Friday, January17, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:30AMSunset 4:58PM Friday January 17, 2020 10:29 AM EST (15:29 UTC) Moonrise 12:05AMMoonset 11:48AM Illumination 51% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202001171000;;066758 Fzus51 Kbuf 170542 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1231 Am Est Fri Jan 17 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-171000- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1231 Am Est Fri Jan 17 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning...
Overnight..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Lake effect snow showers likely, then scattered lake effect snow showers late. Waves 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Friday..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday night..Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south. Snow. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Saturday night..South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain and snow. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Sunday..West gales to 35 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Snow during the day, then snow showers Sunday night. Waves 10 to 15 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet.
Monday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. Snow showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 4 to 7 feet, then subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of snow showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 38 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 171502 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1002 AM EST Fri Jan 17 2020

SYNOPSIS. Other than a few morning snow flurries, we will have a dry and seasonably cold day today. A storm moving in from the Ohio valley will bring mainly snow this weekend for the entire area, lingering into Tuesday for central New York.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/.

1000 AM Update

Still some lingering snow showers across the western and central Finger Lakes region, with one good band left from near Penn Yan to Sayre PA. Expect these showers to quickly dissipate by midday or early afternoon, with a localized half inch to one inch still possible. Otherwise partly sunny and cold today elsewhere. Lowered overnight lows a bit this evening as it should drop off very quickly with high pressure moving in.

Previous Discussion Below

Narrow multiband lake effect continues this morning. As usual, short term models are ending the snow showers too early so have manually extended the lake effect into the daylight ours today as the northwest flow continues.

A cold and dry night tonight will allow temps to drop into the single numbers and below zero in places early, before tending to rise overnight as clouds and warm advection moves in.

Models have trended towards a colder solution with the 00Z run of the NAM and EURO now back to a mostly snow scenario for the forecast area. There will be a brief period late Saturday where we lose ice in the clouds, especially over the Finger Lakes, and there might be a little light rain or drizzle. In any event looking at a low end Advisory level snow for most of the area, except for northern Oneida where the models spit out a band of heavier snow at the onset, and lake effect will add more in the short term.

WPC and model guidance have consistent with amounts and have followed that with the forecast. Winds Saturday afternoon will likely cause some blowing of he fresh snow, with plenty of gusts over 25 mph likely.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. A strong cyclone moving along the NY / Canadian border will slide eastward Saturday night and cause snow showers to diminish over the central and southern forecast area. West-northwest winds behind the front will travel over Lake Ontario and enhance snow bands into our far northern counties, especially Oneida County, where several additional inches of snow could fall overnight.

The lake band will remain over Northern Oneida County on Sunday with another 2 to 4 inches of snow possible. Snow showers will be likely over much of Upstate NY, but accumulations south of the main band will be minor.

Lake effect snow will finally weaken Sunday night as wind flow becomes less favorable and drier air works into the region.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. A persistent trough over the northeastern corner of the U.S. will keep the weather unsettled and temperatures well below normal for the first half of the upcoming work week.

Temperatures will peak in the lower 20s on Monday and Tuesday and in the middle 20s on Wednesday.

The upper level pattern will relax on Thursday, allowing milder air to flow into NY and PA. The weather will be quiet under weak ridging as temperatures climb into the middle 30s.

AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Lake effect snow showers providing some MVFR ceilings and visibilities this morning will gradually taper off over the next few hours. Then, high pressure will provide mainly clear skies and VFR conditions through the end of the taf period. Northwest winds will continue to be gusty through the day, become lighter after 00Z.

Outlook .

Saturday through Sunday . Restrictions gradually lowering to IFR with snow/wintry mix.

Monday . Restrictions possible in snow showers in CNY. AVP VFR.

Tuesday . Mainly VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . Winter Storm Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening for NYZ009. Wind Chill Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for NYZ009.

SYNOPSIS . DGM NEAR TERM . DGM/MJM SHORT TERM . DJP LONG TERM . DJP AVIATION . DGM/TAC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi60 min NNE 11 G 17 9°F 1044.4 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi90 min NNW 11 G 18 14°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi60 min 15°F 1045 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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W22
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G30
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N1
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G11
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N4
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SE6
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G27
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W25
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W12
G15
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G27
W14
G19
W21
G26
W14
G22
W14

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi36 minNW 610.00 miA Few Clouds8°F0°F69%1044.6 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi36 minN 81.75 miLight Snow9°F1°F70%1045.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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NW13N11N9NW9NW9NW6
1 day agoW8W11W11W9SW8SW6CalmNE5NE3E4E8E9E7E7E8SE7E6CalmNW4W16
G27
W20
G27
W12W11W8
2 days agoSE10SE8S11S12S8S11S9S6S7SW9SW10W10W14W11W14W9
G17
W11W13W13W9W11W11W8W10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.