Sunday, September19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Constantia, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 7:08PM Sunday September 19, 2021 11:00 AM EDT (15:00 UTC) Moonrise 6:01PMMoonset 3:59AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202109190900;;831262 Fzus51 Kbuf 190214 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1014 Pm Edt Sat Sep 18 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-190900- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1014 Pm Edt Sat Sep 18 2021
Overnight..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 72 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Constantia, NY
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location: 43.21, -76.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 191335 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 935 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure in control for the next few days will allow for quiet weather at least through Tuesday. Temperatures will be more fall-like today before warming up to start the work week. Our next frontal system will bring rain sometime later Wednesday into Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. 930 AM Update .

Fog and low stratus are quickly mixing out, with the last traces expected to dissipate within the next hour. After that, it's all sunny skies and a refreshing, fall-like airmass courtesy of high pressure and a cooler, dryer airmass. Look for temperatures to rebound into the 60s and lower 70s this afternoon.

Tonight will be clear and cool once again with low dipping into the low 40s possibly across parts of the Catskills and also northern Oneida County. Went a few degrees below model guidance for low temperatures tonight, as the clear skies and calm winds will make for efficient radiational cooling. River valley fog will also become quite thick again tonight. Although this airmass is dry, the water temperature of the rivers remains quite warm and this will enhance low level moisture, leading to dense valley fog once again.

High pressure will remain in place tomorrow, but the high slides just to our east. This will allow for southerly return flow to develop by the afternoon. Plenty of sunshine is also expected and highs should hit the mid to upper 70s in most areas, with a few locations possibly hitting the low 80s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 345 AM Update . High pressure will gradually yield to south-southwesterly flow during this period, with increasing cloud cover and eventually chances for showers; though rain chances and amounts appear higher after Wednesday.

Monday night through Tuesday evening, the increase in moisture will be primarily aloft, with high thin clouds advancing into the area. At least partial/filtered sun is anticipated Tuesday with highs of upper 60s-upper 70s. Though modest radiational cooling will still get temperatures into mainly 50s for lows Monday night, by Tuesday night clouds will be thick enough along with rising dewpoints, for lows to be upper 50s-mid 60s.

By Wednesday, a very amplified trough will exist in the western Great Lakes to lower Ohio Valley, on its way to cutting off an upper low. As is often the case in these types of patterns, the models continue to delay the progression of this next system. That said, moisture will further increase Wednesday and we could see embedded shortwaves or even a wave of surface low pressure trying to get into the area. Though some of the area could get away with another dry day, chances for showers will increase. Highs Wednesday will again be upper 60s-upper 70s, yet with dewpoints starting to creep into the 60s which will make it feel more humid.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. 345 AM Update . A ribbon of moisture is likely to move into the region Wednesday night through Thursday - possibly lingering Thursday night - associated with an amplified rainy wave of low pressure.

Models continue to slow down progress of what becomes a closed upper level low Wednesday night through Thursday. It is projected to eventually lift from the Ohio Valley to Ontario- Quebec by Friday, yet while also swinging a moist frontal zone through our region. Ensemble guidance paints more anomalous precipitable water values along the track of the upper low itself, yet we still get elevated values of around 1.5 inches or so as the frontal zone drifts through our region. Wet conditions are thus anticipated during this period, with most locations picking up at least an inch of rain. Potential for excessive rain for now is limited but we will need to monitor this closely since amplified patterns can cause frontal zones to get hung up more over a more specific area.

With the cloud cover/showers and eventual cool air advection, highs by Thursday-Friday are forecast to settle to mainly 60s- near 70s, though any further slowing of the pattern could cause some warmer readings to linger into Thursday. A window of drier weather should return around Friday-Saturday yet with an unsettled trough-favorable pattern leaving doubt for how long that can last.

AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Valley fog will lift by mid morning and then VFR conditions expected through the day today. Valley fog will be an issue again tonight with high confidence of at least LIFR conditions at setting in around midnight at ELM and persisting through Monday morning. Fog may also get into ITH, BGM and RME, but confidence is too low to include at this time.

Outlook .

Early Monday morning through Tuesday night . VFR, except morning valley fog likely at KELM; perhaps others.

Wednesday . Mostly VFR conditions, showers and restrictions possible late Wednesday.

Thursday . Frontal system brings increasing chance for rain showers, thunderstorms and associated restrictions.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPK NEAR TERM . HLC/MPK SHORT TERM . MDP LONG TERM . MDP AVIATION . MPK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 30 mi42 min NNE 8 G 11 62°F 1025 hPa52°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 82 mi60 min E 4.1 G 6 66°F 1026.4 hPa (+1.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 83 mi42 min 66°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY7 mi66 minW 310.00 miA Few Clouds64°F53°F68%1024.6 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY20 mi66 minN 510.00 miFair63°F53°F70%1024.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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