Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:16AMSunset 7:58PM Thursday August 22, 2019 10:05 PM EDT (02:05 UTC) Moonrise 10:34PMMoonset 12:01PM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 1025 Am Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
This afternoon..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Becoming partly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 10 knots or less. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
LOZ044 Expires:201908222115;;036355 FZUS51 KBUF 221425 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1025 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-222115-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 230124
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
924 pm edt Thu aug 22 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will continue moving southeast through
pennsylvania tonight taking with it any chances for rain. High
pressure builds into the area late this week and remains in
place through the weekend.

Near term through Friday night
9 pm update...

showers and thunderstorms quickly exited. Maybe a sprinkle left
in pike county. Lowered pops some more and removed thunderstorms
from here on. Clear skies have moved into much of cny allowing
temperatures to tumble into the 50s already in some places.

Lowered min temps a tad closer to guidance.

6 pm update...

lowered pops in the southern tier of cny and took out
thunderstorm chances across the twin tiers. Upped the clouds as
a large area of mid clouds is over the area. By 8 pm
thunderstorms should be exiting. Severe threat already gone.

Very little CAPE but decent shear. Even some showers showing
rotation. Speed is fast enough that rainfall shouldn't be a
problem.

Previous discussion...

late this afternoon and tonight: a cold front will slowly move
southward through pennsylvania this evening. Lingering moisture
and lift along the frontal boundary has been enough to produce
an area of showers and thunderstorms. The coverage was increased
through the early evening to account for current trends. 0-6 km
bulk shear values would suggest the potential for some strong
to severe storms but mixed layer CAPE is rather limited now
under 500 j kg. Still a thunderstorm or two with gusty winds is
not entirely out of the question. The ECMWF for the last few
model runs has been suggesting an antifrontal period of showers
later tonight. This has little model support currently so this
forecast is more in line with the rgem and NAM nest which show
a clearing trend throughout the evening. Lows should fall into
the 50's for most locations tonight. Some patchy valley fog can
not be ruled out as well overnight.

Friday and Friday night: high pressure will gradually build
southeast into the region resulting in generally mostly sunny
skies and light winds. This will lead to prime radiational
cooling Friday night. Patchy valley fog will be a potential
concern Friday night as well. Highs should reach 70 with
overnight lows in the 40's and 50's.

Short term Saturday through Sunday
Much of the weekend will be dry and on the cooler side of the late
august temperature spectrum with a very dry air mass in place and a
surface high rolling east across SRN quebec into NRN new england.

The one exception to this mainly dry forecast will be on Sunday
afternoon when a cutoff upper low drops in from the NW and becomes
situated near nyc. There may be enough low level moisture from the
atlantic getting entrained into the system to trigger a few rain
showers in the catskills and poconos Sunday afternoon, but other
than that, weather conditions should remain quiet. Highs on Saturday
and Sunday will top out in the lower to mid 70s. Overnight lows sat
night will fall into the upper 40s and lower to mid 50s.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
The dry air will re-establish itself over the region Sunday night
into Monday with upper level ridging and a narrow surface high
suppressing any large scale upward vertical motion. The pattern
begins to shift back to an active one Monday night through Wednesday
as a slow-moving cold front and upper S W lift E newd through the
ohio valley into the northeast. There are some timing differences
among the various model solutions, so will keep with middle of the
road chance pops pushing slowly through the area Tuesday into
Wednesday. Will also see a gradual but weak warming trend through
the week as well with highs into the upper 70s and lower 80s by
Wednesday.

Aviation 02z Friday through Tuesday
730 pm update...

mainlyVFR expected through the TAF period. The one exception
is the likely occurrence of valley fog at kelm late tonight.

Skies will become clear by 10 pm while winds become calm. Winds
below the boundary layer are light. Ifr possible as early as
07z, locks in at 09z, then burns off around 13z.

Friday some scattered 4k foot cumulus everywhere with high
clouds at kavp.

Tonight light and variable winds or northwest. Friday northwest
to north winds at 5 to 10 kts.

Outlook...

Friday night through Monday...VFR, except late night early
morning fog possible at kelm.

Monday night and Tuesday... VFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mwg tac
near term... Mwg tac
short term... Bjt
long term... Bjt
aviation... Tac


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi54 min W 15 G 21 71°F 1013.8 hPa58°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi66 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 69°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi54 min 63°F 1013.8 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi12 minWSW 310.00 miA Few Clouds65°F55°F70%1014.1 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi12 minSW 310.00 miFair61°F53°F75%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3--Calm--SW6SW6SW7--W9--W7W9W11W10W13W10W8W9W9NW9NW6NW8W5W4
1 day agoE5----------E4E3NE3NW5----CalmS3S3S3NW7N3CalmW6W6CalmE4E5
2 days agoW4SW4--------CalmCalm--CalmCalmW4--SW4CalmW7W6W7W10--4S5NE5E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.