Sunday, March7, 2021
Privacy Policy
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Wilmington, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 5:47PM Sunday March 7, 2021 9:33 PM EST (02:33 UTC) Moonrise 3:48AMMoonset 12:40PM Illumination 30% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wilmington, VT
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.02, -72.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KALY 072337 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 637 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. The weather will be mainly tranquil with a substantial warming trend through the middle of the upcoming week. A weak disturbance may bring some light snow showers or mixed precipitation Monday night mainly to higher terrain areas. Temperatures are expected to be well above normal Tuesday through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/. .UPDATE 630 PM EST. Quick update this evening as skies are clear region-wide and winds are weakening. This will allow for strong radiational cooling overnight. Therefore, minimal changes made to the hourly temps as the forecast is on track in the near term.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. Early afternoon water vapor imagery shows the cold upper trough lingering over the Northeast, providing chilly temps despite full sunshine across the forecast area. Height rises are working their way into the Northeast from the west, which is resulting in high pressure at the surface building over western New York/the eastern Great Lakes. Lake clouds are well west of the forecast area, and I have given up the prospect of any clouds developing for the rest of the day. Highs are coming up 5-10F short of normal despite the strong insolation.

Tonight, the surface high builds eastward, which should lead to good radiational cooling conditions, especially west of the Hudson where it is closer to the high and there is still snowpack. Cut back on overnight lows here, which should fall to 0 to -10F over the southern Adirondacks with mainly 0-15F elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A mainly tranquil period with a substantial warming trend is expected from early to midweek. The cold upper trough that has been plaguing the Northeast lately will continue shifting offshore Monday, with NW flow aloft promoting subsidence and a ridge of high pressure at the surface. Abundant sunshine is expected, but mixing depths will be somewhat limited with the strong subsidence. Highs are expected to be around 5-10F warmer than Sunday mainly in the 30s, which is still a bit shy of normal.

Clouds will increase late in the day Monday ahead of a moisture- starved northern stream wave tracking by to our north. Some light precipitation is possible with this wave, mainly over the higher terrain. The low levels may struggle to saturate, and when they do, the midlevel moisture is forecast to be exiting per model soundings. So any light precip may initially fall as snow early Monday night, with the potential for drizzle or freezing drizzle thereafter. Will add DZ/FZDZ to weather grids, but will not mention ice accretion or hazardous conditions in our products at this time as often impacts from FZDZ do not pan out. Lows Monday night mainly in the 20s.

Tuesday, after early clouds and possibly some lingering patches of drizzle/freezing drizzle, subsidence once again takes hold in the wake of the northern stream wave. With the high located to the west, deep mixing is forecast by model soundings, which should give temperatures a boost assuming skies clear. Highs are forecast to be a solid 10-15F warmer than Monday, reaching the upper 30s to mid- 50s, which is solidly above normal. The high builds overhead Tuesday night which should yield good radiational cooling conditions, so bumped lows down a couple degrees from NBM guidance, mainly 20s.

By Wednesday, the high is forecast to slide east, and low to mid- level south to southwest flow and warm air advection occurs. We are getting into the season where this type of wind flow can result in temperatures overachieving in the Capital District/Mid Hudson Valley due to downsloping off the Catskills, and this may be the case on Wednesday to an extent, especially if the flow turns more SW rather than S. The ground may need to dry out a bit more for this effect to become maximized, however. Bumped up highs a couple of degrees from NBM, with forecast highs approaching 60F in the Hudson Valley.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. The extended period starts off warm Thursday and Friday before a cold front moves through the region during the day Friday bringing a chance for some showers. Next weekend looks colder with a few scattered rain/snow showers possible Details below.

We begin the extended period Wednesday night with a cold front well to our west over the Great Lakes region. A weak shortwave will approach our area ahead of this cold front late Wednesday night, which could bring increased clouds and a few showers to our western areas. However, as this impulse moves to our north, expecting mainly dry conditions for the day Thursday. With the cold front still to our west and 850 mb temperatures +6-8C, expecting temperatures to rise into the 50s and low 60s across the region. Depending on how much sun we see and how deeply we mix, areas in the Hudson Valley could even see temperatures approach the mid 60s with a W/SW downslope wind. With increasing cloud cover ahead of the front Thursday night, expecting a relatively warm night with temperatures only dropping into the upper 30s to upper 40s.

