Liverpool, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Liverpool, NY

June 19, 2024 10:38 AM EDT (14:38 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:23 AM   Sunset 8:48 PM
Moonrise 5:55 PM   Moonset 2:08 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202406191515;;281861 Fzus51 Kbuf 190828 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 428 am edt Wed jun 19 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-191515- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 428 am edt Wed jun 19 2024

Today - South winds 10 knots or less. A slight chance of showers early. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tonight - Southwest winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday night - West winds less than 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Friday - North winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day. Waves 1 foot or less.

Saturday - East winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.

Sunday - South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 59 degrees.

No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Liverpool, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 932 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Hot and humid conditions with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected through the entire week. A break in the heat may not come until the end of the weekend.

930 AM Update:

A weak convectively induced wave triggered isolated thunderstorms earlier this morning from the eastern Finger Lakes to the Mohawk Valley which are just now starting to fizzle and drift out of our area. Morning analysis suggests CAPE is already building over 1000 J/Kg with around 2500 J/kg expected this afternoon. We just need to erode the strong CIN in a couple hours. Shear is weak as is the overall steering winds.
Convective mode today will therefore again be pulse type storms with a locally heavy rainfall component. We'll be chasing the updrafts all day to find the severe ones, if any. CAMS all have their own flavor of expected position of thunderstorm activity later today, but there seems to be a general agreement that best area of organized convergence for broad scale lift will extend across the lake plain counties and will have highest PoPs there.

As far as the heat surprises. Blow off cirrus from upstream may help to trim numbers a couple degrees off yesterday's highs, but brutal dewpoints in the low-mid 70s will keep the heat index on target. Atmosphere mixed out from about 825 mb yesterday and see a similar potential today. This is a low- mid 90s forecast which we previously had, so no changes aside from cloud temperment and urban heat island effects.

345 AM Update:

Bermuda high pressure remains the dominant feature impacting the weather in our region. Hot and humid conditions will continue again today. There is a chance for a bit more cirrus spilling up and over the ridge today and this may limit heating some, but not enough to drop below heat advisory criteria in all urban areas. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible again this afternoon, however, forecast soundings are showing a little less instability than the past couple of days. Best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be across the lake plain and Finger Lakes Region (Mostly west of I81 corridor). Another warm and muggy night is expected, with lows staying in the 70s for much of the area.

Ridge starts to flatten out some on Thursday and some stronger westerlies slide south out of Canada and into our region. Once again, hot and humid conditions will prevail, however, thunderstorms may be a little more intense and numerous than the past several days. Strong low level lapse rates will exist with max CAPE values likely nearing 2500 to 3000 J/kg. With the stronger flow aloft moving in, 0-6 km bulk shear will increase to around 20 to 25 knots, which should be enough to support some organized convection. Locally damaging winds will be the main threat. Also, PWATs will again be in the 99th percentile range and short Corfidi vectors of less than 10 knots suggest heavy down pours and back building thunderstorms will be possible, with a threat for localized flash flooding

405 AM Update...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms carrying over into the evening hours Thursday night will diminish in coverage with the loss of daytime heating but may not completely come to an end later at night as a weak cold front slowly sags southward across the region. Lows overnight are expected to be in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees.

The front is expected to stall out near or just south of the Twin Tiers later Friday. This front combined with pieces of energy riding along the northern periphery of the strong upper ridge centered to our southwest is expected to lead to the development of showers and thunderstorms, especially during the peak heating hours. With ample instability with pockets of surface-based CAPE greater than 1500-2000 J/kg and marginal shear values, some storms can once again be locally strong to severe with isolated damaging winds the main concern. However, any slower-moving storms can produce heavy rainfall with PWAT values anywhere from 1.5 to nearly 2.0 inches across the area.
Cloud cover and the convection across the area combined with the placement of the stalling front will lead to a tricky temperature forecast Friday. Highs are expected to range in the lower to mid 80s across CNY, while the Twin Tiers and Northeast PA range from the mid 80s to low 90s.

With the quasi-stationary front remaining in the area Saturday and eventually lifting back north later Saturday and into Saturday night, additional scattered showers and storms are expected to pop up with the heating of the day. As the front lifts north and winds begin to become more southwesterly, this can send high temperatures west of I-81 into the mid and upper 80s, while areas to the east are slightly lower in the low an mid 80s, but again this will be another difficult temperature forecast day.

405 AM Update...

The strong upper-level ridge is expected finally begin breaking down Sunday as a shortwave trough and surface cold front approach from the west bringing increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms. There is some uncertainty with the timing of the cold frontal passage Sunday and Sunday night and when the chances of showers/storms would be greatest, but cooler air does appear to filter into the area Monday in the wake of the boundary. With the upper trough lagging behind over the area Monday, there can be a lingering shower or storm, followed by high pressure and drier air returning Tuesday.

After a warm, muggy Sunday with high temperatures expected to be in the mid and upper 80s, it will feel more comfortable as both day and nighttime temperatures and dew points come back down to near or slightly above average Monday.

High pressure and mostly VFR conditions through the TAF period.
Cluster of thunderstorms may impact RME this morning, but confidence is low if storms will hold together, so did a Prob30 group instead of a Tempo. Isolated thunderstorms will also pop up across the region again this afternoon. These storms could bring brief IFR conditions to any terminal today, but confidence is highest at RME, SYR, andd ITH.


Thursday through Sunday...Spotty restrictions possible in showers and thunderstorms.

PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for PAZ038>040-043-044- 047-048-072.
NY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ009-015>018- 022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.
Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for NYZ062.

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 28 mi51 minS 7G8 85°F 30.2273°F
45215 31 mi43 min 78°F 71°F0 ft

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSYR SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL,NY 6 sm44 minSW 0510 smMostly Cloudy90°F72°F56%30.28
KFZY OSWEGO COUNTY,NY 18 sm44 minS 0610 smClear86°F73°F66%30.27
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Wind History graph: SYR
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   

Montague, NY,

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