Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cleveland, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 8:06PM Saturday August 17, 2019 9:25 AM EDT (13:25 UTC) Moonrise 8:27PMMoonset 6:58AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201908171515;;771489 Fzus51 Kbuf 171048 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 648 Am Edt Sat Aug 17 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-171515- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 648 Am Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Today..South winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning. Showers and Thunderstorms likely this afternoon. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..South winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 46 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cleveland, NY
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location: 43.18, -75.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 171025
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
625 am edt Sat aug 17 2019

Synopsis
A persistent storm system will bring warmer temperatures and
scattered storms to the region this weekend. The unsettled
weather will continue through the middle of next week.

Near term through Sunday
A short wave will pass through ny today. With unstable air in
place and bulk shear values around 30 knots, it is likely
another round of scattered thunderstorms will develop during the
afternoon and continue into the evening. A few thunderstorms
will produce heavy downpours and strong wind gusts. A marginal
risk for severe thunderstorms exists into the evening hours.

Precipitation will taper off overnight. On Sunday, a similar
weather setup will be in place with a weak wave enhancing
thunderstorm potential in a modestly unstable environment.

Temperatures will rise to between 80 and 85 Saturday and to
between 83 and 87 on Sunday.

Short term Sunday night through Monday night
355 am update...

the combination of heat and humidity will be the main concern
in the short term period, which appears to reach its zenith on
Monday. Scattered afternoon-evening thunderstorms are also
expected to continue.

Continued 500mb height rises in west-southwest to zonal flow
will occur Sunday night into Monday. That being said, atmosphere
still does not become thermally capped, with heat dome ridge
positioned well to our south. We will remain in the belt of
westerlies to the north of the ridge, complete with continued
shortwaves and thus yet another period with diurnally-driven
scattered convection. Deep shear will be enough to again pose a
threat for a few cells to contain strong gusts Monday, and the
instability offered by the combination of heat and humidity
could also lead to locally heavy downpours. Precipitable water
values of the atmospheric column get to around 1.5-1.8 inches.

Gfs-nam-canadian models time a shortwave passage with afternoon
heating Monday, however, the latest ECMWF is earlier. This
presents at least a little uncertainty for exactly how warm it
will get, since an earlier wave arrival may hold back heating
slightly. Overall odds favor Monday being the peak of the coming
warm spell, with high temperatures of upper 80s-lower 90s and
dewpoints of upper 60s-lower 70s. If this comes to fruition,
heat advisories could eventually be needed since the heat index
would get into the mid to upper 90s at lower elevations. Lows
both Sunday night and Monday night, in the muggy environment,
will only dip to mid to upper 60s.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
4 am update...

warmth and humidity are still expected Tuesday-Wednesday, with
continued scattered showers and thunderstorms. Models still
depict a cold frontal passage sometime Wednesday afternoon-
evening which will especially pose a likelihood for more
organized convection, followed by drier and cooler conditions
for the remainder of the week.

Previous discussion...

Tuesday will be similar to Sunday and Monday with diurnal
showers and storms and hot humid conditions. Deep upper
low trough will dig across ontario and the axis should be
centered over the NE u.S by Wednesday night with an associated
surface cold front pushing through. Showers and storms are
expected with the front Wednesday into Thursday morning... But
much drier and cooler conditions should prevail by Thursday
night into Friday as strong surface high pressure builds in.

Temperatures will still remain near normal and very
pleasant... Into the upper 70s and lower 80s... Behind the front.

Aviation 12z Saturday through Wednesday
Patchy fog will burn off between 1230z and 1330z. In the
meantime, expect ifr conditions at kelm with MVFR likely at
kbgm, kith, kavp, and ksyr.

Vfr conditions and light winds are forecast thereafter.

A few showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy downpours, will
form Saturday afternoon. The terminal forecasts will be updated
should a storm encroach on one of our terminals.

Outlook...

Saturday night... MVFR toVFR conditions with scattered showers
and TS possible.

Sunday to Wednesday... Restrictions possible in showers and
storms.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp
short term... Mdp
long term... Mpk mdp
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 41 mi56 min SSE 8 G 12 70°F 1014.2 hPa65°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi26 min SSW 7 G 9.9 70°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 95 mi56 min 70°F 1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi92 minSE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F64°F93%1014.8 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY23 mi93 minESE 510.00 miFair67°F64°F93%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4E6E5NE44N84NE8E8E8SE9SE7E5Calm------CalmNE3Calm--CalmE3SE3
1 day ago3E5E4N6E53NE9NE9N8----SE6NE3--E5E7SE5--E5--E4CalmE3--
2 days agoCalmN3Calm4NW6N11
G14
NW5N9N9N11NW11NW5NW3W4NW5CalmNW4NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.