Monday, September16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
University at Buffalo, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:25PM Monday September 16, 2019 6:07 PM EDT (22:07 UTC) Moonrise 7:55PMMoonset 8:03AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ020 Upper Niagara River And Buffalo Harbor- 627 Am Edt Mon Sep 16 2019
Today..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers this morning.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Mainly clear.
Tuesday..Light and variable winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots. Sunny.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Mainly clear.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less. Sunny.
Thursday and Friday..South winds 10 knots or less. Sunny. The water temperature off buffalo is 70 degrees.
LEZ020 Expires:201909161500;;871195 FZUS51 KBUF 161027 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 627 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-161500-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near University at Buffalo, NY
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location: 42.99, -78.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 162148
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
548 pm edt Mon sep 16 2019

Synopsis
A weak low pressure system passing by to the south may bring a few
showers or sprinkles through early this evening across the interior
southern tier. High pressure will then bring a prolonged stretch of
spectacular late summer weather for the rest of the week, with
temperatures climbing to well above normal by late in the week.

Near term through Tuesday
Regional radars showing just a few isolated very light showers
toward the pa line, with few very light returns over northwestern
lake ontario as well. Per surface analysis, this activity is
stemming from a weak inverted trough extending from central lake
erie northward into southwestern ontario. These sprinkles light
showers will drift south and dissipate through sunset. Otherwise,
stubborn cloud cover still hanging on over the western third of nys
westward into southwestern ontario province will continue to slowly
dissipate press off to the south and southwest through this evening.

Tonight and into Tuesday, high pressure over ontario and quebec will
build further south into the area and remain stationary. This
will help to scour out any leftover evening clouds across
western ny into the southern tier, thereby leading to mainly
clear skies for the overnight into Tuesday afternoon. Coupled
with light winds and a much drier airmass featuring dewpoints in
the 40s and pwats down below 0.5 inch, this should lead to
excellent conditions for radiational cooling. Expect overnight
lows to fall to the lower to mid 40s across the north country
and to the mid to upper 40s in most other locations, with only
the immediate lakeshores failing to drop below 50 degrees. On
Tuesday, under mostly sunny skies, went with highs mainly in the
low to mid 70s, warmest over the niagara frontier extending ssw
along the lake erie shoreline.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night
Surface high pressure will be over just to our north Tuesday
night... With the surface feature to our east Wednesday and Thursday.

It will continue to be dry this period, with a strong upper level
ridge of high pressure supplying clear skies and mild temperatures
that will be around 5f above normal at night... And 5-10f above
normal during the day.

The only real change to the going forecast was to add some river
valley fog across the southern tier each morning... While some
patches of fog are also possible in the valleys east of lake ontario.

Long term Friday through Monday
Given the influence of ridging, dry conditions persisting through at
least Saturday night with very mild temperatures continuing.

A large stacked storm system over central canada during the weekend
will eventually push a pacific based cool front through our region.

The front may be close enough later Sunday into Monday to warrant
the mention of a few showers.

Aviation 22z Monday through Saturday
Vfr conditions expected for the entire TAF period. Only exception
will be across the interior southern tier, where localized ifr will
be possible in typical valley fog that will form late tonight,
lasting through mid morning Tuesday. Otherwise, stubbornVFR
decks still hanging on over the western third of nys westward
into southwestern ontario province will continue to slowly
dissipate press off to the south and southwest through this
evening, leaving behind mainly clear skies as surface high
pressure continues to build south across the area.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Saturday... MainlyVFR... With localized ifr
in southern tier valley fog possible each night early morning.

Marine
Expect some light chop across the eastern shores lake erie and the
southwestern shores of lake ontario through late this evening.

Otherwise, high pressure building back across our region will result
in light winds and minimal wave action for the rest of the week.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jla jm jjr
near term... Jla jm
short term... Thomas
long term... Rsh tma
aviation... Jla jm
marine... Jm jjr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 9 mi49 min NE 7 G 9.9 73°F 71°F1018.3 hPa50°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 13 mi55 min 68°F 1018.8 hPa
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 24 mi55 min 72°F 1017.6 hPa
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 25 mi67 min ENE 16 G 18 64°F 1019.6 hPa (-0.4)
45142 - Port Colborne 31 mi67 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 70°F 70°F1017.6 hPa (-0.5)
45139 - West Lake Ontario - Grimsby 43 mi127 min ENE 12 G 14 65°F 65°F2 ft1018.7 hPa (-0.5)
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 45 mi67 min N 7 G 8 69°F 1018 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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G26
SW18
G24

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport, NY5 mi73 minENE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F59°F64%1018 hPa
Niagara Falls, Niagara Falls International Airport, NY11 mi74 minNNE 810.00 miOvercast68°F59°F73%1018.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBUF

Wind History from BUF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6SW3NE6E3NE4--------Calm--N5--NE5--NE9----NE8NE7NE8NE6NE8NE8
1 day agoSW18
G28
SW16
G24
SW15
G24
SW10
G17
SW10----------------S4--S5----SW8SW8--SW8SW6W4
2 days agoSE17
G23
SE11S13--S18
G24
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--------S9----S12SW10W12
G22
--SW12W15
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G28

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.