Monday, March30, 2020
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brewerton, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 7:30PM Monday March 30, 2020 1:02 AM EDT (05:02 UTC) Moonrise 9:15AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 456 Pm Edt Sun Mar 29 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Showers and scattered Thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers. Showers likely late. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds early. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Rain showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ044 Expires:202003300315;;270953 FZUS51 KBUF 292056 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 456 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-300315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brewerton, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.2, -76.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBGM 300026 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 826 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

SYNOPSIS. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be around this evening. Cooler weather and additional showers are expected for through midweek with an upper level disturbance parked over the Northeast US. Drier weather returns for the end of the week as high pressure builds.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. 830 pm update . Thunderstorm activity has been on the downward trend the last couple hours, and has finally tapered off completely. There are a few very light rain showers hanging around the wrn Catskills and cannot rule out a very weak pop up shower through the rest of the evening. However, overall the threat of rain should subside for a brief period of time tonight prior to the incoming moisture associated with the upper low currently over the Great Lakes which will trigger a persistent threat of rain showers late tonight through the day Monday. The best chance of rain will be over central NY . with slightly lesser chances into ne PA. Generally no changes made to the forecast beyond tonight.

205 PM Update

Main issue will be scattered thunderstorms moving into the Central Southern Tier and Finger Lakes late this afternoon and into the early evening hours. SPC has expanded the slight risk threat area, which now gets into western Steuben County. The marginal risk for severe storms remains the same; extending east to around Seneca Falls, Elmira and Towanda. A line of storms is progged to move into Steuben County/western Finger Lakes between 3-5 PM, then move east (while likely weakening some) approaching the I-81 corridor by 5-8 PM. The main question remains how much instability, and especially sfc based instability will be realized. The NAM continues to show a strong, low level capping inversion between 850-900mb which would prevent true sfc based convection from developing. Meanwhile, the GFS still hints at areas west of I-81, and especially west of Elmira breaking that inversion, reaching the convective temperature (18-22C) which would provide several hundred Joules of SBCAPE. Latest SPC mesoanalysis shows SBCAPE increasing rapidly between 500-1000 J/Kg out in western NY and NW PA. A line of severe thunderstorms is already racing through the Buffalo area and Niagara frontier region (at 2PM). Still expect some increase in sfc based instability for our far northwestern parts of the CWA; mainly across Steuben county up into the NW Finger Lakes. Visible satellite shows lower level clouds holding tough in the low level southeasterly flow. If this instability does indeed come to fruition, there will be ample shear to initial some well organized convection. 0-6km shear is forecast to be around 60-70 kts, 0-1km shear 30 kts and 0-1 SRH values up to 300 M2S2. DCAPE values around 500 J/Kg indicate some gusty wind potential and LCL heights will be low, around 350m. All in all, in agreement with SPC slight risk for the far western portion of the forecast area (western Steuben) . and if sfc temps are able to warm up, and produce 300-500 J/Kg of CAPE in our area, there would be a low chance for some storms to produce strong winds, hail and even an isolated tornado cannot be completely ruled out. Will continue to closely monitor this evolving situation into the evening hours.

Tonight: Vertically stacked low drifts across the north central Great Lakes overnight. Mid level dry slot works into NE PA and the southern tier later this evening, which may decrease PoPs in this area. Scattered showers continue up north, and slowly begin to spread southeast toward morning as mid level moisture increases ahead of the upper level circulation. It will remain plenty warm for any precip to be in the form of rain overnight. Temperatures aloft only slowly fall to around +1C at 850mb. Overnight lows hold in 40s areawide. South-southwest winds 7-15 mph expected.

Monday and Monday night: Closed mid and upper level low pressure system will be just north of Lake Ontario during the daytime hours, then slowly drifts south while weakening into an open trough Monday night. Cooler air works in aloft this period, with 850mb temperatures falling back to between -2C to -5C. This will create unstable conditions, with plenty of clouds and scattered showers wrapping around the low into our area. Increased PoPs into the likely or categorical range for much of Central NY, with chance PoPs down into NE PA. The rain will not necessarily be steady or heavy, just plenty of showers around. Surface and boundary layer temperatures are slow to cool, with temperatures holding in the 40s during the day . except low to mid-50s for the valleys of NE PA. This will allow ptype to be all rain during the daytime hours.

