Tuesday, January19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Galway, NY

Version 3.4
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8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 4:52PM Tuesday January 19, 2021 1:59 PM EST (18:59 UTC) Moonrise 11:59AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Galway, NY
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location: 43.1, -74     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 191736 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1236 PM EST Tue Jan 19 2021

SYNOPSIS. An area of low pressure will move across the region with scattered snow showers today transitioning to lake effect snow tonight. Wednesday will turn brisk and colder with snow showers ending. Another round of snow showers are expected for the end of the week as the next system approaches.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Lake Effect Snow Warning issued for the western Adirondacks through 10 AM Wednesday .

As of 1153 AM EST . Main change was to upgrade to a Lake Effect Snow Warning for northern Herkimer and Hamilton Counties. Ending time extended to 10 AM Wednesday as well. 12Z guidance, including NAMNest, HRRR and HREF all support longer residence time of lake effect snow bands along and north of the Route 28 corridor this afternoon into tonight. Slower evolution in winds shifting allowing for bands to remain fairly stationary for several hours. With snowfall rates of at least 1 inch per hour, we have enough confidence to increase snowfall totals to 5-10 inches across northern Herkimer County and the NW half of Hamilton County.

Outside of lake effect, scattered to numerous snow showers will occur this afternoon, with greater coverage across higher terrain areas. A moist west to southwesterly flow will lead to a mostly cloudy skies. Most snow shower activity will occur to the north and west of the Capital District. Some upslope snow showers will occur across the southern Greens and the Berkshires. Amounts through this afternoon should be rather light outside of lake effect (generally under an inch). High temperatures will reach the 20s in the higher terrain to the 30s in the valleys (except lower 40s in parts of the mid- Hudson Valley).

Tonight, cold enough air aloft (-11C to -14C at 850 hPa) and a west-southwesterly flow will set the stage for lake-effect snow bands to continue downwind of both lakes Erie and Ontario. The Ontario band will first start across far northern portions of Herkimer County (north of Old Forge) before slowly shifting southward overnight as the flow shifts to the northwest in the wake of the cold front. The Erie band will be rather fragmented with just some scattered snow showers reaching portions of the Mohawk Valley, Capital District and eastern Catskills from time to time. Upslope snow showers will continue as well for portions of western New England.

Snowfall totals into Wednesday morning expected to be 5-10 inches for northern Herkimer County into western portions of Hamilton County (Lake Effect Snow Warning area). Elsewhere, expect generally under an inch, except 1-2 inches across the southern Greens into the northern Berkshires. Low temperatures tonight will be in the teens and 20s.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. Lake-effect and upslope snow showers will gradually taper off on Wednesday as upper-level heights rise and drier air advects in from the west. The lake-effect snow band off Ontario will likely be situated across the Mohawk Valley to start this period before dropping southward out of our forecast area. Additional snowfall amounts of an inch or less are expected on Wednesday.

In the wake of the snow showers, expect a partly to mostly cloudy and blustery day with high temperatures ranging from the teens across portions of the Adirondacks to the mid-30s in the mid-Hudson Valley.

A small and thin area of high pressure will bring dry weather for much of Wednesday night under a partly cloudy sky. Winds will lessen as well. This will allow temperatures to dip into the single digits to near 0 across some higher terrain areas to the teens elsewhere.

The next upper-level and surface disturbance will spread across the area late Wednesday night through Thursday night with the return of clouds and additional snow showers. Some moderate accumulations will be possible, especially across the Adirondacks. High temperatures Thursday ranging from the 20s across the higher terrain to the 30s in the valleys with lows Thursday night mainly in the 20s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Broad and flat upper troughing with upper energy exiting Friday. Flat upper ridging builds in from the west Saturday and Sunday with better prospects for some sunshine but cooler weather with cold advection until the upper ridge axis and associated low level ridging build east of our region Sunday night into Monday.

However, there is an increasing signal in sources of guidance/ensembles that more organized upper energy affects our region in the Monday and/or Tuesday time frame. Considerable differences in timing and somewhat of a lack of deep moisture but just a brush with some southern stream moisture could result in better chances for a widespread light to moderate snow somewhere in the eastern/northeastern U.S. Just including chances for snow by Monday afternoon but timing and track of the system still quite unknown.

Highs Friday in the 30s but upper 20s higher terrain. Highs Saturday and Sunday in the 20s to near 30 but teens higher terrain. Highs Monday in the mid 20s to around 30 but around 20 higher terrain.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Cyclonic flow and lake moisture are teaming up to keep abundant stratus around this afternoon. Some flurries/light snow showers are possible through around 03Z. Some MVFR vsbys cannot be ruled out, especially at KGFL/KPSF. Any snow shower activity is expected to remain north of KPOU until at least mid-morning Wednesday. Cigs expected to remain low VFR, except possibly MVFR at times at KPSF, especially through 21Z where at TEMPO was added.

Tonight, we may see a bit of a clearing trend roughly 03-08Z, with clouds increasing again after 08Z ahead of the next approaching trough. This trough, and approaching cold front, may result in more flurries or light snow showers late tonight into Wednesday morning. Vsby restrictions are possible but not enough confidence for an explicit mention at this time. Generally expect VFR to continue outside of snow showers, except for some MVFR cigs at KPSF. Cigs will rise somewhat late Wednesday morning behind the front, but a few lingering snow showers remain possible.

Winds will be from the south to west at 10 kt or less for much of the TAF period, becoming west to northwest at around 10 kt with some gusts to 20 kt by mid to late Wednesday morning behind a cold front.

Outlook .

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHSN. Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: Low Operational Impact. Isolated SHSN. Friday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. No widespread hydrological issues are expected this week.

Precipitation will be in the form of snow through the week as a series of disturbances move across the region. Precipitation amounts will generally be low as well.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . Lake Effect Snow Warning until 10 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ032- 033. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Rathbun NEAR TERM . JPV/Rathbun SHORT TERM . Rathbun LONG TERM . NAS AVIATION . Thompson HYDROLOGY . JPV/Rathbun


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 75 mi90 min Calm 38°F 1014 hPa28°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Schenectady Airport, NY17 mi75 minN 010.00 miOvercast34°F27°F75%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSCH

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
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W8W4--------------------CalmCalmS3SW3CalmCalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:54 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:39 AM EST     4.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:58 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:23 PM EST     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:50 PM EST     4.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:45 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.41.60.90.1-0.20.41.733.84.34.43.932.41.81.20.60.71.72.83.74.24.33.9

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:44 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:31 AM EST     4.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:58 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:13 PM EST     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:52 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:42 PM EST     4.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:45 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.31.50.80-0.20.61.93.13.94.44.43.82.92.31.81.10.60.81.933.84.24.33.8

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.