Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Constantia, NY
May 6, 2024 5:10 AM EDT (09:10 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:49 AM Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 3:52 AM Moonset 5:45 PM |
LOZ044 Expires:202405060315;;684543 Fzus51 Kbuf 052032 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 432 pm edt Sun may 5 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-060315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 432 pm edt Sun may 5 2024
Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms this evening, then showers likely after midnight. Areas of fog from late evening on. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Areas of fog in the morning. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night - West winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday - West winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Showers likely during the day, then showers with a chance of Thunderstorms Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers during the day, then showers likely Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 44 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 432 pm edt Sun may 5 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-060315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 432 pm edt Sun may 5 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 44 degrees.
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 060756 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 356 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will slowly move through the region today sweeping away the clouds, showers and any fog. High pressure builds into the region but only for a short stay Tuesday. Additional systems with some showers move through for the rest of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
320 am update...
A few showers have popped up in the Finger Lakes and Oneida County ahead of a slow moving cold front. Coverage is expected to increase to scattered early this morning across CNY then to isolated late morning and afternoon. Forcing is weak with little instability and wind shear. Low level moisture is good with cloudy skies. The front will exit to the southeast out of NEPA and the western Catskills early this evening. Rainfall amounts will be light and spotty. Behind the front skies will clear this afternoon and evening from northwest to southeast.
High temperatures will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s this afternoon.
Tonight drier air comes in with high pressure from the northwest.
It will be a good radiational cooling night with clear skies and light to calm winds. Patchy valley fog is possible late.
Lows in the low and mid 40s CNY to around 50 in the Wyoming Valley of NEPA.
The high pressure system moves into eastern NY Tuesday. Sunny skies give way to some clouds late coming in from the southwest.
Maybe a shower gets into Luzerne County early in the evening.
Winds will be light. High temperatures will be in the 70s.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
356 AM Update...
Low pressure over Lake Erie will drift ENE Tuesday night, with a weak warm front lifting across the area. Meanwhile, a jet streak nosing into western NY will promote larger scale lift, with rain showers expected to increase in coverage through the night, lifting SW to NE.
Low pressure will move into the upper Saint Lawrence valley Wednesday morning, with a cold front expected to push east across NY state fairly early in the day, reaching the Hudson Valley by early afternoon. Weak instability will develop ahead of the front, with shear sufficient for a few strong to severe thunderstorms, but the timing of the front appears to be too early except perhaps for the far eastern portions of the CWA
Should the front slow down between now and then, the risk for stronger thunderstorms would be greater.
Otherwise, most of the area, especially west of I-81, will be dry Wed afternoon and evening. A few showers ahead of the next system could work into the western Finger Lakes late Wednesday night.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
356 AM Update...
A slow moving upper level trough will move from the Great Lakes Thursday into northern New England Saturday, bringing us a period of unsettled weather. A deeper trough looks to carve itself out across the Great Lakes in the wake of the first, which may bring a return to unsettled weather again.
Surface low pressure will move from the Ohio Valley into Central NY during the day Thursday, with widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms expected across the area. Showers look to linger into Friday as low pressure is slow to move out, and wrap-around showers and cooler temperatures will persist into Saturday, though with diminished coverage.
Sunday is showing somewhat of an improving trend, as the next system looks to bring showers into western NY/PA late in the afternoon or early in the evening. Southerly flow ahead of this system should bring temperatures back up closer to normal as well.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
145 AM Update...
Widespread MVFR are across the area early this morning, with IFR still at BGM. All sites expected to fall to IFR this morning then rise midday into the afternoon to VFR from north to south.
BGM will remain IFR until around 17z, then VFR by 20z. Through 15z cigs and possibly vsbys will be around airport minimums.
The rest of the sites are tougher with less confidence. Guidance has all at IFR now but most are MVFR. IFR by 10z then most MVFR by 14z, and VFR by 17z. AVP should hold onto the IFR until 19z then lift to VFR by 23z. The cold front will be there this afternoon so less mixing this afternoon.
Light winds under 7 kts early this morning, turning west and northwest at 4 to 8 kts late morning and afternoon. Tonight winds light and variable to calm.
Outlook...
Overnight tonight through Tuesday evening...Mainly VFR expected. Patchy early morning fog possible.
Tuesday overnight into Wednesday morning....Restrictions likely with a period of rain showers along a warm front.
Wednesday afternoon and night...Mainly VFR; except lingering MVFR possible at RME & perhaps SYR.