Same pattern continues right into Monday night with the decaying circulation overhead and still ample moisture for showers areawide. Went a few degrees below NBM guidance, as it should cool off into the mid and upper 30s overnight . except some lower 30s for the higher elevations of CNY. With the colder air aloft still overhead do think some wet snow shower will mix in with the rain, mainly after midnight and generally for the higher terrain. With marginal and mostly above freezing surface temperatures believe any accumulations will be very light and limited to grassy/colder surfaces.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A upper level low pressure system will be departing. However, an inverted trough feature moves in from the southwest. These features should provide enough lift to not totally rule out a few hit and miss rain showers. High pressure starts to build into our region Wednesday allowing for more in the way of sunshine. Highs should get well into the 40's both afternoons with lows only falling into the low and mid 30's. With low temperatures near freezing across the Catskills northward into Oneida county, a few snowflakes may mix in with any rain showers.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Wednesday night through Saturday:

Model and ensemble trends have been toward a more blocky pattern with our region staying under an omega ridge for most of this time period. This should result in high pressure remaining over the region with mostly sunny skies. The one exception on Thursday is the possibility for clouds wrapping around an upper level low well to our east for areas east of I-81. Temperatures should rise several degrees over the model blend temperatures each day well into the 50's with nighttime lows in the 30's. For locations that miss out on any showers Tuesday and Wednesday, fine fuels may dry some on Thursday with soundings showing the potential for strong northwest wind gusts. Details will become clearer as we get closer to Thursday to see if fire spread will be a concern.

Saturday night and Sunday:

The omega block looks to weaken ahead of an approaching cold front. Enough lift and moisture should be present with the front for a shower chance. Temperatures still look rather warm with lows near 40 and highs well into the 50's. Some timing differences are present within the ensemble suites. Some members bring in this shower chance by the daytime Saturday, while some hold off the precipitation till after Sunday. Right now current thinking is that the Omega block may trend slightly stronger if anything. Also, the GFS bias of being too quick to break down blocks may come into play here as well.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Mainly Fuel Alternate to MVFR ceilings are in place early this evening. KBGM is the main exception, where IFR ceilings are in place. Conditions gradually improve to VFR as the evening continues to progress up until 09Z or so.

Then additional showers, clouds and vsby restrictions move in from the north Monday morning. CIGS drop back down to MVFR by 12z . and could eventually go into the fuel alternate range after 15z Monday at KRME and KSYR. KBGM and KITH will be borderline MVFR/Fuel alternate after 15z as well. Expecting all terminals except KAVP to be at least Fuel Alternate by the late afternoon and towards the end of the TAF period.

Winds will be mainly southwesterly tonight under 12 knots. Southwest winds increase 8-15 kts with a few higher gusts Monday morning and into the afternoon hours.

Outlook .

Monday night . Restrictions likely in showers, especially NY terminals. Some wet snow could mix in late at night.

Tuesday . Lingering MVFR restrictions. Possibly becoming VFR late.

Wednesday . Possible restrictions with rain showers around.

Thursday and Friday . Mainly VFR expected.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MJM NEAR TERM . BJT/MJM SHORT TERM . MWG LONG TERM . MWG AVIATION . BJG/MJM


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 29 mi45 min WSW 8.9 G 20 52°F 1010.6 hPa38°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 81 mi63 min WSW 16 G 26 54°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 82 mi51 min 53°F 1009.2 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last
24hr
SE14
G22
SE11
G20
SE13
G19
SE12
G20
SE10
G16
SE14
G23
SE11
G19
SE17
G26
SE19
G28
SE17
G27
SE18
G29
SE19
G37
SE20
G32
S18
G28
SE21
G27
SE17
G24
S15
G25
SE12
G17
S11
G17
S10
G14
W7
W24
G33
SW8
G15
W12
G17
1 day
ago
S4
G8
SE3
G7
S6
G10
S7
G10
S9
G13
SE9
SE8
G11
SE11
G15
SE12
G17
SE7
G10
SE8
G15
SE4
G9
SE10
G16
SE12
G18
SE15
G21
SE12
G19
SE11
G17
SE11
G16
SE9
G18
SE11
G16
SE7
G13
SE8
G15
SE8
G23
SE11
G19
2 days
ago
N10
G13
N5
N7
G11
N5
G10
NE7
NE6
G9
NE5
NE6
NE6
W8
G12
W8
G13
N4
G11
N5
G10
N4
G7
NE3
--
E1
NE1
E3
E6

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY6 mi69 minSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy51°F39°F64%1011.2 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY20 mi69 minSW 13 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy52°F37°F57%1010.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last 24hrE8E10NE10E11E9E9E10E13E11SE17
G21
E13E14
G22
E12S15
G20
S11
G18
SE11
G16
S13S7S6SE6W16W15
G22
W13SW6
1 day agoCalmE4E5E4CalmE5E7E8E6NE5NE6E6E9SE8E8E9E10E11E7NE7E9E11E9E8
2 days agoW9NW9NW10NW7NW8N6NW7NW5NW7W8NW6NW7NW8NW7W6W8W7NW8N9N3CalmCalmE3E5

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (1,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This website uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. I do not collect statistics on your visit. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. The only personal information I save is in the site log which has a line for each page view which includes the IP address your browser sends in the header as well as which page you requested. I use this to block hackers and other bad actors. I do not use this raw data to create profiles on users. I periodically delete the log files. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.