Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Galway, NY

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10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 4:21PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 9:26 AM EST (14:26 UTC) Moonrise 4:33PMMoonset 6:22AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Galway, NY
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location: 43.1, -74     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 101425 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 925 AM EST Tue Dec 10 2019

SYNOPSIS. Along with a mild start, a cold front will pass through the region today with some rain showers. Behind the cold front, colder air will return to the region through the afternoon and some lingering moisture will allow for a period of light snow for tonight into early Wednesday for far southern areas. With much colder air back into the region, some lake effect snow will develop for northern and western parts of the area for late Wednesday through early Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 920 AM EST . Bands of rain showers associated with mid level jet will continue to move across the region this morning. HRRR/NAM3km continue to support previous forecast with additional rainfall across the southern half of the region. Cold front is still on track to pass through this afternoon with a transition to a rain/snow mix then eventually to all snow by evening.

Prev Disc . Low pressure is located over central Quebec and is quickly headed northeast. The storm's cold front is now heading into western New York and will continue to push eastward this morning. Well ahead of the boundary, some bands of rain showers have been moving across northern areas, with some additional light rain now moving into the Mohawk Valley and Schoharie County. Some additional bands of light rain showers are expected through the morning hours for northern areas as the front continues to move towards the region. Additional rainfall could be up to a third of an inch for northern areas, and this rainfall (along with the runoff due to melting snow) could cause some localized hydro issues. See our Hydro Section below for more details on this.

Temps are currently in the mid to upper 40s for most areas and these look to hold steady through the morning hours ahead of the frontal boundary. A few spots across far southern areas will actually rise this morning, and some highs reaching into the low 50s are possible. Most places should be seeing a southerly wind around 10 mph or so, which will help prevent much additional fog from forming, although some pockets of fog are still possible in more sheltered areas.

The front will be crossing northern areas by around midday or so and will continue to slowly pass through the remainder of the area during the afternoon hours. Although southern areas (generally Catskills, Mid Hudson Valley, Berkshires, NW CT) should be mainly dry this morning, some bands of showers are expected for these areas during the afternoon hours.

After the mild start to the day, temperatures will quickly start to lower behind the front. The Adirondacks will be the first to drop to near freezing by the mid-afternoon hours, and any lingering showers could turn to snow showers there before ending, although any amounts look very light. In addition, any wet conditions will start to freeze up as temps tumble. Temperatures will be dropping this afternoon in the Capital Region as well, but it probably won't get close to freezing until this evening there. All areas should be behind the front by this evening, with winds switching to the northwest.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. As the front continues to slowly sag south and east offshore the western Atlantic for tonight, a wave of low pressure will move up the boundary. This wave of low pressure, aided by a strong 170+ kt jet streak over the Northeast will allow for some additional precip tonight into early Wednesday. Models have come into agreement that most of this precip will be south of the region, but a period of light snow is expected across the Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and NW CT. Initially, the boundary layer may be warm enough for this precip to be rain, but it should quickly cool to allow for precip to be snow across our area by 10 PM to Midnight. Although snowfall rates don't look excessive, steady light snow is expected for late tonight through mid-morning on Wednesday. Total snow for the southeastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, southern Berkshires and southern Taconics will be about a coating to two inches (locally up to 3 inches in southeastern Dutchess County). Meanwhile, NW CT should see two to four inches of snowfall, so have included them in a Winter Weather Advisory. This snowfall will impact the morning commute on Wednesday, allowing for hazardous travel due to snow covered roads and low visibility.

Elsewhere, skies will be clearing out as temperatures falling for tonight. Lows will be in the teens and 20s, with the coldest temperatures across the Adirondacks where skies will clear out first. Any untreated surfaces that remain wet from earlier rainfall may become slick due to temperatures below freezing so caution will need to be taken for those venturing out tonight.

On Wednesday morning, any lingering light snow across southeastern areas will be ending, and skies will continue clearing across the entire area. It will be noticeably colder for Wednesday with highs only in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Winds will be increasing through the day and it will be breezy by late in the day, making it feel even colder.

Much colder air will be arriving aloft for Wednesday evening into Wednesday night as a secondary boundary passes through the region. 850 hpa temps will be as low as -18 C across northern areas by late Wednesday night behind this northern stream clipper system. This will set the stage for rounds of both lake enhanced snow showers along the frontal boundary and also true lake effect snowfall behind the front.

The initial band of lake enhanced snow showers will be located northwest of the area across the St. Lawrence Valley and northwestern Adirondacks, but will start shifting towards our area after 00z Thursday. 00z HREF suggest snowfall rates may exceed 1" per hour as the band reaches the western Adirondacks, but the band should be moving fairly quickly thanks to the shifting winds, so snowfall totals at any one location look limited, with just one to three inches for the western Adirondacks (including the Old Forge area).

Behind the initial band of lake enhanced snow, another band of lake effect snow will develop within the northwesterly flow for the Mohawk Valley for later Wednesday night. This band of snow could have an upstream multi-lake connection and could reach across the entire Mohawk Valley and possibly into the Capital Region as well. Accumulation looks to be coating to an inch or two, with the highest totals in western areas. Some lake effect may linger into Thursday morning, but should be decreasing in intensity and extension as inversion heights start to lower thanks to an approaching area of high pressure. Overnight lows on Wed night look to be in the teens for the whole area.

On Thursday into Thursday night, dry weather (after any lake effect ends) is expected for the entire region thanks to a strong area of high pressure passing across the area. Skies should be fairly clear, but temps will remain cold. Highs will be in the 20s and remain below freezing for the entire region on Thursday. Lows look to fall into the teens for Thursday night.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Activity pattern. Guidance continues its agreement on the development of a complex system which is expected to impact the region over the weekend. However, there remains plenty of differences amongst the models regarding the evolution of the system and how much northern and southern interaction there is and cyclogensis potential. As this time, there is agreement the flow is progressive. Have followed a blended forecast approach favoring guidance from the Weather Prediction Center to maintain forecast consistency. Please refer to the Extended Forecast Discussion issued by Weather Prediction Center for their insight. Have brought likely pops into the southeast portion of the forecast area Friday evening with these pops spreading across the rest of the area overnight into Saturday morning. At this time, it appears rain and snow initially eventually changing over to all rain Saturday as temperatures rise. Unsettled weather is expected the rest of the weekend with showers on the backside of the system. Above normal temperatures expected to continue Sunday but not a mild as Saturday with seasonable readings retuning for the start of the new work/school week.

AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The region is located in the warm sector with southerly flow of mild and moist air across the snowpack resulting in IFR-LIFR conditions. More rain will move across the region as the system's cold front approaches and moves across the area later this morning into the afternoon hours. The front's progress will slow as a weak wave of low pressure develops along it and the rain will continue to impact KPOU and KPSF even after its passage. As colder air filters in the rain will mix with then change to snow this evening with snow then expected through the night at KPOU and KPSF. While at KGFL and KALB conditions are expected to improve MVFR in the afternoon with VFR developing in the evening.

The southerly flow will shift more to the southwest as the cold front approaches and then to the west with its passage then shifting to the northwest tonight.

Outlook .

Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHSN. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely RA. Saturday: High Operational Impact. Likely RA. Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. RA. Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy Chance of SHRA.

HYDROLOGY. Temperatures have warmed well into the 40s across most of the area, with dewpoints into the 40s as well. Along the milder temperatures have been periods of rainfall, with MRMS estimating 24 hour rainfall totals already in excess of one inch across the Adirondacks and southern Green Mountains. The combination of a melting snowpack and rainfall has lead to significant runoff, which is allowing for rises on rivers and streams. Some rivers are starting to reach action stage and a few rivers across western New England and far eastern New York (such as the Mettawee and possibly the Hoosic and Walloomsac) could reach flood stage today into this evening. Elsewhere, ponding of water in expected, especially in urban areas, thanks to the melting snow and rainfall. This will especially be in true in areas where drainage is blocked by snow piles. Most areas will only see additional rainfall today about about a tenth of an inch, although some high terrain areas could locally see as much as a third of an inch.

As temperatures cool off, runoff should slow down for tonight into tomorrow. Some additional precipitation in the form of snow is expected for southern areas, but this will not have any immediate impact on rivers and streams. For the remainder of the work week, rivers and streams will recede. However, another storm may bring more moderate to significant rain to the region for the weekend, which will cause rivers and streams to rise once again.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including latest observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Wednesday for CTZ001-013. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Frugis/BGM NEAR TERM . Frugis/BGM SHORT TERM . Frugis LONG TERM . IAA AVIATION . IAA/JPV HYDROLOGY . Frugis

www.weather.gov/albany


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 75 mi57 min ESE 1.9 49°F 1007 hPa47°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Link to 5 minute data for KSCH

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------S6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--SE5S6S12S6S4S4Calm
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Tue -- 03:30 AM EST     4.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:20 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:04 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:53 PM EST     5.25 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:20 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:46 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.83.5443.42.41.610.3-0.20.31.73.24.355.24.83.82.821.10.2-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:22 AM EST     4.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:20 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:54 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:45 PM EST     5.25 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:21 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:36 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.93.64.143.22.31.50.90.1-0.20.51.93.44.45.15.24.73.62.61.80.90.1-0.1

Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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