South Eliot, ME Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Eliot, ME


December 3, 2023 6:24 AM EST (11:24 UTC)
Sunrise 6:55AM   Sunset 4:10PM   Moonrise  11:06PM   Moonset 12:56PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ154 Coastal Waters From Cape Elizabeth, Me To Merrimack River, Ma Out 25 Nm- 343 Am Est Sun Dec 3 2023
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 pm est this afternoon through Monday afternoon...
Today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A slight chance of rain early this morning, then a chance of rain late this morning. Rain this afternoon.
Tonight..E winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain.
Mon..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of rain in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas around 4 ft. Showers likely in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of snow showers after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less after midnight.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of snow and rain showers in the morning, then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less in the morning.
Tue night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of snow showers.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of snow showers in the morning. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..NW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

ANZ100 343 Am Est Sun Dec 3 2023
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm northeast winds will continue to strengthen today as low pressure develops to the southwest of the gulf of maine. The storm center will pass just outside of the gulf of maine tonight, but gusty winds are expected over the entire basin. Seas will build overnight as well. Winds and seas both diminish through midweek as high pressure slowly builds in.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Eliot, ME
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Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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FXUS61 KGYX 030921 AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 421 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure over the Ohio Valley will start to spread precipitation into the region later this morning. Precipitation will start as snow across the mountains and north with rain across the south.
Significant snowfall will accumulate tonight across foothills and points northward. Travel for the Monday morning commute will be difficult across central NH to the Mid Coast of Maine and points northward. Far southern NH and coastal SW Maine will see mostly rain from this system. Snow showers linger through Monday night with a drying and cooling trend into mid week. A warm front approaches late in the week bringing chances for light precipitation and moderating temperatures into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
While not an easy forecast...it is by far the easiest part of the first 36 hours of the forecast. Aside from some scattered showers this morning...precip will move in in earnest from mid morning thru early afternoon...from southwest to northeast.
Overall the air mass is pretty stale...so ptype is mostly expected to be rain at the start. Temps cool aloft enough that elevations around 1500 ft and above may start and stay snow. In addition...occasional bursts of heavier precip may allow some snow to mix in with rain at times with the near surface warm layer only about that deep.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/
Then things get really complicated. For starters continued snowfall into a marginal air mass will gradually cool things from melting...especially when precip gets heavier. The best lift is forecast to occur overnight towards daybreak Mon. This increasing lift will also dynamically cool the column...shrinking the near surface warm layer even further. So I anticipate that many locations will flip to all or mostly snow very early Mon. This is the primary reason for such expansive winter headlines. This heaviest precip and potential most frozen precip will be occurring around the commute time.

What does give me some concern is the forecast soundings across the area. It is a bit of a mixed signal. On the one hand there are quite a few locations that show a bit of a crosshair signature
max lift aligned with the snow growth zone
a good indicator of potential warning snowfall amounts. On the other hand...on either side of those signatures the snow growth zone dries out for a time. This would lead me to believe that there will be a window of decent snowfall surrounded by snow that may struggle to accumulate outside of the higher elevations. This will especially be true for southern NH and coastal western ME...where dry air aloft is most likely to sneak in. So I have added some slight chances of drizzle or freezing drizzle. These same zones are also most susceptible...if there is a burst of heavier snowfall...to wet sticky snow and scattered power outages if totals can approach 3 to 4 inches. So the southern extent of winter weather advisories is a bit conditional...but a grab bag of hazards is possible
including trace ice
a period of heavy snow...and/or scattered power outages.

Farther north and east the dynamic cooling will help keep snow character on the drier side...so power outages are less of a concern here. This is true primarily in the winter storm warning area...where snow totals are driving the warning decision.
However the I-95 corridor from LEW thru WVL is more on the borderline...and warnings are driven mainly due to timing of the heaviest precip/snow accumulation.

After midday Mon the precip intensity will drop off and precip may become showery more than anything. But the inverted trof will be lingering over the forecast area...and some light precip will remain possible into the evening.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Low pressure that will bring accumulating snow to region tonight and Monday will be exiting the region Monday night while a short wave will continue to cross the northern New England. This short wave will continue chances for snow showers through Monday night. High pressure builds in from the north Tuesday for a drying trend. An upper trough axis will cross the East Coast Wednesday while the best forcing for ascent passes southeast of New England. High pressure builds in for Thursday followed by an approaching warm front that will bring the potential for light precipitation Friday into Saturday. Temperatures will be near or slightly below normal Tuesday with a cooling trend into Thursday. The approaching warm front will bring moderating temperatures into the weekend.

The bulk of the precipitation associated with tonight's system will be transitioning to showery precipitation Monday night. The short wave will be crossing the region allowing a surface trough to extend WNW from the surface low exiting south of Nova Scotia. This surface trough could focus an area of steady precipitation from the mountains towards the Mid Coast. Temperatures will be cool enough for mostly snow showers and there could be additional light accumulations from the mountains towards the Capital District Maine. High pressure starts to nose into the area from the north Tuesday bringing a drying trend and a some breaks in the cloud cover.

Additional short waves will be diving southeast through the Great Lakes late Tuesday that will lead to a broad trough over the East Coast Wednesday morning. While the best forcing for ascent will pass well south of New England, the presence of the trough will bring the chances for snow showers Tuesday night with the main result of the passing trough being cooler temperatures Wednesday into Thursday. A narrow ridge of high pressure will move over region Thursday before shifting south at the end of the week. Global models and their ensembles generally agree on building heights over the eastern CONUS at the end of the week into the weekend with a developing WAA pattern. The developing WAA pattern will bring chances for light precipitation Friday into Saturday with a more robust system possible late in the weekend.

AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Short Term...Areas of IFR remain in place across most of the area this morning...and will only expand thru the day as precip moves in. While it may start as rain for most locations...the interior will flip to snow today and continue thru the overnight. This looks like mainly a rain or snow event...but some patchy drizzle or freeing drizzle is possible across southern NH and coastal western ME. Precip intensity will become lighter Mon morning...but it is possible that areas of IFR CIGs do not clear out until Mon night.

Long Term...Lingering low cigs and SHSN will bring potential for MVFR and at times IFR Monday night. Conditions improve Tuesday while there may be some lingering MVFR cigs. Mainly VFR will prevail Wednesday into Thursday.

MARINE
Short Term...Northeast winds will continue increasing today with high pressure to the north and developing low center to the southwest. SCA remains in effect. Winds and seas will only gradually diminish thru Mon once pressure gradient weakens.

Long Term...Winds and seas will mainly remain below SCA thresholds Monday night through Thursday. Low pressure exiting south of Nova Scotia will bring northerly winds over the waters in its wake Monday night with northerly winds prevailing through mid week.

GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Monday for MEZ007>009-012>014.
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for MEZ018-019-033.
Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday for MEZ020>022.
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Monday for MEZ025>028.
NH...Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Monday for NHZ001-002-004.
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for NHZ007>010.
Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Monday for NHZ003-005-006.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Monday for ANZ150-152-154.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
BGXN3 - Great Bay Reserve, NH 4 mi99 min ENE 4.1 41°F 30.0638°F
SEIM1 5 mi54 min 43°F 49°F30.0942°F
IOSN3 - Isle of Shoals, NH 15 mi84 min ENE 20G21 44°F 30.0338°F
WEXM1 - Wells Reserve, ME 21 mi84 min NNE 5.1 38°F 36°F
44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf 22 mi140 min NE 14G18 43°F 49°F2 ft30.07
44098 - Jeffrey's Ledge, NH (160) 41 mi58 min 49°F4 ft
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 44 mi140 min ENE 16G18 47°F 50°F2 ft30.06
44007 - PORTLAND 12 NM Southeast of Portland,ME 46 mi44 min NE 14G18 40°F 48°F30.0736°F
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME 48 mi54 min NNE 12G14 38°F 45°F30.06

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Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPSM PORTSMOUTH INTL AT PEASE,NH 3 sm29 minNE 087 smOvercast43°F39°F87%30.06
KDAW SKYHAVEN,NH 12 sm33 minNNE 0310 smOvercast39°F36°F87%30.07
KSFM SANFORD SEACOAST RGNL,ME 20 sm28 minNNE 0510 smOvercast37°F36°F93%30.09

Wind History from PSM
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Dover Point, Piscataqua River, New Hampshire
   
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Dover Point
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Sun -- 04:41 AM EST     5.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:24 AM EST     1.29 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:56 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:08 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 04:42 PM EST     6.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:05 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:06 PM EST     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Dover Point, Piscataqua River, New Hampshire, Tide feet
12
am
1.3
1
am
2.5
2
am
3.8
3
am
4.9
4
am
5.5
5
am
5.6
6
am
5.1
7
am
4.1
8
am
2.9
9
am
1.9
10
am
1.3
11
am
1.4
12
pm
2
1
pm
3
2
pm
4.3
3
pm
5.4
4
pm
6
5
pm
6.2
6
pm
5.7
7
pm
4.7
8
pm
3.3
9
pm
2
10
pm
1
11
pm
0.7



Tide / Current for Portsmouth Harbor Entrance, New Hampshire Current
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Portsmouth Harbor Entrance
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Sun -- 12:52 AM EST     0.87 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:49 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:20 AM EST     -1.32 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:13 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:55 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:04 PM EST     0.88 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:08 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 04:38 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:45 PM EST     -1.69 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 10:05 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:55 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Portsmouth Harbor Entrance, New Hampshire Current, knots
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.9
2
am
0.7
3
am
0.5
4
am
0.4
5
am
-0.1
6
am
-0.9
7
am
-1.3
8
am
-1.2
9
am
-1
10
am
-0.7
11
am
-0.2
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
0.7
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
-0.2
6
pm
-0.9
7
pm
-1.5
8
pm
-1.7
9
pm
-1.5
10
pm
-1.2
11
pm
-0.7




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Portland, ME,



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