Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Minoa, NY
May 20, 2024 7:22 AM EDT (11:22 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:34 AM Sunset 8:28 PM Moonrise 4:45 PM Moonset 2:56 AM |
LOZ044 Expires:202405201515;;530173 Fzus51 Kbuf 200832 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 432 am edt Mon may 20 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-201515- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 432 am edt Mon may 20 2024
Today - Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast. Patchy fog this morning. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight - East winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Wednesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday - West winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 48 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 432 am edt Mon may 20 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-201515- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 432 am edt Mon may 20 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 48 degrees.
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 201019 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 619 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024
SYNOPSIS
A hot day expected with temperatures rising into the upper 70s and low 80s with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s making it feel a little muggy as well. Warm temperatures continue tomorrow with a few isolated thunderstorms developing in Central NY in the afternoon.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
630 AM update...
No changes made to the previous forecast.
330 AM Update...
With high pressure in place and upper level ridging, skies are mostly clear with a few high clouds streaming in over the Southern Tier. These clouds wont be affecting the development of fog tonight as many of the deeper river valleys have already started to fill. Fog will clear up to start another warm day today with 500 mb heights rising to near 580 dm. With some dry air still in the mid levels there will not be too much in the way of fair weather cumulus with day time heating so bumped up highs a bit for the afternoon. Given the capping as well as drier air mixing into the boundary layer with heating, enough instability for showers or thunderstorms will be unlikely for most of the region outside of the higher terrain of Steuben county.
Tonight is another mostly clear night but with the upper level ridge axis moving east of the region, southerly return flow strengthens. This brings in more moisture aloft so there will be a better chance at more clouds. With increasing RH above 925 mb there will be less efficient radiational cooling as well as more wind in the boundary layer so fog will have a tougher time forming.
Tuesday is another warm day with a bit more clouds and dew points a few degrees higher as well. There is good model agreement of a strip of Surface CAPE developing in the Finger Lakes into CNY in the afternoon. There is not much of a trigger but 10 meter wind fields show a surface front dropping through the Finger Lakes and Upstate NY in the late afternoon and evening. A few thunderstorms will likely pop up along that surface front in the mid to late afternoon. Little shear in place means that any storm that develops will just be typical pop up thunderstorms with some gusty winds.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
High pressure will move off the east coast Tuesday night. This will result in a continued warming trend through Wednesday with southwesterly winds. Most locations should rise well into the 80's with a few locations close to 90 on Wednesday as the NBM has caught on to the overall pattern. With dewpoints only around 60, heat index values should not be much higher. Lows generally in the 60's at both Tuesday night and Wednesday night. Highs Thursday trend several degrees cooler with the frontal passage.
A frontal boundary still looks to move in later Wednesday and Thursday to break down the ridge. Enough lift and moisture looks present for at least some scattered showers with the frontal passage. Instability during the afternoons surface CAPE is currently modeled to be around 1,000 J/KG each afternoon and evening so some thunderstorms will be possible as well. Still some timing differences with the operational models and ensemble guidance with the frontal timing. The instability part has been fairly consistent on the operational models and respective ensembles if we can get some convection in the afternoon and evening Wednesday and or Thursday. A first look at model soundings shows steep low level lapse rates with some mid-level dry air as well later Wednesday. With a fair amount of shear as well, the potential is present for some strong storms with gusty winds and hail.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Seeing some signal in the ensemble guidance along with the latest 00Z 5/20 ECMWF that the front may check up not to far south of the area Thursday night through the weekend. So while the upcoming weekend looks mainly dry, isolated showers or thunderstorms can not be ruled out across NE PA closer to the front. Temperatures trend cooler with lows in the 50's and in the 70's generally.
AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Fog was not as widespread as expected with most terminals staying VFR through the night besides ELM who will see fog burn off shortly after 12Z. VFR conditions are expected to continue through 12Z tomorrow as fog development looks less likely than this past night. If any airport does develop fog it would be ELM late in the night.