Thursday through Friday... Periods of showers with some restrictions.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 356 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will slowly move through the region today sweeping away the clouds, showers and any fog. High pressure builds into the region but only for a short stay Tuesday. Additional systems with some showers move through for the rest of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
320 am update...
A few showers have popped up in the Finger Lakes and Oneida County ahead of a slow moving cold front. Coverage is expected to increase to scattered early this morning across CNY then to isolated late morning and afternoon. Forcing is weak with little instability and wind shear. Low level moisture is good with cloudy skies. The front will exit to the southeast out of NEPA and the western Catskills early this evening. Rainfall amounts will be light and spotty. Behind the front skies will clear this afternoon and evening from northwest to southeast.
High temperatures will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s this afternoon.
Tonight drier air comes in with high pressure from the northwest.
It will be a good radiational cooling night with clear skies and light to calm winds. Patchy valley fog is possible late.
Lows in the low and mid 40s CNY to around 50 in the Wyoming Valley of NEPA.
The high pressure system moves into eastern NY Tuesday. Sunny skies give way to some clouds late coming in from the southwest.
Maybe a shower gets into Luzerne County early in the evening.
Winds will be light. High temperatures will be in the 70s.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
356 AM Update...
Low pressure over Lake Erie will drift ENE Tuesday night, with a weak warm front lifting across the area. Meanwhile, a jet streak nosing into western NY will promote larger scale lift, with rain showers expected to increase in coverage through the night, lifting SW to NE.
Low pressure will move into the upper Saint Lawrence valley Wednesday morning, with a cold front expected to push east across NY state fairly early in the day, reaching the Hudson Valley by early afternoon. Weak instability will develop ahead of the front, with shear sufficient for a few strong to severe thunderstorms, but the timing of the front appears to be too early except perhaps for the far eastern portions of the CWA
Should the front slow down between now and then, the risk for stronger thunderstorms would be greater.
Otherwise, most of the area, especially west of I-81, will be dry Wed afternoon and evening. A few showers ahead of the next system could work into the western Finger Lakes late Wednesday night.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
356 AM Update...
A slow moving upper level trough will move from the Great Lakes Thursday into northern New England Saturday, bringing us a period of unsettled weather. A deeper trough looks to carve itself out across the Great Lakes in the wake of the first, which may bring a return to unsettled weather again.
Surface low pressure will move from the Ohio Valley into Central NY during the day Thursday, with widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms expected across the area. Showers look to linger into Friday as low pressure is slow to move out, and wrap-around showers and cooler temperatures will persist into Saturday, though with diminished coverage.
Sunday is showing somewhat of an improving trend, as the next system looks to bring showers into western NY/PA late in the afternoon or early in the evening. Southerly flow ahead of this system should bring temperatures back up closer to normal as well.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
145 AM Update...
Widespread MVFR are across the area early this morning, with IFR still at BGM. All sites expected to fall to IFR this morning then rise midday into the afternoon to VFR from north to south.
BGM will remain IFR until around 17z, then VFR by 20z. Through 15z cigs and possibly vsbys will be around airport minimums.
The rest of the sites are tougher with less confidence. Guidance has all at IFR now but most are MVFR. IFR by 10z then most MVFR by 14z, and VFR by 17z. AVP should hold onto the IFR until 19z then lift to VFR by 23z. The cold front will be there this afternoon so less mixing this afternoon.
Light winds under 7 kts early this morning, turning west and northwest at 4 to 8 kts late morning and afternoon. Tonight winds light and variable to calm.
Outlook...
Overnight tonight through Tuesday evening...Mainly VFR expected. Patchy early morning fog possible.
Tuesday overnight into Wednesday morning....Restrictions likely with a period of rain showers along a warm front.
Wednesday afternoon and night...Mainly VFR; except lingering MVFR possible at RME & perhaps SYR.
Thursday through Friday... Periods of showers with some restrictions.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY | 30 mi | 53 min | W 6G | 50°F | 29.97 | 48°F | ||
| 45215 | 32 mi | 75 min | 49°F | 47°F | ||||
| RPRN6 - Rochester, NY | 82 mi | 71 min | NW 7G | 49°F | 30.05 | |||
| RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY | 83 mi | 53 min | 53°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSYR SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL,NY | 7 sm | 16 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 57°F | 55°F | 94% | 29.99 | |
| KFZY OSWEGO COUNTY,NY | 20 sm | 16 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 57°F | 55°F | 94% | 30.00 |
Montague, NY,
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