Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeport, NY

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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY

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FXUS61 KBGM 160608 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 108 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

SYNOPSIS. A winter storm brings mixed precipitation to region overnight into the morning. Up to a few inches of snow will occur for higher elevations, with significantly less in valleys. Lake effect snow may be heavy in northern Oneida County late today through Sunday. Scattered snow showers are expected for other parts of the area, from the Twin Tiers and Catskills northward.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. 700 PM Update . Based on surface obs and webcams, added Dense Fog to Wayne/Pike Counties in NE PA, and Sullivan County in NY, and issued advisory through 1 AM. Continued moist upslope flow will keep areas of dense fog, particularly along east-facing slopes. Patchy dense fog may be encountered over Lackawanna and Delaware Counties as well, but it will be most widespread in the three counties in the advisory. Fog will become more patchy as steady precip moves into the area.

300 PM Update . A complicated weather scenario will unfold heading into the weekend. A upper level vortex will spin into the Ohio Valley overnight, as a surface reflection slides into Eastern NY. Snow will overspread the region tonight with a widespread 1 to 3 inches of snow across the region. Higher amounts are expected downwind of Lake Ontario, where lake enhancement will play a role. We could see isolated 4-inch amounts on the hilltops of eastern Delaware and Sullivan Counties, and possibly over Northern Wayne.

Snow showers will mix with, or change over to rain showers Saturday afternoon as temperatures rise into the middle 30s. Expect light snow accumulation amounts.

Another round of snow will move off Lake Ontario late Saturday as westerly winds align over the water. Several inches of snow will fall over Northern Oneida County Saturday night, with additional snow expected Sunday. Storm total snow amounts will exceed a foot in spots, especially over northwestern sections of Oneida County.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. 315 PM Update .

Confidence has increased that a multi-lake connection will keep lake effect snow showers around on Sunday and through Sunday night, especially for Oneida County. An additional 3-6 inches of snow will be possible across northern Oneida County, with generally an additional 1-3 inches further south towards the NY Thruway corridor. Highs on Sunday will likely be in the 30s, with lows Sunday night in the 20s.

Lake effect snow showers likely continue southeast of Lake Ontario Monday through Monday night, especially across the Finger Lakes Region. However, the persistence of the lake effect snow bands will be much less as low level winds turn to the NW behind a weak surface trough and drier air filters in. Therefore, additional snow amounts are expected to be light, mainly an inch or less. Mainly dry conditions are expected for much of Northeast PA and the Catskills. Highs on Monday will likely be in the upper 20s to mid 30s, with lows Monday night in the teens to mid 20s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. 330 PM Update . Lake effect snow showers will be present across the northern Finger Lakes Region to start the day Tuesday. An approaching shortwave trough brings a chance for snow across entire area Tuesday night. This trough brings a surge of cooler air Wednesday, with the GFS bringing the colder air farther south than other guidance. Ensemble guidance as well as the CMC also favor cooler temps near the surface, so Wednesday's max temps were brought down a few degrees from the previous forecast resulting in most in the 20s and a few making it into the low 30s during the day.

A ridge moves through Wednesday night and into Thursday. This will dry things out overnight and help the high temps rebound on Thursday. A low over the northern Great Lakes and a developing low in the Southwestern US move eastward, bringing the next round of snow to the region Thursday morning. With this system, there are some timing differences between guidance, so NBM was used. The northern low fills and gives way to the other low pressure system as it strengthens along the coast Thursday night, but by this time, this system is to our northeast and snow is moving out. Lake effect snow could round out the end of the forecast period.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A winter storm is bringing restrictions across the region this morning, including rain gradually mixing over to snow. Fuel alternate required to IFR conditions will occur; even to LIFR at times especially as the change to snow occurs. Some improvement is expected later this morning as steadier precipitation lifts northeast. However, KRME is likely to get into lake effect snow showers and ceiling restrictions later today through this evening. Initial east-southeast winds will go variable towards dawn; switching around to west-northwest around 5-10 knots late morning through afternoon, then westerly by evening.

Outlook .

Late Saturday Night through Sunday night . Occasional restrictions in lake effect snow showers, especially at KSYR- KRME. KELM and especially KAVP primarily VFR.

Monday through Wednesday . Passing weak disturbances with scattered lake effect snow showers/associated restrictions. KAVP mainly VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . Dense Fog Advisory until 1 AM EST early this morning for PAZ040-048-072. NY . Dense Fog Advisory until 1 AM EST early this morning for NYZ062. Winter Storm Warning until 7 PM EST Sunday for NYZ009.

SYNOPSIS . DJP NEAR TERM . DJP SHORT TERM . BJG LONG TERM . BTL/MPH AVIATION . MDP

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY	32 mi	51 min	SSE 12 G 20	35°F			1004.6 hPa	33°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY	84 mi	69 min	W 8 G 12	38°F			1005.1 hPa
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY	85 mi	51 min		37°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY	8 mi	75 min	E 10	6.00 mi	Light Rain Fog/Mist	36°F	32°F	86%	1004.7 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY	23 mi	75 min	ESE 8 G 15	2.00 mi	Light Snow Fog/Mist	35°F	32°F	89%	1005 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Ground Weather Radar Station

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