Outlook...
Monday night through Friday...Mainly VFR. Some showers possible late Wednesday through Thursday.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 619 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024
SYNOPSIS
A hot day expected with temperatures rising into the upper 70s and low 80s with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s making it feel a little muggy as well. Warm temperatures continue tomorrow with a few isolated thunderstorms developing in Central NY in the afternoon.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
630 AM update...
No changes made to the previous forecast.
330 AM Update...
With high pressure in place and upper level ridging, skies are mostly clear with a few high clouds streaming in over the Southern Tier. These clouds wont be affecting the development of fog tonight as many of the deeper river valleys have already started to fill. Fog will clear up to start another warm day today with 500 mb heights rising to near 580 dm. With some dry air still in the mid levels there will not be too much in the way of fair weather cumulus with day time heating so bumped up highs a bit for the afternoon. Given the capping as well as drier air mixing into the boundary layer with heating, enough instability for showers or thunderstorms will be unlikely for most of the region outside of the higher terrain of Steuben county.
Tonight is another mostly clear night but with the upper level ridge axis moving east of the region, southerly return flow strengthens. This brings in more moisture aloft so there will be a better chance at more clouds. With increasing RH above 925 mb there will be less efficient radiational cooling as well as more wind in the boundary layer so fog will have a tougher time forming.
Tuesday is another warm day with a bit more clouds and dew points a few degrees higher as well. There is good model agreement of a strip of Surface CAPE developing in the Finger Lakes into CNY in the afternoon. There is not much of a trigger but 10 meter wind fields show a surface front dropping through the Finger Lakes and Upstate NY in the late afternoon and evening. A few thunderstorms will likely pop up along that surface front in the mid to late afternoon. Little shear in place means that any storm that develops will just be typical pop up thunderstorms with some gusty winds.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
High pressure will move off the east coast Tuesday night. This will result in a continued warming trend through Wednesday with southwesterly winds. Most locations should rise well into the 80's with a few locations close to 90 on Wednesday as the NBM has caught on to the overall pattern. With dewpoints only around 60, heat index values should not be much higher. Lows generally in the 60's at both Tuesday night and Wednesday night. Highs Thursday trend several degrees cooler with the frontal passage.
A frontal boundary still looks to move in later Wednesday and Thursday to break down the ridge. Enough lift and moisture looks present for at least some scattered showers with the frontal passage. Instability during the afternoons surface CAPE is currently modeled to be around 1,000 J/KG each afternoon and evening so some thunderstorms will be possible as well. Still some timing differences with the operational models and ensemble guidance with the frontal timing. The instability part has been fairly consistent on the operational models and respective ensembles if we can get some convection in the afternoon and evening Wednesday and or Thursday. A first look at model soundings shows steep low level lapse rates with some mid-level dry air as well later Wednesday. With a fair amount of shear as well, the potential is present for some strong storms with gusty winds and hail.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Seeing some signal in the ensemble guidance along with the latest 00Z 5/20 ECMWF that the front may check up not to far south of the area Thursday night through the weekend. So while the upcoming weekend looks mainly dry, isolated showers or thunderstorms can not be ruled out across NE PA closer to the front. Temperatures trend cooler with lows in the 50's and in the 70's generally.
AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Fog was not as widespread as expected with most terminals staying VFR through the night besides ELM who will see fog burn off shortly after 12Z. VFR conditions are expected to continue through 12Z tomorrow as fog development looks less likely than this past night. If any airport does develop fog it would be ELM late in the night.
Outlook...
Monday night through Friday...Mainly VFR. Some showers possible late Wednesday through Thursday.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY | 38 mi | 53 min | SSE 7G | 61°F | 29.94 | 59°F | ||
| 45215 | 41 mi | 87 min | 61°F | 61°F | 0 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSYR SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL,NY | 6 sm | 28 min | E 05 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 61°F | 59°F | 94% | 30.00 |
Montague, NY,
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