Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Constantia, NY
July 3, 2024 1:18 AM EDT (05:18 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:29 AM Sunset 8:48 PM Moonrise 1:54 AM Moonset 6:16 PM |
LOZ044 Expires:202407030315;;330145 Fzus51 Kbuf 022015 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 415 pm edt Tue jul 2 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-030315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 415 pm edt Tue jul 2 2024
Tonight - East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night - West winds less than 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday - North winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Showers and Thunderstorms likely Friday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms likely during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 68 degrees.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 415 pm edt Tue jul 2 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-030315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 415 pm edt Tue jul 2 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 68 degrees.
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 030427 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1227 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will settle east of the area tonight, allowing breezy south to southwesterly flow to develop on Wednesday. A weakening front moving through the area Wednesday night into Thursday morning will bring scattered showers and a few thunderstorms with it. These will mostly settle south of the area for Independence Day, but another system will bring additional showers and thunderstorms Friday into Saturday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1225 AM Update...
Temperatures were the main focus for this update. Most areas are in the 60s and a few remain in the 70s. While there are a few cooler areas as well, most of the changes were increases through the rest of the overnight hours. As clouds move in, that will slow down any additional cooling. Winds and sky cover were also touched up based on the the latest observations, though those changes were more minor.
935 PM Update...
With the steady stream of high clouds over the area, removed the patchy valley fog overnight and early tomorrow morning. No other notable changes at this time.
630 PM Update...
Not much to update at this time with the current forecast remaining on track on this quiet evening. Blended in the latest obs over the next several hours, and did take out some patchy valley fog that was in this evening, as if any develops it would be later on tonight. Confidence on the valley fog overnight and early tomorrow is low due to the higher dewpoint depressions expected combined with mid and high level clouds that will continue to stream in from the west-northwest.
320 PM Update...
Some high clouds will continue to spill over an upper level ridge over the area tonight, as surface high pressure drifts east of the area. Temperatures will cool down into the middle-50s for most of the area tonight, and some valley fog is possible, though likely not as widespread as this past morning, as dewpoint depressions will be a little higher.
High pressure will settle east of New England on Wednesday, with return south to southwest flow becoming a little breezy in the afternoon. A weak cold front will approach western NY/PA late in the afternoon, with some increasing mid-level clouds across our area. Any showers or thunderstorms look to hold off until the evening hours, and even then will be confined to the western Finger Lakes.
Showers and a few thunderstorms will pass through the area Wednesday night. They'll be weakening as upper level support looks limited, with just weak disturbances embedded in quasi- zonal flow aloft.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
250 PM Update...
A weak cold front will move through Central NY and NE PA Thursday, bringing chances for rain showers and storms mainly in the morning through the afternoon, but chances look to improve heading towards the evening hours. For those looking to the skies for nighttime light shows on Thursday, skies will remain mostly cloudy from the Twin Tiers/Catskills southward, and partly to mostly cloudy for Central NY. Temperatures are expected in the mid to upper 80s on Thursday as well.
For Friday, slight chances for showers and storms linger with the unsettled pattern, but chances begin to increase as a warm front pushes northward into the region Friday evening.
Temperatures expected to be in the mid to high 80s.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
250 PM Update...
A cold front will be close behind the aforementioned warm front, moving in Saturday morning, continuing the chances for showers and storms through the day. 0-6 km shear increases to up to 40 to 50 knots, and the positioning of this front could bring training showers and storms. Any training showers or storms could cause localized flash flooding. Additionally, CAPE values also increase to 1000-1500 J/kg heading into Saturday afternoon, leading to increased confidence of the potential development of strong to severe storms Saturday afternoon. It's a few days out still, so we'll keep monitoring storm potential for Saturday.
Heading into early next week, Sunday and Monday look drier, while the next, and very much disorganized, system approaches Tuesday.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure is over the region with VFR conditions expected through the period. Winds will increase tomorrow morning and gusts over 20 knots will be possible out of the south.
Outlook...
Wednesday night through Sunday...More unsettled pattern with chances of showers and thunderstorms with associated restrictions.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1227 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will settle east of the area tonight, allowing breezy south to southwesterly flow to develop on Wednesday. A weakening front moving through the area Wednesday night into Thursday morning will bring scattered showers and a few thunderstorms with it. These will mostly settle south of the area for Independence Day, but another system will bring additional showers and thunderstorms Friday into Saturday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1225 AM Update...
Temperatures were the main focus for this update. Most areas are in the 60s and a few remain in the 70s. While there are a few cooler areas as well, most of the changes were increases through the rest of the overnight hours. As clouds move in, that will slow down any additional cooling. Winds and sky cover were also touched up based on the the latest observations, though those changes were more minor.
935 PM Update...
With the steady stream of high clouds over the area, removed the patchy valley fog overnight and early tomorrow morning. No other notable changes at this time.
630 PM Update...
Not much to update at this time with the current forecast remaining on track on this quiet evening. Blended in the latest obs over the next several hours, and did take out some patchy valley fog that was in this evening, as if any develops it would be later on tonight. Confidence on the valley fog overnight and early tomorrow is low due to the higher dewpoint depressions expected combined with mid and high level clouds that will continue to stream in from the west-northwest.
320 PM Update...
Some high clouds will continue to spill over an upper level ridge over the area tonight, as surface high pressure drifts east of the area. Temperatures will cool down into the middle-50s for most of the area tonight, and some valley fog is possible, though likely not as widespread as this past morning, as dewpoint depressions will be a little higher.
High pressure will settle east of New England on Wednesday, with return south to southwest flow becoming a little breezy in the afternoon. A weak cold front will approach western NY/PA late in the afternoon, with some increasing mid-level clouds across our area. Any showers or thunderstorms look to hold off until the evening hours, and even then will be confined to the western Finger Lakes.
Showers and a few thunderstorms will pass through the area Wednesday night. They'll be weakening as upper level support looks limited, with just weak disturbances embedded in quasi- zonal flow aloft.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
250 PM Update...
A weak cold front will move through Central NY and NE PA Thursday, bringing chances for rain showers and storms mainly in the morning through the afternoon, but chances look to improve heading towards the evening hours. For those looking to the skies for nighttime light shows on Thursday, skies will remain mostly cloudy from the Twin Tiers/Catskills southward, and partly to mostly cloudy for Central NY. Temperatures are expected in the mid to upper 80s on Thursday as well.
For Friday, slight chances for showers and storms linger with the unsettled pattern, but chances begin to increase as a warm front pushes northward into the region Friday evening.
Temperatures expected to be in the mid to high 80s.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
250 PM Update...
A cold front will be close behind the aforementioned warm front, moving in Saturday morning, continuing the chances for showers and storms through the day. 0-6 km shear increases to up to 40 to 50 knots, and the positioning of this front could bring training showers and storms. Any training showers or storms could cause localized flash flooding. Additionally, CAPE values also increase to 1000-1500 J/kg heading into Saturday afternoon, leading to increased confidence of the potential development of strong to severe storms Saturday afternoon. It's a few days out still, so we'll keep monitoring storm potential for Saturday.
Heading into early next week, Sunday and Monday look drier, while the next, and very much disorganized, system approaches Tuesday.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure is over the region with VFR conditions expected through the period. Winds will increase tomorrow morning and gusts over 20 knots will be possible out of the south.
Outlook...
Wednesday night through Sunday...More unsettled pattern with chances of showers and thunderstorms with associated restrictions.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KSYR
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KSYR
Wind History graph: SYR
(wind in knots)
Montague, NY,
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