Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mattydale, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 7:56PM Friday August 23, 2019 9:04 AM EDT (13:04 UTC) Moonrise 11:09PMMoonset 1:05PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 1031 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
Overnight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ044 Expires:201908230915;;062322 FZUS51 KBUF 230231 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1031 PM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-230915-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mattydale, NY
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location: 43.11, -76.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 231056
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
656 am edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
Upper level trough will be over the region today, bringing
cooler temperatures, partly cloudy skies and perhaps an
isolated shower in central new york. A cool canadian high builds
just to our north tonight through the weekend. This will keep
our weather dry and cool under partly sunny skies. Expect a
gradual warming trend next week, with chances for showers and
thunderstorms returning by Tuesday and Wednesday.

Near term through Saturday
645 am update... Adjusted cloud cover up across the southeastern
half of the forecast area, where mid and high level clouds
continue to stream overhead. A few rain showers are still
impacting the far SE boundary of our cwa, but these will move
out in the next hour or two. Skies are mostly clear, aside from
some sct cirrus up north near penn yan, auburn, syracuse and
rome.

Previous discussion below
scattered rain showers are still skirting the wyoming
valley, poconos and sullivan county ny. Based on upstream
radar satellite trends expect these light showers to continue in
this area for at least the next several hours, only very slowly
exiting to the southeast around or just after daybreak. The
rest of the area is dry under mostly clear skies across central
ny for the rest of the overnight. Areas of fog are already
forming in the deeper valleys in central ny, this will linger
until around daybreak as well.

Upper level trough will remain in place over the region during
the day today. Goes-east WV loop shows a shortwave disturbance
near georgian bay lake huron that will drop south toward our
area later today. An upslope nnw flow and cold pool aloft should
pick up just enough lake moisture to allow for bkn strato
cumulus develop starting late morning and lasting well into the
afternoon across much of cny and the n. Tier of pa. Cannot rule
out an isolated shower near the finger lakes as well, otherwise
it will remain dry today. Further south across the wyoming
valley, poconos and sullivan county ny, it will be a rather
thick layer of high clouds that may linger much of the day.

Overall, today is looking mostly cloudy, with some breaks of sun
at times, both early (north) and late in the day. Northwest
winds increase 6-12 mph during the afternoon, and high
temperatures only reach the upper 60s to mid-70s.

Tonight: surface ridging builds over the area from the north.

Cloud cover should dissipate quickly this evening, leading to
mostly clear skies overnight. Winds become light northerly or
variable. There will likely be fog formation in the typical
river valleys around the area. One thing of note is that a weak
upper level low at 500mb will actually be on top of the area,
but this low has very limited moisture... So at worst there could
be some cloud development. Very cool, with lows 45-52 most
locations.

Saturday: previously mentioned weak upper level low remains
over the area, but surface ridging and very dry mid level air
will also be in place; therefore should be dry. Overall, am
expecting another seasonably cool day under partly to mostly
sunny skies. Light north winds continue 5-10 mph and high
temperatures again reach the upper 60s to mid-70s.

Short term Saturday night through Monday
Overall, a dry and seasonably cool airmass will be in place
during this period, with highs in the lower to mid 70s and lows
ranging from the upper 40s to mid 50s, with some mid 40s in the
higher elevations of the catskills. While the likelihood is
that completely dry weather will prevail through Monday, there
remains some uncertainty regarding Sunday's forecast, mainly
across the extreme eastern portions of the forecast area as an
upper level low spins off the southern new england coast. At
this time, it appears that the dry air will likely win out in
our area, and therefore do not have any pops in Sunday's
forecast. Should enough low level moisture from the atlantic
make it to our eastern zones, there would be the possibility of
a shower or two on Sunday.

Long term Monday night through Thursday
The main feature to track during this period will be a slow
moving cold front that will approach the area and eventually
move through the area during the Monday night through Wednesday
night timeframe. Along with this approaching front will be an
increasing chance for showers and some thunderstorms, with the
greatest chance for this being on Wednesday at this time. That
being said, there remains some timing differences of this front
between the various model solutions and therefore this forecast
is subject to change a bit as we get closer.

Temperatures will be on a slight warming trend as well, with
highs likely getting to the upper 70s to lower 80s by mid-week.

The above mentioned front should finally clear the area by
Thursday, resulting in a drying trend. Just a slight chance of
seeing a few additional showers on Thursday with highs generally
in the upper 70s to lower 80 again.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
5 am update
mainlyVFR expected through the TAF period. Mid and high level
clouds will continue streaming over kbgm and kavp through the
morning hours.

Fog did not develop at any of the TAF sites overnight and is no
longer expected early this morning. However, patchy valley fog
could develop late tonight toward the end of the TAF period,
especially INVOF kelm.

By late morning and afternoon sct to bkn 3.5-5k ft strato-
cumulus everywhere with high clouds continuing at kavp.

Light and variable winds or northwest through mid morning.

Then, northwest to north winds at 5 to 10 kts late morning and
afternoon. Light and variable winds again tonight.

Outlook...

tonight through Monday...VFR, except late night early morning
fog likely at kelm.

Monday...VFR, except late night early morning fog likely at
kelm.

Monday night and Tuesday...VFR expected.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mjm
near term... Mjm
short term... Bjg
long term... Bjg
aviation... Mjm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi53 min NNE 6 G 13 66°F 1017.7 hPa56°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 77 mi65 min N 7 G 8.9 67°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 78 mi53 min 66°F 1017.8 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY2 mi71 minWSW 410.00 miA Few Clouds62°F55°F78%1017.3 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi71 minNE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy62°F53°F73%1017.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW11W10W13W10W8W9W9NW9NW6NW8W5W4SW3SW3CalmCalmSW6W6W4W6CalmW3W4Calm
1 day agoCalmS3S3S3NW7N3CalmW6W6CalmE4E53CalmCalmSW4SW6SW6SW7W7W9SW6W7W9
2 days agoCalmSW4CalmW7W6W7W10SW64S5NE5E5E5SE6E6E4NE3E3E4E3NE3NW5CalmS3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.