Sunday, March7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Constantia, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 6:02PM Sunday March 7, 2021 7:59 PM EST (00:59 UTC) Moonrise 3:02AMMoonset 11:53AM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202103072200;;609411 Fzus51 Kbuf 071430 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 930 Am Est Sun Mar 7 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-072200- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 930 Am Est Sun Mar 7 2021
Rest of today..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Scattered flurries. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mostly Sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers Wednesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 34 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Constantia, NY
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location: 43.21, -76.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 072302 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 602 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. Ridge of high pressure will push over the region to start the week with a gradual warming trend starting Monday, and much warmer Spring like weather for midweek. Rain chances will increase later in the week with a passing cold front.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. 330 PM Update .

High pressure will crest over the region tomorrow with mostly clear skies expected overnight and through tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures aloft will begin to rise later this evening, as the 850mb ridge axis moves into the eastern Great Lakes. However, with the clear skies and light winds, we should see efficient radiational cooling tonight and overnight lows dip to single digits in most areas.

A warming trend will finally start to take hold on Monday as a broad upper level ridge builds into Great Lakes region. The warm air will fill in west to east with highs expected into the 40s across the Finger Lakes Region and western Twin Tiers and mid to upper 30s elsewhere except Northern Oneida County and parts of the Catskills.

A weak upper level short wave and associated surface warm front will move in from the west tomorrow evening, and possibly bring some light rain/snow showers. Forecast soundings overnight show potential for precipitation to be in the form of drizzle or freezing drizzle with saturated layer only dipping to about -5C with the lack of ice crystal development. However, at this time, precip chances are very low and any precipitation that does fall is going to be extremely light. With that, the probability for any impacts from freezing drizzle is not expected, so have left out any mention of it in the HWO for now.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 3 PM update .

The warm front goes through Monday night so this period will be dry and much warmer.

Tuesday will feature increasing sunshine. Temperatures in the 30s rise to mid 40s northeast to mid 50 southwest. By the end of the day surface high pressure will be over the area as upper level heights rise.

Tuesday night will be mild with lows from 20s in Catskills to Tug Hill to low 30s Finger Lakes to Wyoming Valley.

Wednesday will be the first well above normal temperature day on the back side of the high pressure and increasing southerly winds. Widespread high temperatures in the 50s to around 60 for the warmer urban valleys like Syracuse, Elmira/Corning, and Scranton/WB. Skies will be mostly sunny. The snowpack will ripen and melt causing rivers and streams to slowly rise but not flood.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. 3 pm update . Little change. The rain moves in a few hours slower so lowered pops late Wednesday night and on Thursday before likely pops Thursday night in CNY. Rain amounts don't look heavy so flood threat is low. Heavier rain well southwest in Ohio Valley and beyond. Weekend still uncertain but colder with possibly some light mixed rain and snow showers.

previous discussion . Remaining warm and spring-like through the end of the workweek. A low pressure system tracks by well to our north during the day on Thursday . and a slow moving cold front tries to press south toward CNY/NE PA However, as it typical with this type of setup. the latest guidance is slowing the timing of this front and rain chances down. With that said, there will at least be a chance for some rain showers on Thursday for much of the forecast area and there will be plenty of clouds around as well. Remaining warm, with highs back into the mid-50s to lower 60s. Decent agreement in the latest guidance that the cold front slowly sweeps through late Thursday night into the day Friday. This will bring the best chance for a period of rain showers to the region. QPF amounts are looking rather light from this early vantage point . perhaps a quarter to half inch. Temperatures will still be able to nudge up early on Friday, and after mild overnight lows . highs may still hit the low to mid- 50s across the region.

Lower confidence in the forecast details for the upcoming weekend. It seems the cold front presses well south of our area Friday night, with perhaps a narrow ridge of high pressure developing over CNY/NE PA. This would bring cooler weather, but generally dry conditions. The CMC and ECMWF have a much deeper upper level trough (than the GFS) skirting by our area across New England for next weekend. If this solution verifies we can expect much colder temperatures with chances for scattered snow showers and lake effect. For now, considering the differences in the guidance . kept the official forecast very close to the blended (NBM) solution. This gives seasonably cool temperatures and slight chance PoPs for mixed snow/rain showers. Will continue to closely monitor the latest trends in the guidance in upcoming forecast updates.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours (at least through 00Z Tuesday). Lower clouds may bring occasional MVFR ceilings to KRME and KSYR early Monday morning, before returning to VFR by the mid-late morning.

Winds overnight will be light and variable, before gradually becoming southerly during the day on Monday at 5-10 kts. LLWS looks to develop at the very end of the TAF period (closer to 00Z Tuesday). Left this out of the TAFs for now since it is highly possible any LLWS holds off until after 00Z Tuesday.

Outlook .

Monday night through Wednesday . Mainly VFR expected. Possibly some early morning fog.

Thursday through Friday . occasional restrictions possible in scattered rain showers.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPK NEAR TERM . MPK SHORT TERM . TAC LONG TERM . MJM/TAC AVIATION . BJG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 30 mi59 min W 8.9 G 11 26°F 1030.6 hPa (+0.3)13°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 82 mi59 min W 4.1 G 6 26°F 1032.2 hPa (+1.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 83 mi59 min 24°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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NW26
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NW22
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G30
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W33
G44
W31
G40
NW31
NW31

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY7 mi65 minW 310.00 miFair22°F7°F52%1031.3 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY20 mi65 minN 010.00 miFair21°F8°F57%1031.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W6W4W6W5N4CalmN4N5N3CalmCalmW4CalmW7W7W9NW12W9W10NW11NW12NW7W3
1 day agoNW15
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NW9NW11N11N10N7N7N3NW3CalmCalmCalm4NW6W8NW14W11
G20
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2 days agoW12
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W13W13
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W11W12W14
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W10W13NW16
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W16
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W18
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G35
W16
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NW13
G28

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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