Thursday, July9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bridgeport, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:33AMSunset 8:46PM Thursday July 9, 2020 6:33 AM EDT (10:33 UTC) Moonrise 10:49PMMoonset 8:58AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202007090915;;545320 Fzus51 Kbuf 090202 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1002 Pm Edt Wed Jul 8 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-090915- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1002 Pm Edt Wed Jul 8 2020
Overnight..South winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than 10 knots. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest less than 10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 57 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridgeport, NY
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location: 43.2, -76.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 090819 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 419 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. Summertime high pressure builds into the region today with hot and humid conditions and only a slight chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Low pressure will track up the east coast as a cold front approaches from the west Friday. Both of these features will increase our chances for showers and thunderstorms as we head into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. 415 AM Update . After early fog, heat and humidity will be the main issue today, before attention turns to a system moving up the coast Friday.

Fog developed quite early for the Delaware basin, in the wake of convection late yesterday. It has since spread to the usual suspects in valleys of the Twin Tiers, as well as Wyoming and Pike Counties in PA and Cortland-Chenango-Southern Madison Counties in NY. With moisture from prior rainfall, and elevated dewpoints of this humid air mass in general; fog will continue to be dense in spots, with less than a quarter mile visibility at times, until it can lift and mix out around 8 AM.

Though it has already been very warm and muggy, the peak heat and humidity will occur today as a summertime upper high drifts directly over the region. Heat indices will be well into the 90s areawide except of the highest elevations; even upper 90s for the northern Finger Lakes and the New York Thruway Corridor. While a Heat Advisory remains in place for most of Central New York, proper precautions and drinking plenty of fluids are worthwhile throughout the area today. The upper high will provide thermal capping/subsidence to very much limit convection today. However, any that manages to develop will have very weak flow and thus could cause brief localized heavy rainfall. The vast majority of the area will be mostly sunny and dry.

Another quiet muggy night is anticipated tonight, with any isolated convection quickly ending with loss of diurnal heating.

Friday starts off benign, but a coastal/semi-tropical system moving up the coast could make things interesting in the afternoon-evening. Confidence is low, however, with a dichotomy in models. One school of thought keeps locally heavy rainfall potential to our east; the other brings it into areas that have already had recent heavy rain and thus could pose issues for some of our counties. The location of current rapid development of the low suggests that the more eastern solutions may be favored/better initialized, which could help limit our heavy rain potential, but it is still too early to say.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. The short term begins with a low confidence forecast for Friday night into early Saturday. Model solutions vary widely, regarding a coastal system moving northward. The NAM12 and GFS solutions hammer our eastern and central forecast areas with heavy rain, while the Euro and Canadian Regional push the system out to sea. We will continue to monitor this weather event.

A trough sliding through the Great Lakes into WNY will trigger afternoon thunderstorms Saturday, some with downpours and gusty winds. Temperatures are forecast to peak in the middle 80s along the I-81 corridor.

The trough will lie over the forecast area through Sunday and Sunday night. Additional showers and thunderstorms will affect NY and PA as temperatures peak in the lower 80s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A persistent northeastern trough will continue to hang over NY and PA for the beginning of the new work week. This will cause unsettled weather to persist through Tuesday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will form Monday and Tuesday, mainly during the afternoon hours as temperatures climb into the lower 80s.

A high pressure ridge with very warm air will nudge through the Ohio Valley Wednesday, bringing an end to our precipitation. Temperatures will push well into the upper 80s by Wednesday afternoon.

AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Moisture from earlier rainfall, and generally humid conditions yet with a general lack of cloud cover, is leading to fog formation early this morning for several terminals; see TAFs for specifics. KSYR should avoid fog, and some clouds around KAVP will probably prevent visibility from getting worse than MVFR. The other terminals however are likely to experience at least windows of IFR-fuel alternate conditions, and the fog will be especially thick at KELM which will often be at airport minimums. After that burns off between 12Z-13Z, VFR for all terminals Thursday. An isolated pop up shower or thunderstorm cannot totally be ruled out in the afternoon but by far the most probable outcome for each terminal will be dry weather/VFR. With high pressure in charge, winds will be calm/variable to light south-southeast at or below 5 knots.

Outlook .

Late Thursday night through Saturday night . mainly VFR with a chance of brief restrictions due to afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Chance of IFR valley fog at KELM each morning.

Sunday through Monday . VFR expected with cooler and drier air moving in. Still may see some afternoon showers and storms.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ009-015>018- 022>025-036-037-055. Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ044-045-056.

SYNOPSIS . MDP NEAR TERM . MDP SHORT TERM . DJP LONG TERM . DJP AVIATION . MDP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 32 mi46 min SSE 8 G 11 73°F 1013.8 hPa68°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 84 mi34 min SW 7 G 8 76°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 85 mi46 min 74°F 1013.2 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY8 mi40 minESE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F66°F87%1013.9 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY23 mi40 minSE 38.00 miFair71°F66°F87%1014 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7SW7W8SW5SW435
G17
SW11CalmS16S5S7S6S6S5S6S4CalmE4E4E3E5E4SE4
1 day agoE7E8SE7S4SE10
G15
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SE11SE12S15S7S10
G19
S8S7S8S8S7--S5S4Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmNE3E553E85N56NE7NE5NE5N4N6CalmCalmE5SE7SE7SE6SE4E5E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.