Thursday, October17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 6:20PM Thursday October 17, 2019 1:34 PM EDT (17:34 UTC) Moonrise 7:44PMMoonset 9:55AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201910172115;;842752 Fzus51 Kbuf 171240 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 840 Am Edt Thu Oct 17 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-172115- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 840 Am Edt Thu Oct 17 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
This afternoon..Northwest winds to 30 knots. Rain early, then a few more showers likely late. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely in the evening, then scattered showers overnight. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Friday night..West winds diminishing to less than 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..South winds 10 knots or less. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 57 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 171623
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
1223 pm edt Thu oct 17 2019

Synopsis
Rain continues this afternoon through tonight courtesy of a cold
front tracking into western ny and a deepening coastal low.

Showers will linger behind the front into Thursday as cold air
streams into the area from canada. Warmer and dry weather will
return for the weekend before rain showers return once again
Monday.

Near term through Friday
1215 pm update...

winds across the finger lakes have topped out higher than
expected, with sustained winds up to 20-25mph and a few gusts up
to 40-45 mph over the past couple of hours. So, winds have been
adjusted upward slightly for this afternoon across the whole
area, but for the finger lakes in particular. Winds are meeting
the criteria for a wind advisory, but given the late hour and
the more isolated nature of the higher wind gusts, will
continue to avoid hoisting a wind advisory.

Otherwise, continued pulling back slightly on pops across our
southernmost forecast area as strong NW flow leads to
increasingly better chances for showers downwind of the lakes -
generally north of a line from watkins glen - ithaca - delhi.

Winds fall back overnight, but showers continue mainly downwind
of lake ontario overnight through Friday morning before high
pressure building in helps to dry things out. Clouds will stick
around during the daytime before skies begin to clear out
Friday evening.

As for temperatures, we really haven't been able to budge much
over the past several hours, with highs generally in the
mid upper 40s this afternoon. Still expecting lows in the
low mid 40s, and possibly upper 30s across the higher
elevations of the catskills before temperatures again peak in
the mid upper 40s Friday afternoon.

Short term Friday night through Saturday
315 am update...

high pressure will move overhead Friday night into Saturday.

Skies will be mostly clear and temperatures may drop off into
the upper 20s by early Saturday morning in some of the coldest
valleys. There is a chance for some patchy frost in all zones
still with active growing seasons, but a freeze in these areas
is unlikely (finger lakes region and luzerne and lackawanna
counties in pa).

The high will shift eastward during the day on Saturday and
mostly sunny skies with southwest flow develops and will help
temperatures recover into the upper 50s to low 60s by Saturday
afternoon.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
325 am update...

upper ridge should persist over the region through the remainder
of the weekend with above average temperatures expected on
Sunday.

Our next system will be a cold front the beginning of next
week sometime. Models have pushed the timing back on this
frontal passage, with the front arriving to the region on early
Tuesday morning, but there are large differences at this time on
how quickly it will progress through the region. Model
consensus blend places main focus more towards Monday night-
Tuesday for rainfall chances. However, as mentioned previously,
a highly amplified meridional pattern will be in place with deep
upper trough digging into the central u.S., so would not be
surprised if coming model runs continue to slow down the arrival
of this system until mid-week.

Aviation 16z Thursday through Monday
A continuation of MVFR and fuel alternate restrictions are
forecast for much of Thursday across our terminals. Steady rain
has ended, but scattered showers will continue, especially
downwind of the lakes.

MVFR visibility restrictions may develop for a short time this
morning in light fog and showers. Winds will increase out of the
west-northwest by mid-morning, sustained at 10-20 knots with
gusts of 30 to 35 knots.

Partial clearing is expected late Thursday afternoon.

Outlook...

Thursday night... Restrictions possible in lingering showers
mainly across rme and syr. Winds gradually turning calmer.

Friday through Sunday... MainlyVFR. Morning fog possible.

Monday... Restrictions possible in showers.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp hlc
short term... Mpk
long term... Mpk
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi47 min NW 25 G 30 50°F 995.3 hPa48°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi35 min WNW 23 G 31 48°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi53 min 47°F 998.7 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi41 minWNW 16 G 238.00 miLight Rain50°F46°F86%994 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi41 minWNW 14 G 2210.00 miLight Rain50°F45°F83%995.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE14
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SE9E7E8S8W10W9W5CalmCalmCalmW5W9W12W10W6W11W9W12W11W15NW11W16
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1 day ago3Calm3NE7E4E3E4E4E6E4E5E7E7E7E8SE12SE10SE8
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2 days agoNW10W12W11W8W8SW5W7SW5SW5SW4SW7W4W4W4CalmSE3SE3S3CalmCalmSW4W7S6W5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.