Thursday, April2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 7:33PM Thursday April 2, 2020 1:30 AM EDT (05:30 UTC) Moonrise 11:55AMMoonset 2:38AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202004020915;;433409 Fzus51 Kbuf 020224 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1024 Pm Edt Wed Apr 1 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-020915- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1024 Pm Edt Wed Apr 1 2020
Overnight..Variable winds 10 knots or less. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Partly Sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming variable. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off rochester is 41 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 020433 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1233 AM EDT Thu Apr 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. A low moving off the coast of North Carolina this evening will stall just east of New England and keep a northerly flow of cool air in the area into Friday, along with a light sprinkle or higher elevation flurry from time to time. High pressure will build in Saturday with dry and seasonable air. A weak cold front may bring a light shower later on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. 1230 AM Update .

Skies are staying clear so far tonight, with some adjustments to temperatures over the next few hours as some spots have been able to turn a couple degrees cooler than expected. Otherwise, still expecting some clouds to fill back in across central NY before daybreak, with partly to mostly cloudy skies for the rest of Thursday. With this update, precipitation chances have been removed as a dry airmass will be in place even as a weak wave passes through.

Previous discussion . Different day but the same weather. Upper low over NY and New England this afternoon will drift south and merge with the deepening low off the east coast and generally keep a northerly flow and upper level instability over the area through the near term. More stable air of Lake Ontario continues to push south and much of the Finger Lakes and central Southern Tier are now nearly cloud free while much of the Catskills and NEPA remain locked in the clouds with only a few breaks. As we lose the flow off the lake this evening and we stabilize I expect the lower cloud deck to reform over much of the area.

More of the same for Thursday and Thursday night as the northerly flow continues and a lobe of the upper low swings by. Once again, stable air may drift off the lake making for a sunnier day over the Finger Lakes. Moisture from the stalled coastal low may begin to bring some light rain or mixed showers on Thursday night, especially over the Catskills.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. 230 pm update . Nothing to worry about this period. Lingering showers Friday followed by dry mild weather Saturday.

The upper level low will continue to spin offshore southeast of Cape Cod. The models continue to slow its movement so showers are still possible during the entire day Friday. This may have to be extended into the evening but for now moisture drops southeast with the low late Friday. In the morning it might be cold enough for some snow showers over the higher terrain. Low levels are just above freezing so snow amounts will be very little, like a dusting on the grass. With cloudy skies temperatures in the 30s will only rise into the 40s, then fall back to the 30s Friday night. Upped winds Friday with the upper level low closer and high pressure further west over Ohio and Michigan.

Drier air starts moving in from the north Friday night and continues into Saturday. With clearing skies temperatures on Saturday will be above normal in the 50s. With the high nudging in Saturday winds will be light. Saturday night will be partly cloudy and dry with lows back in the 30s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 230 pm update . No changes. The models continue to back off on the Sunday afternoon showers. Not enough confidence to lower further the slight chance pops.

Previous discussion . Starting off dry for Sunday, but then a shortwave passing through will drag a cold front through the area during the afternoon. This will touch off a chance for some rain showers Sunday afternoon, lingering Sunday night across north-central NY. A brief dry period is possible across most of the area Monday morning, but then another shortwave moving through will touch off additional showers during the afternoon hours. Rain chances will continue through Tuesday, with a shift to southwesterly flow bringing in a warmer, more moist airmass. Otherwise, turning warmer through the extended period, with overnight lows generally in the 30s as highs increase into the 50s and even low 60s.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Confidence has increased that the dryness of the current air mass will significantly limit restrictions. Though mostly clear in the evening, a shallow stratocumulus layer will redevelop late tonight into Thursday for most terminals. However, ceilings appear likely to dip only into higher end MVFR for the NY terminals with varied duration largely dependent on elevation. KAVP will probably remain VFR. Winds will be NNW to NW, slackening overnight and then back to 10-15 knots during the day Thursday with gusts to around 20 knots or so.

Outlook .

Thursday night through Friday night . Ceiling restrictions probable in persistent cloud cover; also spotty showers at times for Thursday night through Friday.

Saturday through midday Sunday . Generally VFR.

Late Sunday through Sunday night . Possible showers/restrictions.

Monday . VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . DGM/MDP NEAR TERM . DGM/HLC SHORT TERM . TAC LONG TERM . HLC/TAC AVIATION . MDP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi60 min NNW 7 G 8 39°F 1013.4 hPa32°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi90 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 39°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi66 min 35°F 1013.3 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi36 minWNW 510.00 miA Few Clouds34°F26°F73%1012.9 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi36 minN 010.00 miFair31°F26°F82%1013.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE6NE3NE4NE6NE5NE6CalmN8N6NW9NW10NW11NW11
G20
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1 day agoSW4W4W3NW4N3N4CalmNE5NE5NE76NE7NE9NE4NE6NE7N6N8--NE4N5E4NE5E3
2 days agoSW6S4SE3CalmCalmCalmS8SE4S5SW3SW10
G15
W10W9W12W15W9NW6NW3NW4CalmW6SW5SW6S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.