Friday, September17, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Galway, NY

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3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 7:02PM Friday September 17, 2021 7:15 PM EDT (23:15 UTC) Moonrise 5:55PMMoonset 2:27AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Galway, NY
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location: 43.1, -74     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 171749 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 149 PM EDT Fri Sep 17 2021

SYNOPSIS. East to southeast winds today will keep skies mostly cloudy this morning before breaks of sun return for the afternoon. Otherwise, it will be a seasonably mild day. Then, a cold front approaching the region tomorrow will result in warmer and more humid conditions with a chance of some afternoon showers or thunderstorms. High pressure then dominates the weather pattern Sunday through Tuesday resulting in pleasant and mostly sunny skies.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. UPDATE . As of 1230 PM EDT, abundant low clouds continue across most of the region, with just occasional breaks immediately downstream (west) of the southern Greens and Taconics/Berkshires, where a downsloping east/southeast wind has been occurring.

Regional radars still suggest patchy drizzle across portions of the mid Hudson Valley, Litchfield Hills, SE Catskills, and southern Taconics. Some of this may expand north/west into the Berkshires at times, especially across higher terrain areas. Also, can not rule out isolated showers developing in some of these areas as well through this afternoon.

Some breaks in the low cloud cover may develop during the mid to late afternoon hours, especially across portions of the western Mohawk Valley, and in pockets immediately west of the southern Greens/Berkshires where some downslope wind component is possible.

Otherwise, still expect max temps to reach the lower/mid 70s for most valleys, and 65-70 across higher terrain areas, coolest across the Litchfield Hills/Berkshires and eastern Catskills where low clouds and some light rain/drizzle are expected. Warmest temps may eventually be across portions of the westernmost Mohawk Valley, upper Hudson Valley/SW VT, extreme northern Herkimer/northwest Hamilton Counties, and possibly in the Schoharie Valley, where some breaks of sun may develop this afternoon. Some temps may reach the upper 70s in isolated areas of the upper Hudson Valley and adjacent SW VT.

Previous discussion . As of 7am . stratus clouds have blanketed the entire region this morning which has prevented temperatures from dropping much since the last update. Currently, most areas are in the low to mid 60s so we will have a mild start to the day. Stratus clouds will linger until mid to late morning before burning off. Still thinking areas north of I-90 will break for sun first with the mid-Hudson Valley, eastern Catskills, and NW CT delayed until the afternoon. Rest of the forecast is on track.

Otherwise, a coastal disturbance passing well off the mid- Atlantic and New England coast today and high pressure moving into the Gulf of Maine will keep east to southeast winds in place today. Stratus clouds from the overnight will linger through the morning hours, especially in the mid-Hudson Valley, NW CT, Berkshires and eastern Catskills where the onshore flow will have a greater influence. Areas north and west of the Capital District should see early stratus give way to sunshine by mid to late morning as daytime heating sets in. Given that clouds could be stubborn to erode away south of I-90 until later this afternoon, sky coverage will impact the depth of boundary layer mixing and therefore today's maximum temperature. Thinking that areas that break for sun earlier today will see deeper mixing and therefore warm up into the mid to upper 70s while areas that are delayed, will only reach the low to mid 70s. Decided to lean closer to the ECWMF and GFS MOS guidance since the NAM seemed too cool and was deemed an outlier. Otherwise, it will feel a bit more humid. We continued to mention slight chance POPs for sprinkles in parts of the eastern Catskills, Litchfield Hills, Berkshires, Taconics and mid- Hudson Valley where low levels stay moist and the onshore flow will abut the terrain.

Low level moisture stays in place tonight as the coastal low departs well off the New England coast and a trough approaches the Great Lakes. Once we lose daytime heating and the boundary layer shrinks, low stratus looks to develop once again. This should keep temperatures on the mild side with lows only in low to mid 60s. Humidity levels stay elevated as well.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Morning stratus clouds on Saturday burn off quicker as winds become oriented out of the northwest. Our trough continues to advance eastward into the Great Lakes and Ontario with its associated cold front pushing into western/central NY. The first half of the day should feature partly sunny skies with northwesterly flow at the surface but westerly flow aloft. This should advect in a milder air mass with temperatures warming into the upper 70s to even near 80. Dew points still in the 60s will make it feel more like summer again. The approaching front, however, is moisture starved and the best forcing escapes to our north which should limit the duration of precipitation as the front moves through from west to east during the afternoon. In fact, guidance suggest showers may diminish by the time the boundary reaches western New England towards sunset. We included slight chance thunder as well since daytime heating/insolation in the presence of dew points in the 60s should support sfc CAPE values 500 - 1000 J/kg. Overall shear values area are low with 0-6km shear values only about 25-30kts with the strongest reserved to areas 700hPa and higher. Therefore, not thinking convection will be that organized. SPC seems to agrees with our areas only outlined in general thunder.

Behind the front, northerly flow will advect in a much drier air mass leading to clearing skies overnight. High pressure from southern Canada strengthens as it builds into the Northeast, tightening the pressure gradient overhead. Therefore, winds could be a bit breezy Saturday night. Cold/dry air advection and clearing skies should lead to cooler overnight temperatures dropping into the mid to upper 50s with even upper 40s in the southern Adirondacks. Did not stray much from the blended guidance since the elevated winds could prevent temperatures from meeting their respective dew point.