Friday morning the cold front approaches our region. This cold frontal passage has trended slightly slower over the last day or two, which could allow temperatures to once again reach the 50s and low 60s Friday, especially for our southern and eastern areas. Increasing chance for showers during the day Friday as the cold frontal boundary should be near our region. However, given that the primary low is well to the north of us, not expecting widespread or heavy precipitation during the day Friday. By later Friday afternoon, most areas, especially north and west of the Capital District, should dry out as the front moves through the region.

Friday night and Saturday, the cold frontal boundary sags to our south, but models disagree on how far the boundary makes it. Regardless, temperatures should be much cooler than on Friday, with high temperatures only in the 30s to upper 40s across the region. If the boundary gets hung up just south of our region as the GFS shows, cannot rule out a few rain or rain/snow showers during the day Saturday, especially for our southern areas.

Sunday, expecting even colder temperatures in the 30s to around 40 for most of the region as a strong high located near or north of the Great Lakes ushers in colder air with a northwesterly wind. Our next storm system will be a cutoff low that ejects out of the four corners region of the southwestern US. All models keep us mainly dry through the day Sunday, although the typically progressive GFS has this system knocking on our doorstep by the end of the day Sunday. The Euro/CMC are much slower with this system. Given these significant model discrepancies, forecast confidence for this time period is low and adjustments will likely be made in the coming days. However, given progressive GFS bias and recent model trends, current thinking is that we should remain dry through at least Sunday night.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/.

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the TAF forecast period ending at 00Z/Tue. Expect mainly clear skies overnight and through the day tomorrow, outside of some passing cirrus clouds.]

Winds will be light out of the northwest at 5-10 kts through the morning on Monday before turning out of the south towards 00z/Tue.

Outlook .

Monday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN. Tuesday to Wed night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA.

HYDROLOGY. No widespread hydrological issues are expected through the mid to latter portion of next week.

Cold and mainly dry weather will persist today into Monday with little impact on the waterways. Any decrease in snowpack will be through sublimation. A weak disturbance and a warm front will bring a few hundredths of QPF to a few spots Monday night.

Tuesday through the mid week temperatures will moderate above normal with some snow melt. The next chance of widespread showers may not occur until late Thu into Fri. Total QPF does not look very heavy with the frontal passage late in the week with a tenth to a quarter inch perhaps across northern basins. Some ripening of the dense snow pack is possible over the northern mountains. Some river and streams may show a diurnal fluctuation in flows/hydro traces with snow melt through the mid to end of the week. However, widespread ice break-up or hydro issues are not anticipated at this time on the rivers/streams.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Thompson NEAR TERM . Thompson/JLV SHORT TERM . Thompson LONG TERM . Main AVIATION . JLV HYDROLOGY . Wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 88 mi64 min SW 2.9 31°F 1028 hPa13°F

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bennington Morse State Airport, VT21 mi40 minW 810.00 miFair23°F6°F48%1028.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDDH

Wind History from DDH (wind in knots)
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
Last 24hrNW6NW6NW6NW5NW3W5CalmCalmCalmNW3N5N7NW756NW7NW7NW85W7W63SW4W8
1 day agoNW5
G15
N10N5NW5NW5W5CalmNW3NW3Calm4W9W8NW7W8
G17
W8NW8
G19
W11
G15
W10
G18
6
G17
W7W9W4NW6
2 days agoNW8NW9NW7
G19
NW8NW7W12
G16
NW73W9W11
G19
W12
G17
W11
G18
W11
G17
W10
G15
NW10
G16
W14
G21
NW12
G23
W15
G23
W7
G16
W11
G23
W11
G20
NW10
G20
NW7
G17
NW6

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Troy
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:06 AM EST     0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:44 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 12:01 PM EST     5.56 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:51 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:54 PM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
4.23.52.61.91.50.90.40.82.13.54.55.25.65.24.33.42.61.70.70.30.9233.7

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Albany
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:56 AM EST     0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:45 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:53 AM EST     5.56 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:44 PM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
4.13.42.51.91.40.80.412.33.74.65.35.65.14.23.32.41.50.60.31.12.23.13.8

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE.