Liverpool, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Liverpool, NY

April 23, 2024 2:59 AM EDT (06:59 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:07 AM   Sunset 7:58 PM
Moonrise 6:58 PM   Moonset 4:52 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202404230915;;213912 Fzus51 Kbuf 230148 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 948 pm edt Mon apr 22 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-230915- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 948 pm edt Mon apr 22 2024

Rest of tonight - South winds 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear late this evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tuesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Occasional showers in the evening, then rain overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Occasional rain showers in the morning, then a chance of rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 4 to 7 feet, then subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.

Wednesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Thursday - Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less.

Saturday - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
the water temperature off rochester is 45 degrees.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Liverpool, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 230549 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 149 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
An upper level storm system and associated cold front will bring scattered rain showers to the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. Dry and seasonable weather will finish out the work week, with additional rain showers arriving in time for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
640 PM Update...

Made some minor changes to minimum RH values for tomorrow and also went ahead and issued an SPS for fire weather. See Fire Weather AFD section below.

Previous Discussion...
Clear skies will continue through the remainder of the day and into the evening, with high clouds increasing later tonight.
Winds will shift around to the south by morning, and with a tightening pressure gradient and deeper mixing tomorrow, winds could gust around 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon. RH values will get a modest boost from the southerly flow, with Min RH values looking to range from 25 to 35 percent in the afternoon.

The drier low level air mass will delay the onset of rain showers. A few could work into the Finger Lakes before dark, but most of the rain will hold off until the overnight hours and into Wednesday.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
150 PM update...

Main concerns in the short term are focused on the potential for rain showers and even a few isolated thunderstorms early in the day Wednesday with cooler and drier air moving in Wed night into Thursday.

Broad upper level trough will be rotating through the Northeast U.S. Wednesday morning with an area of stratiform rain on the front end of the system. Modest, shallow isentropic lift within a relatively deep, moist air mass and weak upper level forcing will produce this wide area of rain Wed morning. Cold air moving in behind this feature will push in quickly aloft, which will induce an area of steep mid level lapse rates during the late morning and early afternoon hours. The air mass is not expected to be very unstable given the presence of rain and a fair amount of cloud cover. The most favorable time and location of weak instability will be from the Poconos and southern Catskills farther to the east and southeast in the afternoon. Given the cold air aloft and the potential for mixing later in the day, the main threats will likely be small hail and gusty winds in any storms that do form and mature.

The cooler and drier air is expected to move in quickly from the northwest later in the day Wednesday. Surface temperatures will hold steady in the mid 40s to mid/upper 50s...and then slowly drop back into the lower to mid 40s by the late afternoon/evening hours. The large-scale wind field will be notable during the day with sustained NW winds 15 to 20 mph and gusts up to 30 mph, especially across the Finger Lakes. An abundance of clearing should occur Wed night, which will combine with light/calm winds to allow temperatures to fall into the mid 20s and lower 30s. The coldest air is expected to occur in the valley locations that decouple from the boundary layer. The quiet weather will persist into Thursday and the cooler air mass will remain, but plenty of sun and a high sun angle will allow high temperatures to climb into the mid to upper 50s close to 60. Winds will be substantially lower on Thursday, which will be a nice relief from the day before.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
150 PM update...

Large scale upper level ridging will move across the region Thu night into Friday, which will keep weather conditions very quiet and dry. Temperatures will slowly rebound with morning lows Friday starting out in the lower to mid 30s before rising into the upper 50s to mid 60s. The next deep low pressure system is expected to move into the Upper Midwest late Friday and begin to sweep a warm front north through the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes Friday night into Saturday morning. This front may have a difficult time producing rain into the slow- moving dry air mass in the Northeast. Only minor deviation from the ensemble blend was to delay the onset of the higher chances of rain until later in the morning hours on Saturday.

This incoming warm front will not only bring increase rain chances and clouds, but also notably warmer temperatures...
especially on Sunday. Temperatures on Saturday will hover around average for this time of year with scattered rain showers, but on Sunday, the really warm air is expected to push farther north and push temperatures into the 70s for nearly all of the forecast are of northeast PA and central NY. This warm and unstable air mass will also trigger the potential for some scattered showers and thunderstorms later in the day. The warm air looks to remain in place going into at least the early part of next week.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours at all terminals.
Rain will be moving in out of the west after 0Z this evening but with dry air in place, cigs will remain high through at least 6Z. SYR and RME should start to see rain before 6Z but vis is likely going to remain above 6 miles. AVP has near LLWS this evening as well but with surface winds staying elevated, the 30 knot threshold isn't met.

Outlook...

Tuesday night through Wednesday night...Occasional restrictions possible in rain showers.

Thursday through Friday...Mainly VFR.

Saturday...Restrictions possible in rain showers, especially in the afternoon and evening.

FIRE WEATHER
Dry conditions with gusty winds are expected again on Tuesday.
On Monday, minimum RH values dropped into the teens in some areas and wind gusts topped out over 20 mph. These conditions on Monday allowed fine fuels to dry out. The drier fuels combined with the fire weather conditions expected Tuesday warrants an SPS for all of our New York Counties.

Winds on Tuesday are expected to be gusting at 20 to 30 mph and min RH values have a chance to dip as low as 20 percent in some areas for a few hours during the mid to late afternoon. However, min RH values will be in the 25 to 30 percent range for most of the region. After coordination with NYSDEC, the decision was made to issue a special weather statement for New York, however at this time, an SPS for northeast PA will not be issued based on coordination with PA DCNR.

Finally, model RH values show some recovery during the late afternoon into the early evening with the south-southwest winds.
However, most models bring moisture in too quickly in these situations, so have kept RH values lower well into the early evening hours at this time.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 28 mi59 min SSE 9.9G13 43°F 30.0226°F
45215 31 mi63 min 44°F 44°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 74 mi59 min SSW 9.9G15 48°F 30.07
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 75 mi59 min 47°F


Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSYR SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL,NY 6 sm65 minSE 0410 smClear39°F28°F65%30.07
KFZY OSWEGO COUNTY,NY 18 sm65 mincalm10 smClear37°F27°F65%30.06
Link to 5 minute data for KSYR


Wind History from SYR
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast   
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Montague, NY,



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