Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brewerton, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 6:12PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 8:33 PM EDT (00:33 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:31PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201910221530;;093756 Fzus51 Kbuf 221020 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 620 Am Edt Tue Oct 22 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-221530- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 620 Am Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday morning through late Wednesday night...
Today..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. A chance of showers early, then rain developing. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Rain in the evening, then just a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers. Waves building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..West winds 10 knots or less. Scattered showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. The water temperature off rochester is 58 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brewerton, NY
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location: 43.2, -76.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 222317
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
717 pm edt Tue oct 22 2019

Synopsis
A strong cold front will move east of the region tonight with
rain ending from west to east. High pressure will then build
into the region leading to a dry period on Thursday. Another
cold front will then move through the region on Friday with our
next chance of showers.

Near term through Wednesday night
630pm update...

little change with this update, apart from adjusting
temperatures down slightly this evening and starting to pull
back a little earlier on rain chances across our westernmost
zones. Previous discussion continues below.

A cold front will sweep through the region tonight with a band
of rainfall. Moderate rainfall at times should lead to total
rainfall from 1 2 to one inch. Clouds should linger through most
of the night and into Wednesday. Temperatures will be very slow
to fall this evening ahead of the cold front then fall fairly
rapidly after the frontal passage. Lows tonight should fall into
the 40's for most of the region.

Tomorrow and tomorrow night:
with the west and northwest winds bringing in additional
moisture off of lake ontario clouds will be more persistent in
ny. More in the way of clearing should take place in pa. With
the cooler airmass, highs should only get into the 50's for most
of the region. Modeled soundings are showing the potential for
some 20 mph winds to make it down to the surface in the
afternoon. More in the way of clearing should occur tomorrow
night as high pressure builds into the region with lows in the
30's.

Short term Thursday through Friday
200 pm update...

period features ridging off the SE coast and a cold front trying
to push east out of the great lakes. Ridge slows the progress of
the front as ripples of low pressure race to the northeast in
the southwest flow aloft. The chance for showers increases
through the period as the front drops into the area, with the
highest chance over the western and northern zones. There are
model forecast differences in the position and timing of the
front, which of course is typical when the surface front lies
parallel to the upper flow. Overall though any rain that falls
will be relatively light as the systems moving through are weak.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
200 pm update...

little change to the extended. Did make some adjustments to the
weather grids to remove the frost from the period as the
growing season has ended. Also removed the fog for now as that
is a bit too much detail that far out.

Previous discussion continues below.

The long term will begin with an active weather pattern as an
upper level wave spreads showers into the northwestern third of
our forecast area.

Northwesterly flow behind the wave will cause lake enhanced rain
showers Friday night into early Saturday before a dome of high
pressure slides across ny and pa and cuts off the rain showers
Saturday afternoon.

A cyclone rotating into mi will cause isolated shower activity
over our forecast area for Sunday and Monday.

Aviation 23z Tuesday through Sunday
Mainly MVFR ceilings and visibilities with periods of rain.

Ceilings lift toVFR through the night but lower confidence
exists with the timing that the ceilings lift. Right now it
appears most sites will have lifting ceilings during the
overnight hours. Winds gradually becoming more west to northwest
throughout the TAF period. A few wind gusts Wednesday afternoon
could reach 20 knots.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Friday morning... MainlyVFR with ifr
valley fog possible in the early mornings.

Friday through Sunday... Possible restrictions in showers.

Highest chances for showers Friday and Sunday.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mwg
near term... Hlc mwg
short term... Dgm
long term... Dgm djp
aviation... Mwg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 29 mi45 min SSE 9.9 G 15 56°F 1007.4 hPa55°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 81 mi33 min S 8 G 9.9 57°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 82 mi51 min 56°F 1006.1 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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SE3

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY6 mi39 minSE 810.00 miLight Rain56°F53°F90%1008.6 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY20 mi39 minSE 610.00 miLight Rain56°F52°F87%1008.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E9E12E9NE10CalmSE10SE11
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SE8SE8S3CalmE5E7SE8
1 day agoE5E4E4E3E4E4E3E4E4CalmE3E4E3E3NE4E4N6NE6E4E8NE8E8E8E8
2 days agoE3E5E3E6E3E5E6E6E7E5E5E3E4E4E5E5SE8SE7SW13S8S5SE5E5E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.