Sunday will be a beautiful day with abundant sunshine as high pressure moves directly overhead. It will feel more like fall, however, as northerly winds continue to advect in cool and dry Canadian air. Winds will also remain a bit breezy making it feel slightly cool. Even still, expecting high temperatures to be comfortable in the low to mid 70s with upper 60s in the higher terrain.

Nearly ideal radiational cooling conditions set in Sunday night as the upper level ridge axis associated with the large scale omega block over the eastern CONUS pushes overhead. Clear skies and calm winds in place should result in overnight lows falling into the mid to upper 40s with low 50s in the Hudson Valley.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The extended forecast begins with fair and tranquil weather conditions with a ridge in control over the Northeast. A cold front and an upper level trough will bring an increasing threat for showers and a few thunderstorms late Wednesday into Thursday.

Monday through Tuesday . A mid and upper level ridge will be anchored over the Northeast and southeast Canada with heights above normal for late September. At the sfc, an anticyclone will be over New England and New Brunswick. The 590+ decameter ridge slowly begins to shift down stream late Tuesday, as a digging mid and upper level trough moves into the central and northern Plains. Highs will be in the mid 70s to around 80F in the lower elevations, and mid 60s to lower 70s over the higher terrain each day with lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Tuesday Night . The 00Z Ensembles, GFS and ECMWF show some weakening of the ridge and movement of the sfc anticyclone to southeast of Nova Scotia by Wed morning. Some clouds may increase with south to southwest flow setting up over the region. A few light showers or sprinkles may reach locations west of the Hudson River Valley and Lake George. Lows will be in the 50s.

Wednesday to Thursday . Mid and upper level heights begin to fall as upstream H500 trough becomes neutral to negatively tilted late Wed into Thu. Models indicate good moisture convergence with band/bands of showers with perhaps some isolated thunderstorms ahead of the cold front and upper level trough. Timing continues to vary and we stayed close to the NBM with chances of showers with isolated thunderstorms Wed pm through Thu. Above normal temps except for Wed, but with cold advection and frontal passage anticipated Wed night into Thu, then expect max temps to be at or slightly below normal in the 60s to lower 70s with some 50s over the mountains.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Through 18z Saturday .

Main weather concerns to ALY aviation operations during the 18z TAF cycle includes:

* Low to high MVFR cigs this afternoon into this evening

* IFR/low MVFR cigs/visibilities tonight due to potential mist and further low stratus development

Eastern New York and western New England remains socked in a deck of broken to overcast clouds as a surface high pressure system moves northeast of our area into southern Quebec and a low pressure system tracks northeast from offshore the mid-Atlantic up the U.S. East Coast.

Ceilings have been the worst across our south and east (e.g. KPSF/KPOU) where we continue to see low MVFR conditions in place. Some improvements in ceilings overall have been made since this morning at all the TAF sites with the most notable improvements having occurred over KGFL and KALB where VFR to high MVFR conditions are currently in place.

For the remainder of this afternoon, expect for MVFR cigs to remain in place over KPSF/KPOU. KALB will hover between high MVFR and VFR conditions, while KGFL should remain in VFR. There could be a spotty sprinkle or shower, but due to the isolated coverage, have left out of the TAFs. Later this evening into tonight, expect for the re-emergence of low stratus and mist and thus ceilings and visibilities to deteriorate once again back down into IFR/MVFR categories. Expect for mainly MVFR ceilings from 23z-04z. After 04z, expect for ceilings and visibilities to drop into low MVFR/IFR range due to mist and further low stratus development.

Winds will remain light and variable through the 18z TAF period.

Outlook . Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. TSRA.

FIRE WEATHER. Minimum RH values this afternoon drop to 70 to 85 percent before rebounding to 95 to 100 Friday night leading to dew formation. Then, RH values drop to 55 to 65 percent Saturday afternoon with values recovering to 90 to 100 percent Saturday night.

Southeast winds today range near 5 to 8 kts before turning light and variable overnight. Tomorrow, winds will be out of the northwest increasing to 5 to 10kts.

HYDROLOGY. Rivers and streams continue to recede today as we remain dry. Additional showers and perhaps some storms are possible on Saturday but weak moisture and forcing should limit how widespread or heavy any rain may be. Therefore, we do not anticipate any widespread river to response.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Speciale NEAR TERM . KL/Speciale SHORT TERM . Speciale LONG TERM . Wasula AVIATION . Evbuoma FIRE WEATHER . Speciale HYDROLOGY . Speciale


Weather Reporting Stations
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On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 75 mi45 min Calm 72°F 1021 hPa69°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Schenectady Airport, NY17 mi23 minN 015.00 miOvercast72°F66°F83%1022.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSCH

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4NE3E3------------------NE3NE3CalmCalmS5S4S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalm--Calm------------------Calm--E6------CalmCalmCalmE6E3E4
2 days agoSW6S5S7------------------S4--S3SE3S7
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----E5--W4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Fri -- 02:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:34 AM EDT     5.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:19 AM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:04 PM EDT     3.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:34 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.44.455.14.43.52.61.60.5-0.3-0.20.922.93.643.732.31.70.80-0.10.9

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Fri -- 02:26 AM EDT     5.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:09 AM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:56 PM EDT     3.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:24 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.64.55.154.33.32.51.40.3-0.4-012.133.743.62.92.21.60.7-0.101.1

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