnight.

On Wednesday, there will be slightly better chance of showers and thunderstorms with an elevated frontal passage. Timing of these will be earlier than last couple days though, occurring later morning into mid afternoon before tapering off by late afternoon. Greatest coverage of the rain will occur from the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes to the North Country.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. . Heat and Humidity Peaks Thursday and Friday .

A semblance of a Rex block over the eastern U.S. will continue to support H85 temps that will hover near 20c. This will translate into daily highs Thursday and Friday in the 90s across the lake plains where high humidity will boost the apparent temps to between 95 and 100. Heat Advisories will remain in effect across the Lake Plains and into the Finger Lakes region.

Meanwhile . little if any rainfall anticipated. Meager pops highest on Friday. ECMWF guidance accepted.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A mid-level trough will slowly approach the region Saturday before gradually weakening or moving off to the northeast through early next week. The best chance for rain will be Saturday when the axis of the mid-level and surface trough enter western New York. However most model guidance keeps deeper/tropical moisture to our east with this system tracking into New England. So while this system is likely to provide some drought relief, it will be far from a drought- buster with amounts in the quarter inch ballpark.

After this, weak troughing aloft will support mainly scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms Sunday through Monday.

Temperatures will be notably cooler than this week, but still near to slightly above normal with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A few showers and thunderstorms will cross the Saint Lawrence Valley mainly north of KART early this morning with local/brief MVFR to IFR.

A weak trough will slowly cross the region this morning through mid afternoon and produce a few isolated to widely scattered showers and storms. The best coverage will be from the western Finger Lakes to the southern Tug Hill region during the early to mid afternoon as the trough encounters increasing diurnal instability. Any shower or thunderstorm may produce brief/local MVFR to IFR conditions, otherwise VFR will prevail today.

Tonight will be mainly dry with a few patches of mid/high clouds. VFR will prevail in most areas. River valley fog will likely develop overnight across the western Southern Tier with local IFR.

Outlook .

Thursday through Friday . Mainly VFR. Widely scattered showers and storms each afternoon mainly inland from the lakes with local/brief flight restrictions. Late night/early morning Southern Tier Valley fog with local IFR. Saturday . VFR/MVFR. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Sunday . Mainly VFR with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

MARINE. Relatively light winds will continue on Lakes Erie and Ontario through the rest of the week with a weak pressure gradient in place. Winds will generally be under 12 knots and waves under 2 feet. Strong differential heating will allow for local lake breezes to develop most afternoons with onshore wind developing.

CLIMATE. There will be an extended period of hot weather which has the potential to break some records. Some daily records will be within reach over the next several days. Also, the longest streak of 90-degree days in Buffalo may be in jeopardy. Buffalo has already exceeded 90 today, making it 5 days and counting. Here are the current records .

Buffalo

Tuesday - 94 (1988 and 2020) Wednesday - 96 (1988) Thursday - 92 (1988) Friday - 95 (1988)

Rochester

Tuesday - 97 (1988) Wednesday - 100 (1936) Thursday - 102 (1936) Friday - 102 (1936)

Watertown

Tuesday - 99 (2008) Wednesday - 93 (1955) Thursday - 92 (1955) Friday - 92 (2007)

Consecutive 90+ Degree Days in Buffalo (Ending Date) 1) 7/10/1988 - 7 2) 7/1/1963 - 5 3) 8/14/1947 - 5 4) 7/7/2020 (ongoing) - 5

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for NYZ001>006-010-011-013- 014. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . Hitchcock NEAR TERM . Hitchcock/JLA/RSH SHORT TERM . RSH LONG TERM . Apffel AVIATION . Hitchcock MARINE . Hitchcock CLIMATE . Apffel/JLA/RSH


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 5 mi59 min S 8 G 11 76°F 78°F1014.7 hPa60°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 13 mi59 min 76°F 1014.1 hPa
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 20 mi59 min 75°F 1014.3 hPa
45142 - Port Colborne 28 mi89 min SW 14 G 16 77°F 76°F1 ft1013.5 hPa (-0.4)
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 28 mi29 min SSW 5.1 G 8 78°F 1013.5 hPa (+0.3)
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 41 mi29 min SSW 4.1 G 6 74°F 1014.3 hPa (-0.3)
45139 - West Lake Ontario - Grimsby 42 mi89 min SSW 7.8 G 9.7 77°F 74°F1 ft1012.7 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport, NY6 mi35 minSW 710.00 miA Few Clouds78°F66°F67%1013.5 hPa
Niagara Falls, Niagara Falls International Airport, NY13 mi36 minSW 1010.00 miFair75°F66°F74%1012.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBUF

Wind History from BUF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8SE3S5S4S6SW6W9SW8W9SW9SW9SW8SW9SW8SW11SW14W9SW13SW7SW10SW10SW9SW8SW7
1 day agoSE4SE4E3E4SE5SE5CalmCalmCalmNE5NE4N5N7NE13NE11NE9NE11E6NE3S4E6SE7S5SW4
2 days agoS4S3S4S4S33S5W7SW5SW8SW11W8W9S7SW6W6W3E3E3CalmCalmSE5CalmSE4